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Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 01 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Scheduled
Position#27
Record3-7
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game122.0
vs
Position#14
Record5-5
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game109.4
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v San Antonio Spurs
30 Nov 2026
MIL v SAS
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MIL95
SAS127
08 Jan 2025
MIL121
SAS105
19 Dec 2023
MIL132
SAS119
22 Mar 2023
MIL130
SAS94
30 Oct 2021
MIL93
SAS102
20 Mar 2021
MIL120
SAS113
23 Jul 2020
MIL113
SAS92
04 Jan 2020
MIL127
SAS118
24 Nov 2018
MIL135
SAS129
12 Jul 2018
MIL83
SAS75
25 Mar 2018
MIL106
SAS103
05 Dec 2016
MIL96
SAS97
04 Jan 2016
MIL98
SAS123
18 Mar 2015
MIL103
SAS114
11 Dec 2013
MIL77
SAS109
19 Jul 2013
MIL80
SAS90
02 Jan 2013
MIL110
SAS117
10 Jan 2012
MIL106
SAS103
12 Jan 2011
MIL84
SAS91
26 Dec 2009
MIL97
SAS112
12 Nov 2008
MIL82
SAS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Milwaukee Bucks
4.3out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 109.3
113.4▲ 4.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 117.3
124.2▲ 6.9
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
57%▼ 1%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 25.3
26.0▲ 0.7
🔥 Form · San Antonio Spurs
3.5out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 117.7
116.6▼ 1.1
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 109.2
110.0▲ 0.8
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 58%
54%▼ 5%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 27.5
26.5▼ 1.0
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
97-116
97
116
-19
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
W
128-126
128
126
+2
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
104-125
104
125
-21
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
128-127 OT
128
127
+1
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
116-128
116
128
-12
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
125-132
125
132
-7
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
116-127
116
127
-11
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
110-102
110
102
+8
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
100-132
100
132
-32
H29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-31
28-29
28-21
21-35
35-44
29-38
33-20
31-24
26-29
19-31
22-27
23-18
15-24
24-38
39-40
26-23
21-29
35-42
34-22
27-24
23-25
33-26
37-39
23-38
32-17
30-44
42-41
21-30
25-34
35-30
27-33
29-30
31-29
19-32
34-24
26-17
21-23
14-34
34-38
31-37
233.4Avg total
111.4Scored
122.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Season at home (5)107.2121.4228.6-14.220%
Season away (5)115.6122.6238.2-7.040%
Last 10 (10)111.4122.0233.4-10.630%
Last 5 (5)113.4124.2237.6-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)108.3124.5232.8-16.217%
vs Similar (5)114.8114.0228.8+0.860%
vs Weaker (2)107.5102.0209.5+5.550%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#6
L
116-123
116
123
-7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
98-102
98
102
-4
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
109-119
109
119
-10
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-103
123
103
+20
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
126-97
126
97
+29
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
104-116
104
116
-12
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
110-114
110
114
-4
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
122-106
122
106
+16
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
130-103
130
103
+27
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
A29/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-20
30-42
26-31
21-30
25-35
26-23
22-27
25-17
26-33
35-35
17-31
31-20
22-23
38-26
32-26
31-28
42-18
29-19
30-35
25-25
28-34
16-31
36-28
24-23
27-32
32-29
22-24
29-29
32-31
36-29
24-29
30-17
39-29
41-25
27-26
23-23
22-32
29-23
34-30
20-20
224.9Avg total
115.5Scored
109.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Season at home (6)118.2109.3227.5+8.850%
Season away (4)111.5109.5221.0+2.050%
Last 10 (10)115.5109.4224.9+6.150%
Last 5 (5)116.6110.0226.6+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (13)108.8108.3217.2+0.538%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)117.6104.5222.1+13.169%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -7.8-7.8Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.7+2.7
Milwaukee BucksSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#9
L
48-60
48
60
-12
H06/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
64-82
64
82
-18
A08/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A11/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
L
39-62
39
62
-23
H15/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A16/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A21/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#24
W
62-61
62
61
+1
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
60-64
60
64
-4
A24/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
L
50-61
50
61
-11
H27/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
35-57
35
57
-22
H29/10
NBA
114.4Avg total
51.5Scored
62.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.361.8115.1-8.430%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.260.8115.0-6.640%-
