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Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Oct 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 104-122
30-41 22-33 23-29 29-19
Position#21
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
vs
Position#12
Record-
FormLWLWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANBA· Citizens Business Bank Arena
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Los Angeles Lakers v Denver Nuggets
12 Feb 2027
LAL v DEN
upcoming
23 Dec 2026
LAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
LAL127
DEN125
19 Mar 2025
LAL120
DEN108
23 Nov 2024
LAL102
DEN127
27 Apr 2024
LAL119
DEN108
25 Apr 2024
LAL105
DEN112
02 Mar 2024
LAL114
DEN124
08 Feb 2024
LAL106
DEN114
22 May 2023
LAL111
DEN113
20 May 2023
LAL108
DEN119
16 Dec 2022
LAL126
DEN108
30 Oct 2022
LAL121
DEN110
03 Apr 2022
LAL118
DEN129
03 May 2021
LAL93
DEN89
04 Feb 2021
LAL114
DEN93
26 Sep 2020
LAL117
DEN107
20 Sep 2020
LAL105
DEN103
18 Sep 2020
LAL126
DEN114
10 Aug 2020
LAL124
DEN121
22 Dec 2019
LAL104
DEN128
06 Mar 2019
LAL99
DEN115
25 Oct 2018
LAL121
DEN114
13 Mar 2018
LAL112
DEN103
19 Nov 2017
LAL127
DEN109
04 Oct 2017
LAL104
DEN122
31 Jan 2017
LAL120
DEN116
17 Jan 2017
LAL121
DEN127
25 Mar 2016
LAL105
DEN116
03 Nov 2015
LAL109
DEN120
10 Feb 2015
LAL96
DEN106
23 Nov 2014
LAL94
DEN101
05 Jan 2014
LAL115
DEN137
06 Jan 2013
LAL105
DEN112
30 Nov 2012
LAL122
DEN103
12 May 2012
LAL96
DEN87
08 May 2012
LAL99
DEN102
01 May 2012
LAL104
DEN100
29 Apr 2012
LAL103
DEN88
13 Apr 2012
LAL103
DEN97
31 Dec 2011
LAL92
DEN89
03 Apr 2011
LAL90
DEN95
28 Feb 2010
LAL95
DEN89
05 Feb 2010
LAL113
DEN126
27 May 2009
LAL103
DEN94
21 May 2009
LAL103
DEN106
19 May 2009
LAL105
DEN103
09 Apr 2009
LAL116
DEN102
21 Nov 2008
LAL104
DEN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Los Angeles Lakers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Los Angeles LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLakers
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
81-97
81
97
-16
67avg 93
H27/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
108-119
108
119
-11
101avg 93
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
104-119
104
119
-15
96avg 93
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
104-115
104
115
-11
91avg 93
A01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
108-103
108
103
+5
97avg 93
H02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
102-95
102
95
+7
97avg 93
A06/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
98-94
98
94
+4
85avg 93
H08/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
110-109
110
109
+1
103avg 93
H10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
108-96
108
96
+12
101avg 93
H12/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
94-109
94
109
-15
79avg 93
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-22
15-18
24-37
25-20
27-27
31-28
37-27
13-37
37-37
23-30
22-29
22-23
22-28
28-27
22-38
32-22
22-27
28-22
29-31
29-23
31-14
22-27
23-29
26-25
18-31
26-14
25-25
29-24
29-21
24-30
25-28
32-30
26-25
31-28
28-20
23-23
28-43
22-21
20-29
24-16
207.3Avg total
101.7Scored
105.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)101.7105.6207.3-3.950%
Last 5 (5)102.4100.6203.0+1.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)104.3113.9218.3-9.626%
vs Similar ◀ (7)109.3112.1221.4-2.943%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
90-115
90
115
-25
76avg 105
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
113-122
113
122
-9
103avg 105
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
114-122
114
122
-8
115avg 105
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
116-113
116
113
+3
109avg 105
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
134-131
134
131
+3
130avg 105
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
104-110
104
110
-6
90avg 105
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
122-106
122
106
+16
128avg 105
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
105-106
105
106
-1
98avg 105
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
109-91
109
91
+18
113avg 105
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
111-105
111
105
+6
102avg 105
A13/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
14-26
19-32
31-28
35-32
29-34
21-29
28-27
32-24
24-32
38-30
20-36
37-30
31-28
25-29
23-26
27-31
42-44
33-30
32-26
25-36
25-23
29-26
25-25
30-25
21-25
41-24
30-32
26-27
27-25
38-29
14-25
23-26
34-18
26-31
26-16
25-26
31-38
30-21
25-20
223.9Avg total
111.8Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)111.8112.1223.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)110.2103.6213.8+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)116.2113.5229.8+2.825%
vs Similar ◀ (20)113.5111.8225.2+1.755%
vs Weaker (6)117.0106.2223.2+10.883%
