PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Keflavik vs Alftanes Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 101-90
28-20 27-25 27-19 19-26
Position#5
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormLLWWL
Points / game90.7
Allowed / game81.0
IcelandPremier leagueRound 19· Blue-hollin
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keflavik v Alftanes
21 Jan 2027
KEFL v ALFT
upcoming
21 Nov 2025
KEFL101
ALFT90
02 Jan 2025
KEFL87
ALFT89
19 Apr 2024
KEFL88
ALFT84
11 Apr 2024
KEFL99
ALFT92
17 Nov 2023
KEFL97
ALFT78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keflavik winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alftanes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeflavikIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeflavik
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
L
87-94
87
94
-7
86avg 84
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
93-96
93
96
-3
87avg 84
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
75-100
75
100
-25
59avg 84
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
92-83
92
83
+9
85avg 84
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
81-101
81
101
-20
72avg 84
A09/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 84
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
107-94
107
94
+13
106avg 84
A23/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
86-82
86
82
+4
75avg 84
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
92-104
92
104
-12
77avg 84
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
96-72
96
72
+24
94avg 84
H13/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
29-23
17-25
18-21
25-23
20-25
26-22
22-26
14-22
20-30
19-23
22-25
26-16
20-25
22-23
24-19
28-24
20-29
14-22
19-26
21-23
27-16
18-19
26-13
27-22
30-26
26-17
24-29
18-26
28-17
13-21
27-18
25-27
22-26
26-22
19-29
22-21
29-13
32-26
13-12
179.8Avg total
90.1Scored
89.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)92.386.7179.0+5.671%
Season at home (4)91.577.0168.5+14.5100%
Season away (3)93.399.7193.0-6.333%
Last 10 (10)90.189.7179.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)94.684.6179.2+10.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)90.596.0186.5-5.533%
vs Similar ◀ (10)92.594.5187.0-2.030%
vs Weaker (7)102.087.0189.0+15.0100%
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesIcelandLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlftanes
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
W
94-92
94
92
+2
93avg 84
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
106avg 84
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
90-105
90
105
-15
79avg 84
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
121-69
121
69
+52
119avg 84
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
89-70
89
70
+19
88avg 84
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
70-79
70
79
-9
66avg 84
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
L
74-76
74
76
-2
59avg 84
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
93-92
93
92
+1
80avg 84
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
W
108-89
108
89
+19
106avg 84
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 84
A14/11
Premier league
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
26-20
17-16
23-28
21-28
25-21
14-22
29-18
19-19
24-27
24-30
23-29
36-13
37-17
23-21
25-18
22-16
20-13
22-20
25-21
14-18
28-21
12-22
16-18
21-17
18-14
13-23
22-22
27-28
27-20
22-20
17-24
23-27
24-21
34-16
27-25
27-25
14-16
13-27
26-24
179.2Avg total
92.3Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.781.0171.7+9.757%
Season at home (4)98.082.2180.2+15.875%
Season away (3)81.079.3160.3+1.733%
Last 10 (10)92.386.9179.2+5.450%
Last 5 (5)85.085.6170.6-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)89.595.4184.8-5.946%
vs Similar ◀ (10)93.090.7183.7+2.360%
vs Weaker (6)95.882.7178.5+13.250%
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: +0.6+0.6
KeflavikAlftanes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeflavikLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H06/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
34-52
34
52
-18
A10/04
Premier league
IR Reykjavik
#7
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H02/10
Premier league
Tindastoll
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A09/10
Premier league
Stjarnan
#3
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H17/10
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A23/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H30/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
L
47-53
47
53
-6
A07/11
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H13/11
Premier league
93.3Avg total
47.4Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.248.797.9+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.445.995.3+3.565%-
Last 30 away (13)48.852.4101.2-3.531%-
Last 10 (10)47.445.993.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)49.843.493.2+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)46.550.296.7-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)49.650.8100.4-1.230%-
