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Minas vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 85-87
24-24 21-26 24-15 16-22
Position#3
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game76.0
Minas
Brazil
vs
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record14-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game87.6
Allowed / game73.6
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Flamengo
27 Dec 2026
MINA v FLAM
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MINA85
FLAM87
19 Mar 2025
MINA94
FLAM70
01 Feb 2025
MINA61
FLAM64
11 Jan 2024
MINA86
FLAM78
14 Apr 2023
MINA75
FLAM80
15 Oct 2022
MINA73
FLAM85
17 May 2022
MINA80
FLAM91
15 May 2022
MINA63
FLAM77
20 Feb 2022
MINA88
FLAM79
09 Mar 2021
MINA93
FLAM96
09 Feb 2021
MINA94
FLAM96
12 Oct 2019
MINA85
FLAM93
15 Dec 2018
MINA80
FLAM91
21 Nov 2018
MINA76
FLAM91
15 Apr 2018
MINA70
FLAM84
15 Dec 2017
MINA76
FLAM83
12 Jan 2017
MINA60
FLAM89
15 Dec 2015
MINA74
FLAM81
18 Nov 2014
MINA78
FLAM76
05 Dec 2013
MINA84
FLAM66
21 Jan 2013
MINA90
FLAM105
24 Nov 2011
MINA70
FLAM83
09 Feb 2011
MINA78
FLAM69
03 Feb 2009
MINA85
FLAM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
W
86-81
86
81
+5
82avg 75
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
94-63
94
63
+31
93avg 75
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-81
77
81
-4
68avg 75
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
94-88
94
88
+6
90avg 75
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
88-72
88
72
+16
97avg 75
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 75
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
W
80-61
80
61
+19
73avg 75
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
77-74
77
74
+3
69avg 75
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
95-88
95
88
+7
93avg 75
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
71-59
71
59
+12
70avg 75
H21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
25-28
22-17
20-14
28-18
25-24
23-13
18-8
23-21
20-20
14-21
20-19
24-14
30-18
23-33
17-23
22-14
19-12
27-23
20-23
14-21
24-15
21-20
15-15
15-19
19-18
19-14
27-10
24-19
16-19
14-20
23-16
28-23
24-17
14-22
29-26
19-15
25-11
19-19
8-14
157.4Avg total
83.6Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.176.0161.1+9.188%
Season at home (10)85.376.8162.1+8.590%
Season away (6)84.774.7159.3+10.083%
Last 10 (10)83.673.8157.4+9.890%
Last 5 (5)79.470.6150.0+8.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.065.5148.5+17.5100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.278.2156.4+0.044%
vs Weaker (19)83.272.8156.1+10.4100%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
86-72
86
72
+14
81avg 81
A12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
82-80
82
80
+2
77avg 81
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
83-85
83
85
-2
76avg 81
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
84-72
84
72
+12
78avg 81
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
67-83
67
83
-16
56avg 81
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
91-66
91
66
+25
90avg 81
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
63-75
63
75
-12
46avg 81
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 81
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-65
82
65
+17
72avg 81
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
93-80
93
80
+13
83avg 81
A21/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-6
17-19
22-13
15-34
21-15
23-19
25-29
13-17
27-18
15-23
24-19
17-25
25-17
20-22
18-19
21-14
22-22
16-22
15-21
14-18
24-9
23-18
20-19
24-20
16-14
13-16
11-23
23-22
17-19
20-20
26-20
21-21
20-17
23-20
13-20
26-8
22-21
21-19
18-26
32-14
157.3Avg total
81.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)87.673.6161.2+13.988%
Season at home (7)89.070.6159.6+18.486%
Season away (9)86.476.0162.4+10.489%
Last 10 (10)81.575.8157.3+5.770%
Last 5 (5)82.673.2155.8+9.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.382.7159.0-6.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)87.885.7173.5+2.145%
vs Weaker (16)87.174.9162.1+12.294%
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +6.8+6.8Q2Q2: +4.5+4.5Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.7-1.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.3+1.3
MinasFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osasco
#18
L
44-50
44
50
-6
H15/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H18/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H21/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A03/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A05/12
NBB
Boca Juniors
#2
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A12/12
Champions League Americas
Aguada
#11
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A13/12
Champions League Americas
Botafogo
#16
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H18/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
44-26
44
26
+18
H21/12
NBB
81.1Avg total
44.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.937.077.9+3.967%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.936.778.7+5.278%-
