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Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-113
21-22 31-35 32-19 28-37
Position#4
Record20-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game106.9
Houston Rockets
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record15-14
FormWLLLW
Points / game109.1
Allowed / game106.9
USANBA· Toyota Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves
05 Jan 2027
HOU v MIN
upcoming
04 Nov 2026
HOU107
MIN117
10 Apr 2026
HOU132
MIN136
16 Jan 2026
HOU110
MIN105
21 Feb 2025
HOU121
MIN115
27 Dec 2024
HOU112
MIN113
05 Jan 2024
HOU95
MIN122
23 Jan 2023
HOU119
MIN114
08 Jan 2023
HOU96
MIN104
03 Apr 2022
HOU132
MIN139
09 Jan 2022
HOU123
MIN141
27 Apr 2021
HOU107
MIN114
10 Mar 2020
HOU117
MIN111
11 Jan 2020
HOU139
MIN109
17 Mar 2019
HOU117
MIN102
25 Apr 2018
HOU122
MIN104
18 Apr 2018
HOU102
MIN82
15 Apr 2018
HOU104
MIN101
23 Feb 2018
HOU120
MIN102
18 Jan 2018
HOU116
MIN98
12 Apr 2017
HOU123
MIN118
25 Feb 2017
HOU142
MIN130
18 Mar 2016
HOU116
MIN111
13 Jan 2016
HOU107
MIN104
27 Mar 2015
HOU120
MIN110
23 Feb 2015
HOU113
MIN102
20 Mar 2014
HOU129
MIN106
23 Nov 2013
HOU112
MIN101
15 Mar 2013
HOU108
MIN100
17 Feb 2012
HOU98
MIN111
30 Jan 2012
HOU108
MIN120
08 Feb 2011
HOU108
MIN112
07 Nov 2010
HOU120
MIN94
13 Jan 2010
HOU120
MIN114
20 Mar 2009
HOU107
MIN88
07 Feb 2009
HOU107
MIN90
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
119-116
119
116
+3
106avg 106
H02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
L
111-120
111
120
-9
96avg 106
A04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
93-99
93
99
-6
77avg 106
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
117-106
117
106
+11
115avg 106
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#5
W
91-90
91
90
+1
108avg 106
H12/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
96-111
96
111
-15
101avg 106
A15/12
NBA Cup
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
133-113
133
113
+20
136avg 106
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-110
114
110
+4
104avg 106
A22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
114-101
114
101
+13
107avg 106
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
128-111
128
111
+17
117avg 106
A27/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
29-32
29-36
28-20
28-21
27-33
29-42
27-24
22-18
21-31
23-24
27-26
30-28
34-24
31-31
22-23
20-18
24-19
24-32
23-21
20-18
22-23
27-34
27-36
39-25
27-27
33-27
34-34
24-35
27-22
33-26
30-27
31-15
31-16
30-35
22-35
39-22
22-21
41-31
26-37
219.3Avg total
111.6Scored
107.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)114.9106.9221.8+8.071%
Season at home (13)117.6105.8223.4+11.877%
Season away (15)112.5107.9220.3+4.667%
Last 10 (10)111.6107.7219.3+3.970%
Last 5 (5)117.0109.2226.2+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)107.3117.7225.0-10.333%
vs Similar ◀ (11)113.8106.2220.0+7.673%
vs Weaker (15)115.9105.5221.4+10.373%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
108-80
108
80
+28
108avg 105
A05/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
107avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
97-87
97
87
+10
84avg 105
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
106-92
106
92
+14
95avg 105
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-133
107
133
-26
98avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 105
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
99avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
105-99
105
99
+6
99avg 105
A25/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
34-24
23-20
30-16
33-14
26-18
27-18
22-30
31-31
25-15
22-26
29-18
30-21
28-28
32-44
16-21
32-23
18-21
27-22
20-21
28-19
24-18
24-33
30-22
33-32
18-41
23-31
33-29
15-26
22-24
38-29
28-34
19-35
36-17
30-30
19-35
26-24
31-16
33-28
15-31
205.7Avg total
105.2Scored
100.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)109.1106.9216.0+2.252%
Season at home (14)108.9105.8214.6+3.157%
Season away (15)109.3108.0217.3+1.347%
Last 10 (10)105.2100.5205.7+4.760%
Last 5 (5)105.0110.8215.8-5.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0107.0212.0-2.00%
vs Similar ◀ (12)105.5104.7210.2+0.850%
vs Weaker (17)111.5109.5221.1+2.053%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.8+5.8Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.8-1.8Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -1.5-1.5
Houston RocketsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H02/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#16
W
55-54
55
54
+1
A04/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
64-52
64
52
+12
A09/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#5
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H12/12
NBA Cup
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A15/12
NBA Cup
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H20/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A22/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
62-31
62
31
+31
A24/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#27
W
61-43
61
43
+18
A27/12
NBA
102.6Avg total
55.0Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.951.1107.0+4.770%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.552.1110.6+6.479%-
Last 30 away (16)53.650.3103.9+3.262%-
Last 10 (10)55.047.6102.6+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)56.444.8101.2+11.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)51.758.7110.3-7.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)54.954.3109.2+0.655%-
vs Weaker (15)58.248.3106.5+9.980%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A05/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
