PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Milwaukee Bucks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 123-114
33-34 17-27 39-22 34-31
Position#1
Record22-12
FormWLLLL
Points / game112.6
Allowed / game110.4
Milwaukee Bucks 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
Position#17
Record16-19
FormWLLLL
Points / game114.7
Allowed / game115.7
USANBA· Fiserv Forum
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves
23 Dec 2026
MIL v MIN
upcoming
13 Jan 2026
MIL106
MIN139
08 Apr 2025
MIL110
MIN103
08 Feb 2024
MIL105
MIN129
30 Dec 2022
MIL123
MIN114
27 Oct 2021
MIL108
MIN113
23 Feb 2021
MIL139
MIN112
01 Jan 2020
MIL106
MIN104
23 Feb 2019
MIL140
MIN128
28 Dec 2017
MIL102
MIN96
11 Mar 2017
MIL102
MIN95
04 Mar 2016
MIL116
MIN101
09 Jan 2015
MIL98
MIN84
28 Dec 2013
MIL95
MIN117
03 Apr 2013
MIL98
MIN107
27 Dec 2011
MIL98
MIN95
21 Dec 2011
MIL84
MIN85
22 Feb 2011
MIL94
MIN88
23 Jan 2010
MIL127
MIN94
26 Jan 2009
MIL83
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
106-105
106
105
+1
103avg 106
A10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
92-97
92
97
-5
79avg 106
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
128-111
128
111
+17
129avg 106
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
101-142
101
142
-41
80avg 106
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
123-97
123
97
+26
126avg 106
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
128-119
128
119
+9
127avg 106
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 106
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-118
100
118
-18
88avg 106
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
118-139
118
139
-21
108avg 106
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
113-119 OT
113
119
-6
92avg 106
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-33
20-15
21-36
33-21
25-19
23-31
31-24
13-23
38-27
26-25
31-25
33-34
18-33
23-37
30-47
30-25
27-22
29-25
36-36
31-14
30-27
36-34
34-29
28-29
20-35
22-25
35-33
29-21
29-36
18-24
28-25
25-33
28-36
33-26
25-38
32-39
32-28
23-29
27-22
24-27
227.6Avg total
111.5Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)112.6110.4223.0+2.365%
Season at home (17)118.2108.2226.4+10.082%
Season away (17)107.1112.6219.7-5.547%
Last 10 (10)111.5116.1227.6-4.640%
Last 5 (5)113.0121.8234.8-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)114.5115.5230.0-1.055%
vs Weaker (8)108.4101.6210.0+6.875%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
118-124
118
124
-6
105avg 110
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
112-133
112
133
-21
98avg 110
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
88-99
88
99
-11
77avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
112-110
112
110
+2
102avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
150-126
150
126
+24
157avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
116-106
116
106
+10
104avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
99-104
99
104
-5
91avg 110
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
109-121
109
121
-12
101avg 110
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
110-113
110
113
-3
114avg 110
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
118-119
118
119
-1
104avg 110
A29/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-32
39-33
26-29
26-30
27-33
32-37
25-36
28-27
21-19
22-19
22-29
23-32
30-28
33-22
25-41
24-19
32-34
39-31
42-32
37-29
21-30
36-14
37-30
22-32
31-29
21-22
22-24
25-29
29-22
27-32
30-34
23-33
31-33
25-26
30-34
24-20
28-24
27-25
33-37
30-33
228.7Avg total
113.2Scored
115.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)114.7115.7230.4-1.046%
Season at home (17)117.0116.8233.8+0.253%
Season away (18)112.6114.7227.2-2.139%
Last 10 (10)113.2115.5228.7-2.330%
Last 5 (5)110.4112.6223.0-2.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)119.0122.5241.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (25)113.8115.5229.3-1.744%
vs Weaker (3)111.7111.3223.0+0.333%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -1.8-1.8Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: -2.2-2.2
Milwaukee BucksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A10/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A12/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H14/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
41-70
41
70
-29
A16/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
56-47
56
47
+9
H18/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
66-61
66
61
+5
A20/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A22/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A24/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
61-62
61
62
-1
A25/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A29/12
NBA
109.9Avg total
53.2Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.7112.5+1.063%-
Last 30 at home (14)60.657.1117.7+3.679%-
Last 30 away (16)53.354.6107.9-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)53.256.7109.9-3.540%-
Last 5 (5)54.260.0114.2-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)57.357.8115.1-0.559%-
vs Weaker (8)55.150.1105.2+5.075%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H20/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H22/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A24/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A27/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A29/12
NBA
112.3Avg total
