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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 95-105
19-37 22-21 30-19 24-28
Position#13
Record9-18
FormLLWWL
Points / game97.4
Allowed / game100.2
vs
Position#5
Record14-12
FormWLLLW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game102.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 91
A01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
111-110
111
110
+1
98avg 91
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 91
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 91
H07/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
95-103
95
103
-8
82avg 91
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
84-114
84
114
-30
67avg 91
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
100-105
100
105
-5
89avg 91
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
112-101
112
101
+11
107avg 91
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 91
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
82avg 91
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-30
24-17
23-33
31-18
26-27
26-21
31-29
28-33
29-21
20-34
22-18
21-26
25-26
29-27
23-31
26-30
25-29
21-24
17-25
32-25
27-31
19-26
23-30
15-27
27-29
28-26
20-28
25-22
28-29
31-24
22-29
31-19
20-21
33-31
25-27
17-10
27-31
19-29
23-19
29-23
203.1Avg total
99.6Scored
103.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)97.4100.2197.6-2.833%
Season at home (13)99.299.5198.6-0.331%
Season away (14)95.7100.9196.6-5.136%
Last 10 (10)99.6103.5203.1-3.940%
Last 5 (5)97.8102.2200.0-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (24)96.2100.2196.4-3.933%
vs Weaker (4)103.2101.8205.0+1.550%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
W
112-104
112
104
+8
106avg 96
A29/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
114-121
114
121
-7
101avg 96
H01/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
97-92
97
92
+5
89avg 96
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
107-106
107
106
+1
100avg 96
A04/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
106-107
106
107
-1
93avg 96
A06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
117-87
117
87
+30
118avg 96
A08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
94-101
94
101
-7
85avg 96
H10/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
96-99
96
99
-3
87avg 96
A12/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
101-108
101
108
-7
91avg 96
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
96-88
96
88
+8
93avg 96
H17/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-19
27-12
35-42
29-31
28-31
25-28
31-33
30-29
29-29
18-17
22-26
28-20
22-30
23-23
29-21
33-32
17-26
31-32
35-19
23-30
26-27
23-23
36-23
32-14
28-25
22-17
18-33
26-26
24-21
19-18
28-28
25-32
23-32
24-24
26-21
28-31
23-22
18-28
28-19
27-19
205.3Avg total
104.0Scored
101.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)104.0102.6206.6+1.454%
Season at home (11)103.0102.3205.3+0.755%
Season away (15)104.7102.8207.5+1.953%
Last 10 (10)104.0101.3205.3+2.750%
Last 5 (5)100.896.6197.4+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.3107.0204.3-9.70%
vs Similar ◀ (20)102.2104.7206.9-2.545%
vs Weaker (7)108.494.9203.3+13.6100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: -4.0-4.0Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +1.7+1.7
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H17/12
NBA
104.5Avg total
51.2Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.651.6100.2-3.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.450.8100.1-1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)47.952.4100.3-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)51.253.3104.5-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)51.855.4107.2-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)48.851.7100.5-2.933%-
vs Weaker (4)50.850.5101.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A29/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
53-59
53
59
-6
H01/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H03/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
45-53
45
53
-8
A04/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
48-58
48
58
-10
A06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
50-42
50
42
+8
H10/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
47-56
47
56
-9
A15/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
41-50
41
50
-9
H17/12
NBA
95.5Avg total
47.1Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.150.398.3-2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)49.650.199.6-0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)46.850.497.2-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)47.148.495.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)46.047.493.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)47.752.3100.0-4.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)47.150.697.8-3.540%-
vs Weaker (7)50.948.399.1+2.671%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.631.0
48.7%
50.2%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.514.2
66.0%
77.0%14.2
They take 87.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.227.1
50.0%
50.2%54.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.411.0
35.0%
35.7%33.0
🏀 Free throws20.716.8
81.2%
77.0%16.8
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWWLLLLLWW
Boston Celtics
WLLLWLWWLW
#13
League position
#5
-4.1
Net rating
+2.8
104.1
Offensive rating
107.3
108.2
Defensive rating
104.5
48.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
11.2%
Turnover %
11.2%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
19.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
32.2%
3-point %
35.0%
55.9%
Assist %
67.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.1 · 107.3Defence108.2 · 104.5Shooting48.6% · 50.9%3-point %32.2% · 35.0%Ball care11.2% · 11.2%Off. rebounds27.2% · 19.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers98-102
15/12/16HIndiana Pacers95-89
13/12/16HWashington Wizards112-101
11/12/16AChicago Bulls100-105
10/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers84-114
08/12/16AAtlanta Hawks95-103
07/12/16HNew York Knicks103-114
04/12/16APortland Trail Blazers92-99
02/12/16AUtah Jazz111-110
01/12/16ADenver Nuggets106-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/16HCharlotte Hornets96-88
15/12/16ASan Antonio Spurs101-108
12/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder96-99
10/12/16HToronto Raptors94-101
08/12/16AOrlando Magic117-87
06/12/16AHouston Rockets106-107
04/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers107-106
03/12/16HSacramento Kings97-92
01/12/16HDetroit Pistons114-121
29/11/16AMiami Heat112-104

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL33%
HomeLLWWL31%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %33%31%36%
Points / game97.499.295.7
Allowed / game100.299.5100.9
Point differential-2.8-0.3-5.1
Avg total197.6198.6196.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%23%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW54%
HomeLLWLW55%
AwayWLWLL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261115
Win %54%55%53%
Points / game104.0103.0104.7
Allowed / game102.6102.3102.8
Point differential+1.4+0.7+1.9
Avg total206.6205.3207.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%9%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)100% (2)40% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2824486%117.9105.0+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs2621581%103.797.7+6.0
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2519676%110.4102.6+7.7
4 Houston Rockets2821775%113.1105.8+7.3
5 Los Angeles Clippers2820871%109.6101.6+8.0
6 Toronto Raptors2618869%112.3103.9+8.4
7 Memphis Grizzlies28181064%97.297.2-0.0
8 Utah Jazz27171063%100.995.4+5.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder27161159%105.9104.7+1.1
10 Boston Celtics26141254%104.0102.6+1.4
11 Charlotte Hornets28151354%103.9102.1+1.8
12 Milwaukee Bucks25131252%103.8101.9+1.9
13 New York Knicks27141352%104.8107.9-3.1
14 Chicago Bulls26131350%101.1100.0+1.2
15 Indiana Pacers28141450%104.2105.9-1.6
16 Detroit Pistons29141548%98.996.9+2.0
17 Atlanta Hawks27131448%102.4104.2-1.9
18 Washington Wizards26121446%105.3106.4-1.2
19 Portland Trail Blazers29131645%109.4113.0-3.5
20 Orlando Magic28121643%97.4101.6-4.2
21 Denver Nuggets27111641%107.4109.4-2.1
22 Sacramento Kings27101737%101.5104.0-2.5
23 Los Angeles Lakers30111937%104.4110.5-6.1
24 Miami Heat2791833%97.4100.2-2.8
25 New Orleans Pelicans2891932%102.6107.1-4.5
26 Phoenix Suns2781930%106.3113.0-6.7
27 Brooklyn Nets2571828%106.7114.6-7.9
28 Minnesota Timberwolves2671927%103.9106.9-3.0
29 Dallas Mavericks2772026%93.799.6-5.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers2662023%97.9105.7-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1922302495
Boston Celtics37211928105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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