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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 28 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 100-92
28-20 32-23 20-31 20-18
Position#7
Record24-21
FormWLLWW
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game108.1
vs
Position#18
Record21-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game119.6
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks
10 Mar 2027
MIN v ATL
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIN138
ATL116
27 Jan 2025
MIN100
ATL92
12 Apr 2024
MIN109
ATL106
22 Mar 2023
MIN125
ATL124
06 Dec 2021
MIN110
ATL121
22 Jan 2021
MIN98
ATL116
05 Feb 2020
MIN120
ATL127
28 Dec 2018
MIN120
ATL123
28 Mar 2018
MIN126
ATL114
26 Dec 2016
MIN104
ATL90
25 Nov 2015
MIN99
ATL95
09 Feb 2015
MIN105
ATL117
26 Mar 2014
MIN107
ATL83
08 Jan 2013
MIN108
ATL103
05 Nov 2010
MIN103
ATL113
22 Dec 2009
MIN87
ATL112
04 Feb 2009
MIN86
ATL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
104-97
104
97
+7
99avg 105
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
104-89
104
89
+15
95avg 105
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
125-127
125
127
-2
130avg 105
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
120-106
120
106
+14
116avg 105
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
115-116
115
116
-1
102avg 105
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
116-99
116
99
+17
115avg 105
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
117-124
117
124
-7
110avg 105
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
106-108
106
108
-2
96avg 105
A20/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
115-114
115
114
+1
109avg 105
A23/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
133-104
133
104
+29
136avg 105
H25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
20-21
29-21
21-22
29-18
23-21
26-23
26-27
33-35
32-29
38-35
22-28
25-20
26-27
31-32
38-27
12-34
30-21
36-32
37-29
28-21
35-38
18-19
35-21
32-29
28-31
19-29
38-35
28-21
26-22
22-28
30-37
17-22
38-31
31-29
29-32
40-31
31-29
38-31
24-13
223.9Avg total
115.5Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)110.6108.1218.7+2.553%
Season at home (21)111.9108.9220.7+3.052%
Season away (24)109.5107.4216.9+2.154%
Last 10 (10)115.5108.4223.9+7.160%
Last 5 (5)117.4109.8227.2+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.5115.5226.0-5.00%
vs Similar (17)109.5105.7215.2+3.853%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)108.2104.3212.6+3.978%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
105-131
105
131
-26
100avg 109
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
124-121
124
121
+3
120avg 109
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
115-123
115
123
-8
110avg 109
A10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
122-117
122
117
+5
110avg 109
H15/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
110-94
110
94
+16
99avg 109
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
119-115 OT
119
115
+4
116avg 109
A19/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
110-119
110
119
-9
101avg 109
A20/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
104-114
104
114
-10
86avg 109
H23/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
119-122
119
122
-3
111avg 109
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
94-117
94
117
-23
86avg 109
H26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-29
26-45
22-24
29-33
36-32
29-30
28-27
31-32
31-38
41-30
20-30
23-25
33-31
31-25
25-31
33-30
27-25
34-22
25-31
24-16
21-33
31-15
21-30
31-26
27-26
35-28
27-40
21-25
26-36
25-33
24-28
29-17
25-35
34-30
30-29
30-28
27-22
21-33
22-31
24-31
229.5Avg total
112.2Scored
117.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)116.8119.6236.4-2.849%
Season at home (21)117.6120.0237.6-2.552%
Season away (22)116.1119.1235.2-3.045%
Last 10 (10)112.2117.3229.5-5.140%
Last 5 (5)109.2117.4226.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)113.2121.1234.3-7.936%
vs Similar (15)118.9119.3238.2-0.547%
vs Weaker (3)118.3112.3230.7+6.0100%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -5.7-5.7Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +1.2+1.2
Minnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
D
54-54
54
54
+0
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A10/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
65-64
65
64
+1
H12/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
H16/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A18/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
D
60-60
60
60
+0
H19/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
54-43
54
43
+11
A20/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
55-53
55
53
+2
A23/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#9
W
71-60
71
60
+11
H25/01
NBA
110.1Avg total
56.7Scored
53.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.851.4105.2+2.463%-
Last 30 at home (14)53.155.9109.0-2.943%-
Last 30 away (16)54.447.4101.8+6.981%-
Last 10 (10)56.753.4110.1+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)60.655.0115.6+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)53.855.8109.5-2.025%-
vs Similar (17)53.451.9105.4+1.565%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)54.448.4102.9+6.078%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
54-74
54
74
-20
