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Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 137-128
36-29 30-29 32-28 39-42
Position#25
Record18-29
FormLLLLL
Points / game114.6
Allowed / game116.6
vs
Position#10
Record31-19
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.3
Allowed / game114.1
USANBA· FedExForum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Memphis Grizzlies v Minnesota Timberwolves
25 Jan 2027
MEM v MIN
upcoming
02 Feb 2026
MEM137
MIN128
31 Jan 2026
MEM114
MIN131
10 Apr 2025
MEM125
MIN141
20 Jan 2025
MEM108
MIN106
08 Dec 2023
MEM103
MIN127
26 Nov 2023
MEM97
MIN119
10 Feb 2023
MEM128
MIN107
11 Nov 2022
MEM114
MIN103
26 Apr 2022
MEM111
MIN109
19 Apr 2022
MEM124
MIN96
16 Apr 2022
MEM117
MIN130
13 Jan 2022
MEM116
MIN108
08 Nov 2021
MEM125
MIN118
02 Apr 2021
MEM120
MIN108
07 Jan 2020
MEM119
MIN112
06 Nov 2019
MEM137
MIN121
23 Mar 2019
MEM99
MIN112
05 Feb 2019
MEM108
MIN106
04 Dec 2017
MEM95
MIN92
19 Nov 2016
MEM93
MIN71
26 Oct 2016
MEM102
MIN98
16 Mar 2016
MEM108
MIN114
19 Feb 2016
MEM109
MIN104
29 Oct 2014
MEM105
MIN101
24 Mar 2014
MEM109
MIN92
15 Dec 2013
MEM93
MIN101
18 Mar 2013
MEM92
MIN77
10 Feb 2013
MEM105
MIN88
27 Mar 2012
MEM93
MIN86
08 Feb 2012
MEM85
MIN80
02 Apr 2011
MEM106
MIN89
30 Oct 2010
MEM109
MIN89
15 Jan 2010
MEM135
MIN110
14 Nov 2009
MEM97
MIN87
06 Jan 2009
MEM87
MIN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Memphis Grizzlies winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Memphis GrizzliesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGrizzlies
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
116-117
116
117
-1
120avg 108
H10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
103-98
103
98
+5
102avg 108
H11/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
L
111-118
111
118
-7
104avg 108
A15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
126-109
126
109
+17
121avg 108
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
122-124
122
124
-2
113avg 108
H22/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
127-133
127
133
-6
127avg 108
H24/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
99-108
99
108
-9
84avg 108
A27/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
97-112
97
112
-15
87avg 108
H29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 108
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
114-131
114
131
-17
107avg 108
H01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-25
30-21
29-35
22-36
34-23
27-27
16-24
26-24
39-23
28-35
12-26
32-34
40-23
32-30
28-28
26-28
32-31
27-35
36-28
27-30
30-30
35-30
36-33
26-40
24-23
30-28
23-25
22-32
28-36
27-26
20-28
22-22
32-28
29-30
15-35
30-21
21-30
28-28
30-39
35-34
228.5Avg total
112.1Scored
116.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)114.6116.6231.1-2.038%
Season at home (25)116.4116.3232.8+0.140%
Season away (22)112.4116.9229.3-4.536%
Last 10 (10)112.1116.4228.5-4.320%
Last 5 (5)108.6119.6228.2-11.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)113.6115.6229.2-2.035%
vs Similar (8)121.5117.8239.2+3.862%
vs Weaker (2)117.0123.0240.0-6.00%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
139-106
139
106
+33
142avg 110
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
105-110
105
110
-5
95avg 110
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
123-126
123
126
-3
112avg 110
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
122-127
122
127
-5
109avg 110
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
115-120
115
120
-5
110avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
85-111
85
111
-26
75avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
108-83
108
83
+25
112avg 110
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 110
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
123-111
123
111
+12
117avg 110
H30/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-114
131
114
+17
128avg 110
A01/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-20
38-25
30-33
33-28
34-29
21-24
27-28
23-29
22-21
22-48
40-27
39-30
34-29
24-30
38-25
26-43
32-26
29-34
29-33
25-27
19-24
27-23
17-38
22-26
21-20
32-18
22-19
33-26
31-29
27-19
34-27
26-30
34-22
29-28
33-30
27-31
30-21
28-28
39-30
34-35
228.2Avg total
116.9Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)119.3114.1233.4+5.262%
Season at home (25)114.6109.0223.7+5.668%
Season away (25)123.9119.1243.0+4.856%
Last 10 (10)116.9111.3228.2+5.650%
Last 5 (5)113.0104.8217.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)115.4110.2225.6+5.280%
vs Similar (12)115.9115.2231.2+0.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)124.1114.5238.5+9.669%
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +4.3+4.3Q1: +5.4+5.4Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -5.6-5.6Q3: +1.9+1.9Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: -1.7-1.7
Memphis GrizzliesMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Memphis GrizzliesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
65-46
65
46
+19
H10/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
61-50
61
50
+11
H11/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A15/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#13
W
72-53
72
53
+19
H18/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
59-66
59
66
-7
H22/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H24/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A27/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H29/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A31/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#10
L
49-58
49
58
-9
H01/02
NBA
117.0Avg total
60.8Scored
56.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.658.7118.2+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.857.2117.1+2.650%-
