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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Atlanta Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 23 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 125-124
39-40 28-22 27-35 31-27
Position#17
Record36-37
FormWLLLW
Points / game115.9
Allowed / game116.2
vs
Position#16
Record36-36
FormLLWLW
Points / game117.6
Allowed / game117.5
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Atlanta Hawks
10 Mar 2027
MIN v ATL
upcoming
09 Feb 2026
MIN138
ATL116
27 Jan 2025
MIN100
ATL92
12 Apr 2024
MIN109
ATL106
22 Mar 2023
MIN125
ATL124
06 Dec 2021
MIN110
ATL121
22 Jan 2021
MIN98
ATL116
05 Feb 2020
MIN120
ATL127
28 Dec 2018
MIN120
ATL123
28 Mar 2018
MIN126
ATL114
26 Dec 2016
MIN104
ATL90
25 Nov 2015
MIN99
ATL95
09 Feb 2015
MIN105
ATL117
26 Mar 2014
MIN107
ATL83
08 Jan 2013
MIN108
ATL103
05 Nov 2010
MIN103
ATL113
22 Dec 2009
MIN87
ATL112
04 Feb 2009
MIN86
ATL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Atlanta Hawks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
108-101
108
101
+7
97avg 108
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
110-102
110
102
+8
106avg 108
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
138-134
138
134
+4
139avg 108
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
94-117
94
117
-23
75avg 108
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
123-124 OT
123
124
-1
113avg 108
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
136-115
136
115
+21
136avg 108
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
102-104
102
104
-2
98avg 108
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
131-139 OT
131
139
-8
124avg 108
A18/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
107-122
107
122
-15
101avg 108
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
140-134
140
134
+6
140avg 108
A20/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-33
32-23
28-19
22-26
33-34
23-21
27-21
27-26
36-30
38-34
31-38
33-32
27-24
18-34
23-29
26-30
33-26
35-34
20-37
26-17
40-29
36-23
30-33
30-30
23-23
20-21
28-33
31-27
32-28
27-26
31-26
23-33
26-32
32-34
27-28
22-28
42-32
37-38
30-38
31-26
238.1Avg total
118.9Scored
119.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)115.9116.2232.2-0.349%
Season at home (37)116.2115.0231.2+1.254%
Season away (36)115.7117.5233.2-1.844%
Last 10 (10)118.9119.2238.1-0.350%
Last 5 (5)123.2122.8246.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)114.0114.4228.4-0.440%
vs Similar ◀ (22)118.8118.2237.0+0.555%
vs Weaker (3)113.3114.7228.0-1.333%
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
129-111
129
111
+18
127avg 107
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
109-117
109
117
-8
101avg 107
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
128-130
128
130
-2
120avg 107
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
122-120
122
120
+2
114avg 107
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
114-107
114
107
+7
103avg 107
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
125-134
125
134
-9
115avg 107
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
115-136
115
136
-21
100avg 107
H13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
127-119
127
119
+8
114avg 107
H17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
118-126
118
126
-8
106avg 107
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
129-107
129
107
+22
125avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-19
28-30
38-27
32-35
26-29
23-37
26-21
34-30
43-30
25-33
28-29
32-38
34-28
24-33
32-33
32-26
24-29
32-21
29-25
29-32
38-37
23-34
28-30
36-33
29-40
23-36
33-30
30-30
39-31
32-35
33-30
23-23
40-34
43-27
20-39
15-26
38-32
28-27
33-19
30-29
242.3Avg total
121.6Scored
120.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (72)117.6117.5235.1+0.150%
Season at home (35)117.9116.0233.9+1.957%
Season away (37)117.2118.9236.2-1.743%
Last 10 (10)121.6120.7242.3+0.950%
Last 5 (5)122.8124.4247.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)123.0127.0250.0-4.033%
vs Similar ◀ (20)119.2117.7236.9+1.660%
vs Weaker (7)126.0120.7246.7+5.343%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -3.2-3.2Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -0.9-0.9
Minnesota TimberwolvesAtlanta Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
58-56
58
56
+2
A01/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
56-55
56
55
+1
A04/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
74-64
74
64
+10
A05/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
45-58
45
58
-13
H08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
68-60
68
60
+8
H11/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
76-52
76
52
+24
A13/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H16/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A18/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-66
58
66
-8
A18/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
79-70
79
70
+9
A20/03
NBA
119.5Avg total
61.6Scored
57.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.458.9118.4+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.157.3114.4-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)61.860.5122.3+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)61.657.9119.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)63.057.2120.2+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)52.655.0107.6-2.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)61.459.7121.0+1.759%-
vs Weaker (3)56.760.0116.7-3.30%-
This opponent (Atlanta Hawks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Atlanta HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
59-49
59
