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Keila KK vs Parnu Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record5-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game74.3
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.2/10
Around normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Position#8
Record4-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game77.1
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Keila Tervisekeskus
Other2026
Meetings · Keila KK v Parnu
09 Jan 2027
KEIL v PAR
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
KEIL70
PAR97
28 Dec 2024
KEIL68
PAR98
01 May 2024
KEIL80
PAR79
26 Apr 2024
KEIL93
PAR69
26 Jan 2024
KEIL88
PAR93
07 Oct 2022
KEIL90
PAR92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keila KK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keila KKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKK
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
60-90
60
90
-30
43avg 65
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
82-106
82
106
-24
77avg 65
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
75-70
75
70
+5
68avg 65
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
71-89
71
89
-18
56avg 65
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 65
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
70-103
70
103
-33
58avg 65
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 65
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
58-79
58
79
-21
43avg 65
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
79-66
79
66
+13
no box
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
10-21
10-17
19-19
30-38
17-22
16-18
19-28
21-24
19-12
20-11
15-23
19-19
21-23
9-26
22-21
22-19
17-20
25-11
17-10
18-25
21-27
14-26
17-25
28-19
24-27
12-11
14-15
17-20
19-21
12-16
10-22
22-17
17-19
27-18
13-12
23-21
18-17
28-15
20-28
155.9Avg total
74.3Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Season at home (5)74.081.2155.2-7.240%
Season away (5)74.682.0156.6-7.460%
Last 10 (10)74.381.6155.9-7.350%
Last 5 (5)74.880.2155.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)77.992.8170.7-14.914%
vs Similar (7)90.787.3178.0+3.471%
vs Weaker (2)79.566.0145.5+13.5100%
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Nancy
#4
L
61-84
61
84
-23
54avg 69
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
72-89
72
89
-17
63avg 69
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
86-69
86
69
+17
80avg 69
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
91-77
91
77
+14
92avg 69
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
80-82
80
82
-2
74avg 69
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
W
76-74
76
74
+2
73avg 69
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
L
69-82
69
82
-13
no box
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
no box
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
L
65-86
65
86
-21
no box
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
67-70
67
70
-3
no box
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-28
13-15
10-12
20-29
19-17
15-19
17-29
21-24
14-21
24-16
24-17
24-15
24-25
19-16
29-14
19-22
12-32
20-13
26-20
22-17
13-16
24-23
22-22
17-13
21-18
14-14
17-30
17-20
23-17
22-22
20-21
24-20
21-17
20-22
11-15
13-32
18-18
17-17
7-25
25-10
154.9Avg total
75.6Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.477.1154.5+0.250%
Season at home (6)78.274.8153.0+3.367%
Season away (2)75.084.0159.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.679.3154.9-3.740%
Last 5 (5)73.278.4151.6-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)72.483.3155.8-10.912%
vs Similar (7)78.476.3154.7+2.143%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)84.675.0159.6+9.686%
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -3.7-3.7Q4: +0.0+0.0
Keila KKParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keila KKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
VEF Riga
#2
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A29/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
47-60
47
60
-13
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A10/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila Coolbet
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H20/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Zelli
#1
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A24/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Viimsi
#13
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H27/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#5
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H31/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rigas Juniori
#12
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Ogre
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A13/11
Latvia-Estonian League
84.8Avg total
40.4Scored
44.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.146.188.2-4.033%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.546.487.9-4.925%-
Last 30 away (14)42.745.888.5-3.143%-
Last 10 (10)40.444.484.8-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.442.684.0-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)40.747.588.2-6.824%-
vs Similar (7)45.143.088.1+2.157%-
vs Weaker (2)45.542.588.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nancy
#4
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#2
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A17/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Vienna Basket
#32
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Latvijas Universitate
#14
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H25/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Nitra Blue Wings
#35
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Valmiera Glass Via
#3
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H01/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Szczecin
#16
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H04/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Ventspils
#6
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H07/11
Latvia-Estonian League
Keravnos
#18
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Tartu Ulikool
#4
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H15/11
Latvia-Estonian League
75.7Avg total
37.1Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.777.7-1.750%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.238.677.8+0.668%-
Last 30 away (11)35.941.577.5-5.618%-
Last 10 (10)37.138.675.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)38.636.875.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)36.239.675.8-3.431%-
vs Similar (7)37.139.977.0-2.757%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)43.039.682.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Keila KK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keila KKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keila KK: 72.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.9
47.2%
52.5%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.48.6
33.9%
31.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
68.3%12.4
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 75.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.121.8
50.6%
52.5%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.47.3
27.7%
31.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws15.110.2
67.5%
68.3%10.2
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keila KK
WWLWLWLWLL
Parnu
LLWLWLWWLL
#9
League position
#8
-15.2
Net rating
-2.4
79.3
Offensive rating
86.7
94.5
Defensive rating
89.1
48.7%
Effective FG%
47.1%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.9%
20.2%
Turnover %
15.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.9%
3-point %
27.7%
56.9%
Assist %
70.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence79.3 · 86.7Defence94.5 · 89.1Shooting48.7% · 47.1%3-point %33.9% · 27.7%Ball care20.2% · 15.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Keila KK   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keila KK wins
7
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
10/10/26Parnu v Keila KK70-75
27/12/25Parnu v Keila KK76-72
06/12/25Keila KK v Parnu70-97
25/01/25Parnu v Keila KK91-82
28/12/24Keila KK v Parnu68-98
02/05/24Parnu v Keila KK87-67
01/05/24Keila KK v Parnu80-79 OT
28/04/24Parnu v Keila KK60-53
26/04/24Keila KK v Parnu93-69
24/04/24Parnu v Keila KK79-71
Keila KKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26ABK Ogre89-81
05/11/26ARigas Juniori79-66
31/10/26HTal Tech58-79
27/10/26HViimsi78-72
24/10/26ARigas Zelli70-103
20/10/26HKeila Coolbet81-60
17/10/26HTartu Ulikool71-89
10/10/26AParnu75-70
03/10/26HValmiera Glass Via82-106
29/09/26AVEF Riga60-90
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HTartu Ulikool67-70
12/11/26HKeravnos65-86
07/11/26HVentspils89-80
04/11/26HSzczecin69-82
01/11/26HValmiera Glass Via76-74
28/10/26ANitra Blue Wings80-82
25/10/26HLatvijas Universitate91-77
22/10/26HVienna Basket86-69
17/10/26AVEF Riga72-89
13/10/26HNancy61-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keila KK
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%40%60%
Points / game74.374.074.6
Allowed / game81.681.282.0
Point differential-7.3-7.2-7.4
Avg total155.9155.2156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLWWWL67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game77.478.275.0
Allowed / game77.174.884.0
Point differential+0.2+3.3-9.0
Avg total154.5153.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rigas Zelli990100%93.774.1+19.6
2 VEF Riga108280%90.276.0+14.2
3 Valmiera Glass Via108280%89.876.4+13.4
4 Tartu Ulikool96367%81.375.3+6.0
5 Tal Tech117464%75.872.2+3.6
6 Ventspils106460%86.183.4+2.7
7 BC Kalev/Cramo95456%85.181.9+3.2
8 Parnu84450%77.477.1+0.2
9 Keila KK105550%74.381.6-7.3
10 BK Ogre94544%86.786.7+0.0
11 BK Liepaja104640%82.477.3+5.1
12 Rigas Juniori83538%80.088.5-8.5
13 Viimsi112918%74.386.8-12.5
14 Latvijas Universitate101910%76.891.6-14.8
15 Keila Coolbet100100%68.991.7-22.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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