Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 Dec 2017

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 95-69

25-21 24-13 21-20 25-15

Position#1

Record6-6

FormLWLWL

Points / game85.7

Allowed / game84.5

Melbourne United 🏆

Sydney

Position#7

Record3-11

FormLLWLL

Points / game85.5

Allowed / game93.8

NBL

Other2017-18

Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

84-89

-5

A20/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

76-88

-12

H22/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

85-87

-2

A28/10

NBL

Cairns

87-65

+22

H02/11

NBL

Adelaide

101-84

101

+17

H04/11

NBL

Cairns

69-92

-23

A09/11

NBL

Sydney

108-90

108

+18

H11/11

NBL

Perth

59-91

-32

H19/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

91-73

+18

H04/12

NBL

Cairns

70-79

-9

A09/12

NBL

21-20

23-23

19-28

21-18

22-22

21-23

17-27

16-16

15-21

29-25

13-27

28-14

31-23

17-13

21-16

18-13

21-30

26-17

29-13

25-24

23-25

19-21

15-18

12-28

21-23

29-24

29-25

29-18

24-19

9-30

14-23

12-19

22-20

24-22

22-8

23-23

15-22

22-20

14-17

19-20

166.8Avg total

83.0Scored

83.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	85.7	84.5	170.2	+1.2	50%
Season at home (6)	87.0	81.8	168.8	+5.2	67%
Season away (6)	84.3	87.2	171.5	-2.8	33%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	83.8	166.8	-0.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.4	85.0	164.4	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	86.7	85.2	171.9	+1.5	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	84.4	82.1	166.5	+2.3	40%

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

84-114

114

-30

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

99-94 OT

A29/10

NBL

Perth

69-93

-24

A03/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

83-93

-10

H05/11

NBL

Melbourne United

90-108

108

-18

A11/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

93-97 OT

-4

A16/11

NBL

Adelaide

93-108

108

-15

A18/11

NBL

Cairns

81-72

H30/11

NBL

Cairns

71-80

-9

A02/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

77-85

-8

H09/12

NBL

24-38

26-31

11-27

23-18

19-23

29-22

22-24

18-19

15-27

17-21

16-24

21-21

20-21

24-22

21-21

18-29

23-21

24-29

25-29

18-29

25-14

21-17

26-25

8-24

28-25

25-35

16-23

24-25

27-21

24-11

18-28

12-12

17-12

19-23

21-16

14-29

17-17

24-23

19-23

17-22

178.4Avg total

84.0Scored

94.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	85.5	93.8	179.3	-8.3	21%
Season at home (5)	88.0	88.4	176.4	-0.4	40%
Season away (9)	84.1	96.8	180.9	-12.7	11%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	94.4	178.4	-10.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	88.4	171.4	-5.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	86.4	105.6	192.0	-19.2	0%
vs Similar (25)	83.2	86.6	169.8	-3.4	32%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.8	43.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.4	20.9	44.3	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.7	42.6	+1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	22.5	44.0	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.8	42.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	23.2	20.4	43.5	+2.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.3	21.7	43.0	-0.4	40%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	23.5	45.7	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.7	22.5	44.2	-0.8	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	22.6	24.3	46.9	-1.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	17.8	40.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.4	27.4	49.8	-5.0	40%	-
vs Similar (25)	22.2	22.7	44.9	-0.5	44%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.9	43.2	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.8	41.7	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	23.7	44.6	-2.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	21.8	43.7	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	23.4	44.0	-2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.1	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.4	42.0	-0.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	22.7	19.2	41.8	+3.5	92%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.1	23.1	42.1	-4.0	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.4	46.7	-0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	21.8	44.4	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	24.0	27.2	51.2	-3.2	20%	-
vs Similar (25)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	64%	-
vs Weaker	no games

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

44-43

A20/10

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

43-45

-2

H22/10

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

44-46

-2

A28/10

NBL

Cairns

48-36

+12

H02/11

NBL

Adelaide

47-47

H04/11

NBL

Cairns

42-46

-4

A09/11

NBL

Sydney

50-47

H11/11

NBL

Perth

33-49

-16

H19/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-42

H04/12

NBL

Cairns

37-42

-5

A09/12

NBL

87.7Avg total

43.4Scored

44.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.9	42.7	86.6	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	40.7	86.0	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.8	44.4	87.1	-1.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	44.3	87.7	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	45.2	86.8	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	44.1	42.4	86.5	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	43.5	43.2	86.7	+0.3	40%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

