Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 06:30

Final 81-104

18-31 18-21 23-23 22-29

Position#6

Record8-6

FormWWLLW

Points / game99.7

Allowed / game96.0

Melbourne United

Sydney 🏆

Position#1

Record11-3

FormWWWLL

Points / game94.0

Allowed / game88.5

NBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Sydney winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne United Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

85-90

-5

A28/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

110-98

110

+12

A02/11

NBL

Sydney

107-104

107

104

H04/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

104-101

104

101

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

109-90

109

+19

H10/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

96-95

H16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

108-94

108

+14

H24/11

NBL

Cairns

86-93

-7

A29/11

NBL

Sydney

101-111

101

111

-10

A01/12

NBL

Adelaide

112-90

112

+22

H07/12

NBL

31-19

14-22

21-26

19-23

32-26

23-16

25-27

30-29

25-29

23-26

28-21

31-28

27-27

24-26

33-14

20-34

19-27

37-14

24-25

29-24

26-31

21-22

21-19

28-23

27-27

22-21

32-24

27-22

26-20

18-27

13-22

29-24

25-35

25-30

28-31

23-15

33-17

25-27

29-19

198.4Avg total

101.8Scored

96.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	99.7	96.0	195.7	+3.7	57%
Season at home (8)	102.1	94.6	196.8	+7.5	75%
Season away (6)	96.5	97.8	194.3	-1.3	33%
Last 10 (10)	101.8	96.6	198.4	+5.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	100.6	96.6	197.2	+4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	93.0	90.7	183.7	+2.3	55%
vs Weaker (8)	101.5	91.1	192.6	+10.4	75%

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Sydney

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

94-79

+15

H26/10

NBL

Adelaide

98-96 OT

A02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

104-107

104

107

-3

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

95-85

+10

A08/11

NBL

Perth

104-85

104

+19

H10/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

92-87

H17/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

90-86

A23/11

NBL

Melbourne United

111-101

111

101

+10

H01/12

NBL

Perth

77-96

-19

A06/12

NBL

Cairns

98-109

109

-11

H08/12

NBL

25-19

27-13

19-20

23-27

12-24

33-19

24-17

17-26

29-25

26-23

21-28

28-31

25-33

22-27

28-8

20-17

20-20

29-26

30-18

25-21

24-28

27-17

19-20

22-22

25-19

30-18

12-28

23-21

35-25

30-25

31-28

15-23

27-30

18-40

12-11

20-15

19-30

24-19

20-25

35-35

189.4Avg total

96.3Scored

93.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	94.0	88.5	182.5	+5.5	79%
Season at home (7)	99.6	90.3	189.9	+9.3	86%
Season away (7)	88.4	86.7	175.1	+1.7	71%
Last 10 (10)	96.3	93.1	189.4	+3.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	93.6	95.8	189.4	-2.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	77.0	91.5	168.5	-14.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	90.7	89.0	179.6	+1.7	65%
vs Weaker (8)	89.0	86.1	175.1	+2.9	75%

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Melbourne UnitedSydney

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.5	23.8	47.2	-0.3	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.1	24.0	47.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.8	23.5	47.3	+0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	27.1	25.8	52.9	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	26.0	53.4	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	23.1	23.7	46.8	-0.6	32%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.5	23.9	48.4	+0.6	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.1	22.3	46.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	24.9	22.1	47.1	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	23.1	22.5	45.6	+0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	25.3	49.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.0	26.4	52.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	24.5	16.0	40.5	+8.5	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	24.6	23.9	48.4	+0.7	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.0	20.0	43.0	+3.0	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.6	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.2	22.5	46.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	21.7	42.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	23.1	46.3	+0.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.4	47.6	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	22.1	21.8	43.9	+0.3	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.4	23.0	47.4	+1.4	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.5	44.6	-0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.2	22.2	45.5	+1.0	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.8	22.8	43.5	-2.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.6	22.7	49.3	+3.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.8	23.8	49.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	10.0	21.5	31.5	-11.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	23.0	22.9	46.0	+0.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.1	21.5	44.6	+1.6	50%	-

Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cairns

45-41

A28/10

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-42

+13

A02/11

NBL

Sydney

48-55

-7

H04/11

NBL

New Zealand Breakers

51-53

-2

A07/11

NBL

Adelaide

56-41

+15

H10/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

47-53

-6

H16/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

49-48

H24/11

NBL

Cairns

44-47

-3

A29/11

NBL

Sydney

50-65

-15

A01/12

NBL

Adelaide

58-44

+14

H07/12

NBL

99.2Avg total

50.3Scored

48.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.2	45.9	92.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.3	46.5	93.9	+0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.0	45.3	90.3	-0.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.3	48.9	99.2	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.6	51.4	101.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	45.2	45.5	90.7	-0.4	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	48.9	46.9	95.8	+2.0	50%	-

