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Zalgiris Kaunas vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 14:50
Final 91-75
25-14 23-23 21-20 22-18
Position#1
Record9-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.8
Allowed / game71.1
vs
Position#7
Record6-5
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game89.1
LithuaniaLKL· Zalgirio Arena
Domestic2024-25
Meetings · Zalgiris Kaunas v Neptunas
25 Apr 2027
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
15 Nov 2026
ZAL v NEP
upcoming
21 Feb 2026
ZAL119
NEP81
08 Feb 2026
ZAL87
NEP76
04 Jan 2026
ZAL112
NEP77
24 May 2025
ZAL88
NEP75
07 May 2025
ZAL84
NEP49
15 Dec 2024
ZAL91
NEP75
27 Nov 2023
ZAL76
NEP88
08 Jan 2023
ZAL77
NEP46
11 May 2022
ZAL89
NEP60
07 May 2022
ZAL87
NEP71
02 May 2022
ZAL92
NEP88
10 Oct 2021
ZAL98
NEP79
28 Feb 2021
ZAL85
NEP72
13 Feb 2021
ZAL84
NEP72
22 Nov 2020
ZAL81
NEP59
01 Dec 2019
ZAL100
NEP82
09 May 2019
ZAL90
NEP80
14 Oct 2018
ZAL60
NEP75
10 Apr 2018
ZAL94
NEP47
05 Nov 2017
ZAL88
NEP62
19 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP60
13 May 2017
ZAL83
NEP54
05 Mar 2017
ZAL69
NEP78
23 Oct 2016
ZAL77
NEP67
06 Jun 2016
ZAL97
NEP70
31 May 2016
ZAL78
NEP54
25 May 2016
ZAL83
NEP72
31 Jan 2016
ZAL89
NEP57
11 Oct 2015
ZAL81
NEP71
01 Mar 2015
ZAL86
NEP90
02 Nov 2014
ZAL86
NEP48
06 Jun 2014
ZAL90
NEP70
31 May 2014
ZAL88
NEP72
26 May 2014
ZAL92
NEP83
07 Apr 2014
ZAL79
NEP88
23 Apr 2013
ZAL99
NEP83
20 Jan 2013
ZAL111
NEP87
26 Feb 2012
ZAL85
NEP84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zalgiris Kaunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
77-83
77
83
-6
63avg 80
A13/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
65-72
65
72
-7
48avg 80
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
101-46
101
46
+55
112avg 80
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
84-77
84
77
+7
71avg 80
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
L
70-83
70
83
-13
60avg 80
H28/11
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
101-64
101
64
+37
105avg 80
H01/12
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
78-84
78
84
-6
70avg 80
A03/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
85-72
85
72
+13
73avg 80
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
78-67
78
67
+11
71avg 80
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
92-83
92
83
+9
82avg 80
A12/12
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
20-23
20-22
21-21
21-17
5-26
21-9
18-20
26-8
26-13
24-12
25-13
28-18
21-24
16-21
19-14
17-19
25-16
15-17
13-31
19-10
27-13
27-25
28-16
19-22
22-22
23-20
14-20
27-17
21-13
15-23
22-19
19-21
20-11
18-16
21-19
24-19
30-19
18-22
20-23
156.2Avg total
83.1Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)88.871.1159.9+17.782%
Season at home (5)87.462.0149.4+25.4100%
Season away (6)90.078.7168.7+11.367%
Last 10 (10)83.173.1156.2+10.060%
Last 5 (5)86.874.0160.8+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.270.7143.8+2.567%
vs Similar (13)82.482.2164.6+0.246%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.871.1159.9+17.782%
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
89-81
89
81
+8
84avg 82
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
91-70
91
70
+21
92avg 82
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
70-97
70
97
-27
62avg 82
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
111-110 OT
111
110
+1
94avg 82
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 82
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
101-104 OT
101
104
-3
94avg 82
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
63-74
63
74
-11
59avg 82
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
W
102-101
102
101
+1
98avg 82
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
86-102
86
102
-16
76avg 82
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
W
93-82
93
82
+11
86avg 82
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
20-14
21-21
25-28
27-13
25-20
16-20
23-17
19-28
19-25
12-23
20-21
24-23
21-20
13-19
27-23
18-18
31-26
16-16
18-14
22-22
22-23
30-24
17-22
19-15
13-22
20-16
11-21
14-25
22-29
31-23
35-24
14-36
25-24
7-20
40-22
23-17
20-28
31-18
19-19
178.4Avg total
88.9Scored
89.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)87.189.1176.2-2.055%
Season at home (4)78.083.0161.0-5.050%
Season away (7)92.392.6184.9-0.357%
Last 10 (10)88.989.5178.4-0.660%
Last 5 (5)89.092.6181.6-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)81.385.4166.8-4.142%
vs Similar (4)88.890.2179.0-1.550%
vs Weaker (14)93.691.5185.1+2.143%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
Zalgiris KaunasNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paris
#9
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A13/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#1
L
26-43
26
43
-17
H15/11
Euroleague
Mazeikiai
#10
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H17/11
LKL
Panathinaikos
#3
