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Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 24 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 03:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record7-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game113.7
vs
Position#8
Record6-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.8
Allowed / game114.7
USANBA· Crypto.com Arena
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets
12 Feb 2027
LAL v DEN
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
LAL v DEN
upcoming
16 Oct 2026
LAL106
DEN121
14 Mar 2026
LAL127
DEN125
18 Jul 2025
LAL84
DEN106
19 Mar 2025
LAL120
DEN108
23 Nov 2024
LAL102
DEN127
27 Apr 2024
LAL119
DEN108
25 Apr 2024
LAL105
DEN112
02 Mar 2024
LAL114
DEN124
08 Feb 2024
LAL106
DEN114
22 May 2023
LAL111
DEN113
20 May 2023
LAL108
DEN119
16 Dec 2022
LAL126
DEN108
30 Oct 2022
LAL121
DEN110
03 Apr 2022
LAL118
DEN129
03 May 2021
LAL93
DEN89
04 Feb 2021
LAL114
DEN93
26 Sep 2020
LAL117
DEN107
20 Sep 2020
LAL105
DEN103
18 Sep 2020
LAL126
DEN114
10 Aug 2020
LAL124
DEN121
22 Dec 2019
LAL104
DEN128
06 Mar 2019
LAL99
DEN115
25 Oct 2018
LAL121
DEN114
02 Oct 2018
LAL111
DEN113
30 Sep 2018
LAL107
DEN124
13 Mar 2018
LAL112
DEN103
19 Nov 2017
LAL127
DEN109
04 Oct 2017
LAL104
DEN122
02 Oct 2017
LAL107
DEN113
31 Jan 2017
LAL120
DEN116
17 Jan 2017
LAL121
DEN127
09 Oct 2016
LAL124
DEN115
07 Oct 2016
LAL97
DEN101
25 Mar 2016
LAL105
DEN116
03 Nov 2015
LAL109
DEN120
10 Feb 2015
LAL96
DEN106
23 Nov 2014
LAL94
DEN101
06 Oct 2014
LAL98
DEN95
18 Jul 2014
LAL83
DEN77
05 Jan 2014
LAL115
DEN137
08 Oct 2013
LAL90
DEN88
06 Oct 2013
LAL88
DEN97
06 Jan 2013
LAL105
DEN112
30 Nov 2012
LAL122
DEN103
12 May 2012
LAL96
DEN87
08 May 2012
LAL99
DEN102
01 May 2012
LAL104
DEN100
29 Apr 2012
LAL103
DEN88
13 Apr 2012
LAL103
DEN97
31 Dec 2011
LAL92
DEN89
03 Apr 2011
LAL90
DEN95
16 Oct 2010
LAL102
DEN95
28 Feb 2010
LAL95
DEN89
05 Feb 2010
LAL113
DEN126
23 Oct 2009
LAL105
DEN119
22 Oct 2009
LAL106
DEN89
27 May 2009
LAL103
DEN94
21 May 2009
LAL103
DEN106
19 May 2009
LAL105
DEN103
09 Apr 2009
LAL116
DEN102
21 Nov 2008
LAL104
DEN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Los Angeles Lakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Los Angeles LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLakers
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
114-110
114
110
+4
105avg 108
H09/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
L
89-101
89
101
-12
85avg 108
H14/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
106-121
106
121
-15
98avg 108
H17/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
W
127-105
127
105
+22
129avg 108
H22/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
125-117
125
117
+8
124avg 108
H24/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
132-123
132
123
+9
117avg 108
A25/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
L
129-136
129
136
-7
123avg 108
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
103-87
103
87
+16
93avg 108
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
L
95-112
95
112
-17
84avg 108
A31/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
131-125
131
125
+6
131avg 108
H02/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
36-23
29-27
28-40
29-29
34-21
13-22
13-29
22-36
33-26
28-26
23-33
34-33
32-19
36-16
25-37
27-31
37-33
39-26
22-27
29-47
45-24
29-29
29-23
38-32
35-36
30-34
26-34
25-22
31-16
29-28
18-21
38-15
15-38
27-32
15-27
36-23
30-31
38-28
27-43
228.8Avg total
115.1Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)114.7113.7228.3+1.058%
Season at home (7)117.3116.4233.7+0.957%
Season away (5)111.0109.8220.8+1.260%
Last 10 (10)115.1113.7228.8+1.460%
Last 5 (5)118.0116.6234.6+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)104.6113.9218.5-9.236%
vs Similar ◀ (8)107.8106.5214.2+1.250%
vs Weaker (8)122.5110.2232.8+12.288%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
97-109
97
109
-12
78avg 111
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
117-106
117
106
+11
104avg 111
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
W
133-128
133
128
+5
112avg 111
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
110-122
110
122
-12
81avg 111
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
121-106
121
106
+15
98avg 111
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
84-96
84
96
-12
62avg 111
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
141-135 OT
141
135
+6
113avg 111
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
L
114-134
114
134
-20
92avg 111
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
104-91
104
91
+13
93avg 111
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
120avg 111
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
26-27
25-25
20-21
24-31
41-28
30-22
22-25
29-27
30-41
40-26
34-34
24-24
31-34
26-38
29-26
36-22
26-33
26-28
33-23
27-24
21-20
16-26
20-26
24-38
33-35
32-35
37-18
32-28
24-32
28-40
30-34
37-18
20-27
22-28
25-18
32-37
39-30
32-26
24-27
229.5Avg total
114.8Scored
114.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Season at home (4)121.2126.5247.8-5.250%
Season away (6)110.5106.8217.3+3.767%
Last 10 (10)114.8114.7229.5+0.160%
Last 5 (5)114.0115.2229.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)126.2123.2249.5+3.075%
vs Similar ◀ (12)111.8111.5223.2+0.258%
vs Weaker (14)125.0117.4242.4+7.679%
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -8.8-8.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +6.1+6.1Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -8.8-8.8Q4: +2.2+2.2
Los Angeles LakersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Los Angeles LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
57-43
57
43
+14
H09/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H14/10
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H17/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H22/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
D
64-64
64
64
+0
H24/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
74-71
74
71
+3
A25/10
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#5
