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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 11 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 02:30
Scheduled
Position#5
Record8-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game118.1
Allowed / game107.0
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.4/10
Around normal
5.8/10
Above normal
Atlanta Hawks
USA
Position#14
Record7-5
FormWWWWL
Points / game118.2
Allowed / game116.2
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2026-27
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks
10 Mar 2027
MIN v ATL
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIN138
ATL116
27 Jan 2025
MIN100
ATL92
12 Apr 2024
MIN109
ATL106
22 Mar 2023
MIN125
ATL124
06 Dec 2021
MIN110
ATL121
22 Jan 2021
MIN98
ATL116
05 Feb 2020
MIN120
ATL127
28 Dec 2018
MIN120
ATL123
28 Mar 2018
MIN126
ATL114
26 Dec 2016
MIN104
ATL90
25 Nov 2015
MIN99
ATL95
09 Feb 2015
MIN105
ATL117
26 Mar 2014
MIN107
ATL83
08 Jan 2013
MIN108
ATL103
05 Nov 2010
MIN103
ATL113
22 Dec 2009
MIN87
ATL112
04 Feb 2009
MIN86
ATL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#23
W
115-93
115
93
+22
111avg 105
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#16
W
117-94
117
94
+23
120avg 105
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
L
125-127 OT
125
127
-2
114avg 105
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
114-119
114
119
-5
106avg 105
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
127-101
127
101
+26
123avg 105
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
L
111-121
111
121
-10
95avg 105
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
102avg 105
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
117-107
117
107
+10
113avg 105
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
115-109
115
109
+6
105avg 105
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
115-100
115
100
+15
109avg 105
H09/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
31-25
29-15
29-33
32-21
23-26
35-15
27-32
31-24
29-26
26-36
27-27
23-30
25-34
33-29
33-26
34-24
35-32
29-25
29-20
28-34
33-26
27-33
23-28
29-18
19-29
32-29
32-24
33-30
24-27
25-27
35-23
27-30
30-21
20-28
38-30
28-25
29-26
33-27
25-22
223.9Avg total
116.8Scored
107.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)118.1107.0225.1+11.173%
Season at home (5)117.0102.8219.8+14.280%
Season away (6)119.0110.5229.5+8.567%
Last 10 (10)116.8107.1223.9+9.770%
Last 5 (5)114.0107.4221.4+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)105.0119.6224.6-14.629%
vs Similar (13)113.9114.8228.8-0.946%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)121.3106.0227.3+15.390%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
114-121
114
121
-7
107avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
L
110-120
110
120
-10
92avg 106
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
117-129
117
129
-12
111avg 106
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
114-111
114
111
+3
113avg 106
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
99-121
99
121
-22
32avg 106
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
108-104
108
104
+4
92avg 106
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
120-105
120
105
+15
118avg 106
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
139-132
139
132
+7
139avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
W
124-121
124
121
+3
108avg 106
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
114-124
114
124
-10
109avg 106
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-30
22-29
33-33
33-29
35-32
31-31
19-28
25-29
25-34
31-35
29-28
32-32
16-28
30-16
43-38
25-29
18-33
30-30
26-29
25-29
37-29
31-27
19-23
21-25
37-32
31-29
25-24
27-20
28-32
38-27
39-35
34-38
27-37
39-33
22-25
36-26
22-31
35-37
33-27
24-29
234.7Avg total
115.9Scored
118.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)118.2116.2234.4+2.158%
Season at home (6)120.3123.0243.3-2.750%
Season away (6)116.2109.3225.5+6.867%
Last 10 (10)115.9118.8234.7-2.950%
Last 5 (5)121.0117.2238.2+3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)106.8116.9223.8-10.131%
vs Similar (6)121.2114.8236.0+6.367%
vs Weaker (11)125.2113.2238.4+12.082%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.5+3.5Q1: -4.7-4.7Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: -0.4-0.4
Minnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
A23/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#16
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H25/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
60-50
60
50
+10
A26/10
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#6
L
48-64
48
64
-16
H29/10
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#25
W
69-56
69
56
+13
H31/10
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#3
W
61-60
61
60
+1
A01/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#30
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H03/11
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
D
57-57
57
57
+0
A05/11
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
W
57-51
57
51
+6
A07/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#28
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H09/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.9Scored
52.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.755.3112.0+1.453%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.754.1111.8+3.669%-
Last 30 away (17)55.956.2112.1-0.241%-
Last 10 (10)56.952.8109.7+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.2109.2+2.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)50.456.9107.3-6.414%-
vs Similar (13)56.957.1114.0-0.238%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)60.851.8112.6+9.0100%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#7
