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Milwaukee Bucks vs San Antonio Spurs Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 25 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 135-129
37-36 30-32 28-34 40-27
Position#1
Record13-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game121.0
Allowed / game108.9
vs
Position#11
Record9-9
FormLWLLW
Points / game108.6
Allowed / game108.8
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v San Antonio Spurs
30 Nov 2026
MIL v SAS
upcoming
28 Mar 2026
MIL95
SAS127
08 Jan 2025
MIL121
SAS105
19 Dec 2023
MIL132
SAS119
22 Mar 2023
MIL130
SAS94
30 Oct 2021
MIL93
SAS102
20 Mar 2021
MIL120
SAS113
23 Jul 2020
MIL113
SAS92
04 Jan 2020
MIL127
SAS118
24 Nov 2018
MIL135
SAS129
25 Mar 2018
MIL106
SAS103
05 Dec 2016
MIL96
SAS97
04 Jan 2016
MIL98
SAS123
18 Mar 2015
MIL103
SAS114
11 Dec 2013
MIL77
SAS109
02 Jan 2013
MIL110
SAS117
10 Jan 2012
MIL106
SAS103
12 Jan 2011
MIL84
SAS91
26 Dec 2009
MIL97
SAS112
12 Nov 2008
MIL82
SAS78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
San Antonio Spurs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
144-109
144
109
+35
144avg 103
H04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
103-118
103
118
-15
93avg 103
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
134-111
134
111
+23
128avg 103
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
116avg 103
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
121-114
121
114
+7
119avg 103
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
113-116
113
116
-3
108avg 103
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
123-104
123
104
+19
121avg 103
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
104-98
104
98
+6
95avg 103
H20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
143-100
143
100
+43
no box
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
114-116
114
116
-2
108avg 103
H24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-30
33-20
36-32
36-27
31-33
20-24
26-34
26-27
32-29
32-22
41-28
29-32
24-33
40-29
20-27
35-30
33-35
30-24
36-29
22-26
19-29
26-19
35-36
33-32
27-40
18-23
46-17
32-24
25-29
21-27
32-21
26-21
31-20
41-30
37-29
34-21
30-34
31-30
29-27
24-25
233.9Avg total
122.5Scored
111.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)121.0108.9229.9+12.172%
Season at home (11)122.1105.9228.0+16.282%
Season away (7)119.3113.6232.9+5.757%
Last 10 (10)122.5111.4233.9+11.160%
Last 5 (5)119.4106.8226.2+12.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.0130.0225.0-35.00%
vs Similar (12)108.6105.0213.6+3.658%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)118.9107.4226.4+11.571%
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSpurs
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
110-117
110
117
-7
101avg 96
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
88-95
88
95
-7
72avg 96
A08/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 96
H11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
99-104
99
104
-5
91avg 96
A13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
96-116
96
116
-20
83avg 96
A15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
111-116
111
116
-5
89avg 96
A16/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
104-92
104
92
+12
95avg 96
H19/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
126-140
126
140
-14
113avg 96
A20/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
103-104
103
104
-1
no box
H22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
111-100
111
100
+11
110avg 96
A24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-36
28-27
20-28
36-26
20-27
22-23
22-25
24-20
20-21
32-29
20-21
24-18
24-25
31-31
21-21
23-27
19-34
29-18
22-35
26-29
28-29
32-32
24-30
27-25
33-27
23-21
23-22
25-22
39-30
28-38
30-40
29-32
32-30
27-31
18-20
26-23
29-23
25-22
28-24
29-31
211.7Avg total
104.4Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)108.6108.8217.4-0.250%
Season at home (9)105.9103.9209.8+2.067%
Season away (9)111.3113.8225.1-2.433%
Last 10 (10)104.4107.3211.7-2.930%
Last 5 (5)111.0110.4221.4+0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)98.3100.4198.7-2.143%
vs Similar (19)109.0111.5220.5-2.547%
vs Weaker (4)104.298.8203.0+5.550%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.1-2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: -3.8-3.8Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
Milwaukee BucksSan Antonio Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H17/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
L
46-56
46
56
-10
H20/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H22/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
61-64
61
64
-3
H24/11
NBA
114.3Avg total
58.3Scored
56.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.952.5108.4+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.550.8108.2+6.771%-
Last 30 away (13)53.854.8108.6-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)58.356.0114.3+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)53.856.2110.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.080.0124.0-36.00%-
vs Similar (12)51.348.299.5+3.258%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)59.854.0113.8+5.865%-
This opponent (San Antonio Spurs) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San Antonio SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
