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Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 98-107
37-33 29-25 15-27 17-22
Position#13
Record10-24
FormWLLLL
Points / game98.4
Allowed / game101.7
vs
Position#19
Record15-20
FormLLWLL
Points / game98.5
Allowed / game98.7
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Detroit Pistons
14 Nov 2026
MIA v DET
upcoming
23 Oct 2026
MIA111
DET128
08 Mar 2026
MIA121
DET110
29 Nov 2025
MIA135
DET138
19 Mar 2025
MIA113
DET116
28 Oct 2024
MIA106
DET98
05 Mar 2024
MIA118
DET110
25 Oct 2023
MIA103
DET102
06 Dec 2022
MIA96
DET116
15 Mar 2022
MIA105
DET98
23 Dec 2021
MIA115
DET112
18 Jan 2021
MIA113
DET107
16 Jan 2021
MIA100
DET120
09 Apr 2020
MIA v DET
upcoming
12 Nov 2019
MIA117
DET108
13 Mar 2019
MIA108
DET74
23 Feb 2019
MIA96
DET119
03 Mar 2018
MIA105
DET96
03 Jan 2018
MIA111
DET104
28 Jan 2017
MIA116
DET103
01 Jan 2017
MIA98
DET107
05 Apr 2016
MIA107
DET89
22 Dec 2015
MIA92
DET93
29 Mar 2015
MIA109
DET102
03 Feb 2014
MIA102
DET96
03 Dec 2013
MIA97
DET107
22 Mar 2013
MIA103
DET89
25 Jan 2013
MIA110
DET88
08 Apr 2012
MIA98
DET75
28 Jan 2011
MIA88
DET87
01 Dec 2010
MIA97
DET72
09 Apr 2010
MIA99
DET106
15 Apr 2009
MIA102
DET96
24 Feb 2009
MIA103
DET91
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Detroit Pistons winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
112-101
112
101
+11
107avg 91
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 91
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
82avg 91
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-105
95
105
-10
93avg 91
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
130-136 OT
130
136
-6
111avg 91
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 91
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
87-91
87
91
-4
81avg 91
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
74avg 91
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 91
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-117
114
117
-3
113avg 91
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
31-24
22-29
31-19
20-21
33-31
25-27
17-10
27-31
19-29
23-19
29-23
19-37
22-21
30-19
24-28
28-27
36-30
25-28
20-24
17-25
36-35
29-20
33-27
28-25
21-19
19-20
19-27
19-33
29-28
21-26
25-19
19-21
30-21
17-31
16-18
25-25
23-27
30-30
36-35
206.7Avg total
102.2Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)98.4101.7200.1-3.329%
Season at home (17)101.4102.8204.1-1.429%
Season away (17)95.5100.6196.1-5.229%
Last 10 (10)102.2104.5206.7-2.330%
Last 5 (5)98.4102.4200.8-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.094.0184.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (25)96.3100.4196.8-4.128%
vs Weaker (4)110.5114.5225.0-4.025%
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistons
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
79-97
79
97
-18
60avg 90
H11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
95-85
95
85
+10
96avg 90
A15/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
108-122
108
122
-14
97avg 90
A17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
90-105
90
105
-15
77avg 90
H18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
82-113
82
113
-31
66avg 90
A20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
86-98
86
98
-12
77avg 90
H22/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
113-119
113
119
-6
100avg 90
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
106-90
106
90
+16
95avg 90
H27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
94-119
94
119
-25
87avg 90
H29/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
98-105
98
105
-7
89avg 90
A31/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-32
23-26
29-22
15-17
17-20
26-23
17-21
35-21
27-27
27-38
23-30
31-27
26-27
18-28
25-28
21-22
19-35
15-34
29-28
19-16
19-29
25-24
19-26
23-19
32-33
27-24
25-31
29-31
22-19
28-25
26-20
30-26
28-31
26-31
21-28
19-29
19-19
22-32
21-23
36-31
200.4Avg total
95.1Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)98.598.7197.2-0.243%
Season at home (17)98.895.2194.1+3.653%
Season away (18)98.2101.9200.2-3.733%
Last 10 (10)95.1105.3200.4-10.220%
Last 5 (5)99.4106.2205.6-6.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)96.0102.7198.7-6.729%
vs Similar ◀ (20)100.298.0198.3+2.250%
vs Weaker (3)90.3100.7191.0-10.30%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.4-4.4Q1: -5.1-5.1Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.9+1.9
Miami HeatDetroit Pistons
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBA
104.9Avg total
51.0Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.752.3101.0-3.733%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.253.9103.1-4.729%-
Last 30 away (16)48.250.999.1-2.838%-
Last 10 (10)51.053.9104.9-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)49.451.8101.2-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.055.095.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)48.252.0100.1-3.832%-
vs Weaker (4)54.054.0108.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Detroit Pistons) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Detroit PistonsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
35-58
35
58
-23
H11/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A15/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A17/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
