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Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 11 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 127-120 (OT)
32-27 22-26 25-32 32-26 16-9
Position#1
Record28-7
FormWLWWL
Points / game121.4
Allowed / game110.4
Boston Celtics 🏆
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves
USA
Position#4
Record26-10
FormLLWLW
Points / game112.9
Allowed / game107.2
USANBA· TD Garden (Boston)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves
12 Feb 2027
BOS v MIN
upcoming
22 Mar 2026
BOS92
MIN102
24 Nov 2024
BOS107
MIN105
10 Jan 2024
BOS127
MIN120
23 Dec 2022
BOS121
MIN109
27 Mar 2022
BOS134
MIN112
09 Apr 2021
BOS145
MIN136
29 Mar 2020
BOS v MIN
upcoming
02 Jan 2019
BOS115
MIN102
05 Jan 2018
BOS91
MIN84
15 Mar 2017
BOS117
MIN104
21 Dec 2015
BOS113
MIN99
19 Dec 2014
BOS114
MIN98
16 Dec 2013
BOS101
MIN97
05 Dec 2012
BOS104
MIN94
03 Jan 2011
BOS96
MIN93
20 Dec 2009
BOS122
MIN104
01 Feb 2009
BOS109
MIN101
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
144-119
144
119
+25
148avg 112
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
145-108
145
108
+37
145avg 112
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
126-115
126
115
+11
122avg 112
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
128-122 OT
128
122
+6
115avg 112
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
120-118
120
118
+2
121avg 112
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
134-101
134
101
+33
135avg 112
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
123-127
123
127
-4
120avg 112
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
126-97
126
97
+29
121avg 112
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
118-101
118
101
+17
116avg 112
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
L
131-133
131
133
-2
122avg 112
A09/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
38-41
36-25
39-24
31-29
28-21
40-30
38-30
39-27
32-23
26-34
41-33
27-25
27-30
20-36
35-16
26-26
35-20
33-33
31-33
21-32
30-22
35-31
40-23
29-25
29-31
32-27
25-40
37-29
30-15
41-25
36-35
19-22
29-17
29-32
26-32
34-20
34-33
34-26
33-44
30-30
243.6Avg total
129.5Scored
114.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)121.4110.4231.8+11.080%
Season at home (17)123.1108.1231.1+15.0100%
Season away (18)119.9112.6232.5+7.361%
Last 10 (10)129.5114.1243.6+15.480%
Last 5 (5)126.4111.8238.2+14.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)123.0127.0250.0-4.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)120.5110.2230.8+10.379%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
118-111
118
111
+7
114avg 108
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
110-98
110
98
+12
109avg 108
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
106-129
106
129
-23
98avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
118-110
118
110
+8
113avg 108
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-106
108
106
+2
108avg 108
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
95avg 108
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
106-117
106
117
-11
94avg 108
H04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
122-95
122
95
+27
125avg 108
A06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
108-115
108
115
-7
96avg 108
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
113-92
113
92
+21
120avg 108
A10/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-32
27-27
24-24
31-28
28-20
31-27
22-23
29-28
35-40
25-26
31-36
15-27
37-26
24-30
37-35
20-19
29-31
32-26
21-20
26-29
32-23
17-38
29-33
28-18
24-27
22-32
25-33
35-25
32-24
24-22
28-26
38-23
29-30
27-30
26-31
26-24
33-16
34-21
23-29
23-26
220.0Avg total
111.5Scored
108.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)112.9107.2220.2+5.772%
Season at home (16)112.6102.9215.5+9.688%
Season away (20)113.2110.7223.9+2.660%
Last 10 (10)111.5108.5220.0+3.060%
Last 5 (5)111.0106.2217.2+4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)113.1111.1224.2+2.061%
vs Weaker (12)114.2104.4218.6+9.892%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: +4.6+4.6Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.4+2.4
Boston CelticsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A21/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
68-51
68
51
+17
A23/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
58-57
58
57
+1
A25/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
47-66
47
66
-19
H29/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#25
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H30/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
65-53
65
53
+12
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A03/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#23
W
71-40
71
40
+31
H06/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A07/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A09/01
NBA
119.0Avg total
63.8Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)62.755.0117.7+7.780%-
Last 30 at home (15)63.754.7118.4+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)61.755.3117.0+6.387%-
Last 10 (10)63.855.2119.0+8.690%-
Last 5 (5)64.651.8116.4+12.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)61.058.0119.0+3.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)62.854.9117.7+7.979%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H22/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#11
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
60-66
60
66
-6
A27/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
61-56
61
56
+5
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#5
