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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 138-116
41-34 40-22 25-31 32-29
Position#10
Record32-22
FormWLWLL
Points / game119.1
Allowed / game114.8
vs
Position#12
Record26-28
FormLLWWL
Points / game117.5
Allowed / game118.4
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2025-26
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks
10 Mar 2027
MIN v ATL
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIN138
ATL116
27 Jan 2025
MIN100
ATL92
12 Apr 2024
MIN109
ATL106
22 Mar 2023
MIN125
ATL124
06 Dec 2021
MIN110
ATL121
22 Jan 2021
MIN98
ATL116
05 Feb 2020
MIN120
ATL127
28 Dec 2018
MIN120
ATL123
28 Mar 2018
MIN126
ATL114
26 Dec 2016
MIN104
ATL90
25 Nov 2015
MIN99
ATL95
09 Feb 2015
MIN105
ATL117
26 Mar 2014
MIN107
ATL83
08 Jan 2013
MIN108
ATL103
05 Nov 2010
MIN103
ATL113
22 Dec 2009
MIN87
ATL112
04 Feb 2009
MIN86
ATL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
L
115-120
115
120
-5
110avg 110
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
85-111
85
111
-26
75avg 110
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
108-83
108
83
+25
112avg 110
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
118-105
118
105
+13
106avg 110
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
123-111
123
111
+12
117avg 110
H30/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
131-114
131
114
+17
128avg 110
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
128-137
128
137
-9
117avg 110
A03/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
W
128-126
128
126
+2
116avg 110
A05/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
L
115-119
115
119
-4
102avg 110
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
96-115
96
115
-19
82avg 110
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-26
29-34
29-33
25-27
19-24
27-23
17-38
22-26
21-20
32-18
22-19
33-26
31-29
27-19
34-27
26-30
34-22
29-28
33-30
27-31
30-21
28-28
39-30
34-35
29-36
29-30
28-32
42-39
32-35
27-37
35-32
34-22
32-34
38-22
24-33
21-30
19-23
23-31
17-26
37-35
228.8Avg total
114.7Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)119.1114.8233.9+4.359%
Season at home (27)114.0109.6223.6+4.363%
Season away (27)124.2120.0244.3+4.256%
Last 10 (10)114.7114.1228.8+0.650%
Last 5 (5)119.6122.2241.8-2.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)115.4110.2225.6+5.280%
vs Similar ◀ (12)116.8117.5234.2-0.850%
vs Weaker (13)121.7114.3236.0+7.454%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
110-112
110
112
-2
105avg 112
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
124-122
124
122
+2
119avg 112
A22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
110-103
110
103
+7
112avg 112
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
W
132-116
132
116
+16
130avg 112
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
117-106
117
106
+11
108avg 112
A29/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
86-104
86
104
-18
70avg 112
H30/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
124-129
124
129
-5
109avg 112
A01/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
127-115
127
115
+12
121avg 112
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
121-119
121
119
+2
118avg 112
H06/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
L
119-126
119
126
-7
110avg 112
H08/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-20
19-34
34-26
38-32
31-32
35-27
28-36
30-27
27-31
37-28
20-32
26-12
34-38
26-26
35-28
37-24
38-18
22-28
27-30
30-30
23-23
19-20
24-35
20-26
39-35
34-45
27-23
24-26
33-23
34-27
31-31
29-34
30-31
31-29
31-36
29-23
35-32
25-28
30-38
29-28
232.2Avg total
117.0Scored
115.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)117.5118.4235.9-0.948%
Season at home (25)115.9118.8234.7-2.840%
Season away (29)118.9118.1237.0+0.855%
Last 10 (10)117.0115.2232.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)115.4118.6234.0-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)114.4124.7239.1-10.329%
vs Similar ◀ (14)113.8116.7230.5-2.943%
vs Weaker (9)125.8121.3247.1+4.456%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.8-2.8Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +3.0+3.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#22
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#20
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H27/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#24
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A29/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
63-50
63
50
+13
H30/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A03/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A05/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#23
W
70-56
70
56
+14
H07/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#18
L
42-54
42
54
-12
H08/02
NBA
110.8Avg total
56.8Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.056.4113.4+0.753%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.454.6110.0+0.853%-
Last 30 away (15)58.758.1116.8+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)56.854.0110.8+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)57.459.4116.8-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)51.055.4106.4-4.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)55.457.3112.8-1.942%-
vs Weaker (13)60.855.8116.7+5.069%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#25
W
66-59
66
59
+7
A22/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
