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Miami Heat vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Dec 2016
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 112-101
28-29 31-24 22-29 31-19
Position#13
Record7-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game96.8
Allowed / game100.5
vs
Position#9
Record9-13
FormLWLWW
Points / game104.0
Allowed / game106.0
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Washington Wizards
03 Dec 2026
MIA v WAS
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
MIA152
WAS136
10 Mar 2026
MIA150
WAS129
13 Apr 2025
MIA118
WAS119
03 Mar 2025
MIA106
WAS90
10 Mar 2024
MIA108
WAS110
03 Nov 2023
MIA121
WAS114
25 Nov 2022
MIA110
WAS107
23 Nov 2022
MIA113
WAS105
28 Dec 2021
MIA119
WAS112
18 Nov 2021
MIA112
WAS97
05 Feb 2021
MIA122
WAS95
03 Feb 2021
MIA100
WAS103
22 Jan 2020
MIA134
WAS129
06 Dec 2019
MIA112
WAS103
04 Jan 2019
MIA115
WAS109
10 Nov 2018
MIA110
WAS116
10 Mar 2018
MIA129
WAS102
15 Nov 2017
MIA93
WAS102
12 Apr 2017
MIA110
WAS102
12 Dec 2016
MIA112
WAS101
20 Feb 2016
MIA114
WAS94
07 Dec 2015
MIA103
WAS114
19 Dec 2014
MIA103
WAS105
29 Oct 2014
MIA107
WAS95
10 Mar 2014
MIA99
WAS90
03 Nov 2013
MIA103
WAS93
06 Jan 2013
MIA99
WAS71
15 Dec 2012
MIA102
WAS72
21 Apr 2012
MIA84
WAS86
25 Feb 2011
MIA121
WAS113
29 Nov 2010
MIA105
WAS94
27 Nov 2009
MIA84
WAS94
10 Nov 2009
MIA90
WAS76
28 Jan 2009
MIA93
WAS71
14 Nov 2008
MIA97
WAS77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
90-81
90
81
+9
75avg 91
A26/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
107-110
107
110
-3
95avg 91
H27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
104-112
104
112
-8
96avg 91
H29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
106-98
106
98
+8
95avg 91
A01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
111-110
111
110
+1
98avg 91
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
92-99
92
99
-7
84avg 91
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
103-114
103
114
-11
89avg 91
H07/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
95-103
95
103
-8
82avg 91
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
84-114
84
114
-30
67avg 91
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
100-105
100
105
-5
89avg 91
A11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
17-20
26-18
19-24
31-24
18-27
33-31
25-28
19-21
12-27
42-35
31-29
28-30
24-17
23-33
31-18
26-27
26-21
31-29
28-33
29-21
20-34
22-18
21-26
25-26
29-27
23-31
26-30
25-29
21-24
17-25
32-25
27-31
19-26
23-30
15-27
27-29
28-26
20-28
25-22
203.8Avg total
99.2Scored
104.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)96.8100.5197.4-3.729%
Season at home (10)98.4100.1198.5-1.720%
Season away (14)95.7100.9196.6-5.136%
Last 10 (10)99.2104.6203.8-5.430%
Last 5 (5)94.8107.0201.8-12.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)94.5100.0194.5-5.50%
vs Similar ◀ (24)95.199.6194.7-4.529%
vs Weaker (4)103.2101.8205.0+1.550%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
106-101
106
101
+5
92avg 95
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
94-91
94
91
+3
84avg 95
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
100-112
100
112
-12
88avg 95
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
101-95 OT
101
95
+6
93avg 95
H29/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
115-126 OT
115
126
-11
102avg 95
A01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
105-107
105
107
-2
103avg 95
A03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
118-113
118
113
+5
106avg 95
A06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
116-124
116
124
-8
101avg 95
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
83avg 95
H09/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-105
110
105
+5
102avg 95
H11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
24-26
25-34
31-21
26-14
22-24
24-30
22-23
22-23
22-31
32-36
24-22
25-19
25-34
24-19
18-20
19-32
34-28
31-24
21-21
28-24
32-33
14-23
31-27
29-32
22-34
32-15
35-32
24-25
28-40
29-31
35-28
18-29
29-23
28-21
17-12
23-32
29-20
25-25
33-28
211.6Avg total
105.7Scored
105.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)104.0106.0210.0-2.041%
Season at home (13)105.5105.0210.5+0.554%
Season away (9)101.9107.3209.2-5.422%
Last 10 (10)105.7105.9211.6-0.260%
Last 5 (5)108.2106.8215.0+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)104.7111.0215.7-6.30%
vs Similar ◀ (16)104.6106.7211.2-2.138%
vs Weaker (11)108.1104.2212.3+3.973%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -3.5-3.5Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
Miami HeatWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A26/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H27/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
H29/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A01/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#8
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A02/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
L
49-55
49
55
-6
A04/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H07/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A11/12
NBA
98.5Avg total
47.9Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.550.598.0-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.548.595.9-1.038%-
Last 30 away (17)47.552.199.6-4.624%-
Last 10 (10)47.950.698.5-2.740%-
