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Jonava vs Rostock Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 84-65
28-14 14-21 21-16 21-14
Position#33
Record1-1
FormLWLLW
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game87.5
Jonava 🏆
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWLLWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game72.2
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Jonavos sporto arena
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rostock winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JonavaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
94-77
94
77
+17
90avg 74
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
83avg 74
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
77avg 74
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
85-84
85
84
+1
68avg 74
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 74
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 74
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 74
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 74
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 74
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 74
H29/10
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
22-15
21-19
27-19
21-21
17-18
20-21
24-19
21-13
23-22
20-22
14-26
26-20
22-26
22-15
15-23
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
13-21
22-22
22-18
23-26
21-21
17-23
34-23
16-10
168.0Avg total
84.4Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)92.087.5179.5+4.550%
Season at home (1)80.087.0167.0-7.00%
Season away (1)104.088.0192.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.483.6168.0+0.860%
Last 5 (5)82.484.2166.6-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)76.685.5162.2-8.918%
vs Similar (14)81.880.1161.9+1.657%
vs Weaker (4)83.081.0164.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRostock
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
92-87 OT
92
87
+5
no box
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
76-84
76
84
-8
56avg 76
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
81-85
81
85
-4
68avg 76
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
W
122-113 OT
122
113
+9
no box
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
101-72
101
72
+29
103avg 76
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 76
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
68avg 76
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
89-94
89
94
-5
83avg 76
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
93-65
93
65
+28
90avg 76
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
108-103 OT
108
103
+5
no box
H29/10
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-12
28-26
17-27
20-14
20-24
19-18
15-21
22-21
23-19
12-20
23-25
23-21
19-25
26-22
27-34
21-12
22-16
25-15
26-21
28-20
22-15
26-19
17-24
28-16
27-24
18-22
20-15
11-17
17-28
25-20
29-23
18-23
12-26
30-12
22-16
29-11
22-17
17-16
21-26
33-34
178.6Avg total
93.1Scored
85.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.872.2163.0+18.575%
Season at home (2)93.069.5162.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)88.575.0163.5+13.550%
Last 10 (10)93.185.5178.6+7.660%
Last 5 (5)91.882.8174.6+9.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.592.5172.0-13.127%
vs Similar (9)82.183.1165.2-1.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)96.182.6178.7+13.678%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +4.4+4.4
JonavaRostock
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#9
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H16/09
LKL
Mazeikiai
#7
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A23/09
LKL
Strasbourg
#11
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A26/09
Champions League
Siauliai
#10
W
48-46
48
46
+2
H02/10
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
LKL
82.7Avg total
40.0Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.441.681.0-2.337%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.942.382.3-2.440%-
Last 30 away (15)38.840.979.7-2.133%-
Last 10 (10)40.042.782.7-2.750%-
Last 5 (5)35.842.478.2-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.442.580.9-4.227%-
vs Similar (14)40.541.181.6-0.650%-
vs Weaker (4)37.042.879.8-5.80%-
This opponent (Rostock) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RostockLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H07/05
BBL
Vechta
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A23/09
German Cup
Crailsheim Merlins
#17
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A29/09
BBL
Heidelberg
#16
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H01/10
BBL
Feniks 2010
#52
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A04/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Keravnos
#38
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
FIBA Europe Cup
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Oldenburg
#8
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A20/10
BBL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-38
42
38
+4
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Tubingen
#18
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H29/10
BBL
82.0Avg total
42.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.241.382.5-0.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.638.980.6+2.771%-
Last 30 away (16)40.843.384.1-2.531%-
Last 10 (10)42.439.682.0+2.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.239.883.0+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)39.545.885.3-6.427%-
vs Similar (9)42.039.781.7+2.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.837.280.0+5.667%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.019.9
60.3%
52.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
33.8%28.2
🏀 Free throws21.615.4
71.3%
73.0%15.4
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rostocktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rostock: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.5
52.4%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.9
37.8%
33.8%29.7
🏀 Free throws19.915.3
76.9%
73.0%15.3
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jonava
WLLWLWWLWW
Rostock
WWLLWWWLLW
#33
League position
#5
+0.8
Net rating
+2.3
115.3
Offensive rating
113.4
114.5
Defensive rating
111.1
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
17.5%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
32.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.9%
3-point %
37.8%
72.4%
Assist %
67.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 113.4Defence114.5 · 111.1Shooting56.8% · 54.2%3-point %34.9% · 37.8%Ball care18.0% · 17.5%Off. rebounds31.1% · 32.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Jonava   ■ Rostock
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Jonava wins
0
Rostock wins
No previous meetings.
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HNeptunas88-77
25/10/23HAEK Larnaca80-87
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92
02/10/23HSiauliai85-84
26/09/23AStrasbourg78-83
23/09/23AMazeikiai82-79
16/09/23HNevezis94-77
Rostocklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/23HTubingen108-103 OT
25/10/23HKarhu Basket93-65
20/10/23AOldenburg89-94
18/10/23AAEK Larnaca76-78
05/10/23HKeravnos93-74
04/10/23AFeniks 2010101-72
01/10/23HHeidelberg122-113 OT
29/09/23ACrailsheim Merlins81-85
23/09/23AVechta76-84
07/05/23HLudwigsburg92-87 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jonava
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game92.080.0104.0
Allowed / game87.587.088.0
Point differential+4.5-7.0+16.0
Avg total179.5167.0192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rostock
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game90.893.088.5
Allowed / game72.269.575.0
Point differential+18.5+23.5+13.5
Avg total163.0162.5163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz220100%91.069.0+22.0
2 Leiden330100%60.341.0+19.3
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia220100%85.569.5+16.0
5 Bilbao220100%86.071.5+14.5
6 Balkan110100%88.078.0+10.0
7 Basket Zaragoza330100%88.780.0+8.7
8 Gottingen220100%88.580.0+8.5
9 Nymburk220100%83.575.0+8.5
10 Caledonia Gladiators220100%73.065.5+7.5
11 BC Kalev/Cramo110100%76.070.0+6.0
12 AEK Larnaca220100%82.578.0+4.5
13 Sporting CP110100%83.079.0+4.0
14 FC Porto54180%84.476.0+8.4
15 Manisa54180%81.274.0+7.2
16 Rostock43175%90.872.2+18.5
17 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
18 Levice32167%79.377.3+2.0
19 Trepca32167%69.373.3-4.0
20 Sabah Baku53260%77.677.4+0.2
21 Bahcesehir Kol.21150%85.577.0+8.5
22 CSM Oradea21150%89.083.0+6.0
23 Jonava21150%92.087.5+4.5
24 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
25 Varese21150%87.085.5+1.5
26 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
27 TSU21150%72.073.0-1.0
28 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
29 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
30 Mornar Bar21150%71.076.5-5.5
31 Peja21150%85.591.0-5.5
32 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
33 Spojnia Stargard21150%79.086.5-7.5
34 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
35 Keravnos41325%80.277.8+2.5
36 Kataja51420%71.480.6-9.2
37 Anwil Wloclawek2020%71.074.5-3.5
38 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
39 Brindisi2020%78.583.5-5.0
40 Alba Fehervar2020%78.585.5-7.0
41 Gravelines-Dunkerque1010%69.077.0-8.0
42 Bakken Bears2020%77.085.5-8.5
43 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
44 Den Bosch2020%86.595.5-9.0
45 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
46 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
47 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
48 Norrkoping2020%61.579.0-17.5
49 CSU Sibiu2020%66.084.5-18.5
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 Karhu Basket2020%76.598.5-22.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jonava2814212184
Rostock1421161465
← all games of the day
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