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Melbourne United vs Sydney Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 03:30
Final 101-98
27-28 38-21 14-26 22-23
Position#2
Record10-4
FormWLWWW
Points / game95.3
Allowed / game87.4
vs
Position#4
Record8-6
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game82.1
AustraliaNBLRound 10· John Cain Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Melbourne United v Sydney
25 Oct 2026
MELB105
SYDN95
14 Dec 2025
MELB86
SYDN92
03 Nov 2025
MELB92
SYDN95
01 Dec 2024
MELB101
SYDN98
31 Oct 2024
MELB87
SYDN83
19 Nov 2023
MELB105
SYDN93
23 Oct 2022
MELB69
SYDN87
09 Oct 2022
MELB71
SYDN91
16 Dec 2021
MELB89
SYDN47
02 May 2021
MELB103
SYDN78
27 Feb 2021
MELB83
SYDN80
02 Mar 2020
MELB125
SYDN80
14 Dec 2019
MELB81
SYDN104
04 Nov 2019
MELB107
SYDN104
28 Feb 2019
MELB95
SYDN73
24 Nov 2018
MELB84
SYDN82
05 Nov 2018
MELB77
SYDN70
11 Dec 2017
MELB95
SYDN69
11 Nov 2017
MELB108
SYDN90
26 Nov 2016
MELB95
SYDN92
12 Nov 2016
MELB71
SYDN87
16 Dec 2015
MELB81
SYDN96
01 Nov 2015
MELB96
SYDN82
22 Feb 2015
MELB95
SYDN92
21 Dec 2014
MELB105
SYDN101
09 Mar 2014
MELB92
SYDN82
01 Dec 2013
MELB63
SYDN67
06 Jan 2013
MELB74
SYDN71
18 Nov 2012
MELB67
SYDN72
25 Nov 2011
MELB80
SYDN89
07 Oct 2011
MELB82
SYDN76
26 Jan 2011
MELB67
SYDN85
15 Oct 2010
MELB68
SYDN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Melbourne United winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Melbourne UnitedAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnited
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
88-101
88
101
-13
72avg 86
H06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
106-79
106
79
+27
104avg 86
H13/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
84-93
84
93
-9
75avg 86
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
92-87
92
87
+5
88avg 86
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
106-63
106
63
+43
108avg 86
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
87-83
87
83
+4
75avg 86
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
79-113
79
113
-34
60avg 86
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
120-103
120
103
+17
120avg 86
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
W
106-97
106
97
+9
103avg 86
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
113-93
113
93
+20
109avg 86
H17/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
27-35
17-22
17-21
24-29
34-23
21-8
27-19
18-16
25-32
20-18
21-27
18-21
22-16
19-21
33-29
23-12
31-18
30-19
22-14
21-20
25-23
20-21
21-19
13-25
18-30
21-29
27-29
24-20
28-25
33-26
35-32
31-29
20-36
32-12
23-20
29-22
30-24
26-27
28-20
189.3Avg total
98.1Scored
91.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)95.387.4182.7+7.971%
Season at home (9)95.289.0184.2+6.267%
Season away (5)95.484.6180.0+10.880%
Last 10 (10)98.191.2189.3+6.970%
Last 5 (5)101.097.8198.8+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)92.087.0179.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (12)90.287.9178.2+2.350%
vs Weaker (17)96.690.1186.7+6.671%
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
66avg 83
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
99-73
99
73
+26
95avg 83
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 83
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
L
84-87
84
87
-3
75avg 83
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
89-93
89
93
-4
75avg 83
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
83-87
83
87
-4
73avg 83
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
88-60
88
60
+28
86avg 83
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
W
74-69
74
69
+5
67avg 83
H08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
79-86
79
86
-7
63avg 83
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
81-75
81
75
+6
76avg 83
A29/11
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
15-23
25-19
17-21
28-18
25-21
23-18
23-16
13-21
20-24
16-8
31-18
21-21
23-20
16-24
24-22
25-18
20-31
24-23
20-21
20-21
23-25
21-20
19-21
27-19
14-14
26-18
21-9
14-22
18-14
17-20
25-13
22-22
13-22
19-23
25-19
20-26
21-16
18-13
22-20
162.6Avg total
83.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)86.182.1168.2+4.157%
Season at home (5)87.878.2166.0+9.660%
Season away (9)85.284.2169.4+1.056%
Last 10 (10)83.679.0162.6+4.650%
Last 5 (5)81.075.4156.4+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.091.0175.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.890.1179.8-0.338%
vs Weaker (15)91.885.0176.8+6.853%
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.1+1.1Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: +4.7+4.7
Melbourne UnitedSydney
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Melbourne UnitedLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H06/10
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
58-52
58
52
+6
H13/10
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H20/10
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A24/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-30
54
30
+24
H27/10
NBL
Sydney
#4
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H31/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H04/11
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A07/11
NBL
Perth
#3
