PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 25 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 99-105
24-26 16-31 28-33 31-15
Position#17
Record19-9
FormLWLWW
Points / game119.4
Allowed / game111.8
Dallas Mavericks
USA
vs
Minnesota Timberwolves 🏆
USA
Position#7
Record14-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game107.2
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves
04 Apr 2027
DAL v MIN
upcoming
30 Mar 2026
DAL94
MIN124
28 Jan 2026
DAL105
MIN118
22 Jan 2025
DAL114
MIN115
25 Dec 2024
DAL99
MIN105
28 May 2024
DAL100
MIN105
26 May 2024
DAL116
MIN107
07 Jan 2024
DAL115
MIN108
14 Dec 2023
DAL101
MIN119
13 Feb 2023
DAL121
MIN124
21 Mar 2022
DAL110
MIN108
21 Dec 2021
DAL114
MIN102
08 Feb 2021
DAL127
MIN122
17 Dec 2020
DAL127
MIN129
24 Feb 2020
DAL139
MIN123
04 Dec 2019
DAL121
MIN114
03 Apr 2019
DAL108
MIN110
20 Oct 2018
DAL140
MIN136
30 Mar 2018
DAL92
MIN93
17 Nov 2017
DAL87
MIN111
15 Jan 2017
DAL98
MIN87
28 Feb 2016
DAL128
MIN101
20 Jan 2016
DAL106
MIN94
02 Feb 2015
DAL100
MIN94
15 Nov 2014
DAL131
MIN117
19 Mar 2014
DAL122
MIN123
30 Nov 2013
DAL106
MIN112
14 Jan 2013
DAL113
MIN98
12 Nov 2012
DAL82
MIN90
25 Jan 2012
DAL90
MIN105
24 Mar 2011
DAL104
MIN96
01 Dec 2010
DAL100
MIN86
03 Mar 2010
DAL112
MIN109
05 Feb 2010
DAL108
MIN117
13 Apr 2009
DAL96
MIN94
30 Dec 2008
DAL107
MIN100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
106-94
106
94
+12
102avg 107
A01/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
137-131
137
131
+6
132avg 107
A02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
121-116
121
116
+5
116avg 107
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
137-101
137
101
+36
139avg 107
A06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
125-118
125
118
+7
122avg 107
A08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
122avg 107
A11/12
NBA Cup
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
143-133
143
133
+10
149avg 107
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
95-118
95
118
-23
80avg 107
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
113-97
113
97
+16
105avg 107
H22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
132-108
132
108
+24
124avg 107
H24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
40-22
16-27
30-27
20-18
25-29
36-29
39-39
37-34
25-26
35-31
22-38
39-21
31-22
37-28
34-27
35-24
35-28
35-26
30-33
25-31
24-32
30-25
19-33
31-28
46-33
35-41
33-33
29-26
30-24
19-26
28-39
18-29
23-22
31-18
20-26
39-31
28-31
34-22
40-23
30-32
234.7Avg total
121.3Scored
113.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)119.4111.8231.2+7.568%
Season at home (14)116.5106.3222.8+10.271%
Season away (14)122.2117.4239.6+4.964%
Last 10 (10)121.3113.4234.7+7.980%
Last 5 (5)117.4114.8232.2+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)111.1111.5222.6-0.462%
vs Similar (16)121.4115.1236.6+6.362%
vs Weaker (5)119.6100.6220.2+19.080%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
93-92
93
92
+1
93avg 105
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
109-80
109
80
+29
111avg 105
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
108-80
108
80
+28
108avg 105
A05/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
107-90
107
90
+17
107avg 105
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
106-114
106
114
-8
98avg 105
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
97-87
97
87
+10
84avg 105
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
106-92
106
92
+14
95avg 105
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
107-133
107
133
-26
98avg 105
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 105
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
104-117
104
117
-13
99avg 105
A24/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-25
27-22
19-21
21-24
22-20
34-24
23-20
30-16
33-14
26-18
27-18
22-30
31-31
25-15
22-26
29-18
30-21
28-28
32-44
16-21
32-23
18-21
27-22
20-21
28-19
24-18
24-33
30-22
33-32
18-41
23-31
33-29
15-26
22-24
38-29
28-34
19-35
36-17
30-30
19-35
203.8Avg total
104.0Scored
99.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)109.2107.2216.5+2.050%
Season at home (14)108.9105.8214.6+3.157%
Season away (14)109.6108.6218.3+1.043%
Last 10 (10)104.099.8203.8+4.260%
Last 5 (5)103.4108.4211.8-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)105.0107.0212.0-2.00%
vs Similar (13)105.5104.3209.8+1.254%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)111.9110.2222.1+1.850%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: +3.0+3.0Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -0.2-0.2
Dallas MavericksMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#30
W
56-49
56
49
+7
A01/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A02/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H04/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
68-50
68
50
+18
A06/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A08/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#2
L
54-57
54
57
-3
A11/12
NBA Cup
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
81-74
81
74
+7
A16/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H20/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H22/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#21
W
62-53
62
53
+9
H24/12
NBA
115.7Avg total
61.5Scored
54.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.954.8113.7+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (14)55.250.0105.2+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)62.159.1121.1+3.069%-
Last 10 (10)61.554.2115.7+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)60.054.8114.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)55.053.2108.2+1.862%-
vs Similar (16)60.856.8117.5+4.062%-
vs Weaker (5)60.050.8110.8+9.2100%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H30/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
56-44
56
44
+12
H03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
59-32
59
32
+27
