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Minas vs Mogi Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 18 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Scheduled
Position#1
Record8-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game65.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
3.3/10
Below normal
Position#2
Record6-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game73.9
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2026-27
Meetings · Minas v Mogi
18 Dec 2026
MINA v MOGI
upcoming
23 Oct 2025
MINA79
MOGI71
01 May 2025
MINA76
MOGI57
29 Apr 2025
MINA88
MOGI65
24 Oct 2024
MINA91
MOGI61
08 Feb 2024
MINA102
MOGI65
03 Nov 2021
MINA109
MOGI75
14 Mar 2021
MINA85
MOGI80
15 Jan 2021
MINA96
MOGI71
11 Feb 2020
MINA87
MOGI71
13 Nov 2018
MINA97
MOGI99
07 Jan 2018
MINA65
MOGI82
15 Dec 2016
MINA84
MOGI104
02 Dec 2015
MINA74
MOGI71
23 Jan 2015
MINA66
MOGI76
27 Feb 2014
MINA94
MOGI93
07 Jan 2013
MINA84
MOGI86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mogi win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
97-103
97
103
-6
95avg 86
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-92
81
92
-11
76avg 86
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
69avg 86
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
W
88-71
88
71
+17
88avg 86
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
86-65
86
65
+21
85avg 86
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
100-61
100
61
+39
100avg 86
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
77-64
77
64
+13
no box
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
88-57
88
57
+31
no box
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
77-63
77
63
+14
no box
H14/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
20-21
27-27
19-24
22-20
22-25
12-24
25-23
25-20
18-13
18-10
17-23
15-15
20-21
36-13
17-22
24-14
24-18
23-16
15-17
26-12
17-21
24-19
33-9
19-25
25-15
24-21
19-15
18-16
21-20
17-12
21-16
24-17
20-11
23-11
21-18
17-18
23-11
14-16
23-18
157.7Avg total
85.9Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.165.4150.5+19.8100%
Season at home (4)87.861.5149.2+26.2100%
Season away (4)82.569.2151.8+13.2100%
Last 10 (10)85.971.8157.7+14.180%
Last 5 (5)85.864.2150.0+21.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)97.0100.7197.7-3.733%
vs Similar (7)89.495.3184.7-5.929%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.874.3164.1+15.590%
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMogi
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
70-88
70
88
-18
65avg 69
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
102-90
102
90
+12
103avg 69
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
77-78
77
78
-1
74avg 69
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
84-73
84
73
+11
80avg 69
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#6
L
74-90
74
90
-16
67avg 69
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
79-61
79
61
+18
58avg 69
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
78-70
78
70
+8
65avg 69
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
85-70
85
70
+15
no box
A09/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
93-75
93
75
+18
no box
A12/11
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-34
24-24
14-16
16-14
28-26
31-21
26-23
17-20
25-20
11-20
23-17
18-21
18-17
26-21
18-24
22-11
18-24
31-24
9-19
16-23
20-15
19-19
23-9
17-18
19-20
17-22
25-15
17-13
11-21
22-21
26-19
30-17
22-14
15-20
23-24
25-12
27-25
20-12
27-16
19-22
160.4Avg total
83.1Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)83.173.9157.0+9.386%
Season at home (3)83.773.7157.3+10.0100%
Season away (4)82.874.0156.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)83.177.3160.4+5.870%
Last 5 (5)84.870.8155.6+14.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)79.686.4166.0-6.929%
vs Similar (11)77.673.4151.0+4.373%
vs Weaker (12)81.273.1154.3+8.283%
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +4.9+4.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +2.6+2.6
MinasMogi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A09/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H12/05
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A20/10
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#7
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/10
NBB
Pato
#15
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H27/10
NBB
Brasilia
#8
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H29/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A03/11
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A05/11
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H11/11
NBB
Cearense
#17
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H14/11
NBB
79.5Avg total
43.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.642.087.6+3.753%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.439.985.3+5.657%-