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/10
NBA
Houston Rockets
#7
W
66-63
66
63
+3
A27/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
56-69
56
69
-13
H28/10
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#17
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H30/10
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
48-63
48
63
-15
A31/10
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
68-56
68
56
+12
A03/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A05/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#21
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#26
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H08/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#1
L
57-68
57
68
-11
H10/11
NBA
120.1Avg total
58.9Scored
61.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.058.5118.5+1.560%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.658.4115.0-1.853%-
Last 30 away (15)63.458.6122.0+4.867%-
Last 10 (10)58.961.2120.1-2.350%-
Last 5 (5)65.062.8127.8+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)54.660.0114.6-5.438%-
vs Similar (6)61.756.2117.8+5.583%-
vs Weaker (11)65.558.0123.5+7.573%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.2
51.7%
54.0%56.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.213.2
36.5%
35.0%39.6
🏀 Free throws27.219.2
70.6%
76.8%19.2
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 114.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.928.8
55.5%
54.0%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.313.3
32.2%
35.0%39.9
🏀 Free throws21.616.5
76.4%
76.8%16.5
They take 93.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWWLWLLWW
Atlanta Hawks
LWWWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#14
+2.9
Net rating
-9.0
110.4
Offensive rating
109.8
107.6
Defensive rating
118.7
52.9%
Effective FG%
52.3%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
58.5%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.23
36.5%
3-point %
32.2%
57.0%
Assist %
69.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence110.4 · 109.8Defence107.6 · 118.7Shooting52.9% · 52.3%3-point %36.5% · 32.2%Ball care14.2% · 14.1%Off. rebounds34.2% · 26.8%Free throws0.30 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
5
Atlanta Hawks wins
DateGameScore
10/02/26Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks138-116
31/12/25Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves126-102
28/01/25Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks100-92
24/12/24Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves117-104
13/04/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks109-106
30/10/23Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves127-113
23/03/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks125-124
13/03/23Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves115-136
20/01/22Atlanta Hawks v Minnesota Timberwolves134-122
07/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks110-121
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HUtah Jazz115-100
07/11/26ANew Orleans Pelicans115-109
05/11/26AHouston Rockets117-107
03/11/26HMilwaukee Bucks112-100
01/11/26ASan Antonio Spurs111-121
31/10/26HLos Angeles Clippers127-101
29/10/26HGolden State Warriors114-119
26/10/26ACleveland Cavaliers125-127 OT
25/10/26HToronto Raptors117-94
23/10/26AOrlando Magic115-93
Atlanta Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HLos Angeles Lakers114-124
08/11/26HBrooklyn Nets124-121
07/11/26HWashington Wizards139-132
05/11/26AWashington Wizards120-105
03/11/26AIndiana Pacers108-104
31/10/26ANew Orleans Pelicans99-121
30/10/26HCleveland Cavaliers114-111
28/10/26HMiami Heat117-129
27/10/26AHouston Rockets110-120
25/10/26HHouston Rockets114-121

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW73%
HomeWLWWW80%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %73%80%67%
Points / game118.1117.0119.0
Allowed / game107.0102.8110.5
Point differential+11.1+14.2+8.5
Avg total225.1219.8229.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL58%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%50%67%
Points / game118.2120.3116.2
Allowed / game116.2123.0109.3
Point differential+2.1-2.7+6.8
Avg total234.4243.3225.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers1210283%122.1114.4+7.7
2 Boston Celtics119282%115.7104.0+11.7
3 San Antonio Spurs119282%118.7107.0+11.7
4 Philadelphia 76ers129375%110.2109.2+1.0
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%118.1107.0+11.1
6 Golden State Warriors118373%120.4111.2+9.2
7 Houston Rockets118373%115.5106.4+9.1
8 Oklahoma City Thunder118373%111.4105.9+5.5
9 Detroit Pistons107370%112.7104.6+8.1
10 Memphis Grizzlies107370%117.9110.8+7.1
11 Portland Trail Blazers107370%119.7112.7+7.0
12 Dallas Mavericks117464%114.9110.3+4.6
13 New York Knicks106460%110.6102.3+8.3
14 Atlanta Hawks127558%118.2116.2+2.1
15 Denver Nuggets95456%113.6112.8+0.8
16 Toronto Raptors105550%116.6113.3+3.3
17 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%116.5115.0+1.5
18 Miami Heat115645%115.7120.0-4.3
19 Phoenix Suns104640%112.8118.1-5.3
20 New Orleans Pelicans114736%117.5122.4-4.9
21 Washington Wizards114736%108.1113.4-5.3
22 Charlotte Hornets114736%98.8110.4-11.5
23 Orlando Magic103730%107.0114.6-7.6
24 Indiana Pacers113827%111.4115.2-3.8
25 Los Angeles Clippers102820%112.2118.1-5.9
26 Brooklyn Nets102820%106.7115.7-9.0
27 Chicago Bulls91811%112.7129.3-16.7
28 Utah Jazz111109%106.5117.6-11.2
29 Sacramento Kings111109%108.3121.0-12.7
30 Milwaukee Bucks111109%106.3121.2-14.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.
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