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Mega Basket vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Dec 2021
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 70-72
16-24 16-22 26-11 12-15
Position#10
Record5-6
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game78.0
vs
Zadar 🏆
Position#12
Record2-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game71.0
Allowed / game77.5
EuropeABA LeagueRound 12
Domestic2021
Meetings · Mega Basket v Zadar
11 Oct 2026
MEG88
ZAD82
12 Dec 2025
MEG90
ZAD89
30 Mar 2025
MEG75
ZAD74
05 Nov 2023
MEG91
ZAD81
23 Jan 2023
MEG80
ZAD77
19 Dec 2021
MEG70
ZAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
L
84-89 OT
84
89
-5
no box
A04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
73-72 OT
73
72
+1
no box
H10/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
A17/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
82-89
82
89
-7
66avg 79
H24/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
67-81
67
81
-14
66avg 79
A01/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
84avg 79
H07/11
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
63-79
63
79
-16
54avg 79
A14/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
104-75
104
75
+29
107avg 79
H21/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
L
75-79
75
79
-4
67avg 79
A04/12
ABA League
Split
#13
W
78-65
78
65
+13
78avg 79
H12/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
25-14
14-26
17-19
20-17
16-16
18-16
13-18
18-13
14-29
24-18
12-20
22-21
16-27
26-18
18-23
16-24
16-22
16-14
19-21
23-19
32-19
17-25
15-18
15-18
17-24
16-16
15-21
27-15
23-19
33-21
21-20
10-14
26-23
21-22
18-20
20-12
15-16
22-22
21-15
157.1Avg total
78.1Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)80.278.0158.2+2.245%
Season at home (6)87.575.0162.5+12.583%
Season away (5)71.481.6153.0-10.20%
Last 10 (10)78.179.0157.1-0.940%
Last 5 (5)81.475.8157.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)75.180.4155.5-5.238%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.980.0162.9+2.938%
vs Weaker (5)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
66avg 66
H07/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
68avg 66
A13/11
ABA League
Gorica
#5
W
82-81
82
81
+1
no box
H15/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
L
64-77
64
77
-13
53avg 66
H18/11
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
87-68
87
68
+19
no box
A20/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
74-73
74
73
+1
63avg 66
A05/12
ABA League
Skrljevo
#7
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
W
73-67
73
67
+6
no box
A10/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#11
L
71-76
71
76
-5
67avg 66
H12/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
99-70
99
70
+29
no box
A17/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
19-25
15-25
21-15
16-23
18-22
17-16
18-23
25-19
12-24
24-17
21-21
16-12
16-18
17-25
15-22
22-23
25-13
21-18
19-14
32-20
15-19
15-16
12-18
25-22
17-25
22-18
31-16
25-21
17-22
9-13
22-11
13-18
21-20
16-16
21-22
21-20
23-21
30-13
25-16
154.7Avg total
78.7Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)71.077.5148.5-6.518%
Season at home (6)69.773.0142.7-3.317%
Season away (5)72.682.8155.4-10.220%
Last 10 (10)78.776.0154.7+2.760%
Last 5 (5)82.473.4155.8+9.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.978.0148.9-7.114%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.675.2147.8-2.640%
vs Weaker (18)80.270.4150.7+9.878%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -2.6-2.6Q4: +2.7+2.7
Mega BasketZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#8
W
47-33
47
33
+14
A04/10
ABA League
KK Krka Novo mesto
#14
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H10/10
ABA League
Borac Mozzart
#9
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A17/10
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#6
L
38-48
38
48
-10
H24/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A01/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
W
55-38
55
38
+17
H07/11
ABA League
Igokea
#5
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A14/11
ABA League
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H21/11
ABA League
Mornar Bar
#11
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A04/12
ABA League
Split
#13
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H12/12
ABA League
77.4Avg total
39.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (23)42.039.081.0+3.057%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.436.581.9+8.885%-
Last 30 away (10)37.642.279.8-4.620%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.177.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.877.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)40.942.983.8-2.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.938.079.9+3.950%-
