PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Lusitania vs Benfica Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 73-113
22-30 24-16 16-28 11-39
Position#12
Record1-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game91.9
Lusitania
Portugal
vs
Benfica 🏆
Portugal
Position#1
Record15-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game69.4
PortugalLPBRound 20· Pavilhão Municipal de Angra do Heroísmo
Other2023-24
Meetings · Lusitania v Benfica
13 Apr 2024
LUSI73
BEN113
26 Mar 2023
LUSI75
BEN91
17 Dec 2022
LUSI77
BEN87
11 Dec 2021
LUSI58
BEN76
14 Nov 2020
LUSI69
BEN82
14 Dec 2019
LUSI60
BEN103
04 Apr 2019
LUSI76
BEN91
12 Jan 2019
LUSI76
BEN88
15 Oct 2017
LUSI89
BEN95
03 Dec 2016
LUSI82
BEN91
30 Apr 2016
LUSI62
BEN84
14 Nov 2015
LUSI67
BEN69
29 Nov 2014
LUSI53
BEN86
25 Jan 2014
LUSI66
BEN73
27 Apr 2013
LUSI65
BEN89
16 Feb 2013
LUSI61
BEN70
06 May 2012
LUSI61
BEN67
05 May 2012
LUSI60
BEN84
18 Dec 2011
LUSI75
BEN73
05 Feb 2011
LUSI85
BEN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Benfica winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Imortal
#5
L
62-91
62
91
-29
45avg 60
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
70-99
70
99
-29
54avg 60
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
79-86
79
86
-7
64avg 60
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
68-102
68
102
-34
56avg 60
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
L
87-99
87
99
-12
74avg 60
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
70-95
70
95
-25
57avg 60
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
71avg 60
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
75-92
75
92
-17
63avg 60
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
87-113
87
113
-26
77avg 60
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
64-98
64
98
-34
48avg 60
A06/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
8-18
14-30
25-22
8-31
18-13
23-32
21-23
11-24
25-17
19-21
24-24
15-30
21-16
19-23
13-33
23-25
26-24
13-28
25-22
21-22
15-23
16-27
18-23
17-22
21-22
21-21
24-33
26-31
15-27
15-18
19-16
26-31
22-34
17-28
22-20
15-23
22-25
20-24
7-26
171.8Avg total
74.5Scored
97.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)73.591.9165.5-18.45%
Season at home (9)75.192.0167.1-16.911%
Season away (10)72.191.9164.0-19.80%
Last 10 (10)74.597.3171.8-22.80%
Last 5 (5)75.899.2175.0-23.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)74.693.1167.7-18.67%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBenfica
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
100-64
100
64
+36
99avg 82
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
84-78
84
78
+6
73avg 82
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
W
77-53
77
53
+24
80avg 82
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
95-84
95
84
+11
89avg 82
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
91-61
91
61
+30
92avg 82
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#3
W
103-86
103
86
+17
91avg 82
H16/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
78-81
78
81
-3
68avg 82
H17/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
87-79
87
79
+8
80avg 82
A23/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
87-72
87
72
+15
78avg 82
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
94-70
94
70
+24
91avg 82
H06/04
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-17
11-14
34-14
24-19
18-13
27-18
12-23
27-24
27-17
7-17
27-12
16-7
25-15
29-23
17-20
24-26
23-16
18-18
28-10
22-17
29-28
31-17
19-22
24-19
11-27
25-22
25-13
17-19
25-20
20-24
21-16
21-19
13-12
19-26
32-21
23-13
21-20
25-16
25-20
23-14
162.4Avg total
89.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)88.569.4157.8+19.179%
Season at home (10)94.064.7158.7+29.390%
Season away (9)82.374.6156.9+7.867%
Last 10 (10)89.672.8162.4+16.890%
Last 5 (5)89.877.6167.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)68.891.5160.2-22.80%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)87.370.0157.2+17.380%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -8.3-8.3Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -2.6-2.6Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -7.5-7.5Q3: +6.9+6.9Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +4.4+4.4
LusitaniaBenfica
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#5
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A27/01
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/02
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
36-41
36
41
-5
A14/02
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#7
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H02/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#6
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A09/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/03
LPB
Oliveirense
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H16/03
LPB
Portimonense
#11
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H23/03
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
48-65
48
65
-17
H30/03
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#3
