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Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 106-139
20-38 25-38 33-30 28-33
Position#21
Record17-22
FormWWLWL
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game115.1
vs
Position#10
Record26-14
FormWWWLW
Points / game119.9
Allowed / game114.8
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
111-94
111
94
+17
106avg 107
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
104-125
104
125
-21
94avg 107
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
112-103
112
103
+9
105avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
123-113
123
113
+10
116avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
113-114
113
114
-1
105avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
W
122-121
122
121
+1
118avg 107
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
115-98
115
98
+17
109avg 107
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
113-120
113
120
-7
108avg 107
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
105-101
105
101
+4
101avg 107
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
104-108
104
108
-4
100avg 107
A12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
33-24
27-24
25-26
35-25
15-35
33-32
21-33
28-26
26-24
31-30
27-23
25-26
38-40
32-23
28-24
32-30
30-35
26-21
25-28
24-38
27-22
36-31
35-30
28-26
34-18
23-25
30-29
31-31
22-33
29-34
31-22
24-25
37-27
25-25
19-24
23-27
29-35
22-23
30-23
221.9Avg total
112.2Scored
109.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)112.9115.1227.9-2.244%
Season at home (18)117.2116.6233.8+0.650%
Season away (21)109.2113.8223.0-4.638%
Last 10 (10)112.2109.7221.9+2.560%
Last 5 (5)111.8109.6221.4+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)110.6115.3225.9-4.829%
vs Similar (7)108.0108.6216.6-0.671%
vs Weaker (2)119.5121.5241.0-2.00%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
138-142 OT
138
142
-4
128avg 110
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
L
107-123
107
123
-16
96avg 110
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
136-101
136
101
+35
133avg 110
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
102-126
102
126
-24
93avg 110
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
125-115
125
115
+10
121avg 110
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
141-115
141
115
+26
137avg 110
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
122-94
122
94
+28
120avg 110
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
131-122
131
122
+9
132avg 110
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
134-146
134
146
-12
132avg 110
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
104-103
104
103
+1
93avg 110
H12/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-32
26-25
23-35
37-23
30-33
33-29
23-36
21-25
21-23
34-27
40-28
41-23
26-33
23-37
24-28
29-28
27-25
29-25
34-36
35-29
38-28
35-30
35-21
33-36
27-29
34-25
32-23
29-17
32-31
31-36
43-22
25-33
33-29
32-34
26-36
43-47
24-31
18-24
29-30
33-18
242.7Avg total
124.0Scored
118.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)119.9114.8234.7+5.165%
Season at home (21)116.0109.6225.5+6.471%
Season away (19)124.2120.5244.7+3.758%
Last 10 (10)124.0118.7242.7+5.360%
Last 5 (5)126.4116.0242.4+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)113.3109.0222.3+4.383%
vs Similar (11)119.8119.6239.5+0.245%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)121.8112.4234.2+9.577%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +4.7+4.7
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
59-44
59
44
+15
A24/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
50-60
50
60
-10
A27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A30/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
L
62-65
62
65
-3
H01/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H03/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
W
62-44
62
44
+18
A05/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#7
W
61-52
61
52
+9
A10/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A12/01
NBA
113.4Avg total
56.7Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.558.6114.2-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.861.2116.1-6.423%-
Last 30 away (17)56.156.6112.7-0.641%-
Last 10 (10)56.756.7113.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.4112.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)54.360.1114.5-5.824%-
vs Similar (7)56.753.3110.0+3.457%-
vs Weaker (2)64.061.5125.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#6
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A26/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
63-62
63
62
+1
H28/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
55-50
55
50
+5
A30/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
49-70
49
70
-21
A31/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A03/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#30
