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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 117-114
25-25 27-23 30-30 35-36
Position#4
Record24-16
FormWLWWL
Points / game105.7
Allowed / game103.1
vs
Position#13
Record14-27
FormLWLLL
Points / game99.2
Allowed / game100.8
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
13 Jul 2024
BOS114
MIA119
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
08 Jul 2023
BOS88
MIA99
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
14 Jul 2018
BOS74
MIA72
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
14 Jul 2015
BOS101
MIA69
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
05 Jul 2014
BOS85
MIA77
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
96-99
96
99
-3
A12/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-108
101
108
-7
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
105-95
105
95
+10
A18/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
112-109 OT
112
109
+3
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
109-102
109
102
+7
A23/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
112-117
112
117
-5
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
119-114
119
114
+5
A25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
113-103
113
103
+10
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
118-124
118
124
-6
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
19-18
28-28
25-32
23-32
24-24
26-21
28-31
23-22
18-28
28-19
27-19
37-19
21-22
19-30
28-24
15-22
16-23
31-26
35-26
22-31
29-9
26-27
32-35
28-25
26-33
25-30
33-29
22-28
34-20
32-34
31-32
28-24
28-24
28-29
29-26
25-32
34-34
24-35
35-23
214.0Avg total
108.1Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)105.7103.1208.8+2.560%
Season at home (16)104.9103.2208.1+1.756%
Season away (24)106.2103.1209.3+3.162%
Last 10 (10)108.1105.9214.0+2.260%
Last 5 (5)114.2112.0226.2+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.3107.0204.3-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (19)106.0106.5212.5-0.553%
vs Weaker (8)107.695.9203.5+11.888%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
100-105
100
105
-5
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
112-101
112
101
+11
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
95-89
95
89
+6
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
95-105
95
105
-10
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
130-136 OT
130
136
-6
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
115-107
115
107
+8
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
L
87-91
87
91
-4
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
82-91
82
91
-9
A30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-29
28-26
20-28
25-22
28-29
31-24
22-29
31-19
20-21
33-31
25-27
17-10
27-31
19-29
23-19
29-23
19-37
22-21
30-19
24-28
28-27
36-30
25-28
20-24
17-25
36-35
29-20
33-27
28-25
21-19
19-20
19-27
19-33
29-28
21-26
25-19
19-21
30-21
17-31
16-18
204.1Avg total
100.8Scored
103.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)99.2100.8200.0-1.634%
Season at home (22)102.6102.1204.7+0.532%
Season away (19)95.399.2194.5-3.937%
Last 10 (10)100.8103.3204.1-2.530%
Last 5 (5)101.6106.2207.8-4.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)90.094.0184.0-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (24)95.699.8195.3-4.229%
vs Weaker (5)110.0110.8220.8-0.840%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -4.6-4.6Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +2.6+2.6Q4: +2.2+2.2
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H17/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
W
58-41
58
41
+17
A18/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A23/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
54-58
54
58
-4
H24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
56-48
56
48
+8
A25/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H28/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A30/12
NBA
98.7Avg total
49.6Scored
49.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.250.699.7-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.351.2101.6-0.958%-
Last 30 away (18)48.450.198.5-1.744%-
Last 10 (10)49.649.198.7+0.550%-
Last 5 (5)55.252.0107.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.752.3100.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)49.151.4100.5-2.347%-
vs Weaker (8)49.948.097.9+1.962%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#17
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#8
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#22
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
NBA
105.9Avg total
51.7Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.952.3101.1-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.553.7103.2-4.133%-
Last 30 away (15)48.250.999.1-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)51.754.2105.9-2.550%-
Last 5 (5)52.652.8105.4-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)40.055.095.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)48.252.0100.1-3.833%-
vs Weaker (5)54.053.2107.2+0.860%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 108.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.428.5
52.4%
50.2%57.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.710.8
33.0%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws22.618.7
82.7%
77.0%18.7
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.8 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.231.4
50.5%
50.2%62.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.4
34.4%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws20.612.8
62.1%
77.0%12.8
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWLWWWWLL
Miami Heat
LLLWLLLWWL
#4
League position
#13
+2.2
Net rating
-2.5
109.0
Offensive rating
101.2
106.8
Defensive rating
103.7
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.8%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
11.6%
Turnover %
13.1%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.0%
3-point %
34.4%
63.9%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 101.2Defence106.8 · 103.7Shooting51.3% · 50.8%3-point %33.0% · 34.4%Ball care11.6% · 13.1%Off. rebounds21.9% · 21.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Boston Celtics wins
3
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers118-124
28/12/16HMemphis Grizzlies113-103
25/12/16ANew York Knicks119-114
24/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder112-117
23/12/16AIndiana Pacers109-102
21/12/16AMemphis Grizzlies112-109 OT
18/12/16AMiami Heat105-95
17/12/16HCharlotte Hornets96-88
15/12/16ASan Antonio Spurs101-108
12/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder96-99
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/16ACharlotte Hornets82-91
28/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder94-106
24/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans87-91
23/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-107
21/12/16HOrlando Magic130-136 OT
18/12/16HBoston Celtics95-105
17/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers98-102
15/12/16HIndiana Pacers95-89
13/12/16HWashington Wizards112-101
11/12/16AChicago Bulls100-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL60%
HomeWLWLW56%
AwayWWWWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401624
Win %60%56%62%
Points / game105.7104.9106.2
Allowed / game103.1103.2103.1
Point differential+2.5+1.7+3.1
Avg total208.8208.1209.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)67% (3)56% (9)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL34%
HomeLLLWL32%
AwayLLLLL37%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412219
Win %34%32%37%
Points / game99.2102.695.3
Allowed / game100.8102.199.2
Point differential-1.6+0.5-3.9
Avg total200.0204.7194.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%23%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won18% (11)0% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4034685%116.5104.0+12.5
2 San Antonio Spurs3830879%103.897.2+6.6
3 Houston Rockets39281172%114.2107.1+7.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers37261170%109.2103.9+5.2
5 Toronto Raptors38251366%109.2102.7+6.5
6 Los Angeles Clippers40251562%105.9101.8+4.1
7 Memphis Grizzlies41251661%99.598.3+1.2
8 Boston Celtics40241660%105.7103.1+2.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder37221559%105.8104.7+1.1
10 Utah Jazz39231659%99.094.9+4.1
11 Charlotte Hornets40221855%102.5101.5+1.0
12 New York Knicks37201754%105.9107.6-1.7
13 Atlanta Hawks39211854%101.2101.8-0.6
14 Washington Wizards39201951%105.7104.8+0.9
15 Milwaukee Bucks36181850%102.4101.4+1.1
16 Chicago Bulls40192148%101.3100.4+0.9
17 Indiana Pacers40192148%104.5105.8-1.2
18 Detroit Pistons40182245%97.997.2+0.7
19 Denver Nuggets40182245%106.8108.1-1.4
20 Portland Trail Blazers41182344%106.9109.8-2.9
21 Sacramento Kings37162143%101.9104.1-2.2
22 Orlando Magic41172441%98.8103.6-4.8
23 Minnesota Timberwolves39152438%103.2103.8-0.6
24 Phoenix Suns39142536%106.3111.9-5.6
25 New Orleans Pelicans40142635%103.2107.0-3.8
26 Miami Heat41142734%99.2100.8-1.6
27 Los Angeles Lakers44143032%104.3109.5-5.2
28 Dallas Mavericks40122830%94.8100.8-6.0
29 Philadelphia 76ers3892924%97.9106.2-8.3
30 Brooklyn Nets3892924%105.2113.9-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics25273035117
Miami Heat25233036114
← all games of the day
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