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Karhu Basket vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 92-98
19-22 21-23 27-24 25-29
Position#42
Record1-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game90.2
vs
Rostock 🏆
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game74.3
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· IKH Areena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Karhu Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Karhu BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
72-69
72
69
+3
66avg 70
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
88-80
88
80
+8
83avg 70
H14/10
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
88-104
88
104
-16
76avg 70
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
88-79
88
79
+9
87avg 70
A21/10
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
65-93
65
93
-28
52avg 70
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
65avg 70
H28/10
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
75-66
75
66
+9
69avg 70
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
66avg 70
A05/11
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
94-98 OT
94
98
-4
81avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
106-59
106
59
+47
100avg 70
H11/11
Korisliiga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-13
21-24
8-19
15-13
26-15
18-20
20-27
24-18
14-18
27-24
16-31
31-31
24-20
29-26
23-18
12-15
26-12
12-30
16-22
11-29
21-12
15-18
21-20
18-26
16-16
15-17
21-20
23-13
18-27
20-22
21-12
21-24
24-25
23-19
19-27
21-16
27-12
25-15
31-13
23-19
164.0Avg total
83.1Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.590.2170.8-9.825%
Season at home (1)88.0104.0192.0-16.00%
Season away (3)78.085.7163.7-7.733%
Last 10 (10)83.180.9164.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)86.076.8162.8+9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)71.778.3150.0-6.733%
vs Similar (15)76.582.3158.9-5.833%
vs Weaker (11)94.980.7175.6+14.282%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 75
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 75
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
93-65
93
65
+28
90avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
no box
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
65-84
65
84
-19
52avg 75
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
77-96
77
96
-19
69avg 75
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
86-73
86
73
+13
80avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
85-97
85
97
-12
71avg 75
H10/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
12-26
30-12
22-16
29-11
22-17
17-16
21-26
33-34
14-28
21-14
16-21
14-21
22-31
25-24
14-25
16-16
25-25
22-13
27-19
12-16
24-25
26-28
17-23
18-21
170.9Avg total
87.3Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)85.774.3160.0+11.367%
Season at home (3)90.770.7161.3+20.0100%
Season away (3)80.778.0158.7+2.733%
Last 10 (10)87.383.6170.9+3.750%
Last 5 (5)84.290.6174.8-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)79.991.9171.8-12.030%
vs Similar (9)82.885.3168.1-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)92.481.7174.1+10.770%
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +5.4+5.4Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: -1.0-1.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Karhu BasketRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Karhu BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Salon Vilpas
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A11/10
Korisliiga
Kataja
#7
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H14/10
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Kouvot Kouvola
#3
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A21/10
Korisliiga
Rostock
#5
L
38-42
38
42
-4
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Helsinki Seagulls
#1
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H28/10
Korisliiga
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Bisons Loimaa
#11
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/11
Korisliiga
Jonava
#33
W
47-44
47
44
+3
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lahti Basketball
#12
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H11/11
Korisliiga
81.4Avg total
42.9Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.139.280.4+1.953%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.837.478.2+3.450%-
Last 30 away (14)41.541.482.9+0.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.938.581.4+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.677.4+4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)35.035.070.0+0.033%-
vs Similar (15)38.340.278.5-1.947%-
vs Weaker (11)47.439.186.5+8.373%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/10
BBL
Jonava
#33
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ludwigsburg
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A05/11
BBL
AEK Larnaca
#22
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H10/11
BBL
86.0Avg total
44.2Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.683.7+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.939.282.1+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)41.443.885.2-2.325%-
Last 10 (10)44.241.886.0+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)43.644.287.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)40.645.586.1-4.930%-
vs Similar (9)43.341.484.8+1.956%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)42.837.980.7+4.960%-
This opponent (Karhu Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Karhu Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karhu Basket: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.320.7
46.7%
52.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.49.8
34.5%
33.8%29.4
🏀 Free throws15.511.1
71.6%
73.0%11.1
They take 72.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.721.3
52.3%
52.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.8
33.1%
33.8%26.4
🏀 Free throws19.915.4
77.4%
73.0%15.4
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Karhu Basket
WLLWLLWLWW
Rostock
LWLLWWLLWW
#42
League position
#5
+2.1
Net rating
+3.4
106.8
Offensive rating
108.8
104.8
Defensive rating
105.4
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.3%
47.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
16.5%
Turnover %
16.6%
35.4%
Off. rebound %
31.6%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.5%
3-point %
33.1%
55.7%
Assist %
68.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.8 · 108.8Defence104.8 · 105.4Shooting48.7% · 51.3%3-point %34.5% · 33.1%Ball care16.5% · 16.6%Off. rebounds35.4% · 31.6%Free throws0.21 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Karhu Basket   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Karhu Basket wins
1
Rostock wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Rostock v Karhu Basket93-65
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HLahti Basketball106-59
08/11/23AJonava94-98 OT
05/11/23ABisons Loimaa80-85
01/11/23AAEK Larnaca75-66
28/10/23HHelsinki Seagulls75-76
25/10/23ARostock65-93
21/10/23AKouvot Kouvola88-79
18/10/23HJonava88-104
14/10/23HKataja88-80
11/10/23ASalon Vilpas72-69
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/23HSyntainics MBC85-97
08/11/23HAEK Larnaca86-73
05/11/23ALudwigsburg77-96
01/11/23AJonava65-84
29/10/23HTubingen108-103 OT
25/10/23HKarhu Basket93-65
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Karhu Basket
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%0%33%
Points / game80.588.078.0
Allowed / game90.2104.085.7
Point differential-9.8-16.0-7.7
Avg total170.8192.0163.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %25%0%33%
Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %67%100%33%
Points / game85.790.780.7
Allowed / game74.370.778.0
Point differential+11.3+20.0+2.7
Avg total160.0161.3158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao440100%88.568.0+20.5
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
6 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
7 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
8 FC Porto65183%84.374.0+10.3
9 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
10 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
11 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
12 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
13 Jonava43175%91.583.5+8.0
14 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
15 Caledonia Gladiators43175%75.076.0-1.0
16 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
17 Rostock64267%85.774.3+11.3
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 CSM Oradea42250%84.880.2+4.5
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
25 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
26 AEK Larnaca42250%76.079.2-3.2
27 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
28 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
29 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
30 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
31 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Alba Fehervar31233%87.791.0-3.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
36 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
37 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
38 Karhu Basket41325%80.590.2-9.8
39 Norrkoping41325%65.577.8-12.2
40 Keravnos61517%80.383.0-2.7
41 Kataja61517%73.782.0-8.3
42 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
43 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu4040%60.086.0-26.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Karhu Basket1921272592
Rostock2223242998
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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