Last 30 away (14)59.360.3119.6-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)60.856.2117.0+4.670%-
Last 5 (5)56.857.8114.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)58.258.7117.0-0.535%-
vs Similar (8)61.959.1121.0+2.888%-
vs Weaker (2)63.556.5120.0+7.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
76-45
76
45
+31
A14/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A17/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-69
44
69
-25
A18/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A21/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A01/02
NBA
109.0Avg total
57.2Scored
51.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.756.3113.0+0.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.555.1109.6-0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)58.957.6116.5+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)57.251.8109.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)55.646.4102.0+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.055.4106.4-4.440%-
vs Similar (12)55.256.6111.8-1.342%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)60.256.5116.7+3.862%-
This opponent (Memphis Grizzlies) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Memphis Grizzliestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Memphis Grizzlies: 112.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.128.4
54.5%
54.8%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.312.8
33.4%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws20.516.9
82.4%
78.1%16.9
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 116.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers46.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.226.8
53.4%
54.8%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.515.5
40.3%
35.8%46.5
🏀 Free throws23.216.8
72.4%
78.1%16.8
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Memphis Grizzlies
LLLLLLWLWL
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLLLLLW
#25
League position
#10
-4.2
Net rating
+5.4
110.4
Offensive rating
112.9
114.7
Defensive rating
107.5
52.7%
Effective FG%
56.4%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
15.1%
Turnover %
15.2%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.4%
3-point %
40.3%
69.9%
Assist %
61.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 112.9Defence114.7 · 107.5Shooting52.7% · 56.4%3-point %33.4% · 40.3%Ball care15.1% · 15.2%Off. rebounds29.5% · 26.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)20% · 50%
■ Memphis Grizzlies   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26HMinnesota Timberwolves114-131
31/01/26ANew Orleans Pelicans106-114
29/01/26HCharlotte Hornets97-112
27/01/26AHouston Rockets99-108
24/01/26HNew Orleans Pelicans127-133
22/01/26HAtlanta Hawks122-124
18/01/26HOrlando Magic126-109
15/01/26AOrlando Magic111-118
11/01/26HBrooklyn Nets103-98
10/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder116-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
30/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder123-111
29/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-105
27/01/26HGolden State Warriors108-83
25/01/26HGolden State Warriors85-111
23/01/26HChicago Bulls115-120
21/01/26AUtah Jazz122-127
18/01/26ASan Antonio Spurs123-126
17/01/26AHouston Rockets105-110
14/01/26AMilwaukee Bucks139-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL38%
HomeWLLLL40%
AwayLLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472522
Win %38%40%36%
Points / game114.6116.4112.4
Allowed / game116.6116.3116.9
Point differential-2.0+0.1-4.5
Avg total231.1232.8229.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%24%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (11)29% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %4%4%5%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW62%
HomeWLLWW68%
AwayLLLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %62%68%56%
Points / game119.3114.6123.9
Allowed / game114.1109.0119.1
Point differential+5.2+5.6+4.8
Avg total233.4223.7243.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (16)67% (9)14% (7)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder48381079%120.2108.4+11.8
2 Detroit Pistons48361275%117.3109.7+7.6
3 Denver Nuggets50331766%119.9115.7+4.2
4 San Antonio Spurs47311666%116.7111.8+4.9
5 Houston Rockets48311765%116.0110.0+6.0
6 Boston Celtics49311863%116.1109.1+7.0
7 Minnesota Timberwolves50311962%119.3114.1+5.2
8 New York Knicks47291862%117.3112.1+5.2
9 Los Angeles Lakers47291862%116.1116.0+0.1
10 Phoenix Suns49301961%114.3110.8+3.5
11 Toronto Raptors50302060%113.8112.1+1.7
12 Cleveland Cavaliers51302159%119.3116.2+3.1
13 Philadelphia 76ers48272156%116.7115.8+0.9
14 Golden State Warriors50272354%116.7114.0+2.7
15 Miami Heat50272354%120.2117.9+2.4
16 Orlando Magic46242252%115.3115.4-0.1
17 Chicago Bulls50242648%117.2119.9-2.7
18 Los Angeles Clippers48232548%112.7112.6+0.1
19 Atlanta Hawks51242747%117.2118.3-1.1
20 Portland Trail Blazers50232746%115.1117.9-2.8
21 Charlotte Hornets51232845%116.0114.2+1.8
22 Dallas Mavericks49193039%114.1116.6-2.5
23 Memphis Grizzlies47182938%114.6116.6-2.0
24 Milwaukee Bucks47182938%111.1115.6-4.5
25 Utah Jazz50153530%118.0127.0-9.0
26 Brooklyn Nets48133527%107.1114.7-7.6
27 Washington Wizards48133527%112.3122.5-10.2
28 Indiana Pacers50133726%110.7118.4-7.7
29 New Orleans Pelicans52133925%114.0120.6-6.5
30 Sacramento Kings51123924%110.2120.4-10.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Memphis Grizzlies36303239137
Minnesota Timberwolves29292842128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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