Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Dec 2021

Tip-off: 21:30

Final 58-76

18-12 11-17 13-29 16-18

Position#9

Record6-3

FormWWLLW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game79.0

Lusitania

Benfica 🏆

Position#1

Record7-1

FormWWWWL

Points / game90.4

Allowed / game66.8

LPBRound 11

Other2021-22

Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Benfica winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Lusitania

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

80-96

-16

H30/04

LPB

Illiabum

#11

89-83

A02/10

LPB

Ovarense

79-77

H09/10

LPB

Vitoria

80-71

H16/10

LPB

Imortal

85-87

-2

A23/10

LPB

Oliveirense

81-74

H28/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

76-73

A31/10

LPB

Sporting CP

83-89

-6

H06/11

LPB

FC Porto

56-80

-24

A12/11

LPB

CD Povoa

#10

80-77

A05/12

LPB

15-22

23-25

20-22

22-27

18-15

27-22

16-19

28-27

24-26

12-23

23-15

20-13

18-16

21-30

13-13

28-12

28-27

15-13

18-26

24-21

15-19

22-19

23-15

21-21

18-17

23-14

19-20

16-22

19-20

22-32

24-14

18-23

20-27

9-20

14-14

13-19

22-17

21-13

13-22

24-25

159.6Avg total

78.9Scored

80.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (9)	78.8	79.0	157.8	-0.2	67%
Season at home (4)	80.8	77.8	158.5	+3.0	75%
Season away (5)	77.2	80.0	157.2	-2.8	60%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	80.7	159.6	-1.8	60%
Last 5 (5)	75.2	78.6	153.8	-3.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	78.7	85.2	163.9	-6.5	29%
vs Similar (4)	83.5	79.5	163.0	+4.0	75%
vs Weaker (11)	87.9	81.3	169.2	+6.6	91%

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Benfica

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

84-66

+18

A23/10

LPB

Opava

#35

99-89 OT

+10

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

FC Porto

71-81

-10

A31/10

LPB

Den Bosch

#31

78-76

A03/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Academica

#12

110-63

110

+47

H06/11

LPB

Parma Perm

92-89 OT

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

CD Povoa

#10

76-53

+23

A14/11

LPB

Opava

#35

86-84

H17/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

#11

112-72

112

+40

H05/12

LPB

CSM Oradea

56-68

-12

A08/12

FIBA Europe Cup

27-14

21-20

14-24

22-8

22-24

23-30

13-16

23-11

15-21

11-17

19-23

26-20

16-19

31-19

16-14

15-24

35-16

16-15

36-16

23-16

15-24

22-18

21-17

20-19

18-12

16-13

15-13

27-15

13-23

22-15

29-19

22-27

27-13

30-15

34-18

21-26

20-30

10-19

21-10

5-9

160.5Avg total

86.4Scored

74.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	90.4	66.8	157.1	+23.6	88%
Season at home (4)	103.8	65.5	169.2	+38.2	100%
Season away (4)	77.0	68.0	145.0	+9.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	74.1	160.5	+12.3	80%
Last 5 (5)	84.4	73.2	157.6	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	79.5	89.2	168.8	-9.8	0%
vs Similar (8)	84.2	83.1	167.4	+1.1	62%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	89.1	75.4	164.5	+13.6	76%

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LusitaniaBenfica

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	41.0	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.8	19.3	38.1	-0.5	38%	-
Last 30 away (17)	21.5	21.8	43.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	20.6	40.3	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	20.0	38.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	18.7	22.1	40.9	-3.4	21%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	18.8	40.2	+2.8	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	19.4	41.0	+2.3	64%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.8	19.0	42.8	+4.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.0	21.4	42.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	19.6	40.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	21.8	22.5	44.2	-0.8	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.9	22.2	44.1	-0.4	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	22.7	18.8	41.5	+3.9	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.8	22.3	42.1	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	23.4	43.4	-3.4	31%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.6	21.4	41.1	-1.8	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.1	40.6	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.6	39.0	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	19.4	22.4	41.7	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.0	19.5	40.5	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.5	22.8	42.4	-3.3	27%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.1	39.0	+0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.4	39.4	+2.7	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	16.0	36.0	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.8	19.5	39.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	21.0	39.5	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	20.8	18.5	39.3	+2.2	53%	-

LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Imortal

38-47

-9

H30/04

LPB

Illiabum

#11

45-37

A02/10

LPB

Ovarense

36-49

-13

H09/10

LPB

Vitoria

39-46

-7

H16/10

LPB

Imortal

43-40

A23/10

LPB

Oliveirense

37-38

-1

H28/10

LPB

CAB Madeira

41-31

+10

A31/10

LPB

Sporting CP

41-52

-11

H06/11

LPB

FC Porto

29-47

-18

A12/11

LPB

CD Povoa

#10

43-30

+13

A05/12

LPB

80.9Avg total

39.2Scored

41.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.1	43.0	83.1	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	38.8	42.7	81.5	-3.9	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.1	43.2	84.4	-2.1	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	41.7	80.9	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.6	77.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	38.1	44.5	82.6	-6.4	14%	-
vs Similar (4)	42.5	38.2	80.8	+4.2	75%	-
vs Weaker (11)	41.2	42.2	83.4	-1.0	45%	-

