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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 130-136 (OT)
28-27 36-30 25-28 20-24 21-27
Position#13
Record9-19
FormLWWLL
Points / game97.3
Allowed / game100.4
vs
Position#26
Record12-17
FormLWLWL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Orlando Magic
10 Mar 2027
MIA v ORL
upcoming
14 Mar 2026
MIA117
ORL121
28 Jan 2026
MIA124
ORL133
27 Jan 2025
MIA125
ORL119
23 Oct 2024
MIA97
ORL116
06 Feb 2024
MIA121
ORL95
12 Jan 2024
MIA99
ORL96
09 Apr 2023
MIA123
ORL110
27 Jan 2023
MIA110
ORL105
26 Dec 2021
MIA93
ORL83
25 Oct 2021
MIA107
ORL90
11 Mar 2021
MIA111
ORL103
04 Mar 2020
MIA116
ORL113
27 Jan 2020
MIA113
ORL92
26 Mar 2019
MIA99
ORL104
04 Dec 2018
MIA90
ORL105
05 Feb 2018
MIA109
ORL111
26 Dec 2017
MIA107
ORL89
13 Feb 2017
MIA107
ORL116
20 Dec 2016
MIA130
ORL136
10 Apr 2016
MIA118
ORL96
25 Mar 2016
MIA108
ORL97
13 Apr 2015
MIA100
ORL93
29 Dec 2014
MIA101
ORL102
01 Mar 2014
MIA112
ORL98
23 Nov 2013
MIA101
ORL99
17 Apr 2013
MIA105
ORL93
06 Mar 2013
MIA97
ORL96
18 Mar 2012
MIA91
ORL81
19 Feb 2012
MIA90
ORL78
18 Dec 2011
MIA118
ORL85
03 Mar 2011
MIA96
ORL99
29 Oct 2010
MIA96
ORL70
18 Mar 2010
MIA102
ORL108
17 Dec 2009
MIA104
ORL86
30 Mar 2009
MIA95
ORL101
24 Jan 2009
MIA103
ORL97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Orlando Magic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
111-110
111
110
+1
98avg 91
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 91
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 91
H07/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
95-103
95
103
-8
82avg 91
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
84-114
84
114
-30
67avg 91
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
100-105
100
105
-5
89avg 91
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
112-101
112
101
+11
107avg 91
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 91
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
82avg 91
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-105
95
105
-10
93avg 91
H18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
26-21
31-29
28-33
29-21
20-34
22-18
21-26
25-26
29-27
23-31
26-30
25-29
21-24
17-25
32-25
27-31
19-26
23-30
15-27
27-29
28-26
20-28
25-22
28-29
31-24
22-29
31-19
20-21
33-31
25-27
17-10
27-31
19-29
23-19
29-23
19-37
22-21
30-19
24-28
202.7Avg total
98.5Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)97.3100.4197.6-3.132%
Season at home (14)98.999.9198.7-1.029%
Season away (14)95.7100.9196.6-5.136%
Last 10 (10)98.5104.2202.7-5.730%
Last 5 (5)100.0100.4200.4-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar (24)96.4100.4196.8-4.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (4)103.2101.8205.0+1.550%
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMagic
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
105-88
105
88
+17
102avg 91
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
98-92
98
92
+6
92avg 91
A04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
124-116
124
116
+8
117avg 91
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
87-117
87
117
-30
72avg 91
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
88-109
88
109
-21
72avg 91
A10/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
113-121
113
121
-8
100avg 91
H11/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
131-120
131
120
+11
127avg 91
A14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
108-113
108
113
-5
98avg 91
H15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
118-111
118
111
+7
102avg 91
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
79-109
79
109
-30
64avg 91
H18/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-14
29-28
32-19
23-27
23-27
35-23
20-23
20-19
25-24
40-28
31-29
28-35
27-26
23-23
23-36
14-32
21-20
25-32
24-39
18-18
29-32
29-33
37-27
18-29
35-34
37-28
27-34
32-24
25-30
26-30
36-27
21-26
25-28
28-24
30-30
35-29
30-23
21-32
13-29
15-25
214.7Avg total
105.1Scored
109.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)96.8101.9198.7-5.141%
Season at home (15)95.3101.9197.2-6.533%
Season away (14)98.3101.9200.2-3.650%
Last 10 (10)105.1109.6214.7-4.550%
Last 5 (5)109.8114.8224.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)95.5103.6199.0-8.130%
vs Similar (7)101.998.6200.4+3.371%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.0-4.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: -4.0-4.0
Miami HeatOrlando Magic
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H18/12
NBA
104.5Avg total
50.1Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.551.7100.2-3.333%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.851.3100.1-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)48.152.2100.3-4.127%-
Last 10 (10)50.154.4104.5-4.340%-
Last 5 (5)50.855.6106.4-4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar (24)48.651.8100.4-3.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (4)50.850.5101.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Orlando Magic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Orlando MagicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A03/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
58-50
58
50
+8
A04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