57.8Scored
54.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.257.2114.4+0.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.759.6115.3-3.938%-
Last 30 away (17)58.455.4113.8+3.165%-
Last 10 (10)57.854.5112.3+3.380%-
Last 5 (5)55.251.4106.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)61.552.0113.5+9.5100%-
vs Similar ◀ (25)56.758.2114.8-1.548%-
vs Weaker (3)59.052.7111.7+6.367%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.628.0
55.3%
54.5%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.912.3
32.5%
35.8%36.9
🏀 Free throws24.518.6
75.9%
78.1%18.6
They take 88.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.532.1
57.8%
54.5%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.611.4
38.5%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.914.8
70.8%
78.1%14.8
They take 85.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLWWLWLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLLWWWLLL
#1
League position
#17
-4.5
Net rating
-2.3
109.2
Offensive rating
111.9
113.7
Defensive rating
114.1
52.5%
Effective FG%
57.8%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.9%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
18.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.5%
3-point %
38.5%
55.1%
Assist %
54.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 111.9Defence113.7 · 114.1Shooting52.5% · 57.8%3-point %32.5% · 38.5%Ball care15.4% · 13.9%Off. rebounds28.4% · 18.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Milwaukee Bucks wins
3
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
05/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks102-115
19/03/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks138-119
28/10/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves108-113
14/04/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks105-130
24/02/21Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves139-112
02/01/20Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves106-104
05/11/19Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks106-134
24/02/19Milwaukee Bucks v Minnesota Timberwolves140-128
27/10/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks95-125
02/02/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Milwaukee Bucks108-89
Milwaukee Buckslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22AChicago Bulls113-119 OT
25/12/22ABoston Celtics118-139
24/12/22ABrooklyn Nets100-118
22/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers106-114
20/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans128-119
18/12/22HUtah Jazz123-97
16/12/22AMemphis Grizzlies101-142
14/12/22HGolden State Warriors128-111
12/12/22AHouston Rockets92-97
10/12/22ADallas Mavericks106-105
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans118-119
27/12/22AMiami Heat110-113
24/12/22ABoston Celtics109-121
22/12/22HDallas Mavericks99-104
20/12/22HDallas Mavericks116-106
19/12/22HChicago Bulls150-126
17/12/22AOklahoma City Thunder112-110
15/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers88-99
13/12/22APortland Trail Blazers112-133
11/12/22APortland Trail Blazers118-124

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL65%
HomeWLWWW82%
AwayWLLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %65%82%47%
Points / game112.6118.2107.1
Allowed / game110.4108.2112.6
Point differential+2.3+10.0-5.5
Avg total223.0226.4219.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%59%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)33% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL46%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayLWLLL39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %46%53%39%
Points / game114.7117.0112.6
Allowed / game115.7116.8114.7
Point differential-1.0+0.2-2.1
Avg total230.4233.8227.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%24%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics36261072%118.8112.1+6.8
2 Brooklyn Nets35231266%114.3111.2+3.1
3 New Orleans Pelicans34221265%117.8112.6+5.2
4 Milwaukee Bucks34221265%112.6110.4+2.3
5 Denver Nuggets34221265%116.2114.2+1.9
6 Memphis Grizzlies34211362%115.4111.5+3.9
7 Cleveland Cavaliers36221461%111.5106.3+5.2
8 Philadelphia 76ers33201361%111.7108.0+3.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers37211657%109.2108.8+0.4
10 Dallas Mavericks36201656%112.2110.0+2.3
11 Sacramento Kings33181555%118.0116.4+1.6
12 Phoenix Suns37201754%115.1112.0+3.1
13 Portland Trail Blazers34181653%112.3112.0+0.3
14 Indiana Pacers36191753%114.9115.4-0.5
15 Miami Heat35181751%108.2108.9-0.6
16 Utah Jazz37191851%116.9116.1+0.8
17 New York Knicks36181850%114.6112.7+1.9
18 Golden State Warriors36181850%116.4117.0-0.6
19 Atlanta Hawks36171947%114.5115.5-1.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves35161946%114.7115.7-1.0
21 Toronto Raptors36162044%111.3111.2+0.1
22 Chicago Bulls34151944%113.6115.0-1.5
23 Washington Wizards37162143%111.9112.9-1.0
24 Oklahoma City Thunder35152043%115.7116.9-1.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers36152142%116.0117.7-1.7
26 Orlando Magic37132435%109.8113.9-4.2
27 San Antonio Spurs35122334%111.5120.3-8.9
28 Houston Rockets35102529%110.0116.1-6.0
29 Charlotte Hornets36102628%111.4117.9-6.4
30 Detroit Pistons3792824%111.4118.5-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks33173934123
Minnesota Timberwolves34272231114
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.