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Minas vs Flamengo Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 27 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
2.9/10
🧊 Cold
Position#4
Record5-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game73.4
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minas v Flamengo
27 Dec 2026
MINA v FLAM
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
MINA85
FLAM87
19 Mar 2025
MINA94
FLAM70
01 Feb 2025
MINA61
FLAM64
11 Jan 2024
MINA86
FLAM78
14 Apr 2023
MINA75
FLAM80
15 Oct 2022
MINA73
FLAM85
17 May 2022
MINA80
FLAM91
15 May 2022
MINA63
FLAM77
20 Feb 2022
MINA88
FLAM79
09 Mar 2021
MINA93
FLAM96
09 Feb 2021
MINA94
FLAM96
12 Oct 2019
MINA85
FLAM93
15 Dec 2018
MINA80
FLAM91
21 Nov 2018
MINA76
FLAM91
15 Apr 2018
MINA70
FLAM84
15 Dec 2017
MINA76
FLAM83
12 Jan 2017
MINA60
FLAM89
15 Dec 2015
MINA74
FLAM81
18 Nov 2014
MINA78
FLAM76
05 Dec 2013
MINA84
FLAM66
21 Jan 2013
MINA90
FLAM105
24 Nov 2011
MINA70
FLAM83
09 Feb 2011
MINA78
FLAM69
03 Feb 2009
MINA85
FLAM102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 86
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 86
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 86
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 86
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 86
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
90-98
90
98
-8
78avg 78
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
96-88
96
88
+8
84avg 78
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
69-72
69
72
-3
60avg 78
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
81-82
81
82
-1
78avg 78
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
81-71
81
71
+10
80avg 78
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
83-65
83
65
+18
35avg 78
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
91-87
91
87
+4
no box
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
80-66
80
66
+14
no box
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
73-84
73
84
-11
no box
H10/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-20
26-24
23-31
17-23
23-23
26-19
25-27
22-19
12-21
22-22
19-14
16-15
19-20
17-23
22-18
23-21
22-14
27-22
20-21
12-14
17-15
18-12
28-9
14-23
19-19
20-13
18-21
26-12
33-25
26-21
14-27
18-14
24-18
16-19
24-13
16-16
17-19
21-28
12-17
23-20
159.3Avg total
82.1Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)80.973.4154.3+7.471%
Season at home (5)79.072.2151.2+6.860%
Season away (2)85.576.5162.0+9.0100%
Last 10 (10)82.177.2159.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)80.872.2153.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)75.287.2162.5-12.050%
vs Similar (9)82.783.3166.0-0.733%
vs Weaker (17)88.877.1165.8+11.776%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.0+1.0
MinasFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H10/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A13/05
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A15/05
NBB
Bauru
#11
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H18/10
NBB
Botafogo
#14
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/10
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H30/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H01/11
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A04/11
NBB
Pato
#15
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A07/11
NBB
Franca
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
H10/11
NBB
82.6Avg total
42.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.840.784.4+3.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.539.484.9+6.169%-
Last 30 away (14)41.842.183.9-0.364%-
Last 10 (10)42.939.782.6+3.270%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.880.0+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)38.045.883.8-7.850%-
vs Similar (9)42.142.684.7-0.444%-
vs Weaker (17)46.038.584.5+7.582%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 81.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.719.0
56.4%
49.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.510.6
32.6%
31.6%31.8
🏀 Free throws16.811.5
68.5%
71.3%11.5
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
Flamengo
LWWWWWLLWL
#1
League position
#4
+13.2
Net rating
+8.7
100.9
Offensive rating
95.1
87.7
Defensive rating
86.5
55.9%
Effective FG%
52.7%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
48.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
14.3%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.6%
3-point %
32.6%
71.6%
Assist %
63.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 95.1Defence87.7 · 86.5Shooting55.9% · 52.7%3-point %34.6% · 32.6%Ball care16.7% · 14.3%Free throws0.36 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Minas   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minas wins
5
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
06/04/26Flamengo v Minas86-93
23/12/25Minas v Flamengo85-87
19/03/25Minas v Flamengo94-70
01/02/25Minas v Flamengo61-64
30/11/24Flamengo v Minas70-81
11/01/24Minas v Flamengo86-78
13/10/23Flamengo v Minas70-87
14/04/23Minas v Flamengo75-80
01/03/23Flamengo v Minas79-78
15/10/22Minas v Flamengo73-85
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HFranca73-84
07/11/26APato80-66
04/11/26ABrasilia91-87
01/11/26HUniao Corinthians83-65
30/10/26HCaxias do Sul77-59
20/10/26HBotafogo81-71
18/10/26HBauru81-82
15/05/26ABrasilia69-72
13/05/26ABrasilia96-88
10/05/26HBrasilia90-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL71%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games752
Win %71%60%100%
Points / game80.979.085.5
Allowed / game73.472.276.5
Point differential+7.4+6.8+9.0
Avg total154.3151.2162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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