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Keflavik vs Alftanes Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.0
Allowed / game102.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Position#2
Record5-1
FormWWWLW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game91.7
IcelandPremier leagueRound 14· Blue-hollin
Other2026-27
Meetings · Keflavik v Alftanes
21 Jan 2027
KEFL v ALFT
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
KEFL101
ALFT90
02 Jan 2025
KEFL87
ALFT89
19 Apr 2024
KEFL88
ALFT84
11 Apr 2024
KEFL99
ALFT92
17 Nov 2023
KEFL97
ALFT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
82-87
82
87
-5
68avg 89
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
78-79
78
79
-1
69avg 89
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
88-81
88
81
+7
82avg 89
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
76-90
76
90
-14
63avg 89
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
108-90
108
90
+18
105avg 89
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
106-90
106
90
+16
101avg 89
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
110-130
110
130
-20
94avg 89
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
112-99
112
99
+13
110avg 89
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
100-90
100
90
+10
no box
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
94-113
94
113
-19
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
13-15
24-20
19-19
18-16
22-17
12-22
26-24
28-22
19-17
16-15
25-27
22-17
16-27
25-21
13-25
31-23
31-29
33-15
13-23
31-24
25-30
26-14
24-22
32-29
29-34
32-32
17-35
35-28
25-29
18-17
34-25
24-22
16-28
29-17
31-23
29-25
22-30
18-35
25-23
190.3Avg total
95.4Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)105.0102.0207.0+3.067%
Season at home (2)109.094.5203.5+14.5100%
Season away (4)103.0105.8208.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)95.494.9190.3+0.550%
Last 5 (5)104.4104.4208.8+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)102.0109.0211.0-7.033%
vs Similar (17)92.292.6184.8-0.547%
vs Weaker (9)99.489.7189.1+9.867%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
96-106
96
106
-10
76avg 97
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 97
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
104-115
104
115
-11
96avg 97
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
124-115
124
115
+9
119avg 97
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
111-77
111
77
+34
111avg 97
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
119-88
119
88
+31
117avg 97
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
130-110
130
110
+20
137avg 97
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
W
108-105 OT
108
105
+3
108avg 97
A29/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
no box
H05/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
80-68
80
68
+12
no box
A12/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
16-28
33-39
27-22
23-31
29-23
24-25
13-14
31-25
31-29
23-30
19-31
29-30
30-33
30-35
35-17
26-26
31-17
24-15
30-19
31-25
29-27
31-19
28-17
29-32
34-29
32-32
35-17
19-27
25-23
33-36
19-10
20-28
21-23
33-22
20-29
21-9
20-32
18-15
21-12
203.4Avg total
105.5Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)107.091.7198.7+15.383%
Season at home (3)111.796.3208.0+15.367%
Season away (3)102.387.0189.3+15.3100%
Last 10 (10)105.597.9203.4+7.660%
Last 5 (5)106.294.6200.8+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)92.6106.0198.6-13.414%
vs Similar (11)90.897.1187.9-6.318%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)102.581.5184.0+21.191%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +5.9+5.9
KeflavikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valur
#4
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H07/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A11/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H15/04
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A19/04
Premier league
Armann
#12
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A08/10
Premier league
Sindri
#11
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H15/10
Premier league
Alftanes
#2
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A23/10
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A05/11
Premier league
Stjarnan
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A12/11
Premier league
98.9Avg total
49.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.848.094.8-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.246.793.9+0.554%-
Last 30 away (17)46.549.195.5-2.629%-
Last 10 (10)49.449.598.9-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)53.655.8109.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)52.756.3109.0-3.733%-
vs Similar (17)43.746.189.8-2.429%-
vs Weaker (9)50.450.2100.7+0.256%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keflavik
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H06/03
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
L
52-54
52
54
-2
H12/03
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A21/03
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H26/03
Premier league
Hottur
#8
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H08/10
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#10
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A15/10
Premier league
Keflavik
#5
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H23/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#3
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A29/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#1
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H05/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A12/11
Premier league
102.9Avg total
51.5Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.746.894.4+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.749.098.7+0.740%-
Last 30 away (15)45.744.590.2+1.140%-
Last 10 (10)51.551.4102.9+0.140%-
Last 5 (5)49.851.0100.8-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.052.7102.7-2.729%-
vs Similar (11)44.248.792.9-4.59%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)49.841.291.0+8.673%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.122.7
55.2%
56.2%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.58.4
29.5%
33.0%25.2
🏀 Free throws27.321.4
78.4%
73.9%21.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 104.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 94.5 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.828.8
62.9%
56.2%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.610.4
35.1%
33.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.315.8
77.8%
73.9%15.8
They take 75.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
LWWLWWLWLL
Alftanes
WLWWWWWLLL
#5
League position
#2
+2.1
Net rating
+4.9
98.9
Offensive rating
107.5
96.7
Defensive rating
102.5
50.7%
Effective FG%
58.9%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
57.2%
11.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.5%
3-point %
35.1%
55.9%
Assist %
55.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence98.9 · 107.5Defence96.7 · 102.5Shooting50.7% · 58.9%3-point %29.5% · 35.1%Ball care11.7% · 13.7%Free throws0.39 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Keflavik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Keflavik wins
3
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
23/10/26Alftanes v Keflavik130-110
06/03/26Alftanes v Keflavik96-106
21/11/25Keflavik v Alftanes101-90
02/01/25Keflavik v Alftanes87-89
03/10/24Alftanes v Keflavik101-108 OT
23/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik85-114
19/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes88-84
15/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik77-56
11/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes99-92
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AStjarnan94-113
05/11/26AIR Reykjavik100-90
29/10/26HHottur112-99
23/10/26AAlftanes110-130
15/10/26HSindri106-90
08/10/26AArmann108-90
19/04/26AValur76-90
15/04/26HValur88-81
11/04/26AValur78-79
07/04/26HValur82-87
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AValur80-68
05/11/26HKR Basket94-102
29/10/26ATindastoll108-105 OT
23/10/26HKeflavik130-110
15/10/26AIR Reykjavik119-88
08/10/26HHottur111-77
26/03/26HStjarnan124-115
21/03/26ATindastoll104-115
12/03/26HIR Reykjavik89-93
06/03/26HKeflavik96-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game105.0109.0103.0
Allowed / game102.094.5105.8
Point differential+3.0+14.5-2.8
Avg total207.0203.5208.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW83%
HomeWWL67%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%67%100%
Points / game107.0111.7102.3
Allowed / game91.796.387.0
Point differential+15.3+15.3+15.3
Avg total198.7208.0189.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%67%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KR Basket660100%100.785.8+14.8
2 Alftanes65183%107.091.7+15.3
3 Tindastoll65183%91.883.7+8.2
4 Valur65183%84.278.8+5.3
5 Keflavik64267%105.0102.0+3.0
6 Grindavik64267%90.087.3+2.7
7 Stjarnan63350%97.593.3+4.2
8 Hottur62433%92.0101.5-9.5
9 Njardvik61517%87.394.3-7.0
10 IR Reykjavik61517%92.3102.3-10.0
11 Sindri6060%83.893.0-9.2
12 Armann6060%85.3103.2-17.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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