Last 30 away (15)52.562.7115.2-10.320%-
Last 10 (10)51.562.9114.4-11.420%-
Last 5 (5)52.658.8111.4-6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)52.763.2116.0-10.526%-
vs Similar (5)55.659.2114.8-3.640%-
vs Weaker (2)54.551.5106.0+3.050%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#6
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H09/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
51-58
51
58
-7
A11/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
61-68
61
68
-7
A13/10
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
60-49
60
49
+11
H15/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
71-37
71
37
+34
H17/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#18
L
44-65
44
65
-21
H21/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H24/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
68-60
68
60
+8
A25/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
80-54
80
54
+26
H28/10
NBA
Utah Jazz
#21
L
51-55
51
55
-4
A29/10
NBA
118.3Avg total
61.4Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.453.4110.8+4.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.649.4106.9+8.269%-
Last 30 away (14)57.358.0115.3-0.736%-
Last 10 (10)61.456.9118.3+4.550%-
Last 5 (5)60.459.0119.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.061.0120.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (13)56.053.3109.3+2.762%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)58.553.0111.5+5.550%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 112.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.525.6
52.8%
54.0%51.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.414.3
32.2%
34.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws25.517.9
70.2%
76.2%17.9
They take 92.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 44.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.3 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.326.3
51.3%
54.0%52.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.913.1
33.7%
34.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws25.119.6
78.1%
76.2%19.6
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLLLWLLWL
San Antonio Spurs
WWWLLWWLLL
#27
League position
#14
-8.1
Net rating
+2.7
96.0
Offensive rating
99.4
104.0
Defensive rating
96.7
50.6%
Effective FG%
50.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
13.0%
Off. rebound %
20.3%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.2%
3-point %
33.7%
63.4%
Assist %
63.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence96.0 · 99.4Defence104.0 · 96.7Shooting50.6% · 50.9%3-point %32.2% · 33.7%Ball care15.2% · 14.8%Off. rebounds13.0% · 20.3%Free throws0.27 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26HHouston Rockets100-132
27/10/26HIndiana Pacers110-102
24/10/26APhiladelphia 76ers116-127
23/10/26HChicago Bulls125-132
21/10/26AWashington Wizards116-128
16/10/26AIndiana Pacers128-127 OT
15/10/26HChicago Bulls104-125
11/10/26ACharlotte Hornets90-105
08/10/26AOklahoma City Thunder128-126
06/10/26HMinnesota Timberwolves97-116
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/26AUtah Jazz117-111 OT
28/10/26HSacramento Kings130-103
25/10/26ADallas Mavericks122-106
24/10/26HHouston Rockets110-114
21/10/26HOklahoma City Thunder104-116
17/10/26HSacramento Kings126-97
15/10/26HPhoenix Suns123-103
13/10/26AUtah Jazz109-119
11/10/26APhoenix Suns98-102
09/10/26HAtlanta Hawks116-123

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %30%20%40%
Points / game111.4107.2115.6
Allowed / game122.0121.4122.6
Point differential-10.6-14.2-7.0
Avg total233.4228.6238.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %10%0%20%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game115.5118.2111.5
Allowed / game109.4109.3109.5
Point differential+6.1+8.8+2.0
Avg total224.9227.5221.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %10%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics98189%123.4110.0+13.4
2 Memphis Grizzlies98189%117.9108.2+9.7
3 Detroit Pistons108280%113.3106.3+7.0
4 Houston Rockets97278%121.3110.9+10.4
5 Portland Trail Blazers75271%120.3114.3+6.0
6 Atlanta Hawks117464%120.7115.7+5.0
7 Denver Nuggets106460%114.8114.7+0.1
8 Philadelphia 76ers106460%110.6111.0-0.4
9 Minnesota Timberwolves127558%118.8112.4+6.4
10 Golden State Warriors127558%115.2110.8+4.4
11 Orlando Magic95456%116.0117.8-1.8
12 Los Angeles Lakers116555%113.2112.6+0.5
13 Toronto Raptors105550%119.6111.5+8.1
14 San Antonio Spurs105550%115.5109.4+6.1
15 Washington Wizards105550%111.6111.3+0.3
16 Cleveland Cavaliers84450%117.2118.2-1.0
17 Dallas Mavericks105550%114.3115.7-1.4
18 Oklahoma City Thunder105550%109.0110.8-1.8
19 Miami Heat115645%122.7121.9+0.8
20 New Orleans Pelicans94544%115.4116.6-1.1
21 Utah Jazz94544%112.8115.6-2.8
22 Charlotte Hornets104640%97.0108.0-11.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers83538%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Chicago Bulls114736%117.4122.7-5.4
25 Brooklyn Nets93633%116.4118.9-2.4
26 Indiana Pacers103730%117.9119.2-1.3
27 Milwaukee Bucks103730%111.4122.0-10.6
28 New York Knicks113827%106.5115.2-8.6
29 Phoenix Suns92722%110.3119.0-8.7
30 Sacramento Kings100100%106.5122.2-15.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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