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A06/04
LPB
84.9Avg total
37.0Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.545.183.6-6.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.045.086.0-4.036%-
Last 30 away (16)36.445.181.5-8.86%-
Last 10 (10)37.047.984.9-10.90%-
Last 5 (5)40.052.092.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (29)38.645.484.1-6.817%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BenficaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
A03/02
LPB
FC Porto
#2
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H10/02
LPB
Esgueira
#9
D
34-34
34
34
+0
H14/02
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#8
W
54-38
54
38
+16
A02/03
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H09/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#3
W
60-45
60
45
+15
H16/03
Taca de Portugal
FC Porto
#1
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H17/03
Taca de Portugal
Ovarense
#5
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A23/03
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A30/03
Taca da Liga
Sporting CP
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H06/04
LPB
81.5Avg total
43.5Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.277.0+4.667%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.477.9+7.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.076.1+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.538.081.5+5.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.486.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)36.242.879.0-6.525%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)42.035.577.6+6.572%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 73.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.719.3
47.4%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.57.5
29.4%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws18.712.6
67.4%
69.3%12.6
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Benficatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Benfica: 88.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.721.1
54.5%
51.0%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.3
39.4%
33.5%33.9
🏀 Free throws17.912.7
70.9%
69.3%12.7
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLLL
Benfica
WWWLWWWWWW
#12
League position
#1
-28.3
Net rating
+22.8
91.5
Offensive rating
117.9
119.8
Defensive rating
95.0
46.1%
Effective FG%
56.5%
58.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
19.2%
Turnover %
16.3%
23.5%
Off. rebound %
34.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.27
29.4%
3-point %
39.4%
53.7%
Assist %
57.7%
0%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.5 · 117.9Defence119.8 · 95.0Shooting46.1% · 56.5%3-point %29.4% · 39.4%Ball care19.2% · 16.3%Off. rebounds23.5% · 34.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)0% · 90%
■ Lusitania   ■ Benfica
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Lusitania wins
10
Benfica wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Benfica v Lusitania94-51
06/05/23Benfica v Lusitania107-74
26/03/23Lusitania v Benfica75-91
17/12/22Lusitania v Benfica77-87
01/10/22Benfica v Lusitania111-85
26/03/22Benfica v Lusitania131-72
11/12/21Lusitania v Benfica58-76
05/03/21Benfica v Lusitania93-89
14/11/20Lusitania v Benfica69-82
14/12/19Lusitania v Benfica60-103
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24AOliveirense64-98
30/03/24HSporting CP87-113
23/03/24HPortimonense75-92
16/03/24HOliveirense83-98
14/03/24HSporting CP70-95
09/03/24ACD Povoa87-99
02/03/24HVitoria68-102
14/02/24APortimonense79-86
03/02/24AOvarense70-99
27/01/24AImortal62-91
Benficalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24HSporting CP94-70
30/03/24ACD Povoa87-72
23/03/24AOvarense87-79
17/03/24HFC Porto78-81
16/03/24HCD Povoa103-86
09/03/24HGalomar91-61
02/03/24AImortal95-84
14/02/24HEsgueira77-53
10/02/24HFC Porto84-78
03/02/24AEsgueira100-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL5%
HomeLLLLL11%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %5%11%0%
Points / game73.575.172.1
Allowed / game91.992.091.9
Point differential-18.4-16.9-19.8
Avg total165.5167.1164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Benfica
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW79%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %79%90%67%
Points / game88.594.082.3
Allowed / game69.464.774.6
Point differential+19.1+29.3+7.8
Avg total157.8158.7156.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%80%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto2016480%88.375.8+12.6
2 Benfica1915479%88.569.4+19.1
3 Sporting CP2014670%90.080.4+9.7
4 Oliveirense2014670%81.074.9+6.2
5 Ovarense2012860%80.379.2+1.2
6 CD Povoa2012860%82.383.2-0.9
7 Vitoria20101050%80.379.2+1.1
8 Imortal2081240%78.783.5-4.8
9 Galomar2061430%74.480.2-5.8
10 Portimonense2061430%72.078.8-6.9
11 Esgueira2051525%72.985.8-12.9
12 Lusitania191185%73.591.9-18.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Lusitania2224161173
Benfica30162839113
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.