49
+10
H04/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A05/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#10
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A09/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
56-50
56
50
+6
A11/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
61-71
61
71
-10
H12/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
52-76
52
76
-24
H13/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H17/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
83-61
83
61
+22
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
66-59
66
59
+7
H21/03
NBA
124.5Avg total
62.3Scored
62.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.260.3122.5+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)61.859.2121.0+2.667%-
Last 30 away (15)62.761.4124.1+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)62.362.2124.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)66.666.6133.2+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.766.0130.7-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)60.559.8120.3+0.855%-
vs Weaker (7)66.059.4125.4+6.671%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 118.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.931.8
55.9%
54.5%63.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.812.4
39.0%
35.8%37.2
🏀 Free throws25.518.1
71.0%
78.1%18.1
They take 88.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Atlanta Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Atlanta Hawks: 121.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers70.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers63.335.4
55.9%
54.5%70.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.6
35.1%
35.8%31.8
🏀 Free throws23.919.0
79.5%
78.1%19.0
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWLLWWW
Atlanta Hawks
WLWLLWWLLW
#17
League position
#16
-0.3
Net rating
+0.9
114.0
Offensive rating
118.4
114.3
Defensive rating
117.6
56.8%
Effective FG%
54.9%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
58.6%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.1%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
30.7%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.0%
3-point %
35.1%
65.6%
Assist %
53.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 118.4Defence114.3 · 117.6Shooting56.8% · 54.9%3-point %39.0% · 35.1%Ball care12.7% · 12.1%Off. rebounds20.0% · 30.7%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Atlanta Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/23ANew York Knicks140-134
18/03/23AToronto Raptors107-122
18/03/23AChicago Bulls131-139 OT
16/03/23HBoston Celtics102-104
13/03/23AAtlanta Hawks136-115
11/03/23HBrooklyn Nets123-124 OT
08/03/23HPhiladelphia 76ers94-117
05/03/23ASacramento Kings138-134
04/03/23ALos Angeles Lakers110-102
01/03/23ALos Angeles Clippers108-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/23HDetroit Pistons129-107
19/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs118-126
17/03/23HGolden State Warriors127-119
13/03/23HMinnesota Timberwolves115-136
12/03/23HBoston Celtics125-134
11/03/23AWashington Wizards114-107
09/03/23AWashington Wizards122-120
07/03/23AMiami Heat128-130
05/03/23AMiami Heat109-117
04/03/23HPortland Trail Blazers129-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW49%
HomeLLLLL54%
AwayWWLLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %49%54%44%
Points / game115.9116.2115.7
Allowed / game116.2115.0117.5
Point differential-0.3+1.2-1.8
Avg total232.2231.2233.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%22%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (19)50% (8)45% (11)
Overtime %7%11%3%
Atlanta Hawks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW50%
HomeWLLWW57%
AwayLLWWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games723537
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game117.6117.9117.2
Allowed / game117.5116.0118.9
Point differential+0.1+1.9-1.7
Avg total235.1233.9236.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%26%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (20)56% (9)55% (11)
Overtime %6%9%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks71512072%116.3112.4+3.9
2 Boston Celtics73502368%117.8112.2+5.6
3 Philadelphia 76ers71482368%115.4110.4+5.0
4 Denver Nuggets73492467%116.7112.8+3.9
5 Cleveland Cavaliers74462862%112.2106.6+5.6
6 Memphis Grizzlies71442762%116.0112.1+3.9
7 Sacramento Kings72432960%120.9118.5+2.4
8 New York Knicks74423257%115.4112.8+2.6
9 Brooklyn Nets72393354%113.3112.9+0.4
10 Miami Heat74403454%109.3109.7-0.4
11 Phoenix Suns71383354%113.4111.6+1.8
12 Los Angeles Clippers73383552%112.7112.4+0.2
13 Golden State Warriors74383651%118.4118.0+0.4
14 Oklahoma City Thunder72363650%117.6116.2+1.5
15 Atlanta Hawks72363650%117.6117.5+0.1
16 Dallas Mavericks73363749%113.9113.4+0.5
17 Minnesota Timberwolves73363749%115.9116.2-0.3
18 Utah Jazz71353649%117.4117.3+0.1
19 New Orleans Pelicans72353749%114.0113.0+1.0
20 Los Angeles Lakers72353749%116.4116.8-0.4
21 Toronto Raptors73353848%112.9112.2+0.7
22 Chicago Bulls71343748%113.5112.5+1.0
23 Indiana Pacers73334045%115.9118.2-2.3
24 Washington Wizards73324144%112.7113.7-1.0
25 Portland Trail Blazers71314044%114.2116.1-1.9
26 Orlando Magic73304341%111.7114.4-2.7
27 Charlotte Hornets73235032%111.3117.4-6.1
28 San Antonio Spurs72195326%112.4122.0-9.7
29 Houston Rockets72185425%110.3118.1-7.8
30 Detroit Pistons73165722%110.8118.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves39282731125
Atlanta Hawks40223527124
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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