PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Middle Tenn. St. vs Murray State Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 24 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 90-87
43-40 47-47
Position#179
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game66.2
vs
Position#102
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game94.4
Allowed / game77.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Middle Tenn. St. v Murray State
23 Nov 2025
MIDD90
MURR87
16 Nov 2024
MIDD67
MURR88
21 Dec 2022
MIDD83
MURR67
02 Dec 2020
MIDD78
MURR61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Middle Tenn. St. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Murray State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Middle Tenn. St.USALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#163
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
77-75 OT
77
75
+2
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
L
103-109 OT
103
109
-6
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
100-51
100
51
+49
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
109-56
109
56
+53
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
77-72
77
72
+5
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-86
61
86
-25
A19/11
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
31-33
0-0
35-33
0-0
37-42
0-0
44-44
0-0
41-20
0-0
37-36
0-0
40-31
0-0
22-31
0-0
35-35
0-0
33-35
0-0
48-43
0-0
36-41
0-0
48-26
0-0
52-25
0-0
54-23
0-0
55-33
0-0
36-28
0-0
41-44
0-0
30-36
0-0
31-50
156.6Avg total
83.0Scored
73.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)86.866.2153.0+20.575%
Season at home (2)104.553.5158.0+51.0100%
Season away (2)69.079.0148.0-10.050%
Last 10 (10)83.073.6156.6+9.460%
Last 5 (5)90.074.8164.8+15.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)67.278.4145.6-11.220%
vs Similar ◀ (14)72.972.6145.5+0.457%
vs Weaker (10)84.963.8148.7+21.1100%
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
L
83-85 OT
83
85
-2
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
74-53
74
53
+21
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
L
62-70
62
70
-8
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
85-77
85
77
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
108-60
108
60
+48
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
99-79
99
79
+20
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
89-68
89
68
+21
H19/11
NCAA
1H
2H
39-36
36-39
39-40
46-35
22-41
38-29
35-29
39-24
28-27
34-43
34-31
51-46
47-23
61-37
42-49
49-53
48-39
51-40
43-23
46-45
157.5Avg total
83.6Scored
73.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)94.477.2171.6+17.280%
Season at home (4)95.271.0166.2+24.2100%
Season away (1)91.0102.0193.0-11.00%
Last 10 (10)83.673.9157.5+9.760%
Last 5 (5)94.477.2171.6+17.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)63.468.6132.0-5.220%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.674.2146.8-1.644%
vs Weaker (9)80.770.3151.0+10.367%
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.3+8.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.3+8.31st half: +3.9+3.92nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +6.0+6.0
Middle Tenn. St.Murray State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Middle Tenn. St.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UTEP
#163
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A01/03
NCAA
Liberty
#19
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H07/03
NCAA
Florida International
#330
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H08/03
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#109
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H14/03
NCAA
Jacksonville State
#92
D
35-35
35
35
+0
A14/03
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#1
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H19/03
NIT
Milligan
#639
W
48-26
48
26
+22
H05/11
NCAA
Webster Gorloks
#620
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H09/11
NCAA
Evansville
#362
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A13/11
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A19/11
NCAA
71.7Avg total
40.0Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.833.069.8+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.131.070.1+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)34.235.469.6-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.031.771.7+8.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.231.274.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)33.836.870.6-3.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)34.033.667.6+0.450%-
vs Weaker (10)41.129.470.5+11.770%-
This opponent (Murray State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Murray StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bradley
#30
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A22/02
NCAA
Indiana State
#254
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H26/02
NCAA
Belmont
#79
L
22-41
22
41
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Evansville
#319
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H07/03
NCAA
Bradley
#30
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A08/03
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H03/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#372
W
47-23
47
23
+24
H08/11
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#129
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A12/11
NCAA
Nicholls State
#265
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H15/11
NCAA
UALR
#295
W
43-23
43
23
+20
H19/11
NCAA
71.5Avg total
37.7Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.132.965.0-0.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)33.332.465.7+0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)30.833.564.3-2.757%-
Last 10 (10)37.733.871.5+3.970%-
Last 5 (5)42.833.075.8+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)29.232.461.6-3.240%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)31.634.666.2-3.144%-
vs Weaker (9)34.830.164.9+4.778%-
This opponent (Middle Tenn. St.) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Middle Tenn. St. wins
4
Murray State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25AMichigan61-86
13/11/25AEvansville77-72
09/11/25HWebster Gorloks109-56
05/11/25HMilligan100-51
19/03/25HChattanooga Mocs103-109 OT
14/03/25AJacksonville State68-70
14/03/25HLouisiana Tech77-75 OT
08/03/25HFlorida International78-56
07/03/25HLiberty81-86
01/03/25AUTEP76-75 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/25HUALR89-68
15/11/25HNicholls State99-79
12/11/25ASMU Mustangs91-102
08/11/25HMiss. Valley St.108-60
03/11/25HNebraska O.85-77
08/03/25ABradley62-70
07/03/25HEvansville74-53
02/03/25ABelmont60-70
26/02/25HIndiana State85-75
22/02/25ABradley83-85 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Middle Tenn. St.
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game86.8104.569.0
Allowed / game66.253.579.0
Point differential+20.5+51.0-10.0
Avg total153.0158.0148.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Murray State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games541
Win %80%100%0%
Points / game94.495.291.0
Allowed / game77.271.0102.0
Point differential+17.2+24.2-11.0
Avg total171.6166.2193.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty440100%93.561.5+32.0
2 Western Kentucky440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 New Mexico State440100%78.567.5+11.0
4 Jacksonville State43175%92.560.0+32.5
5 Kennesaw State43175%99.267.5+31.8
6 Middle Tenn. St.43175%86.866.2+20.5
7 Sam Houston St.53260%86.873.2+13.6
8 Missouri State53260%80.469.4+11.0
9 UTEP53260%79.671.0+8.6
10 Louisiana Tech42250%65.555.8+9.8
11 Florida International42250%88.080.8+7.2
12 Delaware51420%68.076.6-8.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Iowa550100%72.259.0+13.2
2 Belmont65183%78.569.7+8.8
3 Murray State54180%94.477.2+17.2
4 Valparaiso54180%70.271.6-1.4
5 Drake64267%78.863.0+15.8
6 Illinois State64267%80.065.7+14.3
7 Illinois (Chi.)64267%82.271.3+10.8
8 Indiana State64267%72.770.5+2.2
9 Southern Illinois53260%85.871.4+14.4
10 Evansville63350%73.368.2+5.2
11 Bradley52340%73.270.6+2.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Middle Tenn. St.434790
Murray State404787
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.