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Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 113-105
21-24 25-28 43-23 24-30
Position#1
Record24-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game103.5
vs
Position#7
Record17-14
FormLLWWW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game107.2
USANBA· Paycom Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Oklahoma City Thunder v Minnesota Timberwolves
02 Mar 2027
OKC v MIN
upcoming
25 Nov 2026
OKC v MIN
upcoming
15 Mar 2026
OKC116
MIN103
26 Nov 2025
OKC113
MIN105
28 May 2025
OKC124
MIN94
22 May 2025
OKC118
MIN103
20 May 2025
OKC114
MIN88
24 Feb 2025
OKC128
MIN131
31 Dec 2024
OKC113
MIN105
29 Jan 2024
OKC101
MIN107
26 Dec 2023
OKC129
MIN106
16 Dec 2022
OKC110
MIN112
23 Oct 2022
OKC106
MIN116
04 Mar 2022
OKC101
MIN138
07 Jan 2022
OKC105
MIN135
06 Feb 2021
OKC120
MIN118
05 Feb 2021
OKC103
MIN106
13 Mar 2020
OKC v MIN
upcoming
06 Dec 2019
OKC139
MIN127
08 Jan 2019
OKC117
MIN119
23 Dec 2018
OKC112
MIN114
01 Dec 2017
OKC111
MIN107
22 Oct 2017
OKC113
MIN115
25 Dec 2016
OKC112
MIN100
05 Nov 2016
OKC112
MIN92
11 Mar 2016
OKC96
MIN99
15 Jan 2016
OKC113
MIN93
13 Mar 2015
OKC113
MIN99
26 Jan 2015
OKC92
MIN84
05 Feb 2014
OKC106
MIN97
01 Dec 2013
OKC113
MIN103
22 Feb 2013
OKC127
MIN111
09 Jan 2013
OKC106
MIN84
23 Mar 2012
OKC149
MIN140
25 Mar 2011
OKC111
MIN103
22 Nov 2010
OKC117
MIN107
04 Apr 2010
OKC116
MIN108
26 Feb 2010
OKC109
MIN92
28 Nov 2008
OKC103
MIN105
02 Nov 2008
OKC88
MIN85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Oklahoma City Thunder winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Oklahoma City ThunderUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormThunder
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
119-109
119
109
+10
117avg 109
A08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#8
W
118-104
118
104
+14
137avg 109
H11/12
NBA Cup
Houston Rockets
#4
W
111-96
111
96
+15
128avg 109
H15/12
NBA Cup
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
81-97
81
97
-16
90avg 109
A18/12
NBA Cup
Orlando Magic
#15
W
105-99
105
99
+6
94avg 109
A20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
104-97
104
97
+7
98avg 109
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
123-105
123
105
+18
113avg 109
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
120-114
120
114
+6
106avg 109
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
106-94
106
94
+12
105avg 109
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
130-106
130
106
+24
126avg 109
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-23
42-28
22-29
20-29
32-24
25-30
33-19
28-31
18-20
23-22
34-27
36-27
28-27
22-24
14-26
17-20
29-28
36-18
17-28
23-25
30-25
20-22
31-23
23-27
29-32
38-31
24-24
32-18
19-29
34-32
30-23
37-30
28-22
33-24
29-28
16-20
34-31
42-19
26-24
28-32
213.8Avg total
111.7Scored
102.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)115.5103.5219.0+12.083%
Season at home (13)117.7104.1221.8+13.685%
Season away (16)113.7103.1216.8+10.681%
Last 10 (10)111.7102.1213.8+9.690%
Last 5 (5)116.6103.2219.8+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)81.097.0178.0-16.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)115.9104.1220.0+11.782%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
107avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
97-87
97
87
+10
84avg 105
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
106-92
106
92
+14
95avg 105
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-133
107
133
-26
98avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 105
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
99avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
105-99
105
99
+6
99avg 105
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
113-112
113
112
+1
106avg 105
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
112-110
112
110
+2
102avg 105
H30/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-31
25-15
22-26
29-18
30-21
28-28
32-44
16-21
32-23
18-21
27-22
20-21
28-19
24-18
24-33
30-22
33-32
18-41
23-31
33-29
15-26
22-24
38-29
28-34
19-35
36-17
30-30
19-35
26-24
31-16
33-28
15-31
22-21
35-31
19-32
37-28
25-33
32-12
25-37
30-28
212.7Avg total
106.0Scored
106.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)109.3107.2216.5+2.155%
Season at home (15)109.1106.1215.1+3.060%
Season away (16)109.6108.2217.8+1.350%
Last 10 (10)106.0106.7212.7-0.760%
Last 5 (5)107.4110.2217.6-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)105.0107.0212.0-2.00%
vs Similar (11)106.6103.1209.7+3.564%
vs Weaker (18)111.6109.6221.1+2.056%
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q2Q2: +6.5+6.5Q2: +4.6+4.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: -3.9-3.9Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
Oklahoma City ThunderMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Oklahoma City ThunderLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
77-51
77
51
+26
A08/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#8
W
57-54
57
54
+3
H11/12
NBA Cup
Houston Rockets
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H15/12
NBA Cup
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A18/12
NBA Cup
Orlando Magic
#15
W
65-46
65
46
+19
A20/12
NBA
Miami Heat
#20
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A21/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H24/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
53-61
53
61
-8
