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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 12 Nov 2018
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 114-121
35-33 24-30 29-36 26-22
Position#4
Record9-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game102.1
vs
Position#1
Record9-3
FormLWLWL
Points / game121.7
Allowed / game109.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2018-19
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
100-98
100
98
+2
85avg 104
H22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
126-112
126
112
+14
122avg 104
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
114-121
114
121
-7
104avg 104
A26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
116-111
116
111
+5
107avg 104
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
108-107 OT
108
107
+1
99avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
110-91
110
91
+19
103avg 104
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-88
103
88
+15
105avg 104
H04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
W
115-107
115
107
+8
106avg 104
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
87-89
87
89
-2
75avg 104
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
110-112
110
112
-2
102avg 104
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-25
30-24
33-21
20-28
33-26
35-29
37-26
21-31
26-22
31-36
32-29
25-34
20-24
38-21
26-31
32-35
28-24
23-24
29-30
18-20
15-27
35-15
33-24
27-25
25-25
22-21
21-27
35-15
19-34
35-22
34-25
27-26
29-22
18-28
23-20
17-19
24-34
23-21
29-27
34-30
212.5Avg total
108.9Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)109.6102.1211.7+7.575%
Season at home (7)112.7102.7215.4+10.086%
Season away (5)105.2101.2206.4+4.060%
Last 10 (10)108.9103.6212.5+5.370%
Last 5 (5)105.097.4202.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)110.0114.0224.0-4.00%
vs Similar (18)112.4109.8222.2+2.672%
vs Weaker (11)113.5103.7217.3+9.864%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
124-113
124
113
+11
118avg 102
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
123-108
123
108
+15
111avg 102
H25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
125-95
125
95
+30
132avg 102
A27/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
113-91
113
91
+22
116avg 102
H28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
124-109
124
109
+15
124avg 102
H30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
113-117
113
117
-4
103avg 102
A02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
144-109
144
109
+35
144avg 102
H04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
103-118
103
118
-15
93avg 102
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
134-111
134
111
+23
128avg 102
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
L
126-128 OT
126
128
-2
116avg 102
A10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-29
38-23
17-35
36-26
22-34
49-30
21-17
31-27
27-16
36-22
34-29
28-28
30-25
35-26
28-17
20-23
30-29
32-24
33-27
29-29
16-23
37-32
25-38
35-24
39-30
33-20
36-32
36-27
31-33
20-24
26-34
26-27
32-29
32-22
41-28
29-32
24-33
40-29
20-27
35-30
232.8Avg total
122.9Scored
109.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)121.7109.3231.0+12.375%
Season at home (6)124.3105.2229.5+19.2100%
Season away (6)119.0113.5232.5+5.550%
Last 10 (10)122.9109.9232.8+13.070%
Last 5 (5)124.0116.6240.6+7.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)105.5118.5224.0-13.050%
vs Similar (16)109.8107.4217.1+2.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)118.5106.9225.4+11.675%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: +10.0+10.0Q3Q3: +3.7+3.7Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +3.2+3.2
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#2
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H22/10
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
68-55
68
55
+13
H24/10
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#20
L
57-58
57
58
-1
A26/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
58-45
58
45
+13
H30/10
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#27
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A01/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#29
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A01/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
54-56
54
56
-2
H06/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A08/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#15
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H10/11
NBA
103.0Avg total
52.6Scored
50.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.652.8109.4+3.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.352.7109.0+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)56.952.9109.7+4.053%-
Last 10 (10)52.650.4103.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)49.049.898.8-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)58.058.0116.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (18)55.954.2110.1+1.756%-
vs Weaker (11)57.650.0107.6+7.664%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#30
W
71-52
71
52
+19
H23/10
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#7
W
71-64
71
64
+7
H25/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