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -0.7-0.7
Los Angeles LakersDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Los Angeles LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H27/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
60-67
60
67
-7
A31/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A01/04
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H02/04
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A06/04
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H08/04
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
53-51
53
51
+2
H10/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H12/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
50-64
50
64
-14
A13/04
NBA
102.7Avg total
50.7Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.957.8109.7-5.930%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.956.1106.1-6.238%-
Last 30 away (14)54.159.8113.9-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)50.752.0102.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.450.8102.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)51.558.1109.6-6.635%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)53.157.0110.1-3.914%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
40-55
40
55
-15
H27/03
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A29/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A31/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
68-58
68
58
+10
A02/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
69-75
69
75
-6
A05/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A06/04
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H08/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H09/04
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A12/04
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
56-64
56
64
-8
A13/04
NBA
114.3Avg total
56.4Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.655.7114.3+2.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.253.8112.0+4.467%-
Last 30 away (15)59.057.5116.5+1.540%-
Last 10 (10)56.457.9114.3-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)53.453.8107.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)62.556.5119.0+6.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)57.956.4114.2+1.545%-
vs Weaker (6)58.352.8111.2+5.567%-
This opponent (Los Angeles Lakers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Los Angeles Lakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Los Angeles Lakers: 101.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀65%
🏀🏀🏀20%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 65% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.133.2
51.0%
51.0%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.66.8
31.5%
36.1%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.214.9
73.8%
76.5%14.9
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.132.1
54.3%
51.0%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.910.5
34.0%
36.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws20.416.1
78.9%
76.5%16.1
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Los Angeles Lakers
LWWWWWLLLL
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLWWLLL
#21
League position
#12
-4.0
Net rating
-0.3
103.0
Offensive rating
109.4
107.0
Defensive rating
109.7
50.1%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.5%
25.3%
Off. rebound %
20.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.23
31.5%
3-point %
34.0%
54.0%
Assist %
62.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.0 · 109.4Defence107.0 · 109.7Shooting50.1% · 53.2%3-point %31.5% · 34.0%Ball care14.5% · 12.5%Off. rebounds25.3% · 20.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Los Angeles Lakers   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/17AGolden State Warriors94-109
12/04/17HNew Orleans Pelicans108-96
10/04/17HMinnesota Timberwolves110-109
08/04/17HSacramento Kings98-94
06/04/17ASan Antonio Spurs102-95
02/04/17HMemphis Grizzlies108-103
01/04/17ALos Angeles Clippers104-115
31/03/17AMinnesota Timberwolves104-119
29/03/17HWashington Wizards108-119
27/03/17HPortland Trail Blazers81-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/17AOklahoma City Thunder111-105
12/04/17ADallas Mavericks109-91
09/04/17HOklahoma City Thunder105-106
08/04/17HNew Orleans Pelicans122-106
06/04/17AHouston Rockets104-110
05/04/17ANew Orleans Pelicans134-131
02/04/17AMiami Heat116-113
31/03/17ACharlotte Hornets114-122
29/03/17APortland Trail Blazers113-122
27/03/17HNew Orleans Pelicans90-115

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

No league table for this competition yet.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Los Angeles Lakers30222329104
Denver Nuggets41332919122
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