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Kansas State vs TCU Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#162
Record2-1
FormLLLWW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game76.0
Kansas State
USA
vs
TCU
USA
Position#24
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game67.2
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kansas State v TCU
16 Jan 2027
KANS v TCU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
KANS68
TCU77
17 Feb 2024
KANS72
TCU75
09 Mar 2023
KANS67
TCU80
07 Feb 2023
KANS82
TCU61
12 Jan 2022
KANS57
TCU60
02 Jan 2021
KANS60
TCU67
07 Jan 2020
KANS57
TCU59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kansas State win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
TCU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
90-74
90
74
+16
H18/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
72-100
72
100
-28
A21/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A26/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
68-77
68
77
-9
H28/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H04/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
91-105
91
105
-14
A10/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
66-68
66
68
-2
H04/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#276
W
95-78
95
78
+17
H07/11
NCAA
Creighton
#160
W
89-82
89
82
+7
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
41-34
49-40
35-49
37-51
33-42
37-37
38-41
30-36
23-26
42-37
33-46
52-58
49-50
42-55
28-35
38-33
57-29
38-49
40-40
49-42
162.1Avg total
79.1Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)83.376.0159.3+7.367%
Season at home (3)83.376.0159.3+7.367%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.183.0162.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)85.287.4172.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)72.484.0156.4-11.614%
vs Similar (7)86.079.7165.7+6.357%
vs Weaker (2)101.067.0168.0+34.0100%
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
W
73-65
73
65
+8
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
73-63
73
63
+10
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
W
95-88
95
88
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
58-81
58
81
-23
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
98-59
98
59
+39
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
106-54
106
54
+52
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
76-64
76
64
+12
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
36-39
37-26
32-29
41-34
43-46
52-42
34-31
39-47
39-24
27-40
34-38
24-43
57-37
41-22
49-28
57-26
41-32
42-51
36-33
40-31
152.6Avg total
81.8Scored
70.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Season at home (4)95.067.2162.2+27.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.870.8152.6+11.080%
Last 5 (5)87.670.0157.6+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)65.875.2141.0-9.525%
vs Similar (13)77.775.7153.4+2.069%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.269.5154.7+15.685%
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +3.8+3.8
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: -1.5-1.51st half: +6.4+6.42nd half2nd half: -2.4-2.42nd half: +3.8+3.8
Kansas StateTCU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baylor
#200
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H18/02
NCAA
Texas Tech
#63
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A21/02
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A26/02
NCAA
TCU
#77
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H28/02
NCAA
West Virginia
#147
L
23-26
23
26
-3
H04/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A07/03
NCAA
Brigham Young
#76
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A10/03
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#64
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H04/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#276
W
57-29
57
29
+28
H07/11
NCAA
Creighton
#160
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H11/11
NCAA
76.9Avg total
37.7Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.139.776.8-2.730%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.938.276.2-0.335%-
Last 30 away (13)35.941.777.6-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)37.739.276.9-1.520%-
Last 5 (5)41.440.081.4+1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)32.741.474.1-8.810%-
vs Similar (7)46.437.984.3+8.671%-
vs Weaker (2)50.528.579.0+22.0100%-
This opponent (TCU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
TCULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#63
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/03
NCAA
Cincinnati
#161
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H07/03
NCAA
Oklahoma State
#140
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H12/03
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A13/03
NCAA
Ohio State
#104
W
39-24
39
24
+15
A19/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/03
NCAA
Lindenwood
#250
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H03/11
NCAA
Southern Univ.
#406
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#343
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H11/11
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#258
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H14/11
NCAA
73.8Avg total
40.1Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.670.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (18)36.833.870.6+3.156%-
Last 30 away (12)34.735.970.6-1.242%-
Last 10 (10)40.133.773.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.433.677.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)30.038.568.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (13)35.234.169.2+1.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)38.634.072.6+4.662%-
This opponent (Kansas State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kansas State wins
7
TCU wins
DateGameScore
28/02/26Kansas State v TCU68-77
07/02/26TCU v Kansas State84-82
04/01/25TCU v Kansas State63-62
17/02/24Kansas State v TCU72-75
10/03/23Kansas State v TCU67-80
08/02/23Kansas State v TCU82-61
14/01/23TCU v Kansas State82-68
06/02/22TCU v Kansas State63-75
13/01/22Kansas State v TCU57-60
10/03/21TCU v Kansas State50-71
Kansas Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HCreighton89-82
07/11/26HCS Northridge95-78
04/11/26HSouth Dakota St.66-68
10/03/26ABrigham Young91-105
07/03/26AKansas85-104
04/03/26HWest Virginia65-63
28/02/26HTCU68-77
26/02/26AColorado70-79
21/02/26ATexas Tech72-100
18/02/26HBaylor90-74
TCUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HWisc. Milwaukee76-64
11/11/26HLouisiana Monroe100-92 OT
07/11/26HSouthern Univ.106-54
03/11/26HLindenwood98-59
21/03/26ADuke58-81
19/03/26AOhio State66-64
13/03/26AKansas73-78
12/03/26HOklahoma State95-88
07/03/26HCincinnati73-63
04/03/26ATexas Tech73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kansas State
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWW67%
HomeLWW67%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %67%67%-
Points / game83.383.3-
Allowed / game76.076.0-
Point differential+7.3+7.3-
Avg total159.3159.3-
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
TCU
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game67.267.2-
Point differential+27.8+27.8-
Avg total162.2162.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%25%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor330100%95.359.7+35.7
2 West Virginia330100%85.753.3+32.3
3 Kansas330100%91.059.7+31.3
4 TCU440100%95.067.2+27.8
5 Texas Tech440100%81.053.8+27.2
6 Arizona State440100%85.563.2+22.2
7 Brigham Young440100%96.575.8+20.8
8 Utah Utes330100%72.761.3+11.3
9 UCF Knights440100%85.877.2+8.5
10 Cincinnati43175%79.063.0+16.0
11 Arizona43175%87.274.0+13.2
12 Houston32167%84.762.3+22.3
13 Oklahoma State32167%92.772.0+20.7
14 Iowa State32167%81.061.3+19.7
15 Kansas State32167%83.376.0+7.3
16 Colorado42250%74.069.5+4.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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