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Mladost vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 22 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 89-80
21-23 26-15 14-22 28-20
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game76.2
Mladost 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#14
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game96.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 11· Basketball Dome Cedevita
Other2024-25
Meetings · Mladost v Hermes
22 Dec 2024
MLAD89
HERM80
06 Mar 2024
MLAD98
HERM84
11 May 2023
MLAD74
HERM92
27 Jan 2023
MLAD107
HERM75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MladostCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMladost
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
90-84
90
84
+6
87avg 73
H12/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
74-69
74
69
+5
63avg 73
A19/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 73
H27/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
91-99
91
99
-8
88avg 73
A02/11
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
87-71
87
71
+16
75avg 73
H09/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
92-75
92
75
+17
86avg 73
A16/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
73-70
73
70
+3
62avg 73
H20/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
68avg 73
A01/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
87-67
87
67
+20
93avg 73
H08/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
W
80-76
80
76
+4
76avg 73
H14/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
21-23
19-17
21-23
15-17
27-16
16-19
16-17
15-13
20-22
14-15
26-18
29-33
16-23
29-25
17-18
26-12
28-21
19-19
14-19
25-14
19-19
31-21
17-21
21-24
18-12
17-15
17-19
15-28
18-23
26-23
23-9
18-13
20-17
17-14
32-23
19-20
20-21
18-16
23-19
159.3Avg total
83.1Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.176.2159.3+6.980%
Season at home (6)82.072.7154.7+9.3100%
Season away (4)84.881.5166.2+3.250%
Last 10 (10)83.176.2159.3+6.980%
Last 5 (5)82.874.2157.0+8.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.788.6164.3-12.914%
vs Similar (7)81.175.6156.7+5.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)81.873.9155.7+7.989%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
84-76
84
76
+8
85avg 78
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
79-83
79
83
-4
72avg 78
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
95-91
95
91
+4
90avg 78
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
75avg 78
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
70-86
70
86
-16
66avg 78
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
80-129
80
129
-49
70avg 78
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
71-93
71
93
-22
66avg 78
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
80-101
80
101
-21
77avg 78
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
64-127
64
127
-63
46avg 78
A07/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
75-79
75
79
-4
70avg 78
H15/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-21
24-19
18-17
15-19
26-27
10-25
22-14
21-17
33-28
19-11
17-22
26-30
18-26
25-28
24-20
13-21
25-21
14-19
12-25
19-21
8-30
16-34
23-29
33-36
22-16
16-27
15-28
18-22
20-22
12-14
33-35
15-30
19-38
12-29
11-29
22-31
11-18
18-21
24-21
22-19
173.8Avg total
77.8Scored
96.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)77.896.0173.8-18.220%
Season at home (5)79.085.0164.0-6.040%
Season away (5)76.6107.0183.6-30.40%
Last 10 (10)77.896.0173.8-18.220%
Last 5 (5)74.0105.8179.8-31.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)79.995.6175.5-15.720%
vs Similar (5)90.092.6182.6-2.640%
vs Weaker (10)94.385.4179.7+8.960%
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: -6.1-6.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -4.1-4.1Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: -4.2-4.2
MladostHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MladostLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Crikvenica
#11
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H12/10
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#9
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A19/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H27/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A16/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H20/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A01/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H08/12
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H14/12
Prva Liga
81.1Avg total
41.9Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.042.283.2-1.253%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.639.482.0+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)39.145.484.5-6.236%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.281.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.638.276.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)37.646.684.1-9.029%-
vs Similar (7)41.638.980.4+2.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.937.983.8+8.078%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#1
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A22/10
Prva Liga
Bosco
#13
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H27/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#7
L
43-54
43
54
-11
A02/11
Prva Liga
Skrljevo
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H10/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
24-64
24
64
-40
A17/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#6
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H23/11
Prva Liga
Dakovo
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A30/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#3
L
31-67
31
67
-36
A07/12
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#8
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H15/12
Prva Liga
84.9Avg total
37.5Scored
47.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.044.488.4-0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.742.287.9+3.556%-
Last 30 away (14)42.146.988.9-4.836%-
Last 10 (10)37.547.484.9-9.920%-
Last 5 (5)30.849.880.6-19.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)40.049.489.4-9.413%-
vs Similar (5)44.842.287.0+2.660%-
vs Weaker (10)49.637.987.5+11.790%-
This opponent (Mladost) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mladosttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mladost: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.121.0
52.4%
52.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.0
33.2%
33.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws18.313.9
76.0%
70.4%13.9
They take 67.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.2 points a game
50%
35%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.817.7
50.9%
52.0%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.4
38.8%
33.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.210.6
65.4%
70.4%10.6
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mladost
WWLWWWLWWW
Hermes
LLLLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#14
+9.7
Net rating
-23.8
104.3
Offensive rating
101.7
94.6
Defensive rating
125.5
51.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
49.1%
Opp. effective FG%
61.4%
20.4%
Turnover %
20.0%
30.8%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.26
33.2%
3-point %
38.8%
64.0%
Assist %
67.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 101.7Defence94.6 · 125.5Shooting51.3% · 54.1%3-point %33.2% · 38.8%Ball care20.4% · 20.0%Off. rebounds30.8% · 23.0%Free throws0.27 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Mladost   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Mladost wins
3
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
06/03/24Mladost v Hermes98-84
21/10/23Hermes v Mladost107-87
11/05/23Mladost v Hermes74-92
12/04/23Hermes v Mladost108-112 OT
27/01/23Mladost v Hermes107-75
29/10/22Hermes v Mladost105-81
Mladostlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/24HDakovo80-76
08/12/24HMarsonia87-67
01/12/24AJazine82-83
20/11/24HSkrljevo73-70
16/11/24AGorica92-75
09/11/24HBosco87-71
02/11/24ASamobor91-99
27/10/24HOmis75-68
19/10/24ASonik Puntamika74-69
12/10/24HCrikvenica90-84
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/24HKK Zagreb75-79
07/12/24AKastela64-127
30/11/24ADakovo80-101
23/11/24HMarsonia71-93
17/11/24AJazine80-129
10/11/24HSkrljevo70-86
02/11/24AGorica80-95
27/10/24HBosco95-91
22/10/24ASamobor79-83
12/10/24HOmis84-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mladost
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %80%100%50%
Points / game83.182.084.8
Allowed / game76.272.781.5
Point differential+6.9+9.3+3.2
Avg total159.3154.7166.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%33%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %20%40%0%
Points / game77.879.076.6
Allowed / game96.085.0107.0
Point differential-18.2-6.0-30.4
Avg total173.8164.0183.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Samobor109190%86.578.5+8.0
2 Kastela108280%88.869.5+19.3
3 Skrljevo108280%89.675.4+14.2
4 Jazine108280%95.483.0+12.4
5 Mladost108280%83.176.2+6.9
6 Marsonia106460%83.178.3+4.8
7 KK Zagreb105550%76.775.7+1.0
8 Gorica105550%77.384.1-6.8
9 Omis104640%74.473.3+1.1
10 Sonik Puntamika103730%70.472.0-1.6
11 Dakovo102820%78.889.3-10.5
12 Hermes102820%77.896.0-18.2
13 Bosco101910%74.288.0-13.8
14 Crikvenica101910%66.883.6-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mladost2126142889
Hermes2315222080
← all games of the day
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