64-59
64
59
+5
H24/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
60-64
60
64
-4
H26/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
60-46
60
46
+14
A29/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H30/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#29
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A01/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#17
W
67-50
67
50
+17
A04/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#26
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H06/02
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#14
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H08/02
NBA
116.6Avg total
59.1Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.461.6122.0-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.461.1118.5-3.740%-
Last 30 away (15)63.462.1125.5+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)59.157.5116.6+1.650%-
Last 5 (5)60.658.6119.2+2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.764.3122.0-6.643%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)59.659.6119.2-0.150%-
vs Weaker (9)63.862.6126.3+1.256%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 114.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.1 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.8
53.1%
54.8%53.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.7
38.2%
35.8%44.1
🏀 Free throws23.417.0
72.6%
78.1%17.0
They take 89.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 117.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 115.1 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.028.8
52.4%
54.8%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.715.1
39.0%
35.8%45.3
🏀 Free throws18.214.1
77.5%
78.1%14.1
They take 93.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLWLWWWWLL
Atlanta Hawks
LWWLLWWWWL
#10
League position
#12
+0.6
Net rating
+1.8
111.9
Offensive rating
113.9
111.3
Defensive rating
112.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.8%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
23.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.19
38.2%
3-point %
39.0%
58.6%
Assist %
68.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.9 · 113.9Defence111.3 · 112.2Shooting54.9% · 54.9%3-point %38.2% · 39.0%Ball care15.0% · 11.8%Off. rebounds26.9% · 23.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HLos Angeles Clippers96-115
07/02/26HNew Orleans Pelicans115-119
05/02/26AToronto Raptors128-126
03/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies128-137
01/02/26AMemphis Grizzlies131-114
30/01/26HOklahoma City Thunder123-111
29/01/26ADallas Mavericks118-105
27/01/26HGolden State Warriors108-83
25/01/26HGolden State Warriors85-111
23/01/26HChicago Bulls115-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/02/26HCharlotte Hornets119-126
06/02/26HUtah Jazz121-119
04/02/26AMiami Heat127-115
01/02/26AIndiana Pacers124-129
30/01/26HHouston Rockets86-104
29/01/26ABoston Celtics117-106
26/01/26HIndiana Pacers132-116
24/01/26HPhoenix Suns110-103
22/01/26AMemphis Grizzlies124-122
19/01/26HMilwaukee Bucks110-112

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL59%
HomeLWWLL63%
AwayLWWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %59%63%56%
Points / game119.1114.0124.2
Allowed / game114.8109.6120.0
Point differential+4.3+4.3+4.2
Avg total233.9223.6244.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%37%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)60% (10)25% (8)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL48%
HomeWWLWL40%
AwayLWWLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542529
Win %48%40%55%
Points / game117.5115.9118.9
Allowed / game118.4118.8118.1
Point differential-0.9-2.8+0.8
Avg total235.9234.7237.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%20%34%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)38% (8)62% (8)
Overtime %2%0%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder51391276%119.8108.3+11.5
2 Detroit Pistons52391375%117.3109.6+7.8
3 San Antonio Spurs50341668%117.5112.2+5.3
4 Boston Celtics53341964%115.1108.4+6.7
5 Denver Nuggets53341964%120.4116.3+4.1
6 Los Angeles Lakers50321864%116.1115.5+0.6
7 New York Knicks51321963%117.1111.9+5.2
8 Houston Rockets51321963%115.1110.0+5.1
9 Cleveland Cavaliers53322160%119.7115.9+3.7
10 Toronto Raptors53322160%114.4112.2+2.2
11 Phoenix Suns52312160%114.1110.9+3.2
12 Minnesota Timberwolves54322259%119.1114.8+4.3
13 Philadelphia 76ers52302258%116.7115.1+1.5
14 Orlando Magic50272354%115.1115.0+0.0
15 Golden State Warriors53282553%115.6113.5+2.1
16 Miami Heat54282652%119.7117.3+2.4
17 Atlanta Hawks54262848%117.5118.4-0.9
18 Los Angeles Clippers52252748%112.4112.7-0.4
19 Portland Trail Blazers53252847%115.8118.0-2.2
20 Charlotte Hornets54252946%115.8113.9+1.9
21 Chicago Bulls54243044%117.0120.6-3.6
22 Milwaukee Bucks51213041%111.7115.8-4.0
23 Memphis Grizzlies51203139%115.3117.5-2.2
24 Dallas Mavericks52193337%114.2117.2-3.0
25 Utah Jazz54173731%118.2126.4-8.2
26 Brooklyn Nets52153729%107.6114.9-7.3
27 Washington Wizards52143827%112.1122.8-10.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans54144026%114.6120.9-6.3
29 Indiana Pacers53134025%110.6118.5-7.9
30 Sacramento Kings54124222%110.8120.6-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves41402532138
Atlanta Hawks34223129116
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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