Last 30 away (16)45.843.889.6+2.050%-
Last 10 (10)43.136.479.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)42.033.275.2+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.751.394.0-8.70%-
vs Similar (7)45.349.795.0-4.40%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.237.984.1+8.480%-
This opponent (Mogi) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MogiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
40-58
40
58
-18
H10/05
NBB
Franca
#1
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A13/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A15/05
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#10
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H17/10
NBB
Franca
#6
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A21/10
NBB
Bauru
#11
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A23/10
NBB
Unifacisa
#5
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H26/10
NBB
Cearense
#17
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H04/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#3
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A09/11
NBB
Osasco
#16
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A12/11
NBB
84.0Avg total
42.0Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.138.778.8+1.463%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.138.177.2+0.969%-
Last 30 away (14)41.339.480.7+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)42.042.084.0+0.060%-
Last 5 (5)38.437.876.2+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)41.746.388.0-4.629%-
vs Similar (11)37.735.272.9+2.582%-
vs Weaker (12)41.337.678.9+3.867%-
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 89.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.9
59.2%
49.8%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.210.1
34.6%
31.6%30.3
🏀 Free throws23.317.4
74.7%
71.3%17.4
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mogitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mogi: 79.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.7
51.0%
49.8%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.810.5
33.0%
31.6%31.5
🏀 Free throws14.010.6
75.7%
71.3%10.6
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
WWWWWWWWLL
Mogi
WWWWWLWLWL
#1
League position
#2
+13.2
Net rating
+0.7
100.9
Offensive rating
96.5
87.7
Defensive rating
95.8
55.9%
Effective FG%
50.3%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
16.7%
Turnover %
12.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.20
34.6%
3-point %
33.0%
71.6%
Assist %
62.7%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 96.5Defence87.7 · 95.8Shooting55.9% · 50.3%3-point %34.6% · 33.0%Ball care16.7% · 12.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Minas   ■ Mogi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Mogi wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Mogi v Minas90-76
23/10/25Minas v Mogi79-71
01/05/25Minas v Mogi76-57
29/04/25Minas v Mogi88-65
26/04/25Mogi v Minas72-85
22/01/25Mogi v Minas68-79
24/10/24Minas v Mogi91-61
08/02/24Minas v Mogi102-65
10/11/23Mogi v Minas70-79
08/02/22Mogi v Minas70-73
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HCearense77-63
11/11/26HUnifacisa88-57
05/11/26ABauru77-64
03/11/26AFranca87-76
29/10/26HBrasilia100-61
27/10/26HPato86-65
22/10/26AUniao Corinthians88-71
20/10/26ACaxias do Sul78-66
12/05/26HCorinthians Paulista81-92
09/05/26ACorinthians Paulista97-103
Mogilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26AOsasco93-75
09/11/26APinheiros85-70
04/11/26HCearense89-78
26/10/26HUnifacisa78-70
23/10/26ABauru79-61
21/10/26AFranca74-90
17/10/26HCorinthians Paulista84-73
15/05/26AFranca77-78
13/05/26AFranca102-90
10/05/26HFranca70-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.187.882.5
Allowed / game65.461.569.2
Point differential+19.8+26.2+13.2
Avg total150.5149.2151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mogi
NBB 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %86%100%75%
Points / game83.183.782.8
Allowed / game73.973.774.0
Point differential+9.3+10.0+8.8
Avg total157.0157.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+71%67%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas880100%85.165.4+19.8
2 Mogi76186%83.173.9+9.3
3 Pinheiros86275%85.273.1+12.1
4 Flamengo75271%80.973.4+7.4
5 Unifacisa75271%79.475.1+4.3
6 Franca85362%78.971.6+7.2
7 Uniao Corinthians74357%72.374.7-2.4
8 Brasilia84450%80.679.8+0.9
9 Cruzeiro63350%76.278.8-2.7
10 Corinthians Paulista73443%80.079.0+1.0
11 Bauru73443%76.777.7-1.0
12 Sao Jose73443%80.381.7-1.4
13 Paulistano73443%69.673.9-4.3
14 Botafogo62433%76.783.0-6.3
15 Pato82625%72.681.5-8.9
16 Osasco61517%77.886.8-9.0
17 Cearense71614%65.683.7-18.1
18 Caxias do Sul7070%64.779.6-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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