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H09/11
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
59-46
59
46
+13
H17/11
NBL
96.7Avg total
48.8Scored
47.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.346.293.5+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.446.996.3+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)44.645.289.8-0.654%-
Last 10 (10)48.847.996.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)47.850.898.6-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.037.077.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)46.846.393.1+0.458%-
vs Weaker (17)48.246.694.8+1.653%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Adelaide
#6
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A11/10
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H13/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A18/10
NBL
Perth
#3
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A25/10
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#9
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/10
NBL
Melbourne United
#2
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
NBL
Tasmania JackJumpers
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H03/11
NBL
South East Melbourne
#5
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H08/11
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A16/11
NBL
Cairns Taipans
#10
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/11
NBL
82.8Avg total
40.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.744.189.8+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.945.193.0+2.953%-
Last 30 away (15)43.443.186.5+0.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.482.8-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.278.6-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)41.046.087.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)47.243.590.6+3.762%-
vs Weaker (15)45.044.489.4+0.647%-
This opponent (Melbourne United) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Melbourne Unitedtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Melbourne United: 97.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.7
53.2%
52.3%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.3
39.5%
35.1%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.715.8
80.2%
74.7%15.8
They take 72.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 82.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.218.7
47.7%
52.3%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.410.2
33.6%
35.1%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.614.4
69.9%
74.7%14.4
They take 69.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Melbourne United
WWWLWWWLWL
Sydney
WLWWLLLWWL
#2
League position
#4
+8.6
Net rating
+5.4
119.4
Offensive rating
106.2
110.8
Defensive rating
100.7
56.0%
Effective FG%
48.9%
50.1%
Opp. effective FG%
44.4%
13.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.5%
3-point %
33.6%
62.4%
Assist %
63.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence119.4 · 106.2Defence110.8 · 100.7Shooting56.0% · 48.9%3-point %39.5% · 33.6%Ball care13.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds28.2% · 31.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Melbourne United   ■ Sydney
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Melbourne United wins
5
Sydney wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/24HAdelaide113-93
09/11/24HPerth106-97
07/11/24ABrisbane Bullets120-103
04/11/24HNew Zealand Breakers79-113
31/10/24HSydney87-83
27/10/24HCairns Taipans106-63
24/10/24AIllawarra Hawks92-87
20/10/24HSouth East Melbourne84-93
13/10/24HAdelaide106-79
06/10/24HCairns Taipans88-101
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/11/24ACairns Taipans81-75
16/11/24AIllawarra Hawks79-86
08/11/24HSouth East Melbourne74-69
03/11/24HTasmania JackJumpers88-60
31/10/24AMelbourne United83-87
27/10/24HNew Zealand Breakers89-93
25/10/24APerth84-87
18/10/24ATasmania JackJumpers80-71
13/10/24HCairns Taipans99-73
11/10/24AAdelaide79-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Melbourne United
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayWLWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %71%67%80%
Points / game95.395.295.4
Allowed / game87.489.084.6
Point differential+7.9+6.2+10.8
Avg total182.7184.2180.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%33%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW57%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayWLLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %57%60%56%
Points / game86.187.885.2
Allowed / game82.178.284.2
Point differential+4.1+9.6+1.0
Avg total168.2166.0169.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Melbourne United1410471%95.387.4+7.9
2 New Zealand Breakers117464%83.984.9-1.0
3 Illawarra Hawks138562%97.088.5+8.5
4 Sydney148657%86.182.1+4.1
5 Perth147750%91.092.7-1.7
6 Adelaide126650%89.292.9-3.7
7 South East Melbourne146843%87.485.4+2.1
8 Tasmania JackJumpers146843%78.882.7-3.9
9 Brisbane Bullets114736%91.094.9-3.9
10 Cairns Taipans1331023%81.891.8-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Melbourne United27381422101
Sydney2821262398
← all games of the day
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