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H22/11
Euroleague
Baskonia
#14
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H28/11
Euroleague
Jonava
#5
W
46-23
46
23
+23
H01/12
LKL
Partizan
#12
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A03/12
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H05/12
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H08/12
LKL
Real Madrid
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A12/12
Euroleague
78.1Avg total
43.3Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.436.577.9+4.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.532.574.1+9.080%-
Last 30 away (15)41.340.581.8+0.747%-
Last 10 (10)43.334.878.1+8.570%-
Last 5 (5)45.633.479.0+12.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.334.371.7+3.067%-
vs Similar (13)42.238.881.0+3.354%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.735.077.7+7.773%-
This opponent (Neptunas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lietkabelis
#3
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A02/11
LKL
Mazeikiai
#9
W
52-33
52
33
+19
A06/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
38-53
38
53
-15
H10/11
LKL
Jonava
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H13/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#9
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A16/11
LKL
Siauliai
#8
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#6
L
32-37
32
37
-5
H30/11
LKL
Nevezis
#5
L
36-54
36
54
-18
A04/12
King Mindaugas Cup
BC Wolves
#4
L
39-60
39
60
-21
A07/12
LKL
Juventus
#10
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A12/12
King Mindaugas Cup
86.7Avg total
42.1Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.242.286.4+2.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.540.985.4+3.671%-
Last 30 away (16)44.043.287.2+0.856%-
Last 10 (10)42.144.686.7-2.540%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.287.0-9.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.642.382.9-1.850%-
vs Similar (4)48.042.290.2+5.875%-
vs Weaker (14)46.342.088.3+4.371%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.6
49.2%
55.6%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.6
36.6%
35.9%31.8
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
75.0%15.7
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 87.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.7 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.819.4
55.7%
55.6%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.9
34.5%
35.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.716.2
74.7%
75.0%16.2
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWLWLWWLL
Neptunas
WLWLLWWLWW
#1
League position
#7
+14.5
Net rating
-1.3
115.6
Offensive rating
113.6
101.0
Defensive rating
114.9
51.7%
Effective FG%
53.8%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.4%
Turnover %
19.2%
33.5%
Off. rebound %
36.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
36.6%
3-point %
34.5%
58.2%
Assist %
65.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 113.6Defence101.0 · 114.9Shooting51.7% · 53.8%3-point %36.6% · 34.5%Ball care15.4% · 19.2%Off. rebounds33.5% · 36.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Zalgiris Kaunas   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
3
Neptunas wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24AReal Madrid92-83
08/12/24HRytas78-67
05/12/24HAnadolu Efes85-72
03/12/24APartizan78-84
01/12/24HJonava101-64
28/11/24HBaskonia70-83
22/11/24HPanathinaikos84-77
17/11/24HMazeikiai101-46
15/11/24HFenerbahce65-72
13/11/24AParis77-83
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/24AJuventus93-82
07/12/24ABC Wolves86-102
04/12/24ANevezis102-101
30/11/24HJuventus63-74
27/11/24HSiauliai101-104 OT
16/11/24ANevezis83-74
13/11/24HJonava111-110 OT
10/11/24HZalgiris Kaunas70-97
06/11/24AMazeikiai91-70
02/11/24ALietkabelis89-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game88.887.490.0
Allowed / game71.162.078.7
Point differential+17.7+25.4+11.3
Avg total159.9149.4168.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neptunas
LKL 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL55%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWWL57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %55%50%57%
Points / game87.178.092.3
Allowed / game89.183.092.6
Point differential-2.0-5.0-0.3
Avg total176.2161.0184.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas119282%88.871.1+17.7
2 Rytas129375%89.983.2+6.7
3 BC Wolves107370%89.783.7+6.0
4 Juventus116555%81.878.1+3.7
5 Neptunas116555%87.189.1-2.0
6 Lietkabelis126650%82.582.0+0.5
7 Jonava115645%86.991.7-4.8
8 Siauliai104640%91.698.9-7.3
9 Nevezis1221017%83.088.7-5.7
10 Mazeikiai1221017%81.495.2-13.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zalgiris Kaunas2523212291
Neptunas1423201875
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