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Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 20 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 104-98
25-29 21-27 32-21 26-21
Position#1
Record11-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game121.1
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLLLWL
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game104.6
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Denver Nuggets
12 Jan 2027
MIL v DEN
upcoming
23 Jan 2026
MIL100
DEN102
27 Feb 2025
MIL121
DEN112
12 Feb 2024
MIL112
DEN95
25 Jan 2023
MIL107
DEN99
30 Jan 2022
MIL100
DEN136
02 Mar 2021
MIL97
DEN128
31 Jan 2020
MIL115
DEN127
19 Nov 2018
MIL104
DEN98
15 Feb 2018
MIL123
DEN134
01 Mar 2017
MIL98
DEN110
30 Nov 2015
MIL92
DEN74
20 Feb 2015
MIL89
DEN81
20 Feb 2014
MIL90
DEN101
15 Apr 2013
MIL111
DEN112
17 Jan 2012
MIL95
DEN105
16 Feb 2011
MIL87
DEN94
11 Nov 2009
MIL108
DEN102
22 Feb 2009
MIL120
DEN117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
113-91
113
91
+22
116avg 103
H28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
124-109
124
109
+15
124avg 103
H30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
113-117
113
117
-4
103avg 103
A02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
144-109
144
109
+35
144avg 103
H04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
103-118
103
118
-15
93avg 103
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
134-111
134
111
+23
128avg 103
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
116avg 103
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
121-114
121
114
+7
119avg 103
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
113-116
113
116
-3
108avg 103
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
123-104
123
104
+19
121avg 103
H17/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-25
35-26
28-17
20-23
30-29
32-24
33-27
29-29
16-23
37-32
25-38
35-24
39-30
33-20
36-32
36-27
31-33
20-24
26-34
26-27
32-29
32-22
41-28
29-32
24-33
40-29
20-27
35-30
33-35
30-24
36-29
22-26
19-29
26-19
35-36
33-32
27-40
18-23
46-17
32-24
233.1Avg total
121.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)121.1109.7230.9+11.473%
Season at home (8)122.8106.4229.1+16.488%
Season away (7)119.3113.6232.9+5.757%
Last 10 (10)121.4111.7233.1+9.760%
Last 5 (5)123.4114.6238.0+8.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5118.5224.0-13.050%
vs Similar (14)110.9107.9218.7+3.057%
vs Weaker ◀ (14)118.6108.0226.6+10.671%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
99avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-88
103
88
+15
105avg 104
H04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-107
115
107
+8
106avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
87-89
87
89
-2
75avg 104
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 104
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 104
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
L
99-109
99
109
-10
94avg 104
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
138-93
138
93
+45
143avg 104
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
115-125
115
125
-10
107avg 104
A18/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-24
23-24
29-30
18-20
15-27
35-15
33-24
27-25
25-25
22-21
21-27
35-15
19-34
35-22
34-25
27-26
29-22
18-28
23-20
17-19
24-34
23-21
29-27
34-30
35-33
24-30
29-36
26-22
30-27
25-27
21-32
23-23
35-23
38-34
36-16
29-20
35-37
32-33
21-28
27-27
214.1Avg total
109.9Scored
104.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)111.3104.6215.9+6.862%
Season at home (10)114.0104.2218.2+9.870%
Season away (6)106.8105.2212.0+1.750%
Last 10 (10)109.9104.2214.1+5.750%
Last 5 (5)115.2112.0227.2+3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)112.0117.5229.5-5.50%
vs Similar (16)111.6109.0220.6+2.675%
vs Weaker (12)114.3104.6218.9+9.858%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +6.0+6.0Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +3.6+3.6
Milwaukee BucksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#14
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A10/11
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#4
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A12/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H15/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
L
45-63
45
63
-18
H17/11
NBA
113.3Avg total
58.4Scored
54.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.952.5108.4+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)57.049.5106.5+7.579%-
Last 30 away (16)54.955.1110.1-0.250%-
Last 10 (10)58.454.9113.3+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)56.256.6112.8-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.064.5115.5-13.550%-
vs Similar (14)52.749.9102.6+2.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (14)59.853.4113.2+6.471%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H10/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