50-69

-19

A21/10

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-45

A29/10

NBL

Perth

32-48

-16

A03/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

44-43

H05/11

NBL

Melbourne United

47-50

-3

A11/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-31

+15

A16/11

NBL

Adelaide

53-60

-7

A18/11

NBL

Cairns

51-32

+19

H30/11

NBL

Cairns

36-35

A02/12

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

41-40

H09/12

NBL

90.1Avg total

44.8Scored

45.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	44.9	87.7	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	44.4	41.6	86.0	+2.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (17)	41.7	47.4	89.1	-5.6	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	45.3	90.1	-0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	39.6	85.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	46.4	54.6	101.0	-8.2	20%	-
vs Similar (25)	42.2	42.9	85.1	-0.8	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.8	42.0	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.2	39.5	-0.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	18.2	37.0	+0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	21.6	20.9	42.5	+0.8	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	19.7	20.1	39.8	-0.4	50%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.4	42.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.8	21.5	42.4	-0.7	46%	-
Last 30 away (17)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	41%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	24.0	43.5	-4.5	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	23.0	43.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	17.2	26.0	43.2	-8.8	0%	-
vs Similar (25)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.9	42.0	+0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	20.1	43.3	+3.0	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	19.3	39.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	21.6	40.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	20.9	22.0	43.0	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.4	40%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.1	22.8	41.8	-3.7	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	19.5	22.8	42.3	-3.2	35%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.3	22.8	40.1	-5.5	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.0	22.4	37.4	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.8	25.0	47.8	-2.2	20%	-
vs Similar (25)	18.6	22.3	41.0	-3.7	32%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.0	41.5	83.5	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.0	39.4	84.4	+5.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.4	43.4	82.8	-4.1	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.6	39.5	79.1	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	39.8	77.6	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (20)	42.5	42.9	85.4	-0.3	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	40.9	38.9	79.8	+2.0	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	44.1	84.2	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.9	44.3	84.2	-4.4	23%	-
Last 30 away (17)	40.1	44.0	84.1	-3.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.8	46.8	83.6	-10.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	45.4	80.4	-10.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	40.0	51.0	91.0	-11.0	0%	-
vs Similar (25)	40.0	42.8	82.8	-2.7	32%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/17	Melbourne United v Sydney	108-90
04/02/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-89
11/12/16	Sydney v Melbourne United	81-88
26/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-92
12/11/16	Melbourne United v Sydney	71-87
30/12/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	90-100
16/12/15	Melbourne United v Sydney	81-96
05/11/15	Sydney v Melbourne United	94-105
01/11/15	Melbourne United v Sydney	96-82
22/02/15	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-92

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/17	A	Cairns	70-79
04/12/17	H	Illawarra Hawks	91-73
19/11/17	H	Perth	59-91
11/11/17	H	Sydney	108-90
09/11/17	A	Cairns	69-92
04/11/17	H	Adelaide	101-84
02/11/17	H	Cairns	87-65
28/10/17	A	Brisbane Bullets	85-87
22/10/17	H	New Zealand Breakers	76-88
20/10/17	A	Perth	84-89

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/17	H	Brisbane Bullets	77-85
02/12/17	A	Cairns	71-80
30/11/17	H	Cairns	81-72
18/11/17	A	Adelaide	93-108
16/11/17	A	Illawarra Hawks	93-97 OT
11/11/17	A	Melbourne United	90-108
05/11/17	H	Illawarra Hawks	83-93
03/11/17	A	Perth	69-93
29/10/17	A	Illawarra Hawks	99-94 OT
21/10/17	A	Adelaide	84-114

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2017-18

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLWL	50%
Home	WWWLW	67%
Away	WLLLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	6	6
Win %	50%	67%	33%
Points / game	85.7	87.0	84.3
Allowed / game	84.5	81.8	87.2
Point differential	+1.2	+5.2	-2.8
Avg total	170.2	168.8	171.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	67%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2017-18

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	21%
Home	LWLWL	40%
Away	LLLLL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	5	9
Win %	21%	40%	11%
Points / game	85.5	88.0	84.1
Allowed / game	93.8	88.4	96.8
Point differential	-8.3	-0.4	-12.7
Avg total	179.3	176.4	180.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	20%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	-	33% (3)
Overtime %	14%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Perth	13	10	3	77%	88.4	79.2	+9.2
2	New Zealand Breakers	14	10	4	71%	86.1	83.7	+2.4
3	Adelaide	13	7	6	54%	92.3	90.2	+2.1
4	Cairns	14	7	7	50%	79.1	77.8	+1.3
5	Melbourne United	12	6	6	50%	85.7	84.5	+1.2
6	Illawarra Hawks	13	5	8	38%	87.6	91.2	-3.6
7	Brisbane Bullets	13	5	8	38%	85.8	89.5	-3.7
8	Sydney	14	3	11	21%	85.5	93.8	-8.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	25	24	21	25	95
Sydney	21	13	20	15	69

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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