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Real Madrid vs Zalgiris Kaunas Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:45
Final 83-92
19-24 19-30 22-18 23-20
Position#8
Record6-8
FormWLLLW
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game82.6
vs
Position#13
Record8-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game74.9
EuropeEuroleagueRound 15· WiZink Center
European cup2024
Meetings · Real Madrid v Zalgiris Kaunas
25 Nov 2026
MAD v ZAL
upcoming
20 Nov 2025
MAD100
ZAL99
12 Dec 2024
MAD83
ZAL92
17 Oct 2023
MAD93
ZAL79
23 Feb 2023
MAD96
ZAL69
12 Nov 2021
MAD95
ZAL82
25 Feb 2021
MAD70
ZAL58
04 Apr 2019
MAD86
ZAL93
22 Mar 2018
MAD88
ZAL81
08 Dec 2016
MAD96
ZAL91
15 Jan 2016
MAD92
ZAL86
10 Apr 2015
MAD99
ZAL83
17 Oct 2014
MAD80
ZAL71
21 Feb 2014
MAD108
ZAL72
22 Nov 2013
MAD95
ZAL67
11 Jan 2013
MAD75
ZAL74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
83-77
83
77
+6
74avg 83
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
98-86
98
86
+12
97avg 83
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
64-74
64
74
-10
58avg 83
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
85-78
85
78
+7
81avg 83
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
W
98-84
98
84
+14
102avg 83
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
W
97-90 OT
97
90
+7
95avg 83
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 83
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
78-80
78
80
-2
74avg 83
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
64avg 83
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
90-77
90
77
+13
86avg 83
H08/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
22-20
20-18
24-23
28-25
25-24
27-18
18-19
6-19
19-28
24-11
15-16
28-13
23-12
15-34
19-19
23-22
32-33
24-13
19-16
22-17
12-21
20-14
20-22
23-21
22-19
12-19
19-21
26-30
17-21
23-8
12-21
20-12
11-25
16-23
23-22
18-13
21-21
21-18
30-25
164.7Avg total
83.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)83.482.6165.9+0.843%
Season at home (7)86.981.4168.3+5.471%
Season away (7)79.983.7163.6-3.914%
Last 10 (10)83.980.8164.7+3.160%
Last 5 (5)82.281.8164.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)80.090.0170.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.582.7164.2-1.240%
vs Weaker (18)86.677.8164.4+8.872%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
97-70
97
70
+27
92avg 80
A10/11
LKL
Paris
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
63avg 80
A13/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
65-72
65
72
-7
48avg 80
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
112avg 80
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 80
H28/11
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
101-64
101
64
+37
105avg 80
H01/12
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 80
H08/12
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
25-19
23-12
21-20
16-17
20-23
20-22
21-21
21-17
5-26
21-9
18-20
26-8
26-13
24-12
25-13
28-18
21-24
16-21
19-14
17-19
25-16
15-17
13-31
19-10
27-13
27-25
28-16
19-22
22-22
23-20
14-20
27-17
21-13
15-23
22-19
19-21
20-11
18-16
21-19
155.4Avg total
83.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.674.9150.4+0.757%
Season at home (8)75.672.5148.1+3.175%
Season away (6)75.578.0153.5-2.533%
Last 10 (10)83.671.8155.4+11.860%
Last 5 (5)82.474.0156.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.270.7143.8+2.567%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.682.2163.8-0.642%
vs Weaker (12)88.871.8160.5+17.083%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +3.2+3.2Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.9+0.9
Real MadridZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#8
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H10/11
ACB
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H12/11
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
L
25-47
25
47
-22
H14/11
Euroleague
Forca Lleida
#16
W
51-25
51
25
+26
H17/11
ACB
Alba Berlin
#18
D
55-55
55
55
+0
H21/11
Euroleague
Barcelona
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A28/11
Euroleague
Joventut Badalona
#6
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A01/12
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A03/12
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H05/12
Euroleague
Unicaja
#4
W
39-34
39
34
+5
H08/12