Last 30 away (12)39.437.476.8+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)44.336.881.1+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.537.073.5-0.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.441.081.4-0.644%-
vs Weaker (19)41.635.176.7+6.579%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
W
49-25
49
25
+24
A12/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A15/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H20/11
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H22/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A03/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H06/12
NBB
Nacional
#1
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A14/12
Champions League Americas
Obras Sanitarias
#9
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H15/12
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/12
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/12
NBB
77.3Avg total
41.7Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.238.280.4+4.063%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.638.480.0+3.262%-
Last 30 away (17)42.638.180.7+4.665%-
Last 10 (10)41.735.677.3+6.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.834.674.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)33.733.367.0+0.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)42.840.082.8+2.855%-
vs Weaker (16)43.437.981.2+5.575%-
This opponent (Minas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.7
57.2%
52.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.7
31.2%
32.5%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.814.6
70.2%
72.8%14.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.316.9
50.8%
52.2%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.4
32.0%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws21.515.7
73.0%
72.8%15.7
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWLWW
Flamengo
WWWLWLWLWW
#3
League position
#4
+11.2
Net rating
+7.5
106.1
Offensive rating
106.4
94.9
Defensive rating
98.9
52.7%
Effective FG%
49.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.1%
18.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.2%
3-point %
32.0%
67.0%
Assist %
70.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.1 · 106.4Defence94.9 · 98.9Shooting52.7% · 49.4%3-point %31.2% · 32.0%Ball care18.6% · 14.9%Off. rebounds28.9% · 26.5%Free throws0.32 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Minas wins
6
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
19/03/25Minas v Flamengo94-70
01/02/25Minas v Flamengo61-64
30/11/24Flamengo v Minas70-81
11/01/24Minas v Flamengo86-78
13/10/23Flamengo v Minas70-87
14/04/23Minas v Flamengo75-80
01/03/23Flamengo v Minas79-78
15/10/22Minas v Flamengo73-85
17/05/22Minas v Flamengo80-91
15/05/22Minas v Flamengo63-77
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HVasco71-59
18/12/25HBotafogo95-88
13/12/25AAguada77-74
12/12/25ABoca Juniors80-61
05/12/25AUniao Corinthians74-71
03/12/25ACaxias do Sul88-72
23/11/25HBauru94-88
21/11/25HPinheiros77-81
18/11/25HPaulistano94-63
15/11/25HOsasco86-81
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25ACruzeiro93-80
18/12/25HUniao Corinthians82-65
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias84-80
14/12/25ANacional63-75
06/12/25HCaxias do Sul91-66
03/12/25APinheiros67-83
22/11/25HRio Claro84-72
20/11/25HBrasilia83-85
15/11/25APaulistano82-80
12/11/25AFranca86-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWLWWW90%
AwayWWLWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %88%90%83%
Points / game85.185.384.7
Allowed / game76.076.874.7
Point differential+9.1+8.5+10.0
Avg total161.1162.1159.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%30%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)75% (4)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWLWWW86%
AwayWWWLW89%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %88%86%89%
Points / game87.689.086.4
Allowed / game73.670.676.0
Point differential+13.9+18.4+10.4
Avg total161.2159.6162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%86%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)0% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1614288%87.673.6+13.9
2 Pinheiros1614288%87.574.4+13.1
3 Minas1614288%85.176.0+9.1
4 Franca1613381%87.273.2+14.0
5 Brasilia1612475%81.972.6+9.3
6 Corinthians Paulista1611569%81.977.0+4.9
7 Sao Jose1610662%79.675.6+3.9
8 Mogi169756%78.068.0+10.0
9 Paulistano179853%79.675.5+4.1
10 Unifacisa168850%80.479.4+1.1
11 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians168850%77.880.2-2.5
13 Caxias do Sul168850%73.977.2-3.3
14 Pato1751229%72.680.1-7.5
15 Cruzeiro1641225%77.485.8-8.4
16 Cearense1641225%79.189.6-10.5
17 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
18 Rio Claro1841422%77.089.0-12.0
19 Botafogo1731418%71.582.9-11.4
20 Vasco1721512%67.579.2-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2421241685
Flamengo2426152287
← all games of the day
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