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Missouri State vs Indiana State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 77-80
40-36 37-44
Position#334
Record5-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game77.0
Allowed / game73.2
vs
Position#254
Record5-4
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.8
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Missouri State v Indiana State
07 Dec 2024
MISS77
INDI80
10 Feb 2024
MISS71
INDI73
15 Jan 2023
MISS64
INDI62
15 Feb 2022
MISS79
INDI70
03 Jan 2021
MISS70
INDI66
02 Jan 2021
MISS84
INDI74
01 Feb 2020
MISS68
INDI78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Missouri State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Indiana State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Missouri StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
60-35
60
35
+25
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
59-75
59
75
-16
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A04/11
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
111-106 OT
111
106
+5
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
71-61
71
61
+10
A24/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
55-75
55
75
-20
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
W
72-67
72
67
+5
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
27-14
33-21
31-34
28-41
36-39
29-33
43-29
47-32
33-32
42-43
34-37
44-31
35-30
36-31
26-29
38-35
24-36
31-39
33-42
39-25
143.1Avg total
73.5Scored
69.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)77.073.2150.2+3.862%
Season at home (4)83.577.5161.0+6.075%
Season away (4)70.569.0139.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)73.569.6143.1+3.960%
Last 5 (5)70.069.4139.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.276.3143.5-9.140%
vs Similar ◀ (16)72.172.4144.6-0.344%
vs Weaker (3)80.767.0147.7+13.7100%
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#1
L
77-79
77
79
-2
H04/04
NIT
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
64-97
64
97
-33
A05/11
NCAA
Eureka
#607
W
93-48
93
48
+45
H08/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A16/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
97-61
97
61
+36
H23/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
81-86
81
86
-5
H29/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
87-71
87
71
+16
A02/12
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
39-39
0-0
38-40
0-0
28-53
0-0
36-44
0-0
48-29
0-0
45-19
0-0
36-33
0-0
36-44
0-0
36-39
0-0
58-45
0-0
35-30
0-0
62-31
0-0
29-40
0-0
48-47
0-0
35-46
0-0
46-40
0-0
45-45
0-0
38-35
0-0
53-31
0-0
34-40
159.5Avg total
82.5Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)83.176.8159.9+6.356%
Season at home (4)85.868.0153.8+17.850%
Season away (5)81.083.8164.8-2.860%
Last 10 (10)82.577.0159.5+5.550%
Last 5 (5)85.077.0162.0+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)76.780.7157.3-4.00%
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.283.8166.0-1.562%
vs Weaker (18)83.969.2153.2+14.789%
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +5.6+5.6
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +0.0+0.01st half: -0.1-0.12nd half2nd half: +3.6+3.62nd half: +5.6+5.6
Missouri StateIndiana State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Missouri StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Murray State
#296
W
27-14
27
14
+13
A07/03
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#266
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A04/11
NCAA
Missouri Southern State
#462
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H12/11
NCAA
Tulsa
#291
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H16/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#277
L
34-37
34
37
-3
H20/11
NCAA
High Point
#13
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A24/11
NCAA
Boston College
#298
L
26-29
26
29
-3
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#108
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H26/11
NCAA
Oral Roberts
#343
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A01/12
NCAA
64.4Avg total
32.2Scored
32.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.635.067.6-2.440%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.234.766.9-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)32.935.268.2-2.344%-
Last 10 (10)32.232.264.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)30.434.865.2-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.237.067.2-6.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)32.634.867.4-2.244%-
vs Weaker (3)37.331.368.7+6.067%-
This opponent (Indiana State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Indiana StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H04/04
NIT
Florida Atlantic
#162
L
28-53
28
53
-25
A05/11
NCAA
Eureka
#607
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Siu Edwardsville
#93
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H13/11
NCAA
Ball State
#243
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A16/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#368
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H23/11
NCAA
Southern Indiana
#322
L
29-40
29
40
-11
A26/11
NCAA
Arkansas State
#54
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H29/11
NCAA
Iona
#209
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Tarleton
#308
W
53-31
53
31
+22
A02/12
NCAA
76.9Avg total
38.4Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.436.775.2+1.753%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.035.974.9+3.161%-
Last 30 away (12)37.637.975.5-0.342%-
Last 10 (10)38.438.576.9-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.477.8+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.739.376.0-2.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)35.442.277.6-6.912%-
vs Weaker (18)40.033.273.2+6.878%-
This opponent (Missouri State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Missouri State wins
4
Indiana State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AOral Roberts72-67
26/11/24HSouth Dakota St.55-75
26/11/24ABoston College74-76 OT
24/11/24AHigh Point71-61
20/11/24HUT Arlington78-68
16/11/24HTulsa111-106 OT
12/11/24HMissouri Southern State90-61
04/11/24AButler65-72
08/03/24AIndiana State59-75
07/03/24AMurray State60-35
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/24ATarleton87-71
30/11/24AIona83-80
29/11/24HArkansas State81-86
26/11/24ASouthern Indiana77-87
23/11/24HChicago State97-61
16/11/24ABall State94-84
13/11/24HSiu Edwardsville72-77
08/11/24HEureka93-48
05/11/24AFlorida Atlantic64-97
04/04/24HSeton Hall77-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Missouri State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW62%
HomeWWWL75%
AwayLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game77.083.570.5
Allowed / game73.277.569.0
Point differential+3.8+6.0+1.5
Avg total150.2161.0139.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %25%25%25%
Indiana State
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeWLWL50%
AwayLWLWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games945
Win %56%50%60%
Points / game83.185.881.0
Allowed / game76.868.083.8
Point differential+6.3+17.8-2.8
Avg total159.9153.8164.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%50%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Conference USA conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Liberty109190%77.257.6+19.6
2 Louisiana Tech97278%79.969.3+10.6
3 UTEP86275%75.865.4+10.4
4 Middle Tenn. St.107370%82.871.3+11.5
5 Kennesaw State107370%80.371.3+9.0
6 Jacksonville State85362%80.266.4+13.9
7 Western Kentucky85362%80.274.8+5.5
8 Missouri State85362%77.073.2+3.8
9 Delaware95456%78.277.8+0.4
10 Sam Houston St.105550%78.678.8-0.2
11 New Mexico State83538%71.171.1+0.0
12 Florida International93633%73.970.1+3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Missouri Valley conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Drake880100%73.157.8+15.4
2 Bradley98189%83.666.1+17.4
3 Belmont108280%83.276.9+6.3
4 Murray State75271%80.764.6+16.1
5 Northern Iowa95456%76.265.1+11.1
6 Illinois (Chi.)95456%83.675.2+8.3
7 Illinois State95456%79.972.6+7.3
8 Indiana State95456%83.176.8+6.3
9 Valparaiso84450%77.069.8+7.2
10 Southern Illinois104640%74.674.5+0.1
11 Evansville93633%69.273.0-3.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Missouri State403777
Indiana State364480
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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