L
54-63
54
63
-9
H05/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A08/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H11/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
L
55-56
55
56
-1
A13/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A15/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
60-61
60
61
-1
A16/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
56-48
56
48
+8
H19/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A20/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
59-61
59
61
-2
H22/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#13
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A24/11
NBA
110.1Avg total
54.7Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.052.8105.8+0.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.151.6104.7+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)52.954.1106.9-1.240%-
Last 10 (10)54.755.4110.1-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)59.256.6115.8+2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)48.047.695.6+0.457%-
vs Similar (19)54.955.3110.2-0.447%-
vs Weaker (4)52.550.5103.0+2.025%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.831.7
61.2%
51.7%63.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.614.3
34.4%
35.4%42.9
🏀 Free throws21.716.2
74.7%
76.6%16.2
They take 93.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Antonio Spurstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Antonio Spurs: 104.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.827.9
45.1%
51.7%55.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.110.0
38.3%
35.4%30.0
🏀 Free throws23.218.6
80.2%
76.6%18.6
They take 87.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWLWLWLW
San Antonio Spurs
WLLWLLLWLL
#1
League position
#11
+10.7
Net rating
-2.7
115.6
Offensive rating
105.4
104.9
Defensive rating
108.2
56.9%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
13.1%
Turnover %
12.5%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.4%
3-point %
38.3%
61.3%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.6 · 105.4Defence104.9 · 108.2Shooting56.9% · 48.8%3-point %34.4% · 38.3%Ball care13.1% · 12.5%Off. rebounds24.4% · 24.2%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ San Antonio Spurs
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/18HPhoenix Suns114-116
22/11/18HPortland Trail Blazers143-100
20/11/18HDenver Nuggets104-98
17/11/18HChicago Bulls123-104
15/11/18HMemphis Grizzlies113-116
12/11/18ADenver Nuggets121-114
10/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers126-128 OT
09/11/18AGolden State Warriors134-111
07/11/18APortland Trail Blazers103-118
04/11/18HSacramento Kings144-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/18AIndiana Pacers111-100
22/11/18HMemphis Grizzlies103-104
20/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans126-140
19/11/18HGolden State Warriors104-92
16/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers111-116
15/11/18APhoenix Suns96-116
13/11/18ASacramento Kings99-104
11/11/18HHouston Rockets96-89
08/11/18AMiami Heat88-95
05/11/18HOrlando Magic110-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeLWWWL82%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18117
Win %72%82%57%
Points / game121.0122.1119.3
Allowed / game108.9105.9113.6
Point differential+12.1+16.2+5.7
Avg total229.9228.0232.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%73%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%14%
San Antonio Spurs
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %50%67%33%
Points / game108.6105.9111.3
Allowed / game108.8103.9113.8
Point differential-0.2+2.0-2.4
Avg total217.4209.8225.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)75% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %11%11%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors2016480%116.3107.5+8.9
2 Milwaukee Bucks1813572%121.0108.9+12.1
3 Los Angeles Clippers1812667%117.6113.2+4.4
4 Memphis Grizzlies1812667%103.3100.8+2.4
5 Denver Nuggets2013765%110.0103.2+6.8
6 Golden State Warriors2013765%115.9110.4+5.5
7 Oklahoma City Thunder1912763%110.9105.5+5.4
8 Portland Trail Blazers1912763%113.3111.0+2.3
9 Philadelphia 76ers2113862%113.5113.6-0.1
10 Los Angeles Lakers1811761%114.8113.0+1.8
11 Indiana Pacers1911858%105.6102.8+2.7
12 Detroit Pistons169756%111.2111.1+0.1
13 Sacramento Kings1810856%114.2115.8-1.6
14 Boston Celtics1910953%106.4103.7+2.7
15 Charlotte Hornets189950%115.1110.2+4.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans20101050%118.8117.2+1.5
17 San Antonio Spurs189950%108.6108.8-0.2
18 Houston Rockets189950%106.9107.9-0.9
19 Orlando Magic1991047%105.5108.8-3.3
20 Dallas Mavericks178947%109.9108.8+1.1
21 Minnesota Timberwolves2091145%109.3112.0-2.6
22 Utah Jazz1981142%105.0108.1-3.1
23 Brooklyn Nets2081240%109.4110.8-1.4
24 Miami Heat1871139%108.0109.4-1.4
25 Washington Wizards1971237%112.2117.2-5.1
26 New York Knicks2061430%108.9114.3-5.4
27 Chicago Bulls2051525%103.4113.0-9.6
28 Cleveland Cavaliers1841422%105.1111.5-6.4
29 Phoenix Suns1841422%104.3114.1-9.8
30 Atlanta Hawks1931616%106.8118.3-11.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks37302840135
San Antonio Spurs36323427129
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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