L
44-55
44
55
-11
H18/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
34-69
34
69
-35
A20/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H22/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
59-57
59
57
+2
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H27/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
54-62
54
62
-8
H29/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A31/12
NBA
101.5Avg total
45.8Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.851.6100.4-2.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.250.9101.1-0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)47.552.299.7-4.744%-
Last 10 (10)45.855.7101.5-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)49.653.4103.0-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)47.952.4100.3-4.657%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)49.650.5100.2-0.950%-
vs Weaker (3)45.356.7102.0-11.30%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 102.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.331.4
51.2%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws19.812.4
62.6%
77.0%12.4
They take 86.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Detroit Pistonstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Detroit Pistons: 95.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.528.0
48.7%
50.2%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.0
31.7%
35.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws20.915.1
72.2%
77.0%15.1
They take 82.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLWLLLWW
Detroit Pistons
LLWLLLLLWL
#13
League position
#19
-2.3
Net rating
-10.7
102.7
Offensive rating
100.1
105.0
Defensive rating
110.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
48.4%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
13.1%
Turnover %
13.9%
21.5%
Off. rebound %
22.5%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.25
35.7%
3-point %
31.7%
57.4%
Assist %
58.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 100.1Defence105.0 · 110.9Shooting51.9% · 48.4%3-point %35.7% · 31.7%Ball care13.1% · 13.9%Off. rebounds21.5% · 22.5%Free throws0.23 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 20%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Detroit Pistons
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Detroit Pistons wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/16ABoston Celtics114-117
30/12/16ACharlotte Hornets82-91
28/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder94-106
24/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans87-91
23/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-107
21/12/16HOrlando Magic130-136 OT
18/12/16HBoston Celtics95-105
17/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers98-102
15/12/16HIndiana Pacers95-89
13/12/16HWashington Wizards112-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/16AAtlanta Hawks98-105
29/12/16HMilwaukee Bucks94-119
27/12/16HCleveland Cavaliers106-90
24/12/16HGolden State Warriors113-119
22/12/16HMemphis Grizzlies86-98
20/12/16AChicago Bulls82-113
18/12/16HIndiana Pacers90-105
17/12/16AWashington Wizards108-122
15/12/16ADallas Mavericks95-85
11/12/16HPhiladelphia 76ers79-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLLWL29%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game98.4101.495.5
Allowed / game101.7102.8100.6
Point differential-3.3-1.4-5.2
Avg total200.1204.1196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%18%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Detroit Pistons
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL43%
HomeLLLWL53%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %43%53%33%
Points / game98.598.898.2
Allowed / game98.795.2101.9
Point differential-0.2+3.6-3.7
Avg total197.2194.1200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%53%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3429585%117.0104.3+12.7
2 San Antonio Spurs3327682%105.297.8+7.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3225778%110.9103.6+7.3
4 Houston Rockets3526974%114.9107.1+7.8
5 Toronto Raptors32221069%110.8102.9+7.9
6 Utah Jazz34211362%98.994.7+4.2
7 Oklahoma City Thunder34211362%106.4104.6+1.8
8 Los Angeles Clippers36221461%108.0103.1+4.9
9 Memphis Grizzlies36221461%98.697.6+0.9
10 Boston Celtics34201459%106.1104.3+1.9
11 Charlotte Hornets34191556%104.9102.6+2.3
12 Atlanta Hawks33171652%101.9103.7-1.8
13 Milwaukee Bucks32161650%105.1102.6+2.5
14 Washington Wizards32161650%105.7106.1-0.5
15 New York Knicks33161748%105.5108.3-2.8
16 Chicago Bulls34161847%100.5100.6-0.1
17 Indiana Pacers34161847%104.1105.8-1.7
18 Orlando Magic34151944%98.8103.0-4.2
19 Detroit Pistons35152043%98.598.7-0.2
20 Denver Nuggets33141942%107.8109.7-1.8
21 Sacramento Kings33141942%101.8104.3-2.5
22 New Orleans Pelicans35142140%102.9105.9-3.1
23 Portland Trail Blazers35142140%107.6111.5-3.9
24 Minnesota Timberwolves33112233%104.2105.6-1.5
25 Los Angeles Lakers36122433%103.9110.1-6.1
26 Miami Heat34102429%98.4101.7-3.3
27 Dallas Mavericks34102429%95.1100.6-5.5
28 Phoenix Suns34102429%106.2112.9-6.8
29 Philadelphia 76ers3282425%99.0106.5-7.5
30 Brooklyn Nets3282425%106.0114.4-8.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat3729151798
Detroit Pistons33252722107
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