A05/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
W
65-62
65
62
+3
A08/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
72-68
72
68
+4
A10/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H15/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A16/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
52-48
52
48
+4
A19/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A20/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
51-69
51
69
-18
H23/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
59-65
59
65
-6
H24/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
48-55
48
55
-7
H26/01
NBA
118.6Avg total
58.8Scored
59.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.560.6118.1-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (13)55.861.5117.4-5.731%-
Last 30 away (17)58.859.8118.6-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)58.859.8118.6-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.458.2112.6-3.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)53.862.3116.1-8.527%-
vs Similar (15)60.560.5121.0+0.153%-
vs Weaker (3)59.357.0116.3+2.367%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.8
52.7%
54.3%51.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.415.1
40.4%
35.9%45.3
🏀 Free throws23.818.6
78.2%
77.8%18.6
They take 86.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 37.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 112.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.727.8
51.8%
54.3%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.513.1
34.0%
35.9%39.3
🏀 Free throws22.817.3
75.9%
77.8%17.3
They take 92.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWLLWLWLWW
Atlanta Hawks
LLLLWWWLWL
#7
League position
#18
+7.2
Net rating
-4.8
117.3
Offensive rating
106.2
110.1
Defensive rating
111.0
56.1%
Effective FG%
51.5%
51.0%
Opp. effective FG%
55.9%
13.7%
Turnover %
14.5%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
25.3%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.25
40.4%
3-point %
34.0%
64.5%
Assist %
68.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 106.2Defence110.1 · 111.0Shooting56.1% · 51.5%3-point %40.4% · 34.0%Ball care13.7% · 14.5%Off. rebounds29.9% · 25.3%Free throws0.28 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/25HDenver Nuggets133-104
23/01/25ADallas Mavericks115-114
20/01/25AMemphis Grizzlies106-108
19/01/25HCleveland Cavaliers117-124
18/01/25ANew York Knicks116-99
16/01/25HGolden State Warriors115-116
14/01/25AWashington Wizards120-106
12/01/25HMemphis Grizzlies125-127
10/01/25AOrlando Magic104-89
08/01/25ANew Orleans Pelicans104-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HToronto Raptors94-117
24/01/25HToronto Raptors119-122
23/01/25HDetroit Pistons104-114
20/01/25ANew York Knicks110-119
19/01/25ABoston Celtics119-115 OT
16/01/25AChicago Bulls110-94
15/01/25HPhoenix Suns122-117
10/01/25APhoenix Suns115-123
08/01/25AUtah Jazz124-121
05/01/25ALos Angeles Clippers105-131

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW53%
HomeWLLLW52%
AwayWWWLW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %53%52%54%
Points / game110.6111.9109.5
Allowed / game108.1108.9107.4
Point differential+2.5+3.0+2.1
Avg total218.7220.7216.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (16)56% (9)57% (7)
Overtime %4%5%4%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL49%
HomeWWLLL52%
AwayWLWWL45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432122
Win %49%52%45%
Points / game116.8117.6116.1
Allowed / game119.6120.0119.1
Point differential-2.8-2.5-3.0
Avg total236.4237.6235.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%24%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)71% (7)71% (7)
Overtime %7%5%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder4335881%116.7104.5+12.1
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4637980%121.8112.1+9.7
3 Houston Rockets43301370%115.1108.8+6.3
4 Boston Celtics47321568%117.2108.5+8.7
5 New York Knicks46311567%118.2110.8+7.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies47311666%123.3115.6+7.7
7 Denver Nuggets45281762%120.6116.0+4.6
8 Los Angeles Lakers44261859%111.5112.6-1.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers45261958%110.0106.8+3.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks41231856%114.4111.4+3.1
11 Indiana Pacers45252056%115.5114.8+0.8
12 Dallas Mavericks45242153%115.3112.0+3.3
13 Minnesota Timberwolves45242153%110.6108.1+2.5
14 Phoenix Suns44232152%112.7113.6-0.9
15 Sacramento Kings46242252%116.9114.6+2.3
16 Miami Heat45232251%111.0110.4+0.6
17 Orlando Magic47242351%104.0104.7-0.8
18 Golden State Warriors44222250%111.8111.9-0.2
19 Detroit Pistons46232350%111.8113.0-1.3
20 Atlanta Hawks43212249%116.8119.6-2.8
21 San Antonio Spurs43202347%112.0113.5-1.5
22 Chicago Bulls46192741%116.4120.0-3.5
23 Philadelphia 76ers44172739%108.1112.4-4.3
24 Portland Trail Blazers46172937%107.8115.3-7.5
25 Toronto Raptors46143230%111.3117.1-5.8
26 Brooklyn Nets47143330%105.5113.3-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets43123128%107.5112.2-4.7
28 New Orleans Pelicans47123526%109.1117.7-8.6
29 Utah Jazz43103323%111.3118.5-7.2
30 Washington Wizards4463814%107.8122.1-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves28322020100
Atlanta Hawks2023311892
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