vs Weaker (5)43.032.475.4+10.6100%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crvena zvezda
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H07/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A13/11
ABA League
Gorica
#5
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H15/11
Premijer liga
Igokea
#5
W
32-30
32
30
+2
H18/11
ABA League
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
47-36
47
36
+11
A20/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Olimpija
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A05/12
ABA League
Skrljevo
#7
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H07/12
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#4
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A10/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#11
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H12/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A17/12
Premijer liga
80.1Avg total
39.6Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.175.6+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.334.271.5+3.153%-
Last 30 away (13)40.040.980.9-0.946%-
Last 10 (10)39.640.580.1-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)41.841.683.4+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)38.039.677.6-1.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)35.637.473.0-1.820%-
vs Weaker (18)39.436.175.6+3.356%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.721.3
47.8%
52.2%42.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.38.6
42.1%
34.7%25.7
🏀 Free throws16.411.8
71.6%
73.4%11.8
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 69.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.2
49.6%
52.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.3
32.3%
34.7%21.9
🏀 Free throws18.613.5
72.6%
73.4%13.5
They take 57.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 19 Dec 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
WLWLWLLLWL
Zadar
WLWWWWLWLL
#10
League position
#12
+5.0
Net rating
-9.4
103.1
Offensive rating
99.5
98.1
Defensive rating
108.9
52.6%
Effective FG%
49.1%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.3%
20.7%
Turnover %
17.2%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
25.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.32
42.1%
3-point %
32.3%
67.3%
Assist %
66.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.1 · 99.5Defence98.1 · 108.9Shooting52.6% · 49.1%3-point %42.1% · 32.3%Ball care20.7% · 17.2%Off. rebounds32.9% · 25.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mega Basket wins
0
Zadar wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/21HSplit78-65
04/12/21AMornar Bar75-79
21/11/21HCedevita Olimpija104-75
14/11/21AIgokea63-79
07/11/21HBuducnost87-81
01/11/21ACrvena zvezda67-81
24/10/21HFMP Beograd82-89
17/10/21ABorac Mozzart68-80
10/10/21HKK Krka Novo mesto73-72 OT
04/10/21ACibona84-89 OT
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/21ADubrava99-70
12/12/21HMornar Bar71-76
10/12/21ACedevita Junior73-67
07/12/21HSkrljevo95-81
05/12/21ACedevita Olimpija74-73
20/11/21ASonik Puntamika87-68
18/11/21HIgokea64-77
15/11/21HGorica82-81
13/11/21ABuducnost69-84
07/11/21HCrvena zvezda73-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2021
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWLWWW83%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %45%83%0%
Points / game80.287.571.4
Allowed / game78.075.081.6
Point differential+2.2+12.5-10.2
Avg total158.2162.5153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %18%17%20%
Zadar
ABA League 2021
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL18%
HomeLWLLL17%
AwayLLLLW20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %18%17%20%
Points / game71.069.772.6
Allowed / game77.573.082.8
Point differential-6.5-3.3-10.2
Avg total148.5142.7155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Crvena zvezda1110191%80.367.0+13.3
2 Partizan1210283%76.166.4+9.7
3 FMP Beograd1210283%84.280.0+4.2
4 Buducnost129375%80.871.9+8.8
5 Cedevita Olimpija127558%83.677.8+5.8
6 Igokea126650%79.678.2+1.3
7 Mega Basket115645%80.278.0+2.2
8 Cibona125742%75.275.4-0.2
9 Studentski Centar125742%81.588.2-6.8
10 Borac Mozzart114736%76.979.2-2.3
11 Mornar Bar124833%75.278.6-3.4
12 KK Krka Novo mesto123925%71.584.2-12.8
13 Zadar112918%71.077.5-6.5
14 Split1221017%70.383.2-12.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1616261270
Zadar2422111572
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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