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Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 14 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 86-92 (OT)
25-24 25-21 20-24 14-15 2-8
Position#4
Record13-5
FormWWLLL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game89.4
Melbourne United
Australia
vs
Sydney 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record8-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game86.0
AustraliaNBLRound 12· John Cain Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney
25 Oct 2026
MELB105
SYDN95
14 Dec 2025
MELB86
SYDN92
03 Nov 2025
MELB92
SYDN95
01 Dec 2024
MELB101
SYDN98
31 Oct 2024
MELB87
SYDN83
19 Nov 2023
MELB105
SYDN93
23 Oct 2022
MELB69
SYDN87
09 Oct 2022
MELB71
SYDN91
16 Dec 2021
MELB89
SYDN47
02 May 2021
MELB103
SYDN78
27 Feb 2021
MELB83
SYDN80
02 Mar 2020
MELB125
SYDN80
14 Dec 2019
MELB81
SYDN104
04 Nov 2019
MELB107
SYDN104
28 Feb 2019
MELB95
SYDN73
24 Nov 2018
MELB84
SYDN82
05 Nov 2018
MELB77
SYDN70
11 Dec 2017
MELB95
SYDN69
11 Nov 2017
MELB108
SYDN90
26 Nov 2016
MELB95
SYDN92
12 Nov 2016
MELB71
SYDN87
16 Dec 2015
MELB81
SYDN96
01 Nov 2015
MELB96
SYDN82
22 Feb 2015
MELB95
SYDN92
21 Dec 2014
MELB105
SYDN101
09 Mar 2014
MELB92
SYDN82
01 Dec 2013
MELB63
SYDN67
06 Jan 2013
MELB74
SYDN71
18 Nov 2012
MELB67
SYDN72
25 Nov 2011
MELB80
SYDN89
07 Oct 2011
MELB82
SYDN76
26 Jan 2011
MELB67
SYDN85
15 Oct 2010
MELB68
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
71avg 87
H26/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
92-95
92
95
-3
85avg 87
H03/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
93-107
93
107
-14
80avg 87
A05/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
88avg 87
A08/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
99-93
99
93
+6
90avg 87
H15/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
105-102
105
102
+3
89avg 87
A21/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
98-87
98
87
+11
84avg 87
H23/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
84-96
84
96
-12
70avg 87
A04/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
86-111
86
111
-25
75avg 87
A07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
105-114 OT
105
114
-9
87avg 87
A12/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
26-20
19-18
22-25
25-30
25-24
19-23
23-18
22-32
21-25
25-22
25-28
27-28
20-17
21-12
24-24
24-24
23-14
25-16
27-39
38-33
20-19
28-31
19-19
24-22
27-25
23-26
24-14
20-33
22-23
15-20
27-20
22-32
23-28
21-23
20-28
22-27
26-32
19-22
28-14
190.1Avg total
93.5Scored
96.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)96.489.4185.8+7.072%
Season at home (8)98.283.5181.8+14.888%
Season away (10)94.994.1189.0+0.860%
Last 10 (10)93.596.6190.1-3.150%
Last 5 (5)95.6102.0197.6-6.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)93.392.7186.0+0.643%
vs Similar (12)96.594.9191.4+1.667%
vs Weaker (11)99.686.3185.9+13.491%
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
94-72
94
72
+22
81avg 84
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
95-112
95
112
-17
87avg 84
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
89-90
89
90
-1
74avg 84
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
116-79
116
79
+37
117avg 84
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
95-92
95
92
+3
85avg 84
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
W
79-72
79
72
+7
71avg 84
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
98-71
98
71
+27
85avg 84
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
71avg 84
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
90-95
90
95
-5
79avg 84
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
108-79
108
79
+29
102avg 84
A12/12
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
35-23
24-21
20-6
20-22
28-23
25-34
22-33
25-29
30-21
24-14
10-26
35-17
22-28
32-21
27-13
30-25
24-25
23-19
18-23
17-25
22-16
13-13
27-18
18-14
35-18
18-18
27-21
24-27
16-33
18-15
23-29
27-26
20-23
27-19
16-27
26-25
18-17
32-21
32-16
181.1Avg total
94.5Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.186.0178.1+6.153%
Season at home (6)87.782.2169.8+5.550%
Season away (9)95.188.6183.7+6.656%
Last 10 (10)94.586.6181.1+7.960%
Last 5 (5)91.284.2175.4+7.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)91.5103.0194.5-11.50%
vs Similar (4)99.596.8196.2+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.387.5179.8+4.858%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +1.0+1.0
Melbourne UnitedSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H26/10
NBL
Sydney
#1
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H03/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
L
43-57
43
57
-14
A05/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H15/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A21/11
NBL
Perth
#5
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H23/11
NBL
Perth
#5
L
42-56
42
56
-14
A04/12
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A07/12
NBL
Adelaide
#3
L
48-59
48
59
-11
A12/12
NBL
97.6Avg total
47.1Scored
50.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.846.795.5+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.944.693.4+4.357%-
