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Miami Heat vs Oklahoma City Thunder Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-106
19-33 29-28 21-26 25-19
Position#13
Record10-21
FormLLLWL
Points / game98.6
Allowed / game101.4
Miami Heat
USA
vs
Oklahoma City Thunder 🏆
USA
Position#10
Record19-12
FormWLWWW
Points / game107.0
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder
22 Nov 2026
MIA v OKC
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
MIA122
OKC120
20 Dec 2024
MIA97
OKC104
10 Jan 2024
MIA120
OKC128
10 Jan 2023
MIA112
OKC111
18 Mar 2022
MIA120
OKC108
04 Jan 2021
MIA118
OKC90
01 Feb 2019
MIA102
OKC118
09 Apr 2018
MIA93
OKC115
27 Dec 2016
MIA94
OKC106
03 Dec 2015
MIA97
OKC95
20 Jan 2015
MIA86
OKC94
29 Jan 2014
MIA95
OKC112
25 Dec 2012
MIA103
OKC97
21 Jun 2012
MIA121
OKC106
19 Jun 2012
MIA104
OKC98
17 Jun 2012
MIA91
OKC85
04 Apr 2012
MIA98
OKC93
16 Mar 2011
MIA85
OKC96
17 Nov 2009
MIA87
OKC100
06 Dec 2008
MIA105
OKC99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
95-103
95
103
-8
82avg 92
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
84-114
84
114
-30
67avg 92
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
100-105
100
105
-5
89avg 92
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
112-101
112
101
+11
107avg 92
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
95-89
95
89
+6
93avg 92
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
98-102
98
102
-4
82avg 92
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
95-105
95
105
-10
93avg 92
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
130-136 OT
130
136
-6
111avg 92
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-107
115
107
+8
112avg 92
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
87-91
87
91
-4
81avg 92
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-29
21-24
17-25
32-25
27-31
19-26
23-30
15-27
27-29
28-26
20-28
25-22
28-29
31-24
22-29
31-19
20-21
33-31
25-27
17-10
27-31
19-29
23-19
29-23
19-37
22-21
30-19
24-28
28-27
36-30
25-28
20-24
17-25
36-35
29-20
33-27
28-25
21-19
19-20
19-27
206.4Avg total
101.1Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)98.6101.4200.0-2.832%
Season at home (16)101.8102.6204.4-0.831%
Season away (15)95.1100.2195.3-5.133%
Last 10 (10)101.1105.3206.4-4.230%
Last 5 (5)105.0108.2213.2-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (23)96.099.7195.8-3.730%
vs Weaker (5)110.0110.8220.8-0.840%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
102-99
102
99
+3
96avg 102
A06/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
99-102
99
102
-3
89avg 102
H10/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
99-96
99
96
+3
88avg 102
H12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
95-114
95
114
-19
79avg 102
A14/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
89-109
89
109
-20
71avg 102
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
114-101
114
101
+13
111avg 102
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
108-110
108
110
-2
91avg 102
H20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
121-110
121
110
+11
116avg 102
A22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
117-112
117
112
+5
114avg 102
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 102
H26/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
32-33
28-15
19-30
23-25
26-30
28-31
22-16
21-24
18-19
28-28
32-25
31-32
21-36
19-24
24-22
21-26
20-29
27-25
21-29
30-20
24-19
35-30
25-32
16-22
37-26
25-33
30-29
34-28
29-30
24-26
34-26
25-28
33-26
30-25
29-33
23-27
34-26
29-22
26-25
210.9Avg total
105.6Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)107.0105.2212.2+1.861%
Season at home (18)109.3102.8212.1+6.467%
Season away (13)103.8108.4212.2-4.554%
Last 10 (10)105.6105.3210.9+0.360%
Last 5 (5)114.4106.6221.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)100.0109.0209.0-9.033%
vs Similar ◀ (20)106.2103.9210.1+2.265%
vs Weaker (7)113.0108.3221.3+4.757%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.8-3.8Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +1.3+1.3Q4: -0.5-0.5
Miami HeatOklahoma City Thunder
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A11/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
59-53
59
53
+6
H13/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#16
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H15/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
46-60
46
60
-14
H17/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
41-58
41
58
-17
H18/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
64-57
64
57
+7
H21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
53-60
53
60
-7
H23/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/12
NBA
106.1Avg total
51.2Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.052.1101.1-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)49.852.6102.4-2.938%-
Last 30 away (14)48.151.599.6-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)51.254.9106.1-3.740%-
Last 5 (5)50.655.8106.4-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)48.551.7100.3-3.235%-
vs Weaker (5)54.053.2107.2+0.860%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A06/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
49-55
49
55
-6
H10/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H12/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
52-68
52
68
-16
A14/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A15/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H17/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
W
53-48
53
48
+5
H20/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
63-58
63
58
+5
A22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
58-54
58
54
+4
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
W
57-53
57