65-52
65
52
+13
A07/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H08/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A10/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
58-65
58
65
-7
H11/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
72-62
72
62
+10
A14/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
H15/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H18/12
NBA
109.3Avg total
55.4Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.052.4101.4-3.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.552.3100.7-3.833%-
Last 30 away (15)49.652.5102.1-2.940%-
Last 10 (10)55.453.9109.3+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)57.058.8115.8-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)49.252.8102.0-3.635%-
vs Similar (7)48.651.199.7-2.643%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 98.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.230.5
49.8%
50.2%61.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.8
32.2%
35.7%23.4
🏀 Free throws21.414.1
65.9%
77.0%14.1
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Orlando Magictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Orlando Magic: 105.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.729.3
50.8%
50.2%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.910.2
36.6%
35.7%30.6
🏀 Free throws22.915.9
69.4%
77.0%15.9
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLWWLLLLLW
Orlando Magic
LWLWLLLWWW
#13
League position
#26
-6.0
Net rating
-4.6
103.5
Offensive rating
107.8
109.5
Defensive rating
112.4
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.1%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
13.0%
Turnover %
10.2%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
18.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.2%
3-point %
36.6%
55.9%
Assist %
60.8%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence103.5 · 107.8Defence109.5 · 112.4Shooting49.4% · 52.1%3-point %32.2% · 36.6%Ball care13.0% · 10.2%Off. rebounds27.3% · 18.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Orlando Magic
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Orlando Magic wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HBoston Celtics95-105
17/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers98-102
15/12/16HIndiana Pacers95-89
13/12/16HWashington Wizards112-101
11/12/16AChicago Bulls100-105
10/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers84-114
08/12/16AAtlanta Hawks95-103
07/12/16HNew York Knicks103-114
04/12/16APortland Trail Blazers92-99
02/12/16AUtah Jazz111-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/16HToronto Raptors79-109
17/12/16HBrooklyn Nets118-111
15/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers108-113
14/12/16AAtlanta Hawks131-120
11/12/16HDenver Nuggets113-121
10/12/16ACharlotte Hornets88-109
08/12/16HBoston Celtics87-117
07/12/16AWashington Wizards124-116
04/12/16ADetroit Pistons98-92
03/12/16APhiladelphia 76ers105-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL32%
HomeLWWLL29%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %32%29%36%
Points / game97.398.995.7
Allowed / game100.499.9100.9
Point differential-3.1-1.0-5.1
Avg total197.6198.7196.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%21%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Orlando Magic
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL41%
HomeLLLWL33%
AwayWWWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291514
Win %41%33%50%
Points / game96.895.398.3
Allowed / game101.9101.9101.9
Point differential-5.1-6.5-3.6
Avg total198.7197.2200.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)25% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2824486%117.9105.0+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs2722581%104.197.8+6.3
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2519676%110.4102.6+7.7
4 Houston Rockets2821775%113.1105.8+7.3
5 Los Angeles Clippers2820871%109.6101.6+8.0
6 Toronto Raptors2719870%112.1103.0+9.2
7 Utah Jazz28181064%100.294.6+5.6
8 Memphis Grizzlies29181162%96.496.7-0.3
9 Oklahoma City Thunder28161257%106.0104.9+1.0
10 Boston Celtics27151256%104.0102.3+1.7
11 Charlotte Hornets29161355%104.3102.5+1.8
12 Milwaukee Bucks25131252%103.8101.9+1.9
13 Chicago Bulls27141352%101.699.3+2.3
14 New York Knicks27141352%104.8107.9-3.1
15 Indiana Pacers29151452%104.3105.8-1.5
16 Atlanta Hawks28141450%102.6104.4-1.7
17 Detroit Pistons30141647%98.497.4+0.9
18 Portland Trail Blazers29131645%109.4113.0-3.5
19 Washington Wizards27121544%105.3106.4-1.2
20 Denver Nuggets28121643%107.7109.4-1.6
21 Orlando Magic29121741%96.8101.9-5.1
22 Sacramento Kings27101737%101.5104.0-2.5
23 Los Angeles Lakers31112035%104.7110.7-6.1
24 New Orleans Pelicans30102033%102.7106.9-4.1
25 Miami Heat2891932%97.3100.4-3.1
26 Minnesota Timberwolves2781930%104.3106.9-2.6
27 Phoenix Suns2882029%106.4113.1-6.8
28 Brooklyn Nets2671927%106.7114.3-7.7
29 Dallas Mavericks2872125%94.1100.2-6.1
30 Philadelphia 76ers2872125%98.1105.8-7.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Miami Heat2836252021130
Orlando Magic2730282427136
← all games of the day
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