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Larisa vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Jun 2022
Tip-off: 15:30
Final 74-62
19-11 10-19 23-20 22-12
Position#6
Record15-14
FormWWLWL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game81.2
vs
Position#2
Record26-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game70.0
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Larisa v Panathinaikos
05 Jun 2022
LAR74
PAO62
31 May 2022
LAR84
PAO77
06 Feb 2022
LAR86
PAO90
24 Jan 2021
LAR89
PAO98
03 Nov 2019
LAR68
PAO110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larisa winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LarisaGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarisa
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
67-98
67
98
-31
55avg 71
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
83-74
83
74
+9
85avg 71
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
70-82
70
82
-12
57avg 71
A07/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 71
H11/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
W
86-84
86
84
+2
85avg 71
H14/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
71-63
71
63
+8
66avg 71
A22/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
W
83-82 OT
83
82
+1
no box
H24/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
77-87
77
87
-10
75avg 71
A29/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
82avg 71
H31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
82-94
82
94
-12
72avg 71
A03/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-17
15-32
15-24
17-25
18-19
22-19
21-20
22-16
14-24
21-20
13-12
22-26
19-16
25-14
17-22
23-25
19-21
27-25
23-18
17-20
19-28
12-8
19-17
21-10
14-20
18-15
22-24
18-13
25-20
14-29
23-21
15-17
26-13
24-25
12-19
22-20
17-28
16-23
20-26
29-17
160.5Avg total
78.7Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)77.781.2158.9-3.652%
Season at home (14)77.278.6155.9-1.464%
Season away (15)78.183.7161.8-5.540%
Last 10 (10)78.781.8160.5-3.160%
Last 5 (5)79.480.6160.0-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)77.385.2162.5-7.838%
vs Similar (17)77.377.8155.1-0.559%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
W
91-82
91
82
+9
84avg 75
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
98-67
98
67
+31
89avg 75
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
76-67
76
67
+9
70avg 75
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
78-68
78
68
+10
77avg 75
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
W
81-59
81
59
+22
79avg 75
A14/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
109-79
109
79
+30
114avg 75
H22/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
92avg 75
A24/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
87-77
87
77
+10
82avg 75
H29/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
77-84
77
84
-7
69avg 75
A31/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
94-82
94
82
+12
90avg 75
H03/06
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
28-20
26-15
20-22
17-20
32-15
24-15
25-17
16-12
18-17
22-24
20-14
27-22
17-14
26-8
8-24
20-19
21-22
18-9
22-9
34-13
18-11
28-25
29-30
23-16
25-12
17-16
20-21
20-25
29-14
21-23
17-15
13-26
25-24
19-12
20-22
28-17
23-16
26-20
17-29
160.6Avg total
87.6Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)84.770.0154.7+14.690%
Season at home (15)87.770.9158.6+16.993%
Season away (14)81.469.1150.5+12.286%
Last 10 (10)87.673.0160.6+14.690%
Last 5 (5)90.477.4167.8+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)74.479.1153.5-4.838%
vs Similar (4)79.079.8158.8-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)84.070.0154.0+14.094%
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +7.1+7.1Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +6.0+6.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: -0.5-0.5
LarisaPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LarisaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
A20/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
H01/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A07/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H11/05
Basket League
Ionikos
#13
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H14/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A22/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H24/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A29/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H31/05
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Basket League
80.1Avg total
38.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.677.4-1.840%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.636.576.1+3.164%-
Last 30 away (16)36.242.278.5-6.019%-
Last 10 (10)38.541.680.1-3.130%-
Last 5 (5)37.041.878.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)38.041.479.4-3.431%-
vs Similar (17)37.638.275.8-0.547%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lavrio
#10
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A17/04
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H20/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A01/05
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#11
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H07/05
Basket League
Iraklis
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A14/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
52-24
52
24
+28
H22/05
Basket League
Aris
#7
W
48-28
48
28
+20
A24/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
49-39
49
39
+10
H29/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A31/05
Basket League
Larisa
#6
W
51-33
51
33
+18
H03/06
Basket League
81.1Avg total
45.1Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.138.079.1+3.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.636.579.1+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)39.439.879.1-0.436%-
Last 10 (10)45.136.081.1+9.170%-
Last 5 (5)47.634.882.4+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.440.680.0-1.250%-
vs Similar (4)40.542.282.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)41.935.977.9+6.056%-
This opponent (Larisa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larisatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larisa: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.017.9
48.4%
51.3%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.79.7
37.7%
34.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws17.212.9
75.0%
72.2%12.9
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 86.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.3 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.0
57.4%
51.3%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.1
36.6%
34.4%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.114.3
79.0%
72.2%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Jun 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larisa
LWLWWWWLWL
Panathinaikos
WLWWWWWWWW
#6
League position
#2
-6.0
Net rating
+20.0
104.5
Offensive rating
120.4
110.5
Defensive rating
100.4
51.8%
Effective FG%
56.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
22.9%
Turnover %
15.4%
36.2%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.7%
3-point %
36.6%
60.5%
Assist %
62.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 120.4Defence110.5 · 100.4Shooting51.8% · 56.3%3-point %37.7% · 36.6%Ball care22.9% · 15.4%Off. rebounds36.2% · 33.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Larisa   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Larisa wins
8
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
03/06/22Panathinaikos v Larisa94-82
31/05/22Larisa v Panathinaikos84-77
29/05/22Panathinaikos v Larisa87-77
20/04/22Panathinaikos v Larisa98-67
06/02/22Larisa v Panathinaikos86-90
24/01/21Larisa v Panathinaikos89-98
25/10/20Panathinaikos v Larisa69-60
29/02/20Panathinaikos v Larisa121-78
03/11/19Larisa v Panathinaikos68-110
Larisalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/22APanathinaikos82-94
31/05/22HPanathinaikos84-77
29/05/22APanathinaikos77-87
24/05/22HKolossos Rhodes83-82 OT
22/05/22AKolossos Rhodes71-63
14/05/22HIonikos86-84
11/05/22HPromitheas84-77
07/05/22AAris70-82
01/05/22HApollon Patras83-74
20/04/22APanathinaikos67-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/06/22HLarisa94-82
31/05/22ALarisa77-84
29/05/22HLarisa87-77
24/05/22AAris85-65
22/05/22HAris109-79
14/05/22AIraklis81-59
07/05/22HApollon Patras78-68
01/05/22APromitheas76-67
20/04/22HLarisa98-67
17/04/22ALavrio91-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larisa
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL52%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayLLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%64%40%
Points / game77.777.278.1
Allowed / game81.278.683.7
Point differential-3.6-1.4-5.5
Avg total158.9155.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%7%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)83% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Panathinaikos
Basket League 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW90%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayWWWWL86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %90%93%86%
Points / game84.787.781.4
Allowed / game70.070.969.1
Point differential+14.6+16.9+12.2
Avg total154.7158.6150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+72%93%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos2928197%93.771.8+22.0
2 Panathinaikos2926390%84.770.0+14.6
3 Kolossos Rhodes26151158%74.874.0+0.8
4 Larisa29151452%77.781.2-3.6
5 AEK Athens26131350%76.380.7-4.3
6 Promitheas29141548%77.381.3-4.0
7 Aris26111542%76.078.7-2.7
8 PAOK24101442%76.275.8+0.5
9 Peristeri26101638%74.378.2-3.9
10 Lavrio2481633%73.980.3-6.5
11 Apollon Patras2481633%72.879.7-6.9
12 Iraklis2461825%74.879.6-4.8
13 Ionikos2461825%76.582.8-6.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larisa1910232274
Panathinaikos1119201262
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