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Keila KK vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 70-97
19-16 17-38 24-22 10-21
Position#12
Record1-9
FormLWLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game100.6
vs
Parnu 🏆
Position#9
Record2-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.5
Allowed / game80.4
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2025
Meetings · Keila KK v Parnu
09 Jan 2027
KEIL v PAR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KEIL70
PAR97
28 Dec 2024
KEIL68
PAR98
01 May 2024
KEIL80
PAR79
26 Apr 2024
KEIL93
PAR69
26 Jan 2024
KEIL88
PAR93
07 Oct 2022
KEIL90
PAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
74-122
74
122
-48
57avg 62
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
83-89
83
89
-6
63avg 62
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
79-89
79
89
-10
60avg 62
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
73-108
73
108
-35
58avg 62
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
74-90
74
90
-16
55avg 62
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
70-117
70
117
-47
47avg 62
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
96-90
96
90
+6
86avg 62
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
82-110
82
110
-28
70avg 62
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
80-105
80
105
-25
63avg 62
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
66avg 62
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-26
15-30
19-29
20-37
16-21
17-23
12-30
38-15
19-23
20-17
20-28
20-21
27-23
18-27
15-26
13-32
28-29
21-17
9-18
16-26
25-20
13-31
15-33
17-33
28-19
19-20
29-29
20-22
11-27
27-24
23-29
21-30
14-31
21-20
15-37
30-17
25-21
19-22
16-20
21-23
179.8Avg total
79.2Scored
100.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)79.2100.6179.8-21.410%
Season at home (4)82.293.5175.8-11.225%
Season away (6)77.2105.3182.5-28.20%
Last 10 (10)79.2100.6179.8-21.410%
Last 5 (5)81.8101.6183.4-19.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)75.196.8171.9-21.88%
vs Similar (4)87.282.5169.8+4.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Brno
#28
L
75-83
75
83
-8
51avg 69
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
69-81
69
81
-12
61avg 69
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
76-83
76
83
-7
68avg 69
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
97-73
97
73
+24
98avg 69
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
L
60-71
60
71
-11
37avg 69
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
58avg 69
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
62-78
62
78
-16
53avg 69
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 69
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
93avg 69
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
8-16
16-25
26-20
25-22
19-19
19-20
13-23
18-19
20-30
24-18
18-19
14-16
21-19
25-14
26-20
25-20
14-18
23-17
14-17
9-19
26-28
10-17
18-21
24-20
13-22
27-24
15-20
16-17
15-19
16-22
18-19
13-18
17-13
14-21
21-24
26-28
26-20
22-24
24-21
18-18
156.3Avg total
75.6Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.580.4156.9-3.925%
Season at home (3)72.082.3154.3-10.30%
Season away (5)79.279.2158.4+0.040%
Last 10 (10)75.680.7156.3-5.120%
Last 5 (5)75.883.2159.0-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)77.091.4168.4-14.418%
vs Similar (5)71.879.0150.8-7.220%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)90.479.9170.2+10.588%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -10.6-10.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -10.6-10.6Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.0-4.0Q4: -0.9-0.9
Keila KKParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A05/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#14
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H04/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/11
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A21/11
Latvia-Estonian League
87.4Avg total
40.3Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.448.587.8-9.130%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.644.184.8-3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)38.252.290.5-14.012%-
Last 10 (10)40.347.187.4-6.830%-
Last 5 (5)40.447.087.4-6.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)38.349.387.6-11.023%-
vs Similar (4)46.243.089.2+3.275%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brno
#28
L
24-41
24
41
-17
A24/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Brno
#28
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H01/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Rigas Zelli
#4
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H08/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Latvijas Universitate
#13
W
46-33
46
33
+13
A11/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#8
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A18/10
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#2
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
31-41
31
41
-10
H08/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#7
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/11
Latvia-Estonian League
78.1Avg total
37.5Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.682.6-4.623%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.643.983.5-4.315%-
Last 30 away (17)38.543.481.9-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.678.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.242.079.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)37.747.585.2-9.86%-
vs Similar (5)33.638.872.4-5.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)45.138.483.5+6.862%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 78.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.222.3
50.5%
53.1%44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.6
25.9%
32.4%19.8
🏀 Free throws22.214.5
65.3%
69.8%14.5
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 74.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 84.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.918.7
50.7%
53.1%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.1
32.1%
32.4%24.3
🏀 Free throws19.913.1
65.8%
69.8%13.1
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
LLLWLLLLLL
Parnu
WLLLLLWLLL
#12
League position
#9
-25.6
Net rating
-6.9
93.9
Offensive rating
101.2
119.5
Defensive rating
108.1
46.2%
Effective FG%
49.7%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.7%
21.6%
Off. rebound %
29.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
25.9%
3-point %
32.1%
44.6%
Assist %
64.9%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence93.9 · 101.2Defence119.5 · 108.1Shooting46.2% · 49.7%3-point %25.9% · 32.1%Ball care16.7% · 18.7%Off. rebounds21.6% · 29.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)10% · 20%
■ Keila KK   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keila KK wins
8
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
25/01/25Parnu v Keila KK91-82
28/12/24Keila KK v Parnu68-98
02/05/24Parnu v Keila KK87-67
01/05/24Keila KK v Parnu80-79 OT
28/04/24Parnu v Keila KK60-53
26/04/24Keila KK v Parnu93-69
24/04/24Parnu v Keila KK79-71
26/01/24Keila KK v Parnu88-93
27/09/23Parnu v Keila KK83-66
18/01/23Parnu v Keila KK89-66
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/11/25AValmiera Glass Via81-86
15/11/25HVEF Riga80-105
12/11/25ATal Tech82-110
04/11/25HKeila Coolbet96-90
01/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo70-117
25/10/25HBK Ogre74-90
18/10/25ARigas Zelli73-108
11/10/25HBK Liepaja79-89
05/10/25ATartu Ulikool83-89
30/09/25AVEF Riga74-122
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/11/25ABK Liepaja90-83
15/11/25ATal Tech78-86
08/11/25HValmiera Glass Via62-78
01/11/25ATartu Ulikool71-83
25/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo78-86
18/10/25ABK Ogre60-71
11/10/25ALatvijas Universitate97-73
08/10/25HRigas Zelli76-83
01/10/25HBrno69-81
24/09/25ABrno75-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL10%
HomeLLWL25%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %10%25%0%
Points / game79.282.277.2
Allowed / game100.693.5105.3
Point differential-21.4-11.2-28.2
Avg total179.8175.8182.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%0%40%
Points / game76.572.079.2
Allowed / game80.482.379.2
Point differential-3.9-10.3+0.0
Avg total156.9154.3158.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tartu Ulikool11110100%86.776.6+10.1
2 Rigas Zelli1211192%94.275.3+18.9
3 VEF Riga1311285%90.778.5+12.2
4 Valmiera Glass Via118373%86.977.2+9.7
5 BC Kalev/Cramo96367%93.878.6+15.2
6 Ventspils117464%87.981.8+6.1
7 Tal Tech116555%85.084.3+0.7
8 BK Ogre125742%76.476.3+0.1
9 BK Liepaja113827%78.887.5-8.6
10 Parnu82625%76.580.4-3.9
11 Keila Coolbet102820%82.594.2-11.7
12 Viimsi112918%76.492.2-15.8
13 Keila KK101910%79.2100.6-21.4
14 Latvijas Universitate100100%75.694.1-18.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keila KK1917241070
Parnu1638222197
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