A27/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A28/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
76-50
76
50
+26
H30/12
NBA
110.8Avg total
59.7Scored
51.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.552.5112.0+7.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.951.3110.1+7.673%-
Last 30 away (15)60.253.7113.9+6.560%-
Last 10 (10)59.751.1110.8+8.670%-
Last 5 (5)61.453.4114.8+8.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.051.0101.0-1.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (28)60.052.5112.5+7.568%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A25/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A28/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
57-45
57
45
+12
H30/12
NBA
101.8Avg total
53.0Scored
48.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.752.3107.0+2.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)54.253.8108.0+0.453%-
Last 30 away (15)55.250.9106.1+4.353%-
Last 10 (10)53.048.8101.8+4.280%-
Last 5 (5)52.647.8100.4+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (11)53.550.5103.9+3.073%-
vs Weaker (18)55.653.3108.9+2.344%-
This opponent (Oklahoma City Thunder) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Oklahoma City Thundertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Oklahoma City Thunder: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.732.0
53.6%
54.3%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.611.9
32.5%
35.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.715.8
84.5%
77.8%15.8
They take 96.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 106.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.624.7
49.8%
54.3%49.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.314.5
36.9%
35.9%43.5
🏀 Free throws17.313.1
75.7%
77.8%13.1
They take 88.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Oklahoma City Thunder
WWWWWWLWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLLLWWLW
#1
League position
#7
+10.2
Net rating
-0.7
108.7
Offensive rating
106.8
98.6
Defensive rating
107.5
51.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
49.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
11.3%
Turnover %
14.0%
22.2%
Off. rebound %
24.2%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.19
32.5%
3-point %
36.9%
55.4%
Assist %
65.3%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.7 · 106.8Defence98.6 · 107.5Shooting51.8% · 52.2%3-point %32.5% · 36.9%Ball care11.3% · 14.0%Off. rebounds22.2% · 24.2%Free throws0.19 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Oklahoma City Thunder   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies130-106
28/12/24ACharlotte Hornets106-94
27/12/24AIndiana Pacers120-114
24/12/24HWashington Wizards123-105
21/12/24AMiami Heat104-97
20/12/24AOrlando Magic105-99
18/12/24AMilwaukee Bucks81-97
15/12/24HHouston Rockets111-96
11/12/24HDallas Mavericks118-104
08/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans119-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/24HSan Antonio Spurs112-110
28/12/24AHouston Rockets113-112
25/12/24ADallas Mavericks105-99
24/12/24AAtlanta Hawks104-117
22/12/24HGolden State Warriors103-113
20/12/24HNew York Knicks107-133
16/12/24ASan Antonio Spurs106-92
14/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers97-87
09/12/24AGolden State Warriors106-114
07/12/24AGolden State Warriors107-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeLWWWW85%
AwayWWWWW81%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291316
Win %83%85%81%
Points / game115.5117.7113.7
Allowed / game103.5104.1103.1
Point differential+12.0+13.6+10.6
Avg total219.0221.8216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%77%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW55%
HomeWWLLW60%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %55%60%50%
Points / game109.3109.1109.6
Allowed / game107.2106.1108.2
Point differential+2.1+3.0+1.3
Avg total216.5215.1217.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %6%7%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3228488%122.4110.5+11.9
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2924583%115.5103.5+12.0
3 Boston Celtics3324973%119.6108.9+10.7
4 New York Knicks3223972%118.4109.9+8.5
5 Memphis Grizzlies33221167%123.4114.2+9.2
6 Houston Rockets30201067%114.3107.0+7.3
7 Dallas Mavericks32201262%117.5111.3+6.2
8 Orlando Magic33201361%105.8103.2+2.6
9 Denver Nuggets31181358%120.5117.5+3.0
10 Los Angeles Lakers31181358%112.0114.1-2.1
11 Los Angeles Clippers33191458%108.8107.8+1.1
12 Minnesota Timberwolves31171455%109.3107.2+2.1
13 Atlanta Hawks31171455%118.7119.7-1.0
14 Miami Heat30161453%111.0108.7+2.3
15 Milwaukee Bucks29151452%112.7111.8+1.0
16 Golden State Warriors31161552%112.2111.2+1.0
17 San Antonio Spurs33171652%111.5111.2+0.3
18 Phoenix Suns31151648%112.2113.9-1.7
19 Indiana Pacers34161847%114.6116.9-2.2
20 Chicago Bulls33151845%117.5121.0-3.5
21 Detroit Pistons32141844%112.2115.2-2.9
22 Philadelphia 76ers30131743%107.2110.3-3.1
23 Sacramento Kings33141942%114.8113.7+1.1
24 Brooklyn Nets32122038%107.8112.8-4.9
25 Portland Trail Blazers32112134%108.1117.3-9.3
26 Utah Jazz3172423%111.0119.8-8.8
27 Charlotte Hornets3272522%106.2112.8-6.7
28 Toronto Raptors3372621%111.1119.3-8.2
29 Washington Wizards3052517%108.4122.4-14.0
30 New Orleans Pelicans3352815%106.7117.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Oklahoma City Thunder21254324113
Minnesota Timberwolves24282330105
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