Last 30 away (16)48.748.697.2+0.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.150.597.6-3.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.854.8103.6-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)45.048.693.6-3.614%-
vs Similar (12)48.250.098.2-1.850%-
vs Weaker (11)51.741.993.6+9.882%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Perth
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H19/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A23/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
W
55-50
55
50
+5
H26/10
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#10
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A01/11
NBL
Melbourne United
#4
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A03/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H09/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#8
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A16/11
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#6
L
40-60
40
60
-20
A23/11
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#7
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A03/12
NBL
Perth
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A12/12
NBL
94.6Avg total
48.7Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.047.794.6-0.753%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.148.995.0-2.850%-
Last 30 away (14)47.946.394.2+1.657%-
Last 10 (10)48.745.994.6+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.644.889.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.554.0102.5-5.50%-
vs Similar (4)49.554.5104.0-5.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)46.446.092.4+0.462%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 94.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.325.1
50.9%
54.6%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.38.8
30.0%
33.3%26.4
🏀 Free throws24.118.3
75.9%
74.8%18.3
They take 78.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 93.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.022.1
50.2%
54.6%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.4
35.0%
33.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws24.017.7
73.8%
74.8%17.7
They take 73.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
LLLWWWWLLW
Sydney
WLLWWWWLLW
#4
League position
#1
-3.2
Net rating
+8.9
111.7
Offensive rating
116.5
114.9
Defensive rating
107.6
48.7%
Effective FG%
51.2%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
12.0%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
30.0%
3-point %
35.0%
52.8%
Assist %
59.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.7 · 116.5Defence114.9 · 107.6Shooting48.7% · 51.2%3-point %30.0% · 35.0%Ball care13.4% · 12.0%Off. rebounds33.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Melbourne United wins
4
Sydney wins
DateGameScore
03/11/25Melbourne United v Sydney92-95
08/10/25Sydney v Melbourne United93-107
09/01/25Sydney v Melbourne United88-90
01/12/24Melbourne United v Sydney101-98
31/10/24Melbourne United v Sydney87-83
28/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United98-86
04/01/24Sydney v Melbourne United85-101
19/11/23Melbourne United v Sydney105-93
25/12/22Sydney v Melbourne United101-80
23/10/22Melbourne United v Sydney69-87
Melbourne Unitedlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25AAdelaide105-114 OT
07/12/25ASouth East Melbourne86-111
04/12/25APerth84-96
23/11/25HPerth98-87
21/11/25AIllawarra Hawks105-102
15/11/25HBrisbane Bullets99-93
08/11/25ASouth East Melbourne92-81
05/11/25AIllawarra Hawks93-107
03/11/25HSydney92-95
26/10/25HAdelaide81-80
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/12/25APerth108-79
03/12/25ANew Zealand Breakers90-95
23/11/25ATasmania JackJumpers81-104
16/11/25AIllawarra Hawks98-71
09/11/25HNew Zealand Breakers79-72
03/11/25AMelbourne United95-92
01/11/25ABrisbane Bullets116-79
26/10/25HTasmania JackJumpers89-90
23/10/25ASouth East Melbourne95-112
19/10/25HPerth94-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL72%
HomeWWLWW88%
AwayWWLLL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %72%88%60%
Points / game96.498.294.9
Allowed / game89.483.594.1
Point differential+7.0+14.8+0.8
Avg total185.8181.8189.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%62%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %6%0%10%
Sydney
NBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW53%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%50%56%
Points / game92.187.795.1
Allowed / game86.082.288.6
Point differential+6.1+5.5+6.6
Avg total178.1169.8183.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Adelaide1714382%93.286.3+6.9
2 Melbourne United1813572%96.489.4+7.0
3 South East Melbourne1711665%96.989.2+7.7
4 Sydney158753%92.186.0+6.1
5 Perth179853%89.188.3+0.8
6 Tasmania JackJumpers1881044%85.686.1-0.5
7 New Zealand Breakers1871139%88.888.3+0.4
8 Illawarra Hawks1661038%90.296.9-6.7
9 Brisbane Bullets1751229%87.196.0-8.9
10 Cairns Taipans1741324%81.394.4-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Melbourne United25252014286
Sydney24212415892
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