A05/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
56-46
56
46
+10
A07/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A09/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H14/12
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#23
W
52-37
52
37
+15
A16/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#6
L
51-73
51
73
-22
H20/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H22/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A24/12
NBA
100.1Avg total
52.7Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.5106.9-0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)53.155.4108.5-2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)53.751.7105.3+2.040%-
Last 10 (10)52.747.4100.1+5.380%-
Last 5 (5)49.051.2100.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)52.055.0107.0-3.00%-
vs Similar (13)50.952.0102.9-1.154%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)55.454.7110.1+0.838%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 124.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.728.8
54.6%
54.3%57.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.815.2
41.3%
35.9%45.6
🏀 Free throws28.020.9
74.6%
77.8%20.9
They take 89.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 104.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers43.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.923.5
50.1%
54.3%47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.214.5
37.0%
35.9%43.5
🏀 Free throws17.813.5
75.8%
77.8%13.5
They take 86.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
WWLWLWWWWW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LLLWWLWWWW
#17
League position
#7
+6.3
Net rating
+4.2
116.0
Offensive rating
104.7
109.7
Defensive rating
100.5
57.7%
Effective FG%
52.6%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
14.5%
Turnover %
15.6%
26.4%
Off. rebound %
22.4%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.21
41.3%
3-point %
37.0%
61.1%
Assist %
71.6%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence116.0 · 104.7Defence109.7 · 100.5Shooting57.7% · 52.6%3-point %41.3% · 37.0%Ball care14.5% · 15.6%Off. rebounds26.4% · 22.4%Free throws0.31 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
4
Minnesota Timberwolves wins
DateGameScore
29/10/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks114-120
31/05/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks103-124
29/05/24Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves100-105
27/05/24Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves116-107
25/05/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks108-109
23/05/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks105-108
01/02/24Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks121-87
08/01/24Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves115-108
29/12/23Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks118-110
15/12/23Dallas Mavericks v Minnesota Timberwolves101-119
Dallas Maverickslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24HPortland Trail Blazers132-108
22/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers113-97
20/12/24HLos Angeles Clippers95-118
16/12/24AGolden State Warriors143-133
11/12/24AOklahoma City Thunder104-118
08/12/24AToronto Raptors125-118
06/12/24AWashington Wizards137-101
04/12/24HMemphis Grizzlies121-116
02/12/24APortland Trail Blazers137-131
01/12/24AUtah Jazz106-94
Minnesota Timberwolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/12/24AAtlanta Hawks104-117
22/12/24HGolden State Warriors103-113
20/12/24HNew York Knicks107-133
16/12/24ASan Antonio Spurs106-92
14/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers97-87
09/12/24AGolden State Warriors106-114
07/12/24AGolden State Warriors107-90
05/12/24ALos Angeles Clippers108-80
03/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers109-80
30/11/24HLos Angeles Clippers93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayWWWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %68%71%64%
Points / game119.4116.5122.2
Allowed / game111.8106.3117.4
Point differential+7.5+10.2+4.9
Avg total231.2222.8239.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%57%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWLL57%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game109.2108.9109.6
Allowed / game107.2105.8108.6
Point differential+2.0+3.1+1.0
Avg total216.5214.6218.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%36%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)75% (4)50% (4)
Overtime %7%7%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2621581%115.1103.4+11.7
3 Boston Celtics2922776%119.1109.6+9.5
4 Houston Rockets2719870%114.4106.7+7.6
5 New York Knicks2920969%117.9110.1+7.8
6 Dallas Mavericks2819968%119.4111.8+7.5
7 Memphis Grizzlies30201067%122.7113.0+9.7
8 Orlando Magic30191163%107.2103.6+3.6
9 Denver Nuggets27161159%119.8116.3+3.4
10 Los Angeles Clippers30171357%109.6107.6+2.0
11 Golden State Warriors27151256%113.7111.6+2.1
12 Los Angeles Lakers29161355%111.2113.8-2.7
13 Milwaukee Bucks26141254%112.8111.6+1.2
14 Miami Heat27141352%112.1109.4+2.8
15 Minnesota Timberwolves28141450%109.2107.2+2.0
16 Indiana Pacers30151550%114.8115.9-1.1
17 San Antonio Spurs30151550%111.7112.8-1.1
18 Phoenix Suns28141450%113.4115.1-1.8
19 Atlanta Hawks28141450%117.2120.0-2.8
20 Sacramento Kings30131743%114.8113.6+1.2
21 Detroit Pistons30131743%111.9114.6-2.7
22 Chicago Bulls30131743%117.2121.1-4.0
23 Brooklyn Nets29111838%108.7114.0-5.3
24 Philadelphia 76ers27101737%105.9110.4-4.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers2992031%107.1116.8-9.7
26 Utah Jazz2872125%110.3119.5-9.2
27 Charlotte Hornets2972224%106.4113.0-6.6
28 Toronto Raptors3072323%112.1117.3-5.3
29 New Orleans Pelicans3052517%105.7117.2-11.5
30 Washington Wizards2742315%107.4122.2-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2416283199
Minnesota Timberwolves26313315105
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.