This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Brisbane Bullets

52-32

+20

H26/10

NBL

Adelaide

45-43

A02/11

NBL

Melbourne United

55-48

A04/11

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

47-60

-13

A08/11

NBL

Perth

49-46

H10/11

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

51-45

H17/11

NBL

South East Melbourne

55-37

+18

A23/11

NBL

Melbourne United

65-50

+15

H01/12

NBL

Perth

45-70

-25

A06/12

NBL

Cairns

43-49

-6

H08/12

NBL

98.7Avg total

50.7Scored

48.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.3	44.8	91.1	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	48.2	44.4	92.5	+3.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.8	45.3	89.2	-1.5	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	50.7	48.0	98.7	+2.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.8	50.2	102.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	34.5	37.5	72.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	47.5	46.8	94.3	+0.8	60%	-
vs Weaker (8)	46.1	41.5	87.6	+4.6	75%	-

This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.4	22.6	46.0	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	21.1	45.2	+3.1	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	24.1	46.7	-1.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	23.6	48.6	+1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	24.6	48.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	22.9	22.4	45.3	+0.5	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	24.9	23.0	47.9	+1.9	38%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	22.1	43.2	-0.9	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	20.0	39.8	-0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.6	20.3	41.9	+1.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.5	22.0	37.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.4	20.8	42.2	+0.6	45%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.8	21.9	41.6	-2.1	38%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.2	21.8	46.0	+2.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.2	21.8	47.0	+3.4	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	21.8	44.9	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	26.5	24.1	50.6	+2.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.2	20.6	47.8	+6.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	23.7	22.4	46.0	+1.3	59%	-
vs Weaker (8)	25.5	20.2	45.8	+5.2	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	21.5	43.2	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	35%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	19.5	40.2	+1.1	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	23.8	46.6	-1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	23.2	46.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	22.5	23.0	45.5	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.3	35%	-
vs Weaker (8)	21.6	21.5	43.1	+0.1	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	47.6	44.4	91.9	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.3	42.9	92.2	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.8	45.9	91.7	-0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	51.5	47.7	99.2	+3.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	51.0	45.2	96.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (22)	46.5	44.8	91.3	+1.8	55%	-
vs Weaker (8)	50.4	43.2	93.6	+7.1	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.3	42.7	85.0	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.7	45.1	88.8	-1.4	41%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	39.5	80.0	+0.9	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.4	44.1	88.5	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.8	45.6	87.4	-3.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	38.0	45.0	83.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (20)	43.1	42.1	85.2	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	41.4	43.4	84.8	-2.0	38%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Melbourne United wins

Sydney wins

Date	Game	Score
01/12/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	111-101
04/11/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	107-104
03/03/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-90
28/02/19	Melbourne United v Sydney	95-73
08/02/19	Sydney v Melbourne United	97-85
23/12/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	70-75
24/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	84-82
05/11/18	Melbourne United v Sydney	77-70
28/01/18	Sydney v Melbourne United	76-93
30/12/17	Sydney v Melbourne United	79-103

Melbourne Unitedlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/12/19	H	Adelaide	112-90
01/12/19	A	Sydney	101-111
29/11/19	A	Cairns	86-93
24/11/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	108-94
16/11/19	H	South East Melbourne	96-95
10/11/19	H	Adelaide	109-90
07/11/19	A	New Zealand Breakers	104-101
04/11/19	H	Sydney	107-104
02/11/19	A	South East Melbourne	110-98
28/10/19	A	Cairns	85-90

Sydneylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/19	H	Cairns	98-109
06/12/19	A	Perth	77-96
01/12/19	H	Melbourne United	111-101
23/11/19	A	South East Melbourne	90-86
17/11/19	H	Illawarra Hawks	92-87
10/11/19	H	Perth	104-85
08/11/19	A	Brisbane Bullets	95-85
04/11/19	A	Melbourne United	104-107
02/11/19	A	Adelaide	98-96 OT
26/10/19	H	Brisbane Bullets	94-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	57%
Home	WWWWW	75%
Away	LWWLL	33%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	8	6
Win %	57%	75%	33%
Points / game	99.7	102.1	96.5
Allowed / game	96.0	94.6	97.8
Point differential	+3.7	+7.5	-1.3
Avg total	195.7	196.8	194.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	38%	17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Sydney

NBL 2019-20

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	79%
Home	WWWWL	86%
Away	WLWWL	71%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	86%	71%
Points / game	94.0	99.6	88.4
Allowed / game	88.5	90.3	86.7
Point differential	+5.5	+9.3	+1.7
Avg total	182.5	189.9	175.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	43%	57%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (2)	67% (3)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Sydney	14	11	3	79%	94.0	88.5	+5.5
2	Perth	16	11	5	69%	91.1	87.9	+3.1
3	Melbourne United	14	8	6	57%	99.7	96.0	+3.7
4	Adelaide	14	7	7	50%	98.6	100.3	-1.6
5	Cairns	15	7	8	47%	92.0	90.6	+1.4
6	South East Melbourne	13	6	7	46%	98.6	98.2	+0.4
7	Brisbane Bullets	14	6	8	43%	90.8	93.6	-2.9
8	New Zealand Breakers	13	4	9	31%	89.5	92.4	-2.9
9	Illawarra Hawks	13	3	10	23%	86.8	94.8	-8.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Melbourne United	18	18	23	22	81
Sydney	31	21	23	29	104

← all games of the day

Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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