PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 121-127
26-40 28-26 30-35 37-26
Position#28
Record15-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game104.3
Allowed / game110.2
vs
Position#17
Record16-23
FormLLLWW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game111.2
USANBA· Staples Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets
12 Feb 2027
LAL v DEN
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
LAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
LAL127
DEN125
19 Mar 2025
LAL120
DEN108
23 Nov 2024
LAL102
DEN127
27 Apr 2024
LAL119
DEN108
25 Apr 2024
LAL105
DEN112
02 Mar 2024
LAL114
DEN124
08 Feb 2024
LAL106
DEN114
22 May 2023
LAL111
DEN113
20 May 2023
LAL108
DEN119
16 Dec 2022
LAL126
DEN108
30 Oct 2022
LAL121
DEN110
03 Apr 2022
LAL118
DEN129
03 May 2021
LAL93
DEN89
04 Feb 2021
LAL114
DEN93
26 Sep 2020
LAL117
DEN107
20 Sep 2020
LAL105
DEN103
18 Sep 2020
LAL126
DEN114
10 Aug 2020
LAL124
DEN121
22 Dec 2019
LAL104
DEN128
06 Mar 2019
LAL99
DEN115
25 Oct 2018
LAL121
DEN114
13 Mar 2018
LAL112
DEN103
19 Nov 2017
LAL127
DEN109
31 Jan 2017
LAL120
DEN116
17 Jan 2017
LAL121
DEN127
25 Mar 2016
LAL105
DEN116
03 Nov 2015
LAL109
DEN120
10 Feb 2015
LAL96
DEN106
23 Nov 2014
LAL94
DEN101
05 Jan 2014
LAL115
DEN137
06 Jan 2013
LAL105
DEN112
30 Nov 2012
LAL122
DEN103
12 May 2012
LAL96
DEN87
08 May 2012
LAL99
DEN102
01 May 2012
LAL104
DEN100
29 Apr 2012
LAL103
DEN88
13 Apr 2012
LAL103
DEN97
31 Dec 2011
LAL92
DEN89
03 Apr 2011
LAL90
DEN95
28 Feb 2010
LAL95
DEN89
05 Feb 2010
LAL113
DEN126
27 May 2009
LAL103
DEN94
21 May 2009
LAL103
DEN106
19 May 2009
LAL105
DEN103
09 Apr 2009
LAL116
DEN102
21 Nov 2008
LAL104
DEN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Los Angeles Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Los Angeles LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLakers
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
L
89-101
89
101
-12
79avg 90
H30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
114-123
114
123
-9
97avg 90
H02/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
116-102
116
102
+14
116avg 90
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
109-118
109
118
-9
91avg 90
A06/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
127-100
127
100
+27
122avg 90
H07/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
111-95
111
95
+16
104avg 90
H09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
87-108
87
108
-21
68avg 90
H11/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
94-134
94
134
-40
76avg 90
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
97-113
97
113
-16
85avg 90
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
97-102
97
102
-5
90avg 90
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
30-24
13-31
19-20
33-27
24-31
26-27
31-38
22-20
35-28
34-29
25-25
24-29
38-24
22-31
25-34
32-23
26-33
32-23
37-21
40-34
22-26
19-9
30-26
26-25
31-30
12-23
18-30
24-36
30-36
21-34
19-28
15-26
24-32
29-26
29-29
31-23
26-36
15-16
25-27
213.7Avg total
104.1Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)104.3110.2214.5-5.833%
Season at home (22)108.2107.8216.0+0.445%
Season away (23)100.6112.4213.0-11.822%
Last 10 (10)104.1109.6213.7-5.530%
Last 5 (5)97.2110.4207.6-13.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)101.8111.8213.6-10.023%
vs Similar (8)100.8106.8207.5-6.025%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-109
108
109
-1
106avg 99
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
106-102
106
102
+4
102avg 99
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
105-103
105
103
+2
103avg 99
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
122-124
122
124
-2
118avg 99
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
119-127
119
127
-8
113avg 99
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 99
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
99-127
99
127
-28
90avg 99
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
106-121
106
121
-15
89avg 99
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
140-112
140
112
+28
146avg 99
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-112
125
112
+13
125avg 99
H16/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
26-22
27-31
26-27
23-23
40-23
16-31
27-25
22-31
27-18
32-24
24-30
28-30
32-30
27-31
35-33
33-35
31-33
21-26
34-33
28-29
23-31
37-34
25-26
33-29
20-29
24-32
22-37
22-24
38-36
20-28
26-33
30-29
37-27
39-20
34-36
39-36
30-25
31-22
25-29
230.0Avg total
114.3Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)109.3111.2220.5-2.041%
Season at home (20)114.0113.8227.8+0.245%
Season away (19)104.3108.6212.8-4.337%
Last 10 (10)114.3115.7230.0-1.440%
Last 5 (5)116.6118.4235.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)109.3127.3236.7-18.00%
vs Similar (18)107.3109.5216.8-2.239%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)118.3112.8231.1+5.667%
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: -1.4-1.4Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -2.0-2.0Q4: -3.1-3.1
Los Angeles LakersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Los Angeles LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H30/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H02/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A06/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H07/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H09/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
57-55
57
55
+2
H11/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
54-72
54
72
-18
A13/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-58
39
58
-19
A14/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H16/01
NBA
112.9Avg total