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A01/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H04/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A06/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
56-60
56
60
-4
A08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
67-37
67
37
+30
A10/01
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.8Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.356.4113.7+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (12)57.255.5112.8+1.867%-
Last 30 away (18)57.357.1114.3+0.244%-
Last 10 (10)57.854.8112.6+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)54.852.6107.4+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (18)57.157.6114.7-0.539%-
vs Weaker (12)57.554.7112.2+2.875%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 129.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers50.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.929.4
58.9%
54.4%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.216.8
39.8%
36.3%50.4
🏀 Free throws26.020.3
78.1%
78.2%20.3
They take 92.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.127.4
55.8%
54.4%54.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.5
38.3%
36.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws24.519.2
78.4%
78.2%19.2
They take 81.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWLWWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
WLWLLWWLWW
#1
League position
#4
+15.1
Net rating
+3.0
126.7
Offensive rating
111.8
111.7
Defensive rating
108.8
59.3%
Effective FG%
56.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.7%
11.9%
Turnover %
15.7%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
21.2%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.30
39.8%
3-point %
38.3%
63.0%
Assist %
66.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence126.7 · 111.8Defence111.7 · 108.8Shooting59.3% · 56.5%3-point %39.8% · 38.3%Ball care11.9% · 15.7%Off. rebounds29.8% · 21.2%Free throws0.28 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
07/11/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics114-109 OT
16/03/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics102-104
24/12/22Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves121-109
27/03/22Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves134-112
28/12/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics108-103
15/05/21Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics108-124
09/04/21Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves145-136 OT
22/02/20Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics117-127
03/01/19Boston Celtics v Minnesota Timberwolves115-102
02/12/18Minnesota Timberwolves v Boston Celtics109-118
Boston Celticslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/01/24AIndiana Pacers131-133
07/01/24AIndiana Pacers118-101
06/01/24HUtah Jazz126-97
03/01/24AOklahoma City Thunder123-127
01/01/24ASan Antonio Spurs134-101
30/12/23HToronto Raptors120-118
29/12/23HDetroit Pistons128-122 OT
25/12/23ALos Angeles Lakers126-115
23/12/23ALos Angeles Clippers145-108
21/12/23ASacramento Kings144-119
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24AOrlando Magic113-92
08/01/24ADallas Mavericks108-115
06/01/24AHouston Rockets122-95
04/01/24HNew Orleans Pelicans106-117
01/01/24ANew York Knicks106-112
31/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-106
29/12/23HDallas Mavericks118-110
27/12/23AOklahoma City Thunder106-129
24/12/23ASacramento Kings110-98
22/12/23HLos Angeles Lakers118-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLWL61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351718
Win %80%100%61%
Points / game121.4123.1119.9
Allowed / game110.4108.1112.6
Point differential+11.0+15.0+7.3
Avg total231.8231.1232.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+51%59%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)100% (2)38% (8)
Overtime %11%6%17%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW72%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361620
Win %72%88%60%
Points / game112.9112.6113.2
Allowed / game107.2102.9110.7
Point differential+5.7+9.6+2.6
Avg total220.2215.5223.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)100% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics3528780%121.4110.4+11.0
2 Minnesota Timberwolves36261072%112.9107.2+5.7
3 Oklahoma City Thunder35241169%122.2114.6+7.6
4 Milwaukee Bucks35241169%123.6119.6+4.0
5 Denver Nuggets38261268%116.1110.7+5.4
6 Philadelphia 76ers35231266%119.5111.3+8.2
7 Los Angeles Clippers36231364%117.2111.5+5.6
8 Sacramento Kings35221363%118.1117.5+0.7
9 New York Knicks36221461%115.5110.7+4.8
10 New Orleans Pelicans35211460%116.2110.9+5.4
11 Cleveland Cavaliers36211558%113.2111.5+1.7
12 Miami Heat36211558%112.7111.6+1.1
13 Dallas Mavericks38221658%118.6116.9+1.7
14 Orlando Magic37211657%113.3112.0+1.3
15 Indiana Pacers34191556%127.1124.9+2.2
16 Phoenix Suns36191753%115.6114.7+0.9
17 Houston Rockets35181751%112.5110.2+2.3
18 Utah Jazz38182047%115.1118.7-3.6
19 Golden State Warriors36171947%117.1116.9+0.2
20 Los Angeles Lakers36171947%113.7116.1-2.4
21 Chicago Bulls38172145%109.4111.5-2.2
22 Brooklyn Nets37162143%114.9116.6-1.6
23 Toronto Raptors37152241%115.4116.1-0.7
24 Atlanta Hawks35142140%122.2123.7-1.5
25 Memphis Grizzlies37142338%108.1113.2-5.1
26 Portland Trail Blazers36102628%108.3116.2-7.9
27 Charlotte Hornets3482624%109.5120.0-10.5
28 Washington Wizards3663017%115.5126.3-10.8
29 San Antonio Spurs3553014%111.3122.7-11.4
30 Detroit Pistons373348%111.4122.8-11.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Boston Celtics3222253216127
Minnesota Timberwolves272632269120
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