H12/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#5
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H14/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#26
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H16/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
67-70
67
70
-3
A18/11
NBA
109.1Avg total
55.0Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.253.3110.5+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.252.2108.4+4.060%-
Last 30 away (15)58.254.3112.5+3.953%-
Last 10 (10)55.054.1109.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)60.259.8120.0+0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)58.560.5119.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (16)55.753.1108.8+2.662%-
vs Weaker (12)59.052.3111.3+6.758%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 121.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.530.3
58.8%
51.7%60.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.514.5
36.7%
35.4%43.5
🏀 Free throws22.017.3
78.6%
76.6%17.3
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 109.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.330.9
53.0%
51.7%61.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.9
36.7%
35.4%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.315.4
72.3%
76.6%15.4
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLWLWLWLWW
Denver Nuggets
LWLLLLWWWW
#1
League position
#4
+9.2
Net rating
+5.8
114.7
Offensive rating
111.6
105.5
Defensive rating
105.8
57.2%
Effective FG%
53.7%
52.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
14.0%
Turnover %
14.1%
22.1%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.7%
3-point %
36.7%
60.0%
Assist %
62.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.7 · 111.6Defence105.5 · 105.8Shooting57.2% · 53.7%3-point %36.7% · 36.7%Ball care14.0% · 14.1%Off. rebounds22.1% · 28.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Denver Nuggets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
7
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/18HChicago Bulls123-104
15/11/18HMemphis Grizzlies113-116
12/11/18ADenver Nuggets121-114
10/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers126-128 OT
09/11/18AGolden State Warriors134-111
07/11/18APortland Trail Blazers103-118
04/11/18HSacramento Kings144-109
02/11/18ABoston Celtics113-117
30/10/18HToronto Raptors124-109
28/10/18HOrlando Magic113-91
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/18ANew Orleans Pelicans115-125
16/11/18HAtlanta Hawks138-93
14/11/18HHouston Rockets99-109
12/11/18HMilwaukee Bucks114-121
10/11/18HBrooklyn Nets110-112
08/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies87-89
06/11/18HBoston Celtics115-107
04/11/18HUtah Jazz103-88
01/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-91
01/11/18AChicago Bulls108-107 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW73%
HomeWWWLW88%
AwayLLWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %73%88%57%
Points / game121.1122.8119.3
Allowed / game109.7106.4113.6
Point differential+11.4+16.4+5.7
Avg total230.9229.1232.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%88%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL62%
HomeWLLLW70%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %62%70%50%
Points / game111.3114.0106.8
Allowed / game104.6104.2105.2
Point differential+6.8+9.8+1.7
Avg total215.9218.2212.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%40%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors1713476%116.8108.4+8.4
2 Milwaukee Bucks1511473%121.1109.7+11.4
3 Portland Trail Blazers1611569%114.9107.9+6.9
4 Los Angeles Clippers1611569%117.9112.8+5.1
5 Golden State Warriors1812667%116.6110.4+6.1
6 Oklahoma City Thunder1510567%110.9105.5+5.4
7 Memphis Grizzlies1510567%103.3100.8+2.5
8 Indiana Pacers1711665%105.7100.9+4.8
9 Philadelphia 76ers1912763%113.2112.9+0.3
10 Denver Nuggets1610662%111.3104.6+6.8
11 Detroit Pistons148657%110.0110.1-0.1
12 New Orleans Pelicans169756%118.2116.2+2.0
13 Los Angeles Lakers169756%116.7115.4+1.3
14 San Antonio Spurs158753%107.7107.7+0.0
15 Houston Rockets158753%105.3105.7-0.3
16 Boston Celtics179853%105.8103.4+2.4
17 Orlando Magic179853%107.5109.5-2.1
18 Charlotte Hornets168850%115.0110.4+4.6
19 Sacramento Kings168850%113.7116.3-2.6
20 Utah Jazz178947%106.0108.5-2.5
21 Dallas Mavericks157847%110.8109.3+1.5
22 Brooklyn Nets1771041%109.9111.3-1.4
23 Minnesota Timberwolves1771041%109.6114.1-4.5
24 Miami Heat1661038%109.3110.6-1.3
25 Washington Wizards1651131%110.9116.9-5.9
26 New York Knicks1741324%107.8114.7-6.9
27 Chicago Bulls1741324%103.1113.5-10.4
28 Phoenix Suns1631319%102.8113.5-10.7
29 Atlanta Hawks1731418%107.4118.2-10.9
30 Cleveland Cavaliers1521313%103.3111.9-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks25213226104
Denver Nuggets2927212198
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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