W
63-38
63
38
+25
A27/10
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H28/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H30/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#8
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A02/11
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#19
W
72-50
72
50
+22
H04/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#6
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A07/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
64-51
64
51
+13
A09/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#12
W
64-62
64
62
+2
A10/11
NBA
116.9Avg total
63.6Scored
53.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.352.5108.8+3.860%-
Last 30 at home (13)58.148.4106.5+9.785%-
Last 30 away (17)54.955.6110.5-0.841%-
Last 10 (10)63.653.3116.9+10.380%-
Last 5 (5)60.855.0115.8+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)51.064.5115.5-13.550%-
vs Similar (16)52.650.4103.0+2.150%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)62.153.2115.3+8.875%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 108.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.6 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.232.8
53.6%
51.7%65.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.48.6
30.3%
35.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws23.917.5
73.2%
76.6%17.5
They take 89.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.7 points a game
53%
31%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.829.7
56.2%
51.7%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.215.0
36.4%
35.4%45.0
🏀 Free throws22.818.5
81.1%
76.6%18.5
They take 94.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWWWLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWLWLWWWWW
#4
League position
#1
+5.3
Net rating
+12.0
108.7
Offensive rating
113.8
103.4
Defensive rating
101.7
51.0%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.7%
Opp. effective FG%
48.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.5%
29.4%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.24
30.3%
3-point %
36.4%
58.9%
Assist %
61.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 113.8Defence103.4 · 101.7Shooting51.0% · 55.5%3-point %30.3% · 36.4%Ball care13.7% · 13.5%Off. rebounds29.4% · 23.1%Free throws0.27 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18HBrooklyn Nets110-112
08/11/18AMemphis Grizzlies87-89
06/11/18HBoston Celtics115-107
04/11/18HUtah Jazz103-88
01/11/18ACleveland Cavaliers110-91
01/11/18AChicago Bulls108-107 OT
30/10/18HNew Orleans Pelicans116-111
26/10/18ALos Angeles Lakers114-121
24/10/18HSacramento Kings126-112
22/10/18HGolden State Warriors100-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/18ALos Angeles Clippers126-128 OT
09/11/18AGolden State Warriors134-111
07/11/18APortland Trail Blazers103-118
04/11/18HSacramento Kings144-109
02/11/18ABoston Celtics113-117
30/10/18HToronto Raptors124-109
28/10/18HOrlando Magic113-91
27/10/18AMinnesota Timberwolves125-95
25/10/18HPhiladelphia 76ers123-108
23/10/18HNew York Knicks124-113

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL75%
HomeWWWWL86%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game109.6112.7105.2
Allowed / game102.1102.7101.2
Point differential+7.5+10.0+4.0
Avg total211.7215.4206.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%43%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %8%0%20%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2018-19
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game121.7124.3119.0
Allowed / game109.3105.2113.5
Point differential+12.3+19.2+5.5
Avg total231.0229.5232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)-33% (3)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Toronto Raptors1312192%117.9108.1+9.8
2 Golden State Warriors1311285%121.9110.8+11.1
3 Milwaukee Bucks129375%121.7109.3+12.3
4 Portland Trail Blazers129375%117.2107.2+10.0
5 Denver Nuggets129375%109.6102.1+7.5
6 Memphis Grizzlies117464%103.1101.1+2.0
7 San Antonio Spurs117464%109.5107.9+1.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers127558%116.2111.7+4.6
9 Oklahoma City Thunder127558%109.0106.6+2.4
10 Boston Celtics127558%106.1103.8+2.3
11 Indiana Pacers148657%105.7103.0+2.7
12 Philadelphia 76ers148657%111.9112.9-0.9
13 Charlotte Hornets137654%116.5109.2+7.4
14 Sacramento Kings137654%115.3116.8-1.5
15 Utah Jazz126650%111.6109.9+1.7
16 Los Angeles Lakers126650%117.0116.3+0.7
17 New Orleans Pelicans126650%117.7117.0+0.7
18 Detroit Pistons126650%110.1111.2-1.2
19 Brooklyn Nets136746%108.8109.3-0.5
20 Orlando Magic136746%103.5108.1-4.5
21 Miami Heat125742%110.6110.6+0.0
22 Houston Rockets125742%102.7107.3-4.7
23 Dallas Mavericks124833%110.8113.7-2.9
24 Chicago Bulls134931%106.5113.1-6.5
25 Minnesota Timberwolves134931%110.5117.7-7.2
26 New York Knicks1441029%106.4111.6-5.2
27 Washington Wizards123925%110.5119.3-8.8
28 Atlanta Hawks123925%109.6119.2-9.7
29 Phoenix Suns1221017%101.2114.4-13.2
30 Cleveland Cavaliers121118%103.2113.1-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35242926114
Milwaukee Bucks33303622121
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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