W
73-68
73
68
+5
H28/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A29/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
A31/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
66-54
66
54
+12
H02/11
NBA
118.2Avg total
62.7Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.055.0112.9+3.063%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.553.2111.7+5.471%-
Last 30 away (13)57.257.3114.5-0.154%-
Last 10 (10)62.755.5118.2+7.270%-
Last 5 (5)64.456.8121.2+7.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)54.455.9110.3-1.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)58.156.0114.1+2.162%-
vs Weaker (8)64.052.4116.4+11.675%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#22
L
52-63
52
63
-11
H04/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
65-59
65
59
+6
A07/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
59-68
59
68
-9
H12/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A15/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
62-55
62
55
+7
A17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
48-44
48
44
+4
A23/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
57-73
57
73
-16
H25/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#7
L
56-60
56
60
-4
H27/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A29/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
71-67
71
67
+4
A31/10
NBA
117.4Avg total
58.2Scored
59.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.258.9119.1+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)61.261.4122.6-0.235%-
Last 30 away (13)58.955.6114.5+3.369%-
Last 10 (10)58.259.2117.4-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)57.857.8115.6+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.559.8122.2+2.850%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)56.456.0112.4+0.458%-
vs Weaker (14)62.861.1123.9+1.643%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Los Angeles Lakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Lakers: 111.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.6 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.224.3
57.6%
54.0%48.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.613.6
38.2%
34.9%40.8
🏀 Free throws26.921.6
80.3%
76.4%21.6
They take 77.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.928.5
56.0%
54.0%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.710.4
32.8%
34.9%31.2
🏀 Free throws28.020.7
73.9%
76.4%20.7
They take 82.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Los Angeles Lakers
WLWLWWWLLW
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWLWWL
#10
League position
#8
-7.6
Net rating
-4.0
106.1
Offensive rating
103.4
113.7
Defensive rating
107.4
57.5%
Effective FG%
53.4%
58.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.8%
18.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
11.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.2%
3-point %
32.8%
64.4%
Assist %
68.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 103.4Defence113.7 · 107.4Shooting57.5% · 53.4%3-point %38.2% · 32.8%Ball care18.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds26.3% · 11.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Los Angeles Lakers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26HToronto Raptors131-125
31/10/26AGolden State Warriors95-112
29/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers103-87
28/10/26HPortland Trail Blazers129-136
25/10/26AUtah Jazz132-123
24/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers125-117
22/10/26HGolden State Warriors127-105
17/10/26HDenver Nuggets106-121
14/10/26HGolden State Warriors89-101
09/10/26HSacramento Kings114-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26APhoenix Suns127-120
29/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans104-91
27/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-134
25/10/26HNew Orleans Pelicans141-135 OT
23/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder84-96
17/10/26ALos Angeles Lakers121-106
15/10/26ALos Angeles Clippers110-122
12/10/26HChicago Bulls133-128
07/10/26AUtah Jazz117-106
04/10/26HUtah Jazz97-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeLWWLW57%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %58%57%60%
Points / game114.7117.3111.0
Allowed / game113.7116.4109.8
Point differential+1.0+0.9+1.2
Avg total228.3233.7220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%14%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%50%67%
Points / game114.8121.2110.5
Allowed / game114.7126.5106.8
Point differential+0.1-5.2+3.7
Avg total229.5247.8217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %10%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics109190%121.9108.7+13.2
2 Memphis Grizzlies109190%119.7107.9+11.8
3 Houston Rockets108280%121.1109.6+11.5
4 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
5 Portland Trail Blazers86275%119.2111.2+8.0
6 Philadelphia 76ers117464%110.5110.4+0.1
7 Golden State Warriors138562%115.9110.9+5.0
8 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
9 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.9116.2+2.8
10 Los Angeles Lakers127558%114.7113.7+1.0
11 Cleveland Cavaliers95456%119.3117.4+1.9
12 San Antonio Spurs116555%116.0109.5+6.5
13 Minnesota Timberwolves137654%118.2113.1+5.2
14 New Orleans Pelicans105550%116.0114.8+1.2
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
17 Orlando Magic105550%114.1116.8-2.7
18 Toronto Raptors115645%120.1113.3+6.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 Oklahoma City Thunder115645%108.0111.5-3.5
21 Brooklyn Nets104640%114.6116.0-1.4
22 Utah Jazz104640%110.5115.2-4.7
23 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
24 Charlotte Hornets114736%97.6108.1-10.5
25 Los Angeles Clippers93633%107.9112.0-4.1
26 Indiana Pacers113827%115.4117.3-1.9
27 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
28 Milwaukee Bucks113827%111.4123.3-11.9
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings110110%106.4123.5-17.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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