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Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 141-128
38-31 34-36 30-28 39-33
Position#2
Record16-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game115.0
Allowed / game113.8
vs
Position#23
Record11-17
FormLLLLL
Points / game110.4
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
108-110
108
110
-2
102avg 112
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
131-126 OT
131
126
+5
132avg 112
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
114-104
114
104
+10
104avg 112
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
129-113
129
113
+16
129avg 112
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
120-100
120
100
+20
120avg 112
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
109-117
109
117
-8
103avg 112
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
106-121
106
121
-15
101avg 112
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
115-116
115
116
-1
113avg 112
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
121-120
121
120
+1
117avg 112
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
115-110
115
110
+5
112avg 112
H11/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-28
28-30
24-25
27-27
38-21
31-42
15-34
36-23
31-26
33-26
23-25
27-27
42-39
28-29
36-23
23-22
44-24
30-23
22-25
24-28
25-28
21-32
35-30
28-27
31-27
29-32
21-28
25-34
29-36
29-28
28-27
29-25
30-36
33-28
26-35
32-21
28-26
33-26
31-38
23-20
230.5Avg total
116.8Scored
113.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)115.0113.8228.8+1.262%
Season at home (10)116.5107.3223.8+9.270%
Season away (16)114.1117.9231.9-3.856%
Last 10 (10)116.8113.7230.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)113.2116.8230.0-3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)115.2116.0231.2-0.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)113.8112.6226.4+1.162%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWizards
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
L
107-110
107
110
-3
98avg 103
A26/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
121-130
121
130
-9
109avg 103
A27/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
142-127
142
127
+15
136avg 103
H29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
107-113
107
113
-6
95avg 103
A01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
116-117
116
117
-1
112avg 103
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
119-130
119
130
-11
102avg 103
H04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
111-115
111
115
-4
99avg 103
A08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
111-121
111
121
-10
108avg 103
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
107-114
107
114
-7
103avg 103
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
100-112
100
112
-12
93avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-28
21-28
26-29
22-25
26-35
29-37
33-41
33-17
38-33
39-25
32-39
33-30
28-29
25-28
24-23
30-33
31-36
28-38
29-33
28-10
27-33
23-35
31-37
38-25
22-29
27-23
32-28
30-35
33-31
32-38
24-26
22-26
29-28
34-32
21-26
23-28
25-29
30-33
28-32
17-18
233.0Avg total
114.1Scored
118.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)110.4112.9223.4-2.539%
Season at home (15)111.5112.9224.4-1.353%
Season away (13)109.2113.0222.2-3.823%
Last 10 (10)114.1118.9233.0-4.810%
Last 5 (5)109.6118.4228.0-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)107.6111.9219.4-4.329%
vs Similar (19)109.9115.7225.7-5.832%
vs Weaker (4)112.5104.5217.0+8.075%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.9+2.9
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H23/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A26/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
70-68
70
68
+2
H29/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H01/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A03/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
60-59
60
59
+1
A04/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
L
58-64
58
64
-6
H07/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A09/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H11/12
NBA
120.9Avg total
62.2Scored
58.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.858.2118.0+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (12)61.556.2117.8+5.250%-
Last 30 away (18)58.759.5118.2-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)62.258.7120.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)57.659.8117.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (14)58.956.4115.2+2.543%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)60.759.8120.5+0.950%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#10
W
59-56
59
56
+3
A26/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A27/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
77-58
77
58
+19
H29/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
53-57
53
57
-4
A01/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
L
59-74
59
74
-15
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