56.0Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.856.9110.7-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.154.9110.1+0.250%-
Last 30 away (16)52.758.6111.2-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)56.056.9112.9-0.960%-
Last 5 (5)53.860.8114.6-7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)54.358.1112.4-3.941%-
vs Similar (8)52.653.4106.0-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H24/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
63-46
63
46
+17
A27/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H29/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H31/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H04/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H06/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
D
60-60
60
60
+0
A08/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H12/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/01
NBA
116.0Avg total
59.1Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.455.8113.2+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)59.155.6114.7+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)55.256.0111.2-0.838%-
Last 10 (10)59.156.9116.0+2.240%-
Last 5 (5)60.059.0119.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)60.066.3126.3-6.30%-
vs Similar (18)55.954.2110.1+1.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)59.355.6114.9+3.856%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Los Angeles Lakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Lakers: 104.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.627.8
48.3%
50.2%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.69.8
36.8%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws27.219.1
70.2%
77.0%19.1
They take 84.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.031.9
55.0%
50.2%63.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.7
36.6%
35.7%32.1
🏀 Free throws22.818.4
80.7%
77.0%18.4
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Los Angeles Lakers
LLLLWWLWLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLLLWWL
#28
League position
#17
-5.6
Net rating
-1.4
106.5
Offensive rating
113.6
112.1
Defensive rating
115.0
50.5%
Effective FG%
55.0%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.5%
21.7%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.26
36.8%
3-point %
36.6%
55.6%
Assist %
66.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence106.5 · 113.6Defence112.1 · 115.0Shooting50.5% · 55.0%3-point %36.8% · 36.6%Ball care11.6% · 13.5%Off. rebounds21.7% · 25.4%Free throws0.32 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Los Angeles Lakers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/17HDetroit Pistons97-102
14/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers97-113
13/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs94-134
11/01/17HPortland Trail Blazers87-108
09/01/17HOrlando Magic111-95
07/01/17HMiami Heat127-100
06/01/17APortland Trail Blazers109-118
04/01/17HMemphis Grizzlies116-102
02/01/17HToronto Raptors114-123
30/12/16HDallas Mavericks89-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/17HOrlando Magic125-112
12/01/17HIndiana Pacers140-112
08/01/17AOklahoma City Thunder106-121
06/01/17HSan Antonio Spurs99-127
04/01/17HSacramento Kings113-120
03/01/17AGolden State Warriors119-127
31/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers122-124
29/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves105-103
27/12/16ALos Angeles Clippers106-102
24/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWWLL45%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %33%45%22%
Points / game104.3108.2100.6
Allowed / game110.2107.8112.4
Point differential-5.8+0.4-11.8
Avg total214.5216.0213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW41%
HomeLLLWW45%
AwayLLWLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games392019
Win %41%45%37%
Points / game109.3114.0104.3
Allowed / game111.2113.8108.6
Point differential-2.0+0.2-4.3
Avg total220.5227.8212.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%35%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (13)29% (7)50% (6)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4135685%117.7105.1+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs4132978%107.198.4+8.7
3 Houston Rockets44321273%114.6107.6+7.0
4 Cleveland Cavaliers40291172%109.0104.1+4.8
5 Toronto Raptors41281368%111.5104.7+6.9
6 Los Angeles Clippers43291467%108.2102.1+6.2
7 Boston Celtics41261563%107.0104.5+2.5
8 Utah Jazz43271663%99.294.9+4.3
9 Atlanta Hawks41241759%103.0102.6+0.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder43251858%106.5105.2+1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies43251858%99.699.1+0.5
12 Washington Wizards40211952%105.8105.7+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers40211952%105.8106.8-1.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks40202050%105.2103.6+1.6
15 Chicago Bulls43212249%101.4101.4+0.0
16 Charlotte Hornets41202149%105.0104.0+1.0
17 Detroit Pistons43192444%99.8101.0-1.3
18 New York Knicks42182443%105.2108.3-3.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers43182542%107.9110.7-2.7
20 Denver Nuggets39162341%109.3111.2-2.0
21 Sacramento Kings40162440%102.8105.5-2.8
22 Orlando Magic43172640%99.7104.6-4.9
23 New Orleans Pelicans42162638%102.2105.0-2.8
24 Dallas Mavericks41142734%95.7100.4-4.7
25 Minnesota Timberwolves42142833%103.1104.4-1.2
26 Los Angeles Lakers45153033%104.3110.2-5.8
27 Philadelphia 76ers39132633%99.5105.3-5.9
28 Phoenix Suns41132832%105.9111.7-5.8
29 Miami Heat42123029%98.5102.8-4.2
30 Brooklyn Nets4183320%105.3115.0-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Los Angeles Lakers26283037121
Denver Nuggets40263526127
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.