PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 121-105
31-27 34-19 26-32 30-27
Position#13
Record16-16
FormLWLLW
Points / game112.8
Allowed / game111.3
vs
Position#23
Record18-18
FormLWWLL
Points / game111.4
Allowed / game111.5
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v San Antonio Spurs
30 Nov 2026
MIL v SAS
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MIL95
SAS127
08 Jan 2025
MIL121
SAS105
19 Dec 2023
MIL132
SAS119
22 Mar 2023
MIL130
SAS94
30 Oct 2021
MIL93
SAS102
20 Mar 2021
MIL120
SAS113
23 Jul 2020
MIL113
SAS92
04 Jan 2020
MIL127
SAS118
24 Nov 2018
MIL135
SAS129
25 Mar 2018
MIL106
SAS103
05 Dec 2016
MIL96
SAS97
04 Jan 2016
MIL98
SAS123
18 Mar 2015
MIL103
SAS114
11 Dec 2013
MIL77
SAS109
02 Jan 2013
MIL110
SAS117
10 Jan 2012
MIL106
SAS103
12 Jan 2011
MIL84
SAS91
26 Dec 2009
MIL97
SAS112
12 Nov 2008
MIL82
SAS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
97-81
97
81
+16
117avg 106
H18/12
NBA Cup
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
101-124
101
124
-23
93avg 106
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
112-101
112
101
+11
107avg 106
H22/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
112-91
112
91
+21
107avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
105-111
105
111
-6
97avg 106
H27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
111-116
111
116
-5
96avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-112
120
112
+8
112avg 106
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
110-113
110
113
-3
97avg 106
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
102-105
102
105
-3
90avg 106
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
128-104
128
104
+24
137avg 106
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-28
24-22
26-14
20-17
20-29
31-40
25-34
25-21
36-36
27-14
23-22
26-29
33-17
26-28
33-27
20-19
25-27
34-24
23-25
23-35
25-33
35-29
24-21
27-33
30-28
23-36
35-27
32-21
23-30
31-36
31-28
25-19
31-28
20-26
25-21
26-30
28-19
38-28
33-28
29-29
215.6Avg total
109.8Scored
105.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)112.8111.3224.1+1.450%
Season at home (16)114.1110.6224.7+3.456%
Season away (16)111.5112.1223.6-0.644%
Last 10 (10)109.8105.8215.6+4.050%
Last 5 (5)114.2110.0224.2+4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)108.0115.6223.6-7.60%
vs Similar (11)114.0109.7223.7+4.373%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)112.8104.8217.7+8.069%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
133-126 OT
133
126
+7
122avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
114-94
114
94
+20
113avg 107
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
106-111
106
111
-5
102avg 107
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
114-117
114
117
-3
117avg 107
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
96-87
96
87
+9
91avg 107
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
110-112
110
112
-2
100avg 107
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
122-86
122
86
+36
127avg 107
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
113-110
113
110
+3
110avg 107
A04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
L
111-122 OT
111
122
-11
102avg 107
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
110-114
110
114
-4
105avg 107
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-29
24-37
30-21
30-33
25-20
35-24
27-25
27-25
20-19
25-29
30-36
31-27
27-28
31-23
25-37
31-29
11-22
30-19
33-21
22-25
33-25
12-32
37-25
28-30
31-17
32-26
28-20
31-23
32-30
28-22
27-38
26-20
27-30
28-24
37-27
16-27
29-20
36-30
30-32
15-32
220.8Avg total
112.9Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)111.4111.5223.0-0.150%
Season at home (20)114.6112.0226.6+2.560%
Season away (16)107.5110.9218.4-3.438%
Last 10 (10)112.9107.9220.8+5.050%
Last 5 (5)113.2108.8222.0+4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)108.0109.1217.1-1.140%
vs Similar (14)112.9115.6228.6-2.743%
vs Weaker (6)120.0112.8232.8+7.283%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +3.1+3.1Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +1.5+1.5Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +2.2+2.2Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: -1.4-1.4
Milwaukee BucksSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H18/12
NBA Cup
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H22/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-45
59
45
+14
A24/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H27/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
60-62
60
62
-2
A29/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A31/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
L
54-66
54
66
-12
H03/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H05/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
66-47
66
47
+19
A07/01
NBA
112.5Avg total
56.7Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.656.2114.8+2.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)58.254.8113.0+3.372%-
Last 30 away (12)59.258.3117.5+0.850%-
Last 10 (10)56.755.8112.5+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)56.858.6115.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)59.862.8122.6-3.060%-
vs Similar (11)59.356.6115.9+2.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)57.453.2110.5+4.269%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