53
+4
H26/12
NBA
104.8Avg total
52.1Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.253.4106.7-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (18)54.151.6105.6+2.561%-
Last 30 away (12)52.056.2108.2-4.242%-
Last 10 (10)52.152.7104.8-0.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.050.4107.4+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)52.362.0114.3-9.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)53.653.0106.7+0.660%-
vs Weaker (7)52.650.9103.4+1.743%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 101.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.0 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.431.0
49.7%
50.2%62.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.88.4
33.9%
35.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.313.9
65.3%
77.0%13.9
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 105.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.630.2
52.4%
50.2%60.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
35.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws28.520.9
73.3%
77.0%20.9
They take 83.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LWLLLWWLLL
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWLWLLWLW
#13
League position
#10
-4.3
Net rating
+0.3
102.3
Offensive rating
107.6
106.6
Defensive rating
107.3
50.0%
Effective FG%
51.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
14.4%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
28.6%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.34
33.9%
3-point %
31.8%
55.8%
Assist %
54.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 107.6Defence106.6 · 107.3Shooting50.0% · 51.0%3-point %33.9% · 31.8%Ball care13.3% · 14.4%Off. rebounds25.2% · 28.6%Free throws0.24 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Oklahoma City Thunder
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Oklahoma City Thunder wins
DateGameScore
08/11/16Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat97-85
18/01/16Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat99-74
04/12/15Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder97-95
22/03/15Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat93-75
21/01/15Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder86-94
21/02/14Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat81-103
30/01/14Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder95-112
15/02/13Oklahoma City Thunder v Miami Heat100-110
25/12/12Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder103-97
22/06/12Miami Heat v Oklahoma City Thunder121-106
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans87-91
23/12/16HLos Angeles Lakers115-107
21/12/16HOrlando Magic130-136 OT
18/12/16HBoston Celtics95-105
17/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers98-102
15/12/16HIndiana Pacers95-89
13/12/16HWashington Wizards112-101
11/12/16AChicago Bulls100-105
10/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers84-114
08/12/16AAtlanta Hawks95-103
Oklahoma City Thunderlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/12/16HMinnesota Timberwolves112-100
24/12/16ABoston Celtics117-112
22/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans121-110
20/12/16HAtlanta Hawks108-110
17/12/16HPhoenix Suns114-101
15/12/16AUtah Jazz89-109
14/12/16APortland Trail Blazers95-114
12/12/16HBoston Celtics99-96
10/12/16HHouston Rockets99-102
06/12/16AAtlanta Hawks102-99

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL32%
HomeWLLLW31%
AwayLLLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %32%31%33%
Points / game98.6101.895.1
Allowed / game101.4102.6100.2
Point differential-2.8-0.8-5.1
Avg total200.0204.4195.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%19%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)0% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW61%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayWLLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311813
Win %61%67%54%
Points / game107.0109.3103.8
Allowed / game105.2102.8108.4
Point differential+1.8+6.4-4.5
Avg total212.2212.1212.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)38% (8)80% (5)
Overtime %13%17%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3227584%117.2104.2+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs3125681%104.697.9+6.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers3023777%110.1103.0+7.2
4 Toronto Raptors3022873%111.4102.4+9.0
5 Houston Rockets3223972%113.5106.4+7.1
6 Los Angeles Clippers33221167%108.7101.6+7.0
7 Oklahoma City Thunder31191261%107.0105.2+1.8
8 Memphis Grizzlies33201361%97.597.7-0.2
9 Utah Jazz31181358%99.195.2+3.9
10 Boston Celtics31181358%105.2103.4+1.8
11 Charlotte Hornets31171455%104.7102.7+2.0
12 New York Knicks30161453%105.6107.9-2.3
13 Chicago Bulls31151648%100.699.8+0.8
14 Atlanta Hawks31151648%101.8104.1-2.2
15 Milwaukee Bucks29141548%104.5102.7+1.8
16 Indiana Pacers32151747%103.8105.8-2.0
17 Washington Wizards30141647%105.1106.5-1.5
18 Detroit Pistons33151845%98.797.9+0.8
19 Orlando Magic33151845%98.7102.5-3.8
20 Sacramento Kings31141745%102.3104.1-1.8
21 Denver Nuggets31131842%107.5109.4-1.9
22 Portland Trail Blazers33132039%108.2112.2-4.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans33122136%102.8106.6-3.8
24 Los Angeles Lakers34122235%104.5110.6-6.1
25 Minnesota Timberwolves31102132%103.8105.9-2.1
26 Miami Heat31102132%98.6101.4-2.8
27 Dallas Mavericks3192229%94.4100.0-5.6
28 Phoenix Suns3192229%107.3114.2-6.8
29 Brooklyn Nets3082227%106.6114.8-8.2
30 Philadelphia 76ers3072323%98.7106.2-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1929212594
Oklahoma City Thunder33282619106
← all games of the day
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