Last 5 (5)50.054.6104.6-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)42.053.595.5-11.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)47.450.397.7-2.929%-
vs Weaker (4)50.850.5101.2+0.250%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H22/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A26/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H27/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H29/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A01/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A03/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
L
51-66
51
66
-15
A06/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
52-65
52
65
-13
H07/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#17
L
47-52
47
52
-5
H09/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
D
52-52
52
52
+0
H11/12
NBA
105.0Avg total
50.7Scored
54.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.154.0107.1-0.940%-
Last 30 at home (16)52.351.8104.1+0.544%-
Last 30 away (14)53.956.5110.4-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)50.754.3105.0-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)52.458.4110.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.057.0108.0-6.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.054.2108.2-0.231%-
vs Weaker (11)52.352.9105.2-0.655%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.529.4
48.6%
50.2%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.5
33.2%
35.7%25.5
🏀 Free throws22.014.9
67.7%
77.0%14.9
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 105.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.231.5
49.1%
50.2%63.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.08.8
36.7%
35.7%26.4
🏀 Free throws21.516.3
75.8%
77.0%16.3
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Dec 2016 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLLWWLLW
Washington Wizards
WWLWLLWLWW
#13
League position
#9
-5.7
Net rating
-0.2
104.6
Offensive rating
104.3
110.3
Defensive rating
104.5
49.0%
Effective FG%
50.7%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
11.2%
Turnover %
13.2%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.24
33.2%
3-point %
36.7%
54.9%
Assist %
59.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 104.3Defence110.3 · 104.5Shooting49.0% · 50.7%3-point %33.2% · 36.7%Ball care11.2% · 13.2%Off. rebounds25.7% · 23.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Washington Wizards wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16AChicago Bulls100-105
10/12/16ACleveland Cavaliers84-114
08/12/16AAtlanta Hawks95-103
07/12/16HNew York Knicks103-114
04/12/16APortland Trail Blazers92-99
02/12/16AUtah Jazz111-110
01/12/16ADenver Nuggets106-98
29/11/16HBoston Celtics104-112
27/11/16HMemphis Grizzlies107-110
26/11/16AMemphis Grizzlies90-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/16HMilwaukee Bucks110-105
09/12/16HDenver Nuggets92-85
07/12/16HOrlando Magic116-124
06/12/16ABrooklyn Nets118-113
03/12/16ASan Antonio Spurs105-107
01/12/16AOklahoma City Thunder115-126 OT
29/11/16HSacramento Kings101-95 OT
27/11/16HSan Antonio Spurs100-112
26/11/16AOrlando Magic94-91
22/11/16HPhoenix Suns106-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLLLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241014
Win %29%20%36%
Points / game96.898.495.7
Allowed / game100.5100.1100.9
Point differential-3.7-1.7-5.1
Avg total197.4198.5196.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%20%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %4%10%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW41%
HomeLWLWW54%
AwayLWLLW22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %41%54%22%
Points / game104.0105.5101.9
Allowed / game106.0105.0107.3
Point differential-2.0+0.5-5.4
Avg total210.0210.5209.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %14%8%22%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors2521484%118.0106.0+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs2419579%103.497.8+5.6
3 Cleveland Cavaliers2217577%111.5103.6+7.9
4 Los Angeles Clippers2417771%109.3100.0+9.2
5 Houston Rockets2417771%111.6105.7+5.9
6 Toronto Raptors2316770%111.0102.7+8.3
7 Memphis Grizzlies2517868%98.097.6+0.5
8 Oklahoma City Thunder2415962%106.7104.3+2.4
9 Utah Jazz25151060%100.595.5+5.0
10 New York Knicks24141058%104.8107.1-2.3
11 Chicago Bulls23131057%103.099.9+3.1
12 Charlotte Hornets25141156%104.3102.2+2.1
13 Boston Celtics24131154%104.5103.0+1.5
14 Indiana Pacers25131252%105.2107.1-1.9
15 Detroit Pistons26131350%99.196.1+3.0
16 Milwaukee Bucks22111150%104.2102.7+1.5
17 Atlanta Hawks24121250%100.8102.3-1.5
18 Portland Trail Blazers25121348%109.2111.7-2.5
19 Washington Wizards2291341%104.0106.0-2.0
20 Orlando Magic25101540%94.8100.1-5.3
21 Los Angeles Lakers26101638%105.2111.0-5.8
22 Denver Nuggets2491538%106.2108.7-2.5
23 Sacramento Kings2381535%102.2104.0-1.8
24 New Orleans Pelicans2581732%102.5106.8-4.3
25 Miami Heat2471729%96.8100.5-3.7
26 Phoenix Suns2471729%106.8113.3-6.5
27 Brooklyn Nets2261627%106.0114.9-9.0
28 Minnesota Timberwolves2461825%103.9107.2-3.3
29 Philadelphia 76ers2461825%97.6105.2-7.6
30 Dallas Mavericks2351822%92.7100.9-8.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat28312231112
Washington Wizards29242919101
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