57-40
57
40
+17
A25/12
NBA
99.8Avg total
53.1Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.653.2106.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.155.4108.5-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)54.251.1105.3+3.147%-
Last 10 (10)53.146.799.8+6.480%-
Last 5 (5)50.450.4100.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)51.152.2103.3-1.258%-
vs Weaker (17)55.553.8109.4+1.741%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 111.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.1
53.3%
54.3%56.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.312.4
32.4%
35.9%37.2
🏀 Free throws23.218.0
77.6%
77.8%18.0
They take 91.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 105.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.2 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.724.5
50.3%
54.3%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.514.4
37.4%
35.9%43.2
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
77.8%13.0
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Houston Rockets
WWWWLWWLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLLLWWLWWW
#4
League position
#7
+3.9
Net rating
+4.7
110.3
Offensive rating
106.1
106.5
Defensive rating
101.4
51.3%
Effective FG%
52.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
13.8%
Turnover %
14.5%
31.6%
Off. rebound %
21.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.20
32.4%
3-point %
37.4%
52.1%
Assist %
69.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence110.3 · 106.1Defence106.5 · 101.4Shooting51.3% · 52.9%3-point %32.4% · 37.4%Ball care13.8% · 14.5%Off. rebounds31.6% · 21.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Houston Rockets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Houston Rockets wins
8
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets111-117 OT
03/04/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets113-106
05/02/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets111-90
06/01/24Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves95-122
24/01/23Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves119-114
22/01/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets113-104
09/01/23Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves96-104
06/11/22Minnesota Timberwolves v Houston Rockets129-117
03/04/22Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves132-139
10/01/22Houston Rockets v Minnesota Timberwolves123-141
Houston Rocketslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/24ANew Orleans Pelicans128-111
24/12/24ACharlotte Hornets114-101
22/12/24AToronto Raptors114-110
20/12/24HNew Orleans Pelicans133-113
15/12/24AOklahoma City Thunder96-111
12/12/24HGolden State Warriors91-90
09/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers117-106
06/12/24AGolden State Warriors93-99
04/12/24ASacramento Kings111-120
02/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder119-116
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/12/24ADallas Mavericks105-99
24/12/24AAtlanta Hawks104-117
22/12/24HGolden State Warriors103-113
20/12/24HNew York Knicks107-133
16/12/24ASan Antonio Spurs106-92
14/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers97-87
09/12/24AGolden State Warriors106-114
07/12/24AGolden State Warriors107-90
05/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers108-80
03/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers109-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Houston Rockets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW71%
HomeWWLWW77%
AwayLWWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %71%77%67%
Points / game114.9117.6112.5
Allowed / game106.9105.8107.9
Point differential+8.0+11.8+4.6
Avg total221.8223.4220.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %11%8%13%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW52%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game109.1108.9109.3
Allowed / game106.9105.8108.0
Point differential+2.2+3.1+1.3
Avg total216.0214.6217.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%36%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2722581%115.3103.8+11.5
3 Boston Celtics3123874%119.6109.7+10.0
4 Houston Rockets2820871%114.9106.9+8.0
5 New York Knicks3021970%117.6109.3+8.3
6 Memphis Grizzlies31211068%123.7113.4+10.3
7 Dallas Mavericks29191066%118.7111.6+7.1
8 Orlando Magic32191359%105.9103.3+2.7
9 Denver Nuggets28161257%119.1116.1+3.0
10 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Los Angeles Lakers30171357%111.3113.8-2.5
12 Miami Heat28151354%111.3108.6+2.7
13 Golden State Warriors28151354%113.6111.7+2.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks27141352%112.5111.6+0.9
15 Minnesota Timberwolves29151452%109.1106.9+2.2
16 Phoenix Suns29151452%113.3114.6-1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks29151452%118.0120.5-2.4
18 San Antonio Spurs31161552%111.2112.0-0.8
19 Indiana Pacers32151747%114.4116.8-2.4
20 Detroit Pistons31141745%111.9114.5-2.6
21 Sacramento Kings31131842%114.7113.6+1.2
22 Chicago Bulls31131842%117.7121.8-4.1
23 Philadelphia 76ers28111739%106.4110.5-4.2
24 Brooklyn Nets31121939%108.1113.1-5.1
25 Portland Trail Blazers30102033%107.6116.9-9.3
26 Utah Jazz2972224%110.6119.6-8.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3072323%106.5113.0-6.5
28 Toronto Raptors3172423%112.5118.5-6.0
29 Washington Wizards2852318%107.6121.8-14.2
30 New Orleans Pelicans3152616%105.9117.5-11.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Houston Rockets21313228112
Minnesota Timberwolves22351937113
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