60-66
60
66
-6
H20/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
60-44
60
44
+16
H22/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
45-48
45
48
-3
A24/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A25/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A28/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
L
45-57
45
57
-12
A30/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
63-43
63
43
+20
H01/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A04/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H05/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A07/01
NBA
105.8Avg total
55.2Scored
50.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.056.1110.1-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (17)55.658.4114.1-2.841%-
Last 30 away (13)51.853.1104.9-1.238%-
Last 10 (10)55.250.6105.8+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)57.651.2108.8+6.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)51.052.7103.7-1.760%-
vs Similar (14)54.957.1112.1-2.236%-
vs Weaker (6)56.859.3116.2-2.517%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀11%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.9 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 11% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.426.0
51.6%
54.3%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.615.3
38.6%
35.9%45.9
🏀 Free throws16.011.9
74.4%
77.8%11.9
They take 90.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 112.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.8
55.5%
54.3%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.913.3
33.3%
35.9%39.9
🏀 Free throws19.315.4
79.8%
77.8%15.4
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWLLWWLW
San Antonio Spurs
LLWWLWLLWW
#13
League position
#23
+4.1
Net rating
+4.8
106.9
Offensive rating
109.2
102.8
Defensive rating
104.4
54.4%
Effective FG%
53.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
13.2%
19.5%
Off. rebound %
22.8%
0.18
Free-throw rate
0.21
38.6%
3-point %
33.3%
64.6%
Assist %
71.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence106.9 · 109.2Defence102.8 · 104.4Shooting54.4% · 53.1%3-point %38.6% · 33.3%Ball care14.6% · 13.2%Off. rebounds19.5% · 22.8%Free throws0.18 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25AToronto Raptors128-104
05/01/25HPortland Trail Blazers102-105
03/01/25HBrooklyn Nets110-113
31/12/24AIndiana Pacers120-112
29/12/24AChicago Bulls111-116
27/12/24HBrooklyn Nets105-111
24/12/24AChicago Bulls112-91
22/12/24HWashington Wizards112-101
21/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers101-124
18/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/25AChicago Bulls110-114
05/01/25HDenver Nuggets111-122 OT
04/01/25ADenver Nuggets113-110
01/01/25HLos Angeles Clippers122-86
30/12/24AMinnesota Timberwolves110-112
28/12/24ABrooklyn Nets96-87
25/12/24ANew York Knicks114-117
24/12/24APhiladelphia 76ers106-111
22/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers114-94
20/12/24HAtlanta Hawks133-126 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayLWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %50%56%44%
Points / game112.8114.1111.5
Allowed / game111.3110.6112.1
Point differential+1.4+3.4-0.6
Avg total224.1224.7223.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%38%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)25% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %3%6%0%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL50%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLWLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games362016
Win %50%60%38%
Points / game111.4114.6107.5
Allowed / game111.5112.0110.9
Point differential-0.1+2.5-3.4
Avg total223.0226.7218.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)40% (5)43% (7)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3632489%122.7111.0+11.7
2 Oklahoma City Thunder3428682%115.4103.9+11.4
3 Boston Celtics37271073%118.5108.3+10.2
4 Houston Rockets34231168%114.1107.2+6.9
5 New York Knicks37251268%117.5110.2+7.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies37241365%123.1114.7+8.4
7 Orlando Magic37221559%105.1102.9+2.2
8 Dallas Mavericks36211558%116.8111.7+5.1
9 Denver Nuggets36211558%120.5116.9+3.6
10 Los Angeles Lakers36201656%111.8114.0-2.1
11 Los Angeles Clippers37201754%108.9108.4+0.5
12 Minnesota Timberwolves36191753%109.1107.7+1.4
13 Indiana Pacers38201853%115.6116.0-0.4
14 Miami Heat35181751%111.3110.1+1.2
15 Golden State Warriors35181751%112.4111.7+0.8
16 Atlanta Hawks35181751%118.0120.6-2.6
17 Detroit Pistons37191851%112.0113.3-1.3
18 Milwaukee Bucks32161650%112.8111.3+1.4
19 San Antonio Spurs36181850%111.4111.5-0.1
20 Sacramento Kings37181949%116.0113.8+2.2
21 Chicago Bulls37172046%117.6121.2-3.6
22 Phoenix Suns35161946%111.8113.9-2.2
23 Philadelphia 76ers35152043%107.4110.5-3.1
24 Portland Trail Blazers36132336%108.4116.4-7.9
25 Brooklyn Nets37132435%107.2113.5-6.2
26 Utah Jazz3592626%111.6118.5-6.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3582723%106.1112.2-6.2
28 Toronto Raptors3782922%110.7118.8-8.1
29 New Orleans Pelicans3873118%107.0117.2-10.1
30 Washington Wizards3562917%108.8121.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks31342630121
San Antonio Spurs27193227105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.