ACB
82.7Avg total
41.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.939.681.5+2.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.238.481.5+4.871%-
Last 30 away (13)40.341.281.5-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)41.541.282.7+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.078.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.049.094.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.940.779.6-1.830%-
vs Weaker (18)43.538.381.8+5.278%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#7
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A10/11
LKL
Paris
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/11
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H01/12
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H08/12
LKL
78.0Avg total
43.2Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.936.777.6+4.260%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.433.274.6+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.440.781.1-0.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.234.878.0+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.232.876.0+10.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.334.371.7+3.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.238.980.1+2.250%-
vs Weaker (12)42.435.878.2+6.767%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.318.8
56.5%
54.5%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.8
37.0%
36.2%32.4
🏀 Free throws17.013.3
78.2%
78.0%13.3
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.0 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.917.7
49.3%
54.5%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.110.4
35.7%
36.2%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.516.4
76.3%
78.0%16.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLLLWWWLWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWLWLWWLLW
#8
League position
#13
+5.3
Net rating
+16.9
112.1
Offensive rating
117.0
106.9
Defensive rating
100.1
56.0%
Effective FG%
51.2%
48.5%
Opp. effective FG%
46.6%
18.3%
Turnover %
14.7%
28.1%
Off. rebound %
35.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.33
37.0%
3-point %
35.7%
63.9%
Assist %
60.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence112.1 · 117.0Defence106.9 · 100.1Shooting56.0% · 51.2%3-point %37.0% · 35.7%Ball care18.3% · 14.7%Off. rebounds28.1% · 35.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HUnicaja90-77
05/12/24HFenerbahce70-82
03/12/24ALyon-Villeurbanne78-80
01/12/24AJoventut Badalona76-80
28/11/24ABarcelona97-90 OT
21/11/24HAlba Berlin98-84
17/11/24HForca Lleida85-78
14/11/24HAnadolu Efes64-74
12/11/24HVirtus Bologna98-86
10/11/24HGran Canaria83-77
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/12/24HRytas78-67
05/12/24HAnadolu Efes85-72
03/12/24APartizan78-84
01/12/24HJonava101-64
28/11/24HBaskonia70-83
22/11/24HPanathinaikos84-77
17/11/24HMazeikiai101-46
15/11/24HFenerbahce65-72
13/11/24AParis77-83
10/11/24ANeptunas97-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeWWLWL71%
AwayLLLWL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %43%71%14%
Points / game83.486.979.9
Allowed / game82.681.483.7
Point differential+0.8+5.4-3.9
Avg total165.9168.3163.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Zalgiris Kaunas
Euroleague 2024
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW57%
HomeWLWLW75%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game75.675.675.5
Allowed / game74.972.578.0
Point differential+0.7+3.1-2.5
Avg total150.4148.1153.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Paris1411379%86.581.7+4.8
2 Monaco1510567%86.880.9+5.9
3 Fenerbahce1510567%78.978.3+0.5
4 Olympiacos149564%85.780.8+4.9
5 Bayern149564%89.187.1+1.9
6 Panathinaikos148657%85.283.1+2.1
7 Olimpia Milano148657%87.987.0+0.9
8 Zalgiris Kaunas148657%75.674.9+0.7
9 Barcelona148657%86.485.8+0.6
10 Crvena zvezda147750%84.582.6+1.9
11 Anadolu Efes147750%84.184.1+0.0
12 Partizan157847%81.680.9+0.7
13 Real Madrid146843%83.482.6+0.8
14 Baskonia156940%77.779.7-2.1
15 Lyon-Villeurbanne145936%81.585.2-3.7
16 Maccabi Tel Aviv1441029%83.987.4-3.5
17 Virtus Bologna1531220%80.985.3-4.4
18 Alba Berlin1531220%80.591.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid1919222383
Zalgiris Kaunas2430182092
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