vs Weaker (7)53.043.796.7+9.3100%-
This opponent (Alftanes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AlftanesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tindastoll
#1
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H25/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A29/04
Premier league
Tindastoll
#1
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/05
Premier league
Armann
#10
W
73-30
73
30
+43
H02/10
Premier league
Thorl
#11
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A09/10
Premier league
Grindavik
#1
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H16/10
Premier league
Akranes IA
#12
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A24/10
Premier league
Njardvik
#9
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H30/10
Premier league
KR Basket
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H06/11
Premier league
Valur
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/11
Premier league
89.0Avg total
48.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.143.891.9+4.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.243.294.5+8.069%-
Last 30 away (14)44.644.489.0+0.136%-
Last 10 (10)48.140.989.0+7.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.641.486.0+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)47.146.693.7+0.554%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)47.245.092.2+2.240%-
vs Weaker (6)50.338.588.8+11.867%-
This opponent (Keflavik) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keflaviktheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keflavik: 89.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.019.3
53.6%
54.6%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.110.2
31.8%
34.0%30.6
🏀 Free throws26.820.1
75.0%
74.2%20.1
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alftanestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alftanes: 91.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 93.1 points a game
47%
36%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.225.2
57.0%
54.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.0
33.1%
34.0%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.814.3
62.7%
74.2%14.3
They take 71.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keflavik
WLWWWLWLLL
Alftanes
LWWLLWWLLW
#5
League position
#8
+0.7
Net rating
+7.1
109.2
Offensive rating
112.1
108.4
Defensive rating
105.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
14.8%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
28.5%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.8%
3-point %
33.1%
60.0%
Assist %
55.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 112.1Defence108.4 · 105.0Shooting50.8% · 54.2%3-point %31.8% · 33.1%Ball care16.9% · 14.8%Off. rebounds29.2% · 28.5%Free throws0.39 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Keflavik   ■ Alftanes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Keflavik wins
2
Alftanes wins
DateGameScore
02/01/25Keflavik v Alftanes87-89
03/10/24Alftanes v Keflavik101-108 OT
23/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik85-114
19/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes88-84
15/04/24Alftanes v Keflavik77-56
11/04/24Keflavik v Alftanes99-92
16/02/24Alftanes v Keflavik109-114 OT
17/11/23Keflavik v Alftanes97-78
Keflaviklast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/25HAkranes IA96-72
07/11/25AGrindavik92-104
30/10/25HThorl86-82
23/10/25AArmann107-94
17/10/25HStjarnan92-71
09/10/25ATindastoll81-101
02/10/25HIR Reykjavik92-83
10/04/25ATindastoll75-100
06/04/25HTindastoll93-96
02/04/25ATindastoll87-94
Alftaneslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/25AValur80-92
06/11/25HKR Basket108-89
30/10/25HNjardvik93-92
24/10/25AAkranes IA74-76
16/10/25HGrindavik70-79
09/10/25AThorl89-70
02/10/25HArmann121-69
03/05/25HTindastoll90-105
29/04/25ATindastoll104-105 OT
25/04/25HTindastoll94-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keflavik
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %71%100%33%
Points / game92.391.593.3
Allowed / game86.777.099.7
Point differential+5.6+14.5-6.3
Avg total179.0168.5193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Alftanes
Premier league 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game90.798.081.0
Allowed / game81.082.279.3
Point differential+9.7+15.8+1.7
Avg total171.7180.2160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Grindavik880100%94.280.2+14.0
2 Tindastoll86275%96.084.5+11.5
3 Keflavik75271%92.386.7+5.6
4 Valur85362%89.890.4-0.6
5 Alftanes74357%90.781.0+9.7
6 KR Basket84450%95.889.9+5.9
7 Njardvik84450%101.697.6+4.0
8 IR Reykjavik73443%88.195.1-7.0
9 Stjarnan83538%95.695.2+0.4
10 Akranes IA72529%89.1100.0-10.9
11 Thorl82625%89.697.8-8.1
12 Armann8080%82.2107.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keflavik28272719101
Alftanes2025192690
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.