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A04/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
61-54
61
54
+7
H07/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
L
63-67
63
67
-4
H09/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#9
W
65-63
65
63
+2
A10/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H12/01
NBA
116.8Avg total
58.2Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.657.4113.9-0.840%-
Last 30 at home (17)56.956.9113.9+0.041%-
Last 30 away (13)56.157.9114.0-1.838%-
Last 10 (10)58.258.6116.8-0.460%-
Last 5 (5)60.859.4120.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)51.256.3107.5-5.217%-
vs Similar (11)56.259.8116.0-3.636%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)59.455.8115.2+3.654%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.627.4
55.2%
54.8%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.213.5
38.4%
35.8%40.5
🏀 Free throws21.816.9
77.5%
78.1%16.9
They take 84.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 124.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.232.5
60.0%
54.8%65.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.613.8
36.7%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws23.817.6
73.9%
78.1%17.6
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWWLWWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWWWWLWLL
#21
League position
#10
+2.5
Net rating
+5.1
114.0
Offensive rating
118.4
111.4
Defensive rating
113.3
56.2%
Effective FG%
58.0%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
13.4%
Turnover %
11.8%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.4%
3-point %
36.7%
60.6%
Assist %
60.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 118.4Defence111.4 · 113.3Shooting56.2% · 58.0%3-point %38.4% · 36.7%Ball care13.4% · 11.8%Off. rebounds22.7% · 26.1%Free throws0.26 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26ADenver Nuggets104-108
10/01/26ALos Angeles Lakers105-101
08/01/26AGolden State Warriors113-120
05/01/26ASacramento Kings115-98
03/01/26HCharlotte Hornets122-121
01/01/26HWashington Wizards113-114
30/12/25ACharlotte Hornets123-113
28/12/25AChicago Bulls112-103
27/12/25AMemphis Grizzlies104-125
24/12/25AIndiana Pacers111-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/26HSan Antonio Spurs104-103
10/01/26ACleveland Cavaliers134-146
09/01/26HCleveland Cavaliers131-122
07/01/26HMiami Heat122-94
04/01/26AWashington Wizards141-115
03/01/26AMiami Heat125-115
31/12/25AAtlanta Hawks102-126
30/12/25AChicago Bulls136-101
28/12/25HBrooklyn Nets107-123
26/12/25ADenver Nuggets138-142 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeLWLLW50%
AwayWWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %44%50%38%
Points / game112.9117.2109.2
Allowed / game115.1116.6113.8
Point differential-2.2+0.6-4.6
Avg total227.9233.8223.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)50% (4)38% (8)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW65%
HomeWLWWW71%
AwayWLWWL58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games402119
Win %65%71%58%
Points / game119.9116.0124.2
Allowed / game114.8109.6120.5
Point differential+5.1+6.4+3.7
Avg total234.7225.5244.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%38%32%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)75% (8)25% (4)
Overtime %8%0%16%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3832684%121.3108.8+12.5
2 Detroit Pistons38281074%117.8111.2+6.6
3 San Antonio Spurs37251268%117.9112.5+5.4
4 Denver Nuggets39261367%122.7117.5+5.2
5 Minnesota Timberwolves40261465%119.9114.8+5.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers36231364%115.7116.0-0.3
7 New York Knicks37231462%119.2115.2+4.0
8 Boston Celtics39241562%116.6110.1+6.5
9 Phoenix Suns39241562%115.5111.5+4.0
10 Houston Rockets36221461%117.9110.8+7.2
11 Toronto Raptors40241660%114.2112.2+1.9
12 Philadelphia 76ers38221658%117.1115.2+1.9
13 Orlando Magic38211755%116.1114.7+1.4
14 Miami Heat39211854%119.8117.8+2.0
15 Cleveland Cavaliers41221954%119.8117.7+2.0
16 Golden State Warriors40211952%115.4113.6+1.8
17 Atlanta Hawks41202149%118.4118.4+0.0
18 Portland Trail Blazers40192148%116.3118.8-2.5
19 Chicago Bulls38182047%117.3120.8-3.5
20 Memphis Grizzlies39172244%114.9116.2-1.3
21 Milwaukee Bucks39172244%112.9115.1-2.2
22 Los Angeles Clippers39162341%112.1113.5-1.4
23 Dallas Mavericks40152538%113.0116.8-3.9
24 Utah Jazz39142536%119.1126.9-7.8
25 Charlotte Hornets40142635%116.1116.7-0.5
26 Brooklyn Nets37112630%108.7113.8-5.1
27 Washington Wizards38102826%112.8124.0-11.2
28 Sacramento Kings40103025%110.2121.2-11.1
29 Indiana Pacers4093122%110.8118.4-7.6
30 New Orleans Pelicans4193222%114.9122.4-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks20253328106
Minnesota Timberwolves38383033139
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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