50-68
50
68
-18
H04/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A08/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
65-69
65
69
-4
A10/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
63-60
63
60
+3
H11/12
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
55-62
55
62
-7
H13/12
NBA
121.3Avg total
58.5Scored
62.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.858.9114.7-3.137%-
Last 30 at home (16)58.359.2117.5-0.950%-
Last 30 away (14)52.958.5111.4-5.621%-
Last 10 (10)58.562.8121.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)56.462.2118.6-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)51.456.9108.3-5.429%-
vs Similar (19)57.660.1117.7-2.537%-
vs Weaker (4)55.056.5111.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 116.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers66.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.533.2
59.8%
54.5%66.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.011.1
37.0%
35.8%33.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.1
73.4%
78.1%17.1
They take 85.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 114.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.231.2
56.5%
54.5%62.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.7
33.5%
35.8%32.1
🏀 Free throws25.919.6
75.7%
78.1%19.6
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLLLWWWWL
Washington Wizards
LLLLLLLWLL
#2
League position
#23
+3.1
Net rating
-4.8
118.5
Offensive rating
112.9
115.4
Defensive rating
117.7
58.3%
Effective FG%
54.2%
56.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.2%
Turnover %
12.5%
27.9%
Off. rebound %
23.8%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.30
37.0%
3-point %
33.5%
65.0%
Assist %
57.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence118.5 · 112.9Defence115.4 · 117.7Shooting58.3% · 54.2%3-point %37.0% · 33.5%Ball care14.2% · 12.5%Off. rebounds27.9% · 23.8%Free throws0.27 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/22HUtah Jazz115-110
09/12/22APortland Trail Blazers121-120
07/12/22HDallas Mavericks115-116
04/12/22ANew Orleans Pelicans106-121
03/12/22AAtlanta Hawks109-117
01/12/22HHouston Rockets120-100
29/11/22HHouston Rockets129-113
26/11/22ALos Angeles Clippers114-104
24/11/22AOklahoma City Thunder131-126 OT
23/11/22HDetroit Pistons108-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/12/22HBrooklyn Nets100-112
11/12/22HLos Angeles Clippers107-114
10/12/22AIndiana Pacers111-121
08/12/22AChicago Bulls111-115
04/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers119-130
03/12/22ACharlotte Hornets116-117
01/12/22ABrooklyn Nets107-113
29/11/22HMinnesota Timberwolves142-127
27/11/22ABoston Celtics121-130
26/11/22AMiami Heat107-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW62%
HomeLWWLW70%
AwayWWLLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261016
Win %62%70%56%
Points / game115.0116.5114.1
Allowed / game113.8107.3117.9
Point differential+1.2+9.2-3.8
Avg total228.8223.8231.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)40% (5)100% (5)
Overtime %4%0%6%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL39%
HomeWWLLL53%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %39%53%23%
Points / game110.4111.5109.2
Allowed / game112.9112.9113.0
Point differential-2.5-1.3-3.8
Avg total223.4224.4222.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%20%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)75% (4)0% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics2922776%119.4112.6+6.8
2 Milwaukee Bucks2720774%112.6107.6+5.0
3 New Orleans Pelicans2718967%117.0111.0+6.0
4 Memphis Grizzlies2718967%115.5111.7+3.8
5 Denver Nuggets26161062%115.0113.8+1.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers28171161%110.9105.1+5.8
7 Brooklyn Nets29171259%112.5110.9+1.6
8 Phoenix Suns28161257%115.4111.3+4.1
9 Portland Trail Blazers28161257%112.6111.6+0.9
10 Philadelphia 76ers27151256%111.2108.2+3.0
11 Sacramento Kings27151256%117.6115.6+2.1
12 Los Angeles Clippers29161355%107.9108.7-0.8
13 New York Knicks28151354%114.3113.2+1.1
14 Utah Jazz30161453%117.4115.3+2.1
15 Dallas Mavericks27141352%111.9110.1+1.8
16 Indiana Pacers29151452%115.0115.7-0.7
17 Golden State Warriors29141548%117.4116.8+0.6
18 Miami Heat29141548%107.9109.3-1.3
19 Atlanta Hawks29141548%113.5115.3-1.8
20 Minnesota Timberwolves27131448%115.3116.7-1.4
21 Toronto Raptors28131546%111.3110.5+0.8
22 Chicago Bulls27111641%113.6113.8-0.3
23 Los Angeles Lakers27111641%115.0116.6-1.6
24 Oklahoma City Thunder28111739%115.5117.4-1.9
25 Washington Wizards28111739%110.4112.9-2.5
26 Houston Rockets2791833%110.3115.5-5.2
27 San Antonio Spurs2891932%110.2120.4-10.2
28 Orlando Magic2992031%109.1113.7-4.6
29 Detroit Pistons3082227%110.9117.6-6.6
30 Charlotte Hornets2872125%110.3117.1-6.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets38343039141
Washington Wizards31362833128
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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