This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CAB Madeira

48-34

+14

A23/10

LPB

Opava

#35

45-54

-9

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

FC Porto

26-38

-12

A31/10

LPB

Den Bosch

#31

47-38

A03/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Academica

#12

51-31

+20

H06/11

LPB

Parma Perm

37-42

-5

A11/11

FIBA Europe Cup

CD Povoa

#10

34-25

A14/11

LPB

Opava

#35

35-38

-3

H17/11

FIBA Europe Cup

Illiabum

#11

57-28

+29

H05/12

LPB

CSM Oradea

30-49

-19

A08/12

FIBA Europe Cup

78.7Avg total

41.0Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.2	39.4	81.6	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.9	37.4	82.2	+7.5	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.8	41.2	81.1	-1.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.7	78.7	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	36.4	75.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	41.5	42.0	83.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	40.4	43.2	83.6	-2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	43.5	37.3	80.8	+6.2	59%	-

This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.1	38.4	+2.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.5	17.3	37.8	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.1	18.8	38.8	+1.3	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.0	35.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.6	43%	-
vs Similar (4)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.3	16.7	38.0	+4.5	73%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.3	39.8	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.0	42.1	+4.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	17.6	37.8	+2.6	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	17.0	38.8	+4.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	15.4	39.4	+8.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	17.2	22.2	39.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	17.0	37.6	+3.6	62%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	23.4	17.9	41.3	+5.4	71%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.2	42.8	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.5	19.2	41.8	+3.3	54%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	22.0	40.4	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (4)	26.0	21.2	47.2	+4.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.6	19.1	40.7	+2.5	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	21.0	42.6	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	22.1	44.6	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.8	20.1	40.8	+0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	17.5	37.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	19.2	38.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	25.0	45.8	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	21.5	43.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	59%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.8	39.4	81.1	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.0	36.5	79.5	+6.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.8	41.5	82.4	-0.7	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.7	39.0	78.7	+0.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	39.0	76.0	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)	40.6	40.7	81.4	-0.1	36%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	41.2	82.2	-0.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (11)	42.9	35.8	78.7	+7.1	82%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	39.3	82.4	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.5	41.1	86.6	+4.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.9	37.7	78.6	+3.2	75%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.2	34.5	76.7	+7.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	34.6	77.6	+8.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	38.0	47.2	85.2	-9.2	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	42.1	38.5	80.6	+3.6	75%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)	44.5	37.6	82.2	+6.9	76%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Lusitania wins

Benfica wins

Date	Game	Score
05/03/21	Benfica v Lusitania	93-89
14/11/20	Lusitania v Benfica	69-82
14/12/19	Lusitania v Benfica	60-103
02/05/19	Benfica v Lusitania	113-76
04/04/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-91
12/01/19	Lusitania v Benfica	76-88
20/10/18	Benfica v Lusitania	89-69
04/02/18	Benfica v Lusitania	97-100 OT
15/10/17	Lusitania v Benfica	89-95
18/02/17	Benfica v Lusitania	100-65

Lusitanialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/12/21	A	CD Povoa	80-77
12/11/21	A	FC Porto	56-80
06/11/21	H	Sporting CP	83-89
31/10/21	A	CAB Madeira	76-73
28/10/21	H	Oliveirense	81-74
23/10/21	A	Imortal	85-87
16/10/21	H	Vitoria	80-71
09/10/21	H	Ovarense	79-77
02/10/21	A	Illiabum	89-83
30/04/21	H	Imortal	80-96

Benficalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/21	A	CSM Oradea	56-68
05/12/21	H	Illiabum	112-72
17/11/21	H	Opava	86-84
14/11/21	A	CD Povoa	76-53
11/11/21	A	Parma Perm	92-89 OT
06/11/21	H	Academica	110-63
03/11/21	A	Den Bosch	78-76
31/10/21	A	FC Porto	71-81
27/10/21	A	Opava	99-89 OT
23/10/21	A	CAB Madeira	84-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania

LPB 2021-22

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	67%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	9	4	5
Win %	67%	75%	60%
Points / game	78.8	80.8	77.2
Allowed / game	79.0	77.8	80.0
Point differential	-0.2	+3.0	-2.8
Avg total	157.8	158.5	157.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	100% (1)	67% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Benfica

LPB 2021-22

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WWWW	100%
Away	WWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	4	4
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	90.4	103.8	77.0
Allowed / game	66.8	65.5	68.0
Point differential	+23.6	+38.2	+9.0
Avg total	157.1	169.2	145.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	75%	100%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	FC Porto	9	8	1	89%	65.3	55.1	+10.2
2	Benfica	8	7	1	88%	90.4	66.8	+23.6
3	Sporting CP	8	7	1	88%	86.1	70.0	+16.1
4	Imortal	10	7	3	70%	80.1	75.0	+5.1
5	Lusitania	9	6	3	67%	78.8	79.0	-0.2
6	Oliveirense	8	5	3	62%	79.6	77.4	+2.2
7	CAB Madeira	11	6	5	55%	73.5	72.4	+1.2
8	Ovarense	9	4	5	44%	74.0	76.7	-2.7
9	Illiabum	10	3	7	30%	77.1	81.9	-4.8
10	CD Povoa	11	2	9	18%	66.3	75.5	-9.3
11	Vitoria	10	1	9	10%	72.4	83.8	-11.4
12	Academica	11	1	10	9%	71.4	89.7	-18.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Lusitania	18	11	13	16	58
Benfica	12	17	29	18	76

← all games of the day

Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature