Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Mar 2020

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 125-80

26-24 32-7 45-24 22-25

Position#6

Record15-14

FormLWWWL

Points / game93.7

Allowed / game91.2

Melbourne United 🏆

Sydney

Position#1

Record21-8

FormWLWWW

Points / game94.1

Allowed / game88.0

NBLNBL - Semi-finals

Other2019-20

Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

104-91

104

+13

A04/01

NBL

Adelaide

86-100

100

-14

A11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

68-90

-22

A19/01

NBL

Sydney

88-106

106

-18

A26/01

NBL

Perth

77-67

+10

H29/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

83-87

-4

A01/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

95-72

+23

H08/02

NBL

Cairns

99-83

+16

H13/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

109-90

109

+19

A16/02

NBL

Sydney

80-86

-6

A29/02

NBL

28-26

27-24

17-24

32-17

24-32

24-21

22-26

16-21

18-26

17-20

16-21

17-23

25-28

20-20

17-29

26-29

26-13

14-21

15-14

22-19

17-21

30-17

21-25

15-24

24-18

22-16

27-23

22-15

20-18

25-24

23-25

31-16

34-24

21-22

26-27

28-17

20-16

23-21

26-23

11-26

176.1Avg total

88.9Scored

87.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	93.7	91.2	185.0	+2.5	52%
Season at home (14)	95.7	90.1	185.9	+5.6	64%
Season away (15)	91.9	92.3	184.1	-0.4	40%
Last 10 (10)	88.9	87.2	176.1	+1.7	50%
Last 5 (5)	93.2	83.6	176.8	+9.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	90.0	92.7	182.6	-2.7	35%
vs Weaker (10)	100.3	89.0	189.3	+11.3	80%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

91-77

+14

H04/01

NBL

Cairns

92-83

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

81-88

-7

A17/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

98-81

+17

H19/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

102-79

102

+23

A24/01

NBL

Melbourne United

106-88

106

+18

H26/01

NBL

Perth

100-110

100

110

-10

A01/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

99-96 OT

A09/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

98-82

+16

H14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

86-80

H29/02

NBL

25-23

22-19

26-13

18-22

23-16

21-21

24-23

24-24

24-19

22-25

11-20

27-24

30-26

18-18

23-13

22-16

24-18

26-23

30-22

28-25

20-20

29-17

29-26

27-31

25-29

21-29

27-21

28-20

15-21

19-21

27-27

31-26

26-17

17-14

24-25

16-20

21-23

23-26

26-11

181.7Avg total

95.3Scored

86.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (29)	94.1	88.0	182.1	+6.1	72%
Season at home (15)	97.5	87.9	185.5	+9.6	87%
Season away (14)	90.4	88.1	178.4	+2.3	57%
Last 10 (10)	95.3	86.4	181.7	+8.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	97.8	91.2	189.0	+6.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	91.8	89.2	181.0	+2.6	58%
vs Weaker (11)	96.4	86.1	182.5	+10.3	91%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	24.2	48.6	+0.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	23.6	46.9	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	25.5	24.7	50.2	+0.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.6	22.2	45.8	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	19.4	42.4	+3.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.2	23.9	47.2	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (10)	26.7	24.6	51.3	+2.1	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	25.1	23.1	48.2	+2.0	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.3	23.2	48.5	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	24.9	23.1	47.9	+1.8	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.1	22.5	47.6	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	24.4	50.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	24.7	23.8	48.5	+0.9	47%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.8	22.0	47.8	+3.8	82%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	22.5	44.8	-0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	23.5	46.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	21.5	43.5	+0.6	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.6	42.9	+1.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	20.0	44.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.8	23.4	45.1	-1.6	35%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.5	20.6	44.1	+2.9	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.6	21.9	45.5	+1.7	63%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	25.1	20.8	45.9	+4.2	75%	-
Last 30 away (14)	22.0	23.1	45.1	-1.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	21.3	44.1	+1.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.0	43.4	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	22.5	22.8	45.4	-0.3	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.5	20.3	45.8	+5.3	82%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

55-50

A04/01

NBL

Adelaide

48-53

-5

A11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

35-46

-11

A19/01

NBL

Sydney

45-48

-3

A26/01

NBL

Perth

40-34

H29/01

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-38

A01/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-34

+12

H08/02

NBL

Cairns

45-42

H13/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-46

A16/02

NBL

Sydney

43-37

A29/02

NBL

88.7Avg total

45.9Scored

42.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	46.6	93.4	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	47.1	93.0	-1.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.5	46.2	93.7	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.9	42.8	88.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.2	39.4	86.6	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	45.0	47.4	92.3	-2.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	50.2	45.2	95.4	+5.0	60%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Adelaide

47-42

H04/01

NBL

Cairns

44-37

H11/01

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

48-43

A17/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

57-50

H19/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

46-34

+12

A24/01

NBL

Melbourne United

48-45

H26/01

NBL

Perth

52-60

-8

A01/02

NBL

South East Melbourne

43-41

A09/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

57-43

+14

H14/02

NBL

Melbourne United

37-43

-6

H29/02

NBL

91.7Avg total

47.9Scored

43.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	48.7	45.0	93.8	+3.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	50.4	44.0	94.4	+6.4	81%	-
Last 30 away (14)	46.9	46.2	93.1	+0.6	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.9	43.8	91.7	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.4	46.4	93.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	47.2	46.6	93.8	+0.6	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	51.4	42.3	93.6	+9.1	100%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.5	45.0	+0.0	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	21.9	44.7	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	23.1	45.3	-0.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	23.7	44.7	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.6	24.6	49.2	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.2	22.1	44.3	+0.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (10)	23.0	23.4	46.4	-0.4	30%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.9	42.4	+0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	21.1	44.1	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	20.9	43.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	42%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	19.8	41.4	+1.7	64%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	22.3	46.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	26.2	21.7	47.9	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.1	22.9	45.1	-0.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	20.7	42.7	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.6	41.0	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	22.7	23.2	46.0	-0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	27.1	20.4	47.5	+6.7	90%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.9	22.9	45.8	-0.1	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	20.1	42.0	+1.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.9	21.0	44.9	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.6	22.0	48.6	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	58%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.5	22.5	43.9	-1.0	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.7	44.8	91.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.0	43.5	92.5	+5.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.3	46.1	90.4	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.0	44.4	87.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.0	44.2	90.2	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (20)	45.0	45.3	90.2	-0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (10)	50.1	43.8	93.9	+6.3	80%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	42.5	86.5	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	45.8	44.1	89.9	+1.8	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.9	40.6	82.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.4	41.9	88.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.4	43.4	91.8	+5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (19)	44.6	42.6	87.2	+2.0	53%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.0	42.3	85.3	+0.7	45%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
29/02/20	Sydney v Melbourne United	86-80
26/01/20	Sydney v Melbourne United	106-88
14/12/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	81-104
01/12/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	111-101
04/11/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	107-104
03/03/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-90
28/02/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-73
08/02/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	97-85
23/12/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	70-75
24/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	84-82

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/20	A	Sydney	80-86
16/02/20	A	South East Melbourne	109-90
13/02/20	H	Cairns	99-83
08/02/20	H	Illawarra Hawks	95-72
01/02/20	A	Brisbane Bullets	83-87
29/01/20	H	Perth	77-67
26/01/20	A	Sydney	88-106
19/01/20	A	New Zealand Breakers	68-90
11/01/20	A	Adelaide	86-100
04/01/20	A	Illawarra Hawks	104-91

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/02/20	H	Melbourne United	86-80
14/02/20	H	Illawarra Hawks	98-82
09/02/20	A	South East Melbourne	99-96 OT
01/02/20	A	Perth	100-110
26/01/20	H	Melbourne United	106-88
24/01/20	A	Illawarra Hawks	102-79
19/01/20	H	South East Melbourne	98-81
17/01/20	A	New Zealand Breakers	81-88
11/01/20	H	Cairns	92-83
04/01/20	H	Adelaide	91-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	52%
Home	LLWWW	64%
Away	LLLWL	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	14	15
Win %	52%	64%	40%
Points / game	93.7	95.7	91.9
Allowed / game	91.2	90.1	92.3
Point differential	+2.5	+5.6	-0.4
Avg total	185.0	185.9	184.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	38%	43%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	40% (5)	25% (4)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	72%
Home	WWWWW	87%
Away	LLWLW	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	29	15	14
Win %	72%	87%	57%
Points / game	94.1	97.5	90.4
Allowed / game	88.0	87.9	88.1
Point differential	+6.1	+9.6	+2.3
Avg total	182.1	185.5	178.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	45%	60%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	100% (2)	60% (5)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	29	21	8	72%	94.1	88.0	+6.1
2	Perth	30	20	10	67%	90.4	86.7	+3.7
3	Cairns	30	17	13	57%	92.6	91.0	+1.7
4	Brisbane Bullets	28	15	13	54%	93.1	91.3	+1.8
5	New Zealand Breakers	28	15	13	54%	89.8	88.1	+1.6
6	Melbourne United	29	15	14	52%	93.7	91.2	+2.5
7	Adelaide	28	12	16	43%	94.8	98.9	-4.1
8	South East Melbourne	28	9	19	32%	95.4	98.6	-3.2
9	Illawarra Hawks	28	5	23	18%	84.1	94.8	-10.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	